SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq)
Net Sales 3,071 1,889 62.6 3,214 (4.5)
Operating Profit 759.0 520.4 45.9 682.4 11.2
Net Profit 115.5 138.0 (16.3) 148.7 (22.3)
Source: Company, Angel Research
JP Associates (JAL) reported robust yoy top-line growth of 62.6% for 2QFY2011
driven by strong revenue growth in the construction (73%) and cement (43%)
segments. JAL’s recurring earnings for the quarter de-grew 16.3% mainly on
account of the plunge in margins and higher tax provision. We expect JAL to
emerge as one of the fastest growing conglomerates in the cement, power and
real estate space going ahead. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock.
Top-line beats estimates; recurring earnings disappoint owing to margin pressure:
JAL reported robust top-line growth of 62.6% yoy to `3,071cr (`1,889cr),
significantly ahead of our estimates of 33.1% growth, aided by the strong 73%
and 43% growth in construction and cement revenues, respectively. However, EBIT
margins of the cement segment played spoil-sport and impacted overall OPMs,
which came in at 24.7% as against our estimate of 27.2%. Interest and
depreciation costs were in line with our estimates. Bottom-line de-grew 16.3% to
`115.5cr (`138cr) mainly due to higher tax provision for the quarter (61%).
Outlook and Valuation: We expect JAL to become one of the fastest growing
conglomerates and post top-line and bottom-line CAGR of 33.9% and 31.5%
respectively, over FY010-12. We have valued JAL’s cement business at 6.5x
EV/EBITDA (`62.7/share) and construction division at FY2012E target EV/EBITDA
multiple of 8.5x (`78.5/share). We have valued its power and real estate
businesses on market cap basis (giving 20% holding company discount)
contributing `81.8/share to our target price. The treasury shares (`11.1/share)
have been valued at the current market price, whereas net debt is accounted for
on a per share basis in our valuation at `65.1. We maintain a Buy on the stock
with an SOTP target price of `169, implying an upside of 35% from current levels.
Key Financials (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 6,148 10,355 14,475 18,643
% chg 43.8 68.4 39.8 28.8
Adj. Net Profit 897 989 1,158 1,749
% chg 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0
FDEPS (`) 4.2 4.7 5.4 8.2
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.6 27.9 26.2 27.6
P/E (x) 19.5 26.8 22.9 15.2
RoAE (%) 15.9 13.0 12.5 16.3
RoACE (%) 10.3 10.2 10.5 12.5
P/BV (x) 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3
EV/Sales (x) 6.0 4.0 3.2 2.6
EV/EBITDA (x) 17.8 14.3 12.1 9.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
BUY
CMP `125
Target Price `169
Investment Period 12 Months
Stock Info
Sector
Bloomberg Code
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 45.9
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 16.2
FII / NRIs / OCBs 25.1
Indian Public / Others 12.7
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex 12.6 32.1 3.2
JAL 5.2 (3.8) 6.7
2
20,356
6,118
JAIA.BO
JPA@IN
26,495
1.63
168/108
1,783,440
Infrastructure
Avg. Daily Volume
Market Cap (` cr)
Beta
52 Week High / Low
Face Value (`)
BSE Sensex
Nifty
Reuters Code
Shailesh Kanani
022-40403800 Ext:321
shailesh.kanani@angelbroking.com
Nitin Arora
022-40403800 Ext:314
nitin.arora@angelbroking.com
JP Associates
Performance Highlights
2QFY2011 Result Update | Infrastructure
November 1, 2010
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 Performance (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg (yoy)
Net Sales 3,071 1,889 62.6 3,214 (4.5) 6,286 4,006 56.9
Total Exp. 2,312 1,368 69.0 2,532 (8.7) 4,844 2,894 67.4
Op. Profit 759 520 45.9 682 11.2 1,441 1,112 29.6
OPM (%) 24.7 27.5 0.0 21.2 0.0 46 27.8 -
Int. 323 259 25.0 328 (1.4) 651 481 35.5
Dep. 153 110 38.8 150 1.6 303 212 43.1
Non Op. Inc. 7 23 0.0 3 103.3 10 24 (57.6)
Nonrecurring items - 732 (100.0) 367 (100.0) 367 997 -
PBT 290 907 (68.1) 575 (49.6) 864 1,441 (40.0)
Tax 174 37.0 371 59 196.4 233 79 193.9
Reported PAT 116 870 (86.7) 516 (77.6) 632 1,361 (53.6)
PAT (%) 3.8 46.1 - 16.1 - 10.0 34.0 -
Adj. PAT 116 138 (16.3) 149 (22.3) 264 364 (27.4)
Adj.PAT (%) 3.8 7.3 - 4.6 - 4.2 9.1 -
Adj. EPS (`) 0.5 0.6 (16.3) 0.7 (22.3) 1.2 1.7 (27.4)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 Actual v/s Estimates
(` cr) Estimates Actual Variation (%)
Revenues 2,427.0 3,071.2 26.5
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.2 24.7 (248.6)
PAT 118.0 115.5 (2.1)
Source: Company, Angel Research
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 3
Exhibit 3: Segmental performance (standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg
Segment Revenue
Cement & Cement Products 1,208 845 43.0 2,650 1,793 47.8
Construction 1,571 908 73.0 3,008 1,959 53.6
Power 12 14 (15.5) 23 26 (9.4)
Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course 37 29 30.6 74 62 19.3
Real Estate 323 88 265.5 689 184 275.4
Investment 4 24 0.0 7 24 0.0
Others 1 9 0.0 5 13 0.0
Unallocated 33 32 2.4 63 50 24.5
Less: Inter-Segmental Performance 115 37 212.7 227 82 178.3
Total Sales Income 3,075 1,913 60.8 6,293 4,029 56.2
Segment Results
Cement & Cement Products 188 220 (14.5) 475 522 (9.1)
Construction 328 180 82.6 433 363 19.2
Power 8 14 (41.4) 15 21 (28.1)
Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course (2) (6) (73.1) (3) (3) (18.5)
Real Estate 133 29 356.0 289 74 291.1
Investment 4 24 0.0 7 24 (69.1)
Others 1 4 0.0 2 2 0.0
Exceptional item : Profit on Sale of Shares - 942 513 1,316
Total PBIT 661 1,406 (53.0) 1,730 2,318 (25.4)
Less: Interest Expense 323 259 25.0 651 481 35.5
Less: Exceptional Item - 0.0 - 102 0.0
Less: Unallocable Expense 48 31 55.3 70 78 (11.0)
PBT 290 1,117 (74.1) 1,010 1,658 (39.1)
PBIT Margin (%) bp chg. bp chg.
Cement & Cement Products 15.6 26.1 (1,048) 17.9 29.1 (1,119)
Construction 20.9 19.8 110 14.4 18.5 (414)
Power 66.1 95.4 (2,925) 64.7 81.5 (1,681)
Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course (4.1) (19.7) 1,564 (3.7) (5.5) 173
Real Estate 41.2 33.0 817 41.9 40.2 169
Investment 100.0 100.0 - 100.0 100.0 -
Others 62.4 42.7 31.0 16.9
Unallocated - 2,926.5 820.0 2,618.6
Capital Employed in Segment
Cement & Cement Products 13,538 10,837 24.9 13,538 10,837 24.9
Construction 3,104 1,916 62.0 3,104 1,916 62.0
Power 854 253 237.4 854 253 237.4
Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course 479 509 (5.9) 479 509 (5.9)
Real Estate 2,188 806 171.6 2,188 806 171.6
Investment 5,652 4,770 18.5 5,652 4,770 18.5
Others 248 161 54.0 248 161 54.0
Unallocated 4,326 4,822 (10.3) 4,326 4,822 (10.3)
Total 30,388 24,074 26.2 30,388 24,074 26.2
Source: Company, Angel Research
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 4
Segment-wise performance
Cement division
JAL’s cement division reported revenue growth of 43.0% yoy to `1,208cr (`845cr),
12.8% above our estimate of `1,071cr. The divisional EBIT margin came in at
15.6% (26.1%), which was mainly on account of higher input cost and decline in
realisations. JAL currently has an installed cement capacity of ~24MTPA and
1HFY2011 dispatch volumes stood at ~7.3mtpa. We expect the company to
achieve dispatch volumes of 14.6mtpa and top-line of `5,107cr for FY2011. This
is assuming average realisation of `3,877/tonne (gross) for FY2011, which implies
a 10% hike in the cement price in 2HFY2011 over 1HFY2011. For FY2012, we
have factored in volume growth of 27% to 18.5mtpa and realisation of
`4,071/tonne (gross) resulting in top-line of `6,803cr, a yoy jump of 33%.
Construction division
The construction division registered 73.0% yoy surge in revenues to `1,571cr
(`908cr) as against our expectation of `1,100cr. Divisional EBIT margin came in at
20.9% (19.8%), which were in line with our estimates. We highlight that
construction margins returned to normalised levels in 2QFY2011 after registering
disappointing 7% margins in 1QFY2011. The construction division has posted
volatile numbers over the last few quarters. For FY2011 and FY2012, we are
penciling top-line of `7,815cr and `9,910cr, respectively. On the operating front,
we are factoring in EBIT margin of 15.2% and 17.8% for FY2011 and FY2012,
respectively.
Real estate division
The real estate division reported 265.5% yoy revenue growth to `323.cr (`88.4cr)
in line with our expectation of `300.4cr. The divisional EBIT margin came in at
41.2% (33.0%), which were tad above our estimate of 40.1%.
Exhibit 4: Quarterly revenue trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Quarterly EBITDA trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
38.3
48.3
62.9 63.0
58.4
113.8
60.5 70.2 62.6
-
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
Sales (Rs cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS)
34.0
25.8
37.0
25.9
28.5 23.6
25.5
21.2
24.7
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
EBITDA (Rs cr, LHS) EBITDAM (%, RHS)
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 5
Bottom-line weighed down by higher tax provision
JAL reported PBT of `290cr, which surpassed our estimates mainly on account of
robust top-line growth during the quarter. However, recurring earnings for the
quarter de-grew 16.3% mainly on account of the plunge in margins and higher tax
provision at 60.1% and was in line with our estimates.
Exhibit 6: Quarterly net profit trend
Source: Company, Angel Research
17.1
12.6 18.5
26.0
47.7
3.6
7.3
16.1
3.8
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
PAT (Rs cr, LHS) PATM (%, RHS)
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 6
Outlook and Valuation
We expect JAL to become one of the fastest growing conglomerates and post top-
line and bottom-line CAGR of 33.9% and 31.5% respectively, over FY010-12. We
have valued JAL’s cement business at 6.5x EV/EBITDA (`62.7/share) and
construction division at FY2012E target EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.5x (`78.5/share).
We have valued its power and real estate businesses on market cap basis (giving
20% holding company discount) contributing `81.8/share to our target price. The
treasury shares (`11.1/share) have been valued at the current market price,
whereas net debt is accounted for on a per share basis in our valuation at `65.1.
We maintain a Buy on the stock with an SOTP Target Price of `169, implying an
upside of 35% from current levels.
Exhibit 7: SOTP Valuation
Business Segment Methodology ` cr `/share % to Target Price
Cement EV/EBIDTA (x) 6.5x EV/EBITDA 13,335 62.7 37.0
Construction EV/EBIDTA (x) 8.5x EV/EBITDA 16,698 78.5 46.3
Power Mcap of JPVL @ 20% holding company discount 7,964 37.5 22.1
Real Estate NAV/Mcap Jayppe InfraTech + Jaypee Greens 9,416 44.3 26.2
Hotels - 8x FY2012E Net Profit 148 0.7 0.4
Treasury Stock At CMP 2,366 11.1 6.6
Net Debt - Net Debt for Cement, Construction and Real Estate Business (13,904) (65.4) (38.6)
Total 36,025 169.4 100.0
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions
FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Cement Capacity 7.0 9.0 14.7 19.1 24.9 29.3
Cement Production 6.7 6.8 7.6 10.5 16.7 21.2
Cement Sales 6.2 6.2 7.0 9.2 14.6 18.5
Realisations /Ton 3,316 3,602 3,634 4,308 3,877 4,071
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 9: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus
Angel Forecast Bloomberg Consensus Variation
FY2011E 5.4 5.6 3.7
FY2012E 8.2 6.9 (16.5)
Source: Company, Angel Research
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 7
Investment Arguments
On schedule cement capacity expansion instills confidence: JAL is on its way to
become one of the leading players in the cement space following capacity
expansion from 9.0mtpa in FY2008 to 29.3mtpa in FY2012E. The capacity
expansion is on track and in line with management guidance. Cement contributed
44%, 35% and 38% to standalone top-line in FY2008, FY2009 and FY2010
respectively, and is expected to contribute 39.8% and 41.0% in FY2011 and
FY2012, respectively. We believe that the cement capacity size that JAL proposes to
set up would enable it to have substantial bargaining power, result in operating
leverage benefits and catapult JAL into the league of cement majors.
Exhibit 10: JAL's cement capacity vis-a-vis peers (mn/tonne)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Construction arm to log 33.2% CAGR over FY2010-12E: JAL is developing the
160km, 6-lane (extendable to 8 lanes) access controlled Yamuna expressway
between Noida and Agra. The Yamuna Expressway (YE) project also involves real
estate development to the tune of 530mn.sq.ft. The cost of YE is `9,739cr and has
a concession period of 36 years. Financial closure of the YE is done with 69% of
the TPC already put in (equity component of `1,250cr, IPO proceeds of `1,500cr
and debt of `4,477cr). Moreover, Jaypee Infratech is in possession of 96.5% of the
land required for construction of the highway, and work is on schedule. Thus, JAL’s
strong execution track record backed by in-place funding and acquired land
renders strong visibility to its construction arm.
Diversified play: JAL is a unique play on the ongoing infrastructure theme with a
bouquet of offerings in construction, cement, power and real-estate. Moreover, not
only does the company have a diversified set of offerings, but also enjoys scale
benefits in each of them. We believe that the company stands to benefit as the
infrastructure theme pans out going ahead.
48.9
27
30.4
15.8 14.0
5.4
29.3
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0 Grasim(Incl.
Ultratech)
Ambuja
ACC
IndiaCements
MadrasCem
JKLakshmiCem
JPAssociates
FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 8
Exhibit 11: Recommendation Summary
Company CMP TP Rating Top-line (` cr) EPS (`) *Adj. P/E OB/
FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E Sales(x)
CCCL 78 - Neutral 1,976 2,397 2,891 21.0 5.0 5.0 6.7 16.2 15.8 15.7 11.7 1.9
Gammon India 201 - Neutral 4,489 5,575 6,607 21.3 8.4 10.0 12.1 20.0 11.5 9.7 8.0 2.9
HCC 62 - Neutral 3,629 4,146 4,900 16.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 19.0 17.9 15.2 12.7 4.8
IRB Infra 259 - Neutral 1,705 2,675 3,672 46.8 11.6 13.0 15.7 16.4 8.4 7.5 6.2 -
IVRCL 149 216 Buy 5,492 6,493 8,071 21.2 7.8 8.8 10.9 18.2 11.0 9.8 7.9 3.9
JP Assoc. 125 169 Buy 10,355 14,475 18,643 34.2 4.7 4.5 7.6 27.8 26.8 27.7 16.4 -
Punj Lloyd 123 156 Buy 10,448 9,756 12,402 9.0 (10.9) 5.6 11.2 - - 21.9 10.9 2.4
NCC 152 201 Buy 4,778 5,738 6,588 17.4 7.8 8.6 9.8 12.1 14.5 13.2 11.6 3.4
Sadbhav 1,449 1,702 Buy 1,257 1,621 1,986 25.7 43.0 77.4 89.8 44.4 14.1 7.9 6.8 5.3
Simplex In. 480 573 Buy 4,564 5,460 6,543 19.7 25.6 33.0 40.9 26.4 18.8 14.5 11.7 2.5
Patel Engg 370 565 Buy 3,191 3,693 4,297 16.0 28.4 30.8 32.7 7.3 9.2 8.5 8.0 2.5
Madhucon 143 173 Buy 1,388 1,737 2,164 24.9 6.2 7.3 9.1 21.6 10.6 9.0 7.2 2.6
L&T 2,081 - Neutral 37,035 44,047 55,519 22.4 47.4 54.9 68.7 20.4 33.7 29.1 23.3 2.8
ITNL 319 358 Accu. 2,403 3,480 6,071 59.0 17.7 21.8 25.9 20.8 18.0 14.6 12.3 6.7
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 12: SOTP break up
Company Core Const. Real Estate Road BOT Invst. In Subsidiaries Others Total
` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP `
CCCL 80 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80
Gammon India 121 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 46 225
HCC 26 41 29 46 8 13 0 0 0 0 63
IRB Infra 118 43 0 0 150 55 5 2 0 0 273
IVRCL 162 75 0 0 0 0 54 25 0 0 216
JP Assoc. 79 46 44 26 0 0 0 0 47 28 169
Punj Lloyd 156 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 156
NCC 138 69 7 3 32 16 0 0 24 12 201
Sadbhav 862 51 0 0 840 49 0 0 0 0 1702
Simplex In. 573 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 573
Patel Engg 458 81 56 10 16 3 0 0 36 6 565
Madhucon 92 53 4 2 52 30 0 0 25 15 173
L&T 1542 76 0 0 0 0 482 24 0 0 2024
ITNL 159 44 0 0 151 42 0 0 48 13 358
Source: Company, Angel Research
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 9
Profit & Loss Statement (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Net Sales 3,578 4,274 6,148 10,355 14,475 18,643
% chg 7.6 19.4 43.8 68.4 39.8 28.8
Total Expenditure 2,538 2,888 4,084 7,465 10,687 13,493
Net Raw Materials 1,179 1,374 2,153 4,290 6,152 7,830
Other Mfg costs 580 575 843 1,497 2,176 2,746
Personnel 161 255 331 453 637 802
Other 618 683 757 1,225 1,834 2,216
EBITDA 1,040 1,386 2,064 2,891 3,788 5,150
% chg 33.2 48.9 40.1 31.0 36.0
(% of Net Sales) 29.1 32.4 33.6 27.9 26.2 27.6
Depreciation& Amortisation 163 203 309 456 641 773
EBIT 877 1,183 1,755 2,435 3,147 4,376
% chg 34.8 48.4 38.7 29.2 39.1
(% of Net Sales) 24.5 27.7 28.5 23.5 21.7 23.5
Interest & other Charges 257 339 504 1,056 1,272 1,878
Other Income - - - - - -
(% of PBT)
Share in profit of Associates - - - - - -
Recurring PBT 620 844 1,251 1,379 1,874 2,498
% chg 36.0 48.3 10.2 35.9 33.3
Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) - - - 719.5 513.2 -
PBT (reported) 620 844 1,251 2,098 2,388 2,498
Tax 205 234 354 390 716 750
(% of PBT) 33.1 27.7 28.3 18.6 30.0 30.0
PAT (reported) 415 610 897 1,708 1,671 1,749
PAT after MI (reported) 415 610 897 1,708 1,671 1,749
ADJ. PAT 415 610 897 989 1,158 1,749
% chg (45.7) 46.9 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0
(% of Net Sales) 11.6 14.3 14.6 9.5 8.0 9.4
Basic EPS (`) 3.8 5.2 6.4 4.7 5.4 8.2
Fully Diluted EPS (`) 2.0 2.9 4.2 4.7 5.4 8.2
% chg 46.9 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 10
Balance Sheet (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
SOURCES OF FUNDS
Equity Share Capital 219 234 280 425 425 425
Preference Capital - - - - - -
Reserves& Surplus 2,654 4,364 6,418 8,076 9,535 11,061
Shareholder’s Funds 2,873 4,598 6,698 8,501 9,960 11,486
Minority Interest - - - - - -
Total Loans 5,516 8,306 13,106 17,909 21,563 25,040
Deferred Tax Liability 499 571 720 956 956 956
Total Liabilities 8,889 13,475 20,524 27,366 32,479 37,482
APPLICATION OF FUNDS
Gross Block 4,202 5,166 8,619 12,847 15,260 17,183
Less: Acc. Depreciation 1,280 1,455 1,801 2,228 2,869 3,643
Net Block 2,922 3,712 6,818 10,619 12,391 13,540
Capital Work-in-Progress 2,228 4,219 5,082 3,892 4,160 4,373
Deferred Tax Asset 9.3 11.5 30.4 32.8 32.8 32.8
Investments 1,779 3,225 4,465 5,576 6,112 6,463
Current Assets
Cash 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262 3,482
Loans & Advances 1,099 2,222 3,308 3,995 7,527 9,694
Other 1,729 1,926 2,946 6,049 7,727 9,924
Current liabilities 2,308 3,655 5,037 5,853 7,733 10,028
Net Current Assets 1,950 2,308 4,126 7,245 9,783 13,071
Misc. Exp. not written off 0 0 1 1 1 1
Total Assets 8,888 13,475 20,524 27,366 32,479 37,482
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 11
Cash Flow Statement (Standalone)
Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Profit before tax 620 844 1,251 1,065 2,388 2,498
Depreciation 163 203 309 456 641 773
Change in Working Capital (294) (28) 1,709 2,725 3,330 2,069
Direct taxes paid 205 234 316 271 716 750
Cash Flow from Operations 872 841 (465) (1,474) (1,018) 453
Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets 1,890 2,955 3,324 3,077 2,681 2,136
Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 222 1,446 891 (214) 536 351
Cash Flow from Investing 2,112 4,401 4,215 2,863 3,217 2,487
Issue of Equity 99 1,250 426 87 0 -
Inc./(Dec.) in loans 1,296 2,790 4,379 4,803 3,655 3,477
Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 91 134 81 176 212 223
Others 304 (40) (1,049) 231 - -
Cash Flow from Financing 1,000 3,946 5,772 4,482 3,443 3,254
Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (240) 386 1,093 145 (792) 1,220
Opening Cash balances 1,670 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262
Closing Cash balances 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262 3,482
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 12
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
Valuation Ratio (x)
P/E (on FDEPS) 32.9 23.9 19.5 26.8 22.9 15.2
P/CEPS 23.6 17.9 14.5 12.2 11.5 10.5
P/BV 4.8 3.2 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3
Dividend yield (%) 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8
EV/Sales 8.5 7.7 6.0 4.0 3.2 2.6
EV/EBITDA 29.4 23.8 17.8 14.3 12.1 9.3
EV / Total Assets 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3
Per Share Data (`)
EPS (Basic) 3.8 5.2 6.4 4.7 5.4 8.2
EPS (fully diluted) 2.0 2.9 4.2 4.7 5.5 8.2
Cash EPS 5.3 6.9 8.6 10.2 10.9 11.9
DPS 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0
Book Value 26.2 39.2 47.8 40.0 46.8 54.0
DuPont Analysis
EBIT margin 24.5 27.7 28.5 23.5 21.7 23.5
Tax retention ratio 66.9 72.3 71.7 81.4 70.0 70.0
Asset turnover (x) 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6
ROIC (Post-tax) 7.9 8.9 8.6 9.5 8.1 9.5
Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 3.1 3.5 3.4 5.5 4.5 5.6
Leverage (x) 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9
Operating ROE 14.6 16.6 16.3 15.9 14.7 17.0
Returns (%)
ROCE (Pre-tax) 9.9 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.5 12.5
Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 16.8 18.7 17.6 14.8 13.5 15.7
ROE 14.4 16.3 15.9 13.0 12.5 16.3
Turnover ratios (x)
Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1
Inventory / Sales (days) 73 76 66 64 70 73
Receivables (days) 45 44 48 58 69 72
Payables (days) 255 338 353 239 206 214
W.cap cycle (ex-cash) (days) 68 43 51 95 148 168
Solvency ratios (x)
Net debt to equity 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9
Net debt to EBITDA 3.9 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.1 4.2
Interest Coverage 3.4 3.5 3.5 2.3 2.5 2.3
JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update
November 1, 2010 13
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
DISCLAIMER
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement Jaiprakash Associates
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

More Related Content

What's hot

Motherson Sumi Systems - Result Update
Motherson Sumi Systems - Result UpdateMotherson Sumi Systems - Result Update
Motherson Sumi Systems - Result UpdateAngel Broking
 
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010Angel Broking
 
Madras cements 2 qfy2011 251010
Madras cements 2 qfy2011   251010Madras cements 2 qfy2011   251010
Madras cements 2 qfy2011 251010Angel Broking
 
Pcb ru2 qfy2011-291010
Pcb  ru2 qfy2011-291010Pcb  ru2 qfy2011-291010
Pcb ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010Angel Broking
 
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010Angel Broking
 
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Angel Broking
 
ENIL 1QFY18
ENIL 1QFY18ENIL 1QFY18
ENIL 1QFY18
Mohit Jn
 
Zee 1QFY18
Zee 1QFY18Zee 1QFY18
Zee 1QFY18
Mohit Jn
 
Mastek 1QFY18
Mastek 1QFY18Mastek 1QFY18
Mastek 1QFY18
Mohit Jn
 
Mindtree 1QFY18
Mindtree 1QFY18Mindtree 1QFY18
Mindtree 1QFY18
Mohit Jn
 
Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18
Mohit Jn
 
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011Dena bank ru2 qfy2011
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011Angel Broking
 
Sun tv ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sun tv  ru2 qfy2011-291010Sun tv  ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sun tv ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 

What's hot (20)

Motherson Sumi Systems - Result Update
Motherson Sumi Systems - Result UpdateMotherson Sumi Systems - Result Update
Motherson Sumi Systems - Result Update
 
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Ongc ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010
Ceat ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010
Petronet lng 2 qfy2011ru-261010
 
Madras cements 2 qfy2011 251010
Madras cements 2 qfy2011   251010Madras cements 2 qfy2011   251010
Madras cements 2 qfy2011 251010
 
Pcb ru2 qfy2011-291010
Pcb  ru2 qfy2011-291010Pcb  ru2 qfy2011-291010
Pcb ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010
Acc ru3 qcy2010-211010
 
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010
Avents ru3 qcy2010-281010
 
ITW_Q306
ITW_Q306ITW_Q306
ITW_Q306
 
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
Bajaj electricals ru2 qfy2011-271010
 
ITW_Q405
ITW_Q405ITW_Q405
ITW_Q405
 
itw_q205
itw_q205itw_q205
itw_q205
 
ENIL 1QFY18
ENIL 1QFY18ENIL 1QFY18
ENIL 1QFY18
 
Zee 1QFY18
Zee 1QFY18Zee 1QFY18
Zee 1QFY18
 
ITW_041905
ITW_041905ITW_041905
ITW_041905
 
Mastek 1QFY18
Mastek 1QFY18Mastek 1QFY18
Mastek 1QFY18
 
Mindtree 1QFY18
Mindtree 1QFY18Mindtree 1QFY18
Mindtree 1QFY18
 
Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18Persistent 1QFY18
Persistent 1QFY18
 
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011Dena bank ru2 qfy2011
Dena bank ru2 qfy2011
 
Sun tv ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sun tv  ru2 qfy2011-291010Sun tv  ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sun tv ru2 qfy2011-291010
 

Viewers also liked

Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010
Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010
Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010Angel Broking
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook - August 31,2010
Market Outlook - August 31,2010Market Outlook - August 31,2010
Market Outlook - August 31,2010Angel Broking
 
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Angel Broking
 
Technical Report - September 13, 2010
Technical Report - September 13, 2010Technical Report - September 13, 2010
Technical Report - September 13, 2010Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Angel Broking
 
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510Angel Broking
 
Technical Report - July 21, 2010
Technical Report - July 21, 2010Technical Report - July 21, 2010
Technical Report - July 21, 2010Angel Broking
 
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510Angel Broking
 

Viewers also liked (20)

Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010
Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010
Indoco ru2 qfy2011-251010
 
Hindalco
Hindalco Hindalco
Hindalco
 
Infosys Result Updated
Infosys Result UpdatedInfosys Result Updated
Infosys Result Updated
 
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510Pratibha ind  Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
Pratibha ind Result Update 4 qfy2010-110510
 
Market Outlook - August 31,2010
Market Outlook - August 31,2010Market Outlook - August 31,2010
Market Outlook - August 31,2010
 
Ht media
Ht mediaHt media
Ht media
 
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510
Jk tyre ru4 qfy2010-260510
 
Weekly Review
Weekly ReviewWeekly Review
Weekly Review
 
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
Market Outlook - September 20, 2010
 
Weekly Report
Weekly ReportWeekly Report
Weekly Report
 
Gcpl Result Update
Gcpl Result UpdateGcpl Result Update
Gcpl Result Update
 
Wipro Result Update
Wipro Result UpdateWipro Result Update
Wipro Result Update
 
Technical Report - September 13, 2010
Technical Report - September 13, 2010Technical Report - September 13, 2010
Technical Report - September 13, 2010
 
Aditya Birla Nuvo
Aditya Birla Nuvo Aditya Birla Nuvo
Aditya Birla Nuvo
 
Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011Technical Report 15th July 2011
Technical Report 15th July 2011
 
Page Industries
Page IndustriesPage Industries
Page Industries
 
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
Axis%20 bank ru1qfy2012-220711
 
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510Cccl  ru4 qfy2010-100510
Cccl ru4 qfy2010-100510
 
Technical Report - July 21, 2010
Technical Report - July 21, 2010Technical Report - July 21, 2010
Technical Report - July 21, 2010
 
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510
Brcm result update 2 qsy2010 040510
 

Similar to JP Associates - Result Update

Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010
Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010
Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Angel Broking
 
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010Angel Broking
 
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Angel Broking
 
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010Angel Broking
 
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Angel Broking
 
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010Angel Broking
 
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Angel Broking
 
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010Angel Broking
 
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010Angel Broking
 
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdfFinancial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
RicohLease
 
Ultratech cement 2 qfy2011 result update- 261010
Ultratech cement  2 qfy2011 result update- 261010Ultratech cement  2 qfy2011 result update- 261010
Ultratech cement 2 qfy2011 result update- 261010Angel Broking
 
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdfINVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
Gina Davidovic - PMP, PgMP, RMP, PMI-ACP
 
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
Arzish Baaquie
 
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010Angel Broking
 
Hansson
HanssonHansson

Similar to JP Associates - Result Update (20)

Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010
Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010
Graphite india ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
Finolex cables ru2 qfy2011-251010
 
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
Hero honda ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010
Wipro ru2 qfy2011-251010
 
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
Sail ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010
Itc ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
Bayer india ru4qfy2010-020610
 
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010
Bosch 3 qcy2010ru-281010
 
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
Marico ru2 qfy2011-261010
 
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010
Hul ru2 qfy2011-251010
 
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
Sib ru2 qfy2011-221010
 
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010
Nmdc 2 qfy2011-291010
 
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010
M&m ru2 qfy2011-291010
 
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010
Fag bearing ru3 qcy2010-221010
 
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdfFinancial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
Financial_Highlights_FY20214Q.pdf
 
Ultratech cement 2 qfy2011 result update- 261010
Ultratech cement  2 qfy2011 result update- 261010Ultratech cement  2 qfy2011 result update- 261010
Ultratech cement 2 qfy2011 result update- 261010
 
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdfINVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
INVESTAURA_Business-Planning-Template.pdf
 
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
Interplex presentation results_q4_fy15
 
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010
Asian paints ru2 qfy2011-271010
 
Hansson
HanssonHansson
Hansson
 

More from Angel Broking

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Angel Broking
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsAngel Broking
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedAngel Broking
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Angel Broking
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Technical Report 13th July 2011
Technical Report 13th July 2011Technical Report 13th July 2011
Technical Report 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 
Market Outlook 13th July 2011
Market Outlook 13th July 2011Market Outlook 13th July 2011
Market Outlook 13th July 2011Angel Broking
 

More from Angel Broking (20)

Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612Market outlook 110612
Market outlook 110612
 
Electrosteel castings
Electrosteel castingsElectrosteel castings
Electrosteel castings
 
Persistent systems
Persistent systemsPersistent systems
Persistent systems
 
Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011Derivative report 19th July 2011
Derivative report 19th July 2011
 
Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011Market outlook 19th July 2011
Market outlook 19th July 2011
 
Telecom sector
Telecom sectorTelecom sector
Telecom sector
 
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011Weekly Report 18th July 2011
Weekly Report 18th July 2011
 
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011Derivative Report 18th July 2011
Derivative Report 18th July 2011
 
Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011Technical Report 18th July 2011
Technical Report 18th July 2011
 
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011Market Outlook 18th July 2011
Market Outlook 18th July 2011
 
South Indian Bank
 South Indian Bank South Indian Bank
South Indian Bank
 
Bajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result UpdatedBajaj auto Result Updated
Bajaj auto Result Updated
 
Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services Tata consultancy services
Tata consultancy services
 
Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01Fc4 e63c4d01
Fc4 e63c4d01
 
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
Derivatives Report 15th July 2011
 
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011Derivative Report 13th July 2011
Derivative Report 13th July 2011
 
Technical Report 13th July 2011
Technical Report 13th July 2011Technical Report 13th July 2011
Technical Report 13th July 2011
 
Market Outlook 13th July 2011
Market Outlook 13th July 2011Market Outlook 13th July 2011
Market Outlook 13th July 2011
 
E72 f1fc5d01
E72 f1fc5d01E72 f1fc5d01
E72 f1fc5d01
 
E72 f1fc5d01
E72 f1fc5d01E72 f1fc5d01
E72 f1fc5d01
 

Recently uploaded

Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdfChương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
va2132004
 
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
Amil baba
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC
 
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdfMERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
Sudarshan Dakuru
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
DOT TECH
 
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
DOT TECH
 
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securelyhow can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
DOT TECH
 
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont BraunWebinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
FinTech Belgium
 
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusLatino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
Danay Escanaverino
 
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit CardPoonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
nickysharmasucks
 
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
DOT TECH
 
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Quotidiano Piemontese
 
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in EthereumProposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
RasoulRamezanian1
 
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APPhow can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
DOT TECH
 
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
betoozp
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
DOT TECH
 
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
DOT TECH
 
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
Amil Baba Dawood bangali
 
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfUS Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
pchutichetpong
 
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
morearsh02
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdfChương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
Chương 6. Ancol - phenol - ether (1).pdf
 
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
NO1 Uk Rohani Baba In Karachi Bangali Baba Karachi Online Amil Baba WorldWide...
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
 
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdfMERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
MERCHANTBANKING-PDF complete picture.pdf
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
 
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
how to sell pi coins at high rate quickly.
 
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securelyhow can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
how can I sell/buy bulk pi coins securely
 
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont BraunWebinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
 
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino CaucusLatino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
Latino Buying Power - May 2024 Presentation for Latino Caucus
 
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit CardPoonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
Poonawalla Fincorp and IndusInd Bank Introduce New Co-Branded Credit Card
 
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
how to swap pi coins to foreign currency withdrawable.
 
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
 
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in EthereumProposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
Proposer Builder Separation Problem in Ethereum
 
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APPhow can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
how can I sell my pi coins for cash in a pi APP
 
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
一比一原版Birmingham毕业证伯明翰大学|学院毕业证成绩单如何办理
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
 
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.What website can I sell pi coins securely.
What website can I sell pi coins securely.
 
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
NO1 Uk Divorce problem uk all amil baba in karachi,lahore,pakistan talaq ka m...
 
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdfUS Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
US Economic Outlook - Being Decided - M Capital Group August 2021.pdf
 
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
655264371-checkpoint-science-past-papers-april-2023.pdf
 

JP Associates - Result Update

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1 Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) Net Sales 3,071 1,889 62.6 3,214 (4.5) Operating Profit 759.0 520.4 45.9 682.4 11.2 Net Profit 115.5 138.0 (16.3) 148.7 (22.3) Source: Company, Angel Research JP Associates (JAL) reported robust yoy top-line growth of 62.6% for 2QFY2011 driven by strong revenue growth in the construction (73%) and cement (43%) segments. JAL’s recurring earnings for the quarter de-grew 16.3% mainly on account of the plunge in margins and higher tax provision. We expect JAL to emerge as one of the fastest growing conglomerates in the cement, power and real estate space going ahead. Hence, we maintain a Buy on the stock. Top-line beats estimates; recurring earnings disappoint owing to margin pressure: JAL reported robust top-line growth of 62.6% yoy to `3,071cr (`1,889cr), significantly ahead of our estimates of 33.1% growth, aided by the strong 73% and 43% growth in construction and cement revenues, respectively. However, EBIT margins of the cement segment played spoil-sport and impacted overall OPMs, which came in at 24.7% as against our estimate of 27.2%. Interest and depreciation costs were in line with our estimates. Bottom-line de-grew 16.3% to `115.5cr (`138cr) mainly due to higher tax provision for the quarter (61%). Outlook and Valuation: We expect JAL to become one of the fastest growing conglomerates and post top-line and bottom-line CAGR of 33.9% and 31.5% respectively, over FY010-12. We have valued JAL’s cement business at 6.5x EV/EBITDA (`62.7/share) and construction division at FY2012E target EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.5x (`78.5/share). We have valued its power and real estate businesses on market cap basis (giving 20% holding company discount) contributing `81.8/share to our target price. The treasury shares (`11.1/share) have been valued at the current market price, whereas net debt is accounted for on a per share basis in our valuation at `65.1. We maintain a Buy on the stock with an SOTP target price of `169, implying an upside of 35% from current levels. Key Financials (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 6,148 10,355 14,475 18,643 % chg 43.8 68.4 39.8 28.8 Adj. Net Profit 897 989 1,158 1,749 % chg 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0 FDEPS (`) 4.2 4.7 5.4 8.2 EBITDA Margin (%) 33.6 27.9 26.2 27.6 P/E (x) 19.5 26.8 22.9 15.2 RoAE (%) 15.9 13.0 12.5 16.3 RoACE (%) 10.3 10.2 10.5 12.5 P/BV (x) 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3 EV/Sales (x) 6.0 4.0 3.2 2.6 EV/EBITDA (x) 17.8 14.3 12.1 9.3 Source: Company, Angel Research BUY CMP `125 Target Price `169 Investment Period 12 Months Stock Info Sector Bloomberg Code Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 45.9 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 16.2 FII / NRIs / OCBs 25.1 Indian Public / Others 12.7 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 12.6 32.1 3.2 JAL 5.2 (3.8) 6.7 2 20,356 6,118 JAIA.BO JPA@IN 26,495 1.63 168/108 1,783,440 Infrastructure Avg. Daily Volume Market Cap (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Shailesh Kanani 022-40403800 Ext:321 shailesh.kanani@angelbroking.com Nitin Arora 022-40403800 Ext:314 nitin.arora@angelbroking.com JP Associates Performance Highlights 2QFY2011 Result Update | Infrastructure November 1, 2010
  • 2. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 Performance (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg (yoy) Net Sales 3,071 1,889 62.6 3,214 (4.5) 6,286 4,006 56.9 Total Exp. 2,312 1,368 69.0 2,532 (8.7) 4,844 2,894 67.4 Op. Profit 759 520 45.9 682 11.2 1,441 1,112 29.6 OPM (%) 24.7 27.5 0.0 21.2 0.0 46 27.8 - Int. 323 259 25.0 328 (1.4) 651 481 35.5 Dep. 153 110 38.8 150 1.6 303 212 43.1 Non Op. Inc. 7 23 0.0 3 103.3 10 24 (57.6) Nonrecurring items - 732 (100.0) 367 (100.0) 367 997 - PBT 290 907 (68.1) 575 (49.6) 864 1,441 (40.0) Tax 174 37.0 371 59 196.4 233 79 193.9 Reported PAT 116 870 (86.7) 516 (77.6) 632 1,361 (53.6) PAT (%) 3.8 46.1 - 16.1 - 10.0 34.0 - Adj. PAT 116 138 (16.3) 149 (22.3) 264 364 (27.4) Adj.PAT (%) 3.8 7.3 - 4.6 - 4.2 9.1 - Adj. EPS (`) 0.5 0.6 (16.3) 0.7 (22.3) 1.2 1.7 (27.4) Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 Actual v/s Estimates (` cr) Estimates Actual Variation (%) Revenues 2,427.0 3,071.2 26.5 EBITDA Margin (%) 27.2 24.7 (248.6) PAT 118.0 115.5 (2.1) Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 3. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 3 Exhibit 3: Segmental performance (standalone) Y/E March (` cr) 2QFY11 2QFY10 % chg 1HFY11 1HFY10 % chg Segment Revenue Cement & Cement Products 1,208 845 43.0 2,650 1,793 47.8 Construction 1,571 908 73.0 3,008 1,959 53.6 Power 12 14 (15.5) 23 26 (9.4) Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course 37 29 30.6 74 62 19.3 Real Estate 323 88 265.5 689 184 275.4 Investment 4 24 0.0 7 24 0.0 Others 1 9 0.0 5 13 0.0 Unallocated 33 32 2.4 63 50 24.5 Less: Inter-Segmental Performance 115 37 212.7 227 82 178.3 Total Sales Income 3,075 1,913 60.8 6,293 4,029 56.2 Segment Results Cement & Cement Products 188 220 (14.5) 475 522 (9.1) Construction 328 180 82.6 433 363 19.2 Power 8 14 (41.4) 15 21 (28.1) Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course (2) (6) (73.1) (3) (3) (18.5) Real Estate 133 29 356.0 289 74 291.1 Investment 4 24 0.0 7 24 (69.1) Others 1 4 0.0 2 2 0.0 Exceptional item : Profit on Sale of Shares - 942 513 1,316 Total PBIT 661 1,406 (53.0) 1,730 2,318 (25.4) Less: Interest Expense 323 259 25.0 651 481 35.5 Less: Exceptional Item - 0.0 - 102 0.0 Less: Unallocable Expense 48 31 55.3 70 78 (11.0) PBT 290 1,117 (74.1) 1,010 1,658 (39.1) PBIT Margin (%) bp chg. bp chg. Cement & Cement Products 15.6 26.1 (1,048) 17.9 29.1 (1,119) Construction 20.9 19.8 110 14.4 18.5 (414) Power 66.1 95.4 (2,925) 64.7 81.5 (1,681) Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course (4.1) (19.7) 1,564 (3.7) (5.5) 173 Real Estate 41.2 33.0 817 41.9 40.2 169 Investment 100.0 100.0 - 100.0 100.0 - Others 62.4 42.7 31.0 16.9 Unallocated - 2,926.5 820.0 2,618.6 Capital Employed in Segment Cement & Cement Products 13,538 10,837 24.9 13,538 10,837 24.9 Construction 3,104 1,916 62.0 3,104 1,916 62.0 Power 854 253 237.4 854 253 237.4 Hotel/Hospitality and Golf Course 479 509 (5.9) 479 509 (5.9) Real Estate 2,188 806 171.6 2,188 806 171.6 Investment 5,652 4,770 18.5 5,652 4,770 18.5 Others 248 161 54.0 248 161 54.0 Unallocated 4,326 4,822 (10.3) 4,326 4,822 (10.3) Total 30,388 24,074 26.2 30,388 24,074 26.2 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 4. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 4 Segment-wise performance Cement division JAL’s cement division reported revenue growth of 43.0% yoy to `1,208cr (`845cr), 12.8% above our estimate of `1,071cr. The divisional EBIT margin came in at 15.6% (26.1%), which was mainly on account of higher input cost and decline in realisations. JAL currently has an installed cement capacity of ~24MTPA and 1HFY2011 dispatch volumes stood at ~7.3mtpa. We expect the company to achieve dispatch volumes of 14.6mtpa and top-line of `5,107cr for FY2011. This is assuming average realisation of `3,877/tonne (gross) for FY2011, which implies a 10% hike in the cement price in 2HFY2011 over 1HFY2011. For FY2012, we have factored in volume growth of 27% to 18.5mtpa and realisation of `4,071/tonne (gross) resulting in top-line of `6,803cr, a yoy jump of 33%. Construction division The construction division registered 73.0% yoy surge in revenues to `1,571cr (`908cr) as against our expectation of `1,100cr. Divisional EBIT margin came in at 20.9% (19.8%), which were in line with our estimates. We highlight that construction margins returned to normalised levels in 2QFY2011 after registering disappointing 7% margins in 1QFY2011. The construction division has posted volatile numbers over the last few quarters. For FY2011 and FY2012, we are penciling top-line of `7,815cr and `9,910cr, respectively. On the operating front, we are factoring in EBIT margin of 15.2% and 17.8% for FY2011 and FY2012, respectively. Real estate division The real estate division reported 265.5% yoy revenue growth to `323.cr (`88.4cr) in line with our expectation of `300.4cr. The divisional EBIT margin came in at 41.2% (33.0%), which were tad above our estimate of 40.1%. Exhibit 4: Quarterly revenue trend Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 5: Quarterly EBITDA trend Source: Company, Angel Research 38.3 48.3 62.9 63.0 58.4 113.8 60.5 70.2 62.6 - 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0 100.0 120.0 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Sales (Rs cr, LHS) Growth (yoy %, RHS) 34.0 25.8 37.0 25.9 28.5 23.6 25.5 21.2 24.7 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 35.0 40.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 EBITDA (Rs cr, LHS) EBITDAM (%, RHS)
  • 5. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 5 Bottom-line weighed down by higher tax provision JAL reported PBT of `290cr, which surpassed our estimates mainly on account of robust top-line growth during the quarter. However, recurring earnings for the quarter de-grew 16.3% mainly on account of the plunge in margins and higher tax provision at 60.1% and was in line with our estimates. Exhibit 6: Quarterly net profit trend Source: Company, Angel Research 17.1 12.6 18.5 26.0 47.7 3.6 7.3 16.1 3.8 - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 PAT (Rs cr, LHS) PATM (%, RHS)
  • 6. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 6 Outlook and Valuation We expect JAL to become one of the fastest growing conglomerates and post top- line and bottom-line CAGR of 33.9% and 31.5% respectively, over FY010-12. We have valued JAL’s cement business at 6.5x EV/EBITDA (`62.7/share) and construction division at FY2012E target EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.5x (`78.5/share). We have valued its power and real estate businesses on market cap basis (giving 20% holding company discount) contributing `81.8/share to our target price. The treasury shares (`11.1/share) have been valued at the current market price, whereas net debt is accounted for on a per share basis in our valuation at `65.1. We maintain a Buy on the stock with an SOTP Target Price of `169, implying an upside of 35% from current levels. Exhibit 7: SOTP Valuation Business Segment Methodology ` cr `/share % to Target Price Cement EV/EBIDTA (x) 6.5x EV/EBITDA 13,335 62.7 37.0 Construction EV/EBIDTA (x) 8.5x EV/EBITDA 16,698 78.5 46.3 Power Mcap of JPVL @ 20% holding company discount 7,964 37.5 22.1 Real Estate NAV/Mcap Jayppe InfraTech + Jaypee Greens 9,416 44.3 26.2 Hotels - 8x FY2012E Net Profit 148 0.7 0.4 Treasury Stock At CMP 2,366 11.1 6.6 Net Debt - Net Debt for Cement, Construction and Real Estate Business (13,904) (65.4) (38.6) Total 36,025 169.4 100.0 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 8: Key Assumptions FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Cement Capacity 7.0 9.0 14.7 19.1 24.9 29.3 Cement Production 6.7 6.8 7.6 10.5 16.7 21.2 Cement Sales 6.2 6.2 7.0 9.2 14.6 18.5 Realisations /Ton 3,316 3,602 3,634 4,308 3,877 4,071 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 9: Angel EPS forecast v/s consensus Angel Forecast Bloomberg Consensus Variation FY2011E 5.4 5.6 3.7 FY2012E 8.2 6.9 (16.5) Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 7. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 7 Investment Arguments On schedule cement capacity expansion instills confidence: JAL is on its way to become one of the leading players in the cement space following capacity expansion from 9.0mtpa in FY2008 to 29.3mtpa in FY2012E. The capacity expansion is on track and in line with management guidance. Cement contributed 44%, 35% and 38% to standalone top-line in FY2008, FY2009 and FY2010 respectively, and is expected to contribute 39.8% and 41.0% in FY2011 and FY2012, respectively. We believe that the cement capacity size that JAL proposes to set up would enable it to have substantial bargaining power, result in operating leverage benefits and catapult JAL into the league of cement majors. Exhibit 10: JAL's cement capacity vis-a-vis peers (mn/tonne) Source: Company, Angel Research Construction arm to log 33.2% CAGR over FY2010-12E: JAL is developing the 160km, 6-lane (extendable to 8 lanes) access controlled Yamuna expressway between Noida and Agra. The Yamuna Expressway (YE) project also involves real estate development to the tune of 530mn.sq.ft. The cost of YE is `9,739cr and has a concession period of 36 years. Financial closure of the YE is done with 69% of the TPC already put in (equity component of `1,250cr, IPO proceeds of `1,500cr and debt of `4,477cr). Moreover, Jaypee Infratech is in possession of 96.5% of the land required for construction of the highway, and work is on schedule. Thus, JAL’s strong execution track record backed by in-place funding and acquired land renders strong visibility to its construction arm. Diversified play: JAL is a unique play on the ongoing infrastructure theme with a bouquet of offerings in construction, cement, power and real-estate. Moreover, not only does the company have a diversified set of offerings, but also enjoys scale benefits in each of them. We believe that the company stands to benefit as the infrastructure theme pans out going ahead. 48.9 27 30.4 15.8 14.0 5.4 29.3 - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Grasim(Incl. Ultratech) Ambuja ACC IndiaCements MadrasCem JKLakshmiCem JPAssociates FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
  • 8. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 8 Exhibit 11: Recommendation Summary Company CMP TP Rating Top-line (` cr) EPS (`) *Adj. P/E OB/ FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E CAGR (%) FY10 FY11E FY12E Sales(x) CCCL 78 - Neutral 1,976 2,397 2,891 21.0 5.0 5.0 6.7 16.2 15.8 15.7 11.7 1.9 Gammon India 201 - Neutral 4,489 5,575 6,607 21.3 8.4 10.0 12.1 20.0 11.5 9.7 8.0 2.9 HCC 62 - Neutral 3,629 4,146 4,900 16.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 19.0 17.9 15.2 12.7 4.8 IRB Infra 259 - Neutral 1,705 2,675 3,672 46.8 11.6 13.0 15.7 16.4 8.4 7.5 6.2 - IVRCL 149 216 Buy 5,492 6,493 8,071 21.2 7.8 8.8 10.9 18.2 11.0 9.8 7.9 3.9 JP Assoc. 125 169 Buy 10,355 14,475 18,643 34.2 4.7 4.5 7.6 27.8 26.8 27.7 16.4 - Punj Lloyd 123 156 Buy 10,448 9,756 12,402 9.0 (10.9) 5.6 11.2 - - 21.9 10.9 2.4 NCC 152 201 Buy 4,778 5,738 6,588 17.4 7.8 8.6 9.8 12.1 14.5 13.2 11.6 3.4 Sadbhav 1,449 1,702 Buy 1,257 1,621 1,986 25.7 43.0 77.4 89.8 44.4 14.1 7.9 6.8 5.3 Simplex In. 480 573 Buy 4,564 5,460 6,543 19.7 25.6 33.0 40.9 26.4 18.8 14.5 11.7 2.5 Patel Engg 370 565 Buy 3,191 3,693 4,297 16.0 28.4 30.8 32.7 7.3 9.2 8.5 8.0 2.5 Madhucon 143 173 Buy 1,388 1,737 2,164 24.9 6.2 7.3 9.1 21.6 10.6 9.0 7.2 2.6 L&T 2,081 - Neutral 37,035 44,047 55,519 22.4 47.4 54.9 68.7 20.4 33.7 29.1 23.3 2.8 ITNL 319 358 Accu. 2,403 3,480 6,071 59.0 17.7 21.8 25.9 20.8 18.0 14.6 12.3 6.7 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 12: SOTP break up Company Core Const. Real Estate Road BOT Invst. In Subsidiaries Others Total ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` % to TP ` CCCL 80 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 80 Gammon India 121 54 0 0 0 0 0 0 104 46 225 HCC 26 41 29 46 8 13 0 0 0 0 63 IRB Infra 118 43 0 0 150 55 5 2 0 0 273 IVRCL 162 75 0 0 0 0 54 25 0 0 216 JP Assoc. 79 46 44 26 0 0 0 0 47 28 169 Punj Lloyd 156 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 156 NCC 138 69 7 3 32 16 0 0 24 12 201 Sadbhav 862 51 0 0 840 49 0 0 0 0 1702 Simplex In. 573 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 573 Patel Engg 458 81 56 10 16 3 0 0 36 6 565 Madhucon 92 53 4 2 52 30 0 0 25 15 173 L&T 1542 76 0 0 0 0 482 24 0 0 2024 ITNL 159 44 0 0 151 42 0 0 48 13 358 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 9. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 9 Profit & Loss Statement (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Net Sales 3,578 4,274 6,148 10,355 14,475 18,643 % chg 7.6 19.4 43.8 68.4 39.8 28.8 Total Expenditure 2,538 2,888 4,084 7,465 10,687 13,493 Net Raw Materials 1,179 1,374 2,153 4,290 6,152 7,830 Other Mfg costs 580 575 843 1,497 2,176 2,746 Personnel 161 255 331 453 637 802 Other 618 683 757 1,225 1,834 2,216 EBITDA 1,040 1,386 2,064 2,891 3,788 5,150 % chg 33.2 48.9 40.1 31.0 36.0 (% of Net Sales) 29.1 32.4 33.6 27.9 26.2 27.6 Depreciation& Amortisation 163 203 309 456 641 773 EBIT 877 1,183 1,755 2,435 3,147 4,376 % chg 34.8 48.4 38.7 29.2 39.1 (% of Net Sales) 24.5 27.7 28.5 23.5 21.7 23.5 Interest & other Charges 257 339 504 1,056 1,272 1,878 Other Income - - - - - - (% of PBT) Share in profit of Associates - - - - - - Recurring PBT 620 844 1,251 1,379 1,874 2,498 % chg 36.0 48.3 10.2 35.9 33.3 Extraordinary Expense/(Inc.) - - - 719.5 513.2 - PBT (reported) 620 844 1,251 2,098 2,388 2,498 Tax 205 234 354 390 716 750 (% of PBT) 33.1 27.7 28.3 18.6 30.0 30.0 PAT (reported) 415 610 897 1,708 1,671 1,749 PAT after MI (reported) 415 610 897 1,708 1,671 1,749 ADJ. PAT 415 610 897 989 1,158 1,749 % chg (45.7) 46.9 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0 (% of Net Sales) 11.6 14.3 14.6 9.5 8.0 9.4 Basic EPS (`) 3.8 5.2 6.4 4.7 5.4 8.2 Fully Diluted EPS (`) 2.0 2.9 4.2 4.7 5.4 8.2 % chg 46.9 47.1 10.2 17.1 51.0
  • 10. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 10 Balance Sheet (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 219 234 280 425 425 425 Preference Capital - - - - - - Reserves& Surplus 2,654 4,364 6,418 8,076 9,535 11,061 Shareholder’s Funds 2,873 4,598 6,698 8,501 9,960 11,486 Minority Interest - - - - - - Total Loans 5,516 8,306 13,106 17,909 21,563 25,040 Deferred Tax Liability 499 571 720 956 956 956 Total Liabilities 8,889 13,475 20,524 27,366 32,479 37,482 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 4,202 5,166 8,619 12,847 15,260 17,183 Less: Acc. Depreciation 1,280 1,455 1,801 2,228 2,869 3,643 Net Block 2,922 3,712 6,818 10,619 12,391 13,540 Capital Work-in-Progress 2,228 4,219 5,082 3,892 4,160 4,373 Deferred Tax Asset 9.3 11.5 30.4 32.8 32.8 32.8 Investments 1,779 3,225 4,465 5,576 6,112 6,463 Current Assets Cash 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262 3,482 Loans & Advances 1,099 2,222 3,308 3,995 7,527 9,694 Other 1,729 1,926 2,946 6,049 7,727 9,924 Current liabilities 2,308 3,655 5,037 5,853 7,733 10,028 Net Current Assets 1,950 2,308 4,126 7,245 9,783 13,071 Misc. Exp. not written off 0 0 1 1 1 1 Total Assets 8,888 13,475 20,524 27,366 32,479 37,482
  • 11. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 11 Cash Flow Statement (Standalone) Y/E March (` cr) FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Profit before tax 620 844 1,251 1,065 2,388 2,498 Depreciation 163 203 309 456 641 773 Change in Working Capital (294) (28) 1,709 2,725 3,330 2,069 Direct taxes paid 205 234 316 271 716 750 Cash Flow from Operations 872 841 (465) (1,474) (1,018) 453 Inc./ (Dec.) in Fixed Assets 1,890 2,955 3,324 3,077 2,681 2,136 Inc./ (Dec.) in Investments 222 1,446 891 (214) 536 351 Cash Flow from Investing 2,112 4,401 4,215 2,863 3,217 2,487 Issue of Equity 99 1,250 426 87 0 - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 1,296 2,790 4,379 4,803 3,655 3,477 Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 91 134 81 176 212 223 Others 304 (40) (1,049) 231 - - Cash Flow from Financing 1,000 3,946 5,772 4,482 3,443 3,254 Inc./(Dec.) in Cash (240) 386 1,093 145 (792) 1,220 Opening Cash balances 1,670 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262 Closing Cash balances 1,430 1,815 2,909 3,054 2,262 3,482
  • 12. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 12 Key Ratios Y/E March FY2007 FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E Valuation Ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 32.9 23.9 19.5 26.8 22.9 15.2 P/CEPS 23.6 17.9 14.5 12.2 11.5 10.5 P/BV 4.8 3.2 2.6 3.1 2.7 2.3 Dividend yield (%) 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 EV/Sales 8.5 7.7 6.0 4.0 3.2 2.6 EV/EBITDA 29.4 23.8 17.8 14.3 12.1 9.3 EV / Total Assets 3.4 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 Per Share Data (`) EPS (Basic) 3.8 5.2 6.4 4.7 5.4 8.2 EPS (fully diluted) 2.0 2.9 4.2 4.7 5.5 8.2 Cash EPS 5.3 6.9 8.6 10.2 10.9 11.9 DPS 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.0 Book Value 26.2 39.2 47.8 40.0 46.8 54.0 DuPont Analysis EBIT margin 24.5 27.7 28.5 23.5 21.7 23.5 Tax retention ratio 66.9 72.3 71.7 81.4 70.0 70.0 Asset turnover (x) 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 ROIC (Post-tax) 7.9 8.9 8.6 9.5 8.1 9.5 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) 3.1 3.5 3.4 5.5 4.5 5.6 Leverage (x) 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 Operating ROE 14.6 16.6 16.3 15.9 14.7 17.0 Returns (%) ROCE (Pre-tax) 9.9 10.6 10.3 10.2 10.5 12.5 Angel ROIC (Pre-tax) 16.8 18.7 17.6 14.8 13.5 15.7 ROE 14.4 16.3 15.9 13.0 12.5 16.3 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.1 Inventory / Sales (days) 73 76 66 64 70 73 Receivables (days) 45 44 48 58 69 72 Payables (days) 255 338 353 239 206 214 W.cap cycle (ex-cash) (days) 68 43 51 95 148 168 Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 Net debt to EBITDA 3.9 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.1 4.2 Interest Coverage 3.4 3.5 3.5 2.3 2.5 2.3
  • 13. JP Associates | 2QFY2011 Result Update November 1, 2010 13 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Jaiprakash Associates 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)