Mastek 1QFY18

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Anand Rathi Research India Equities
Technology
Company Update
India I Equities
Mohit Jain
Research Analyst
+9122 6626 6531
mohitjain@rathi.com
Shobit Singhal
Research Associate
+9122 6626 6511
shobitsinghal@rathi.com
Key financials (YE Mar) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Sales (` m) 10,126 5,253 5,609 7,537 8,213
Net profit (` m) 178 137 369 558 606
EPS (`) 7.6 5.6 15.2 22.4 24.4
Growth (%) -63.7 -26.1 172.7 47.5 8.6
PE (x) 46 60 22 15 14
PBV (x) 1 3 2 2 2
RoE (%) 3 3 11 15 15
RoCE (%) 4 4 13 17 18
Dividend yield (%) 1 1 1 1 1
Net debt/equity (x) 0 0 0 0 0
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
`
Rating: Hold
Target Price: `355
Share Price: `359
Key data MAST IN / MAST.BO
52-week high / low `364/ `109
Sensex / Nifty 31955/9900
3-m average volume $2.5m
Market cap `8bn/$130.7m
Shares outstanding 23m
Shareholding pattern (%) June'17 Mar'17 Dec'16
Promoters 48.7 49.2 49.4
- of which, Pledged - - -
Free float 51.3 50.8 50.6
- Foreign institutions 9.5 7.5 7.8
- Domestic institutions 8.5 8.3 4.9
- Public 33.3 35.1 37.9
20 July 2017
Mastek
Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Mastek reported another good quarter, with US$ revenue growth of
6.9%qoq (CC 5.3%qoq), +8%yoy (organic) and EBITDA margins of
12.1%. Mastek is exhibiting operational excellence but may have
limited scope to improve margins from here as it runs out of utilization
as a lever and 2Q being a wage hike quarter. We increase our estimates
but valuations have converged to peers, consequently downgrading the
stock to Hold. Our new target of `355 (earlier `325) values Mastek at
12x FY19 earnings (a 10% holdco discount to the Majesco stake).
Revenues growth was the biggest surprise. Mastek surprised on growth
with the UK region (69% of the company) growing at 10%qoq in US$ terms
(~6% in CC) while TAISTech (27% of the company) delivered 1.2%qoq
growth. Order book is healthy at US$53.4m, giving 45% visibility (highest in
last 2 years) to the next 12 month revenues est. Better revenues and timing of
hiring benefitted margins with full cost of 7% increase in headcount to get
reflected in 2Q, along with wage hikes. SG&A rationalization is also complete
and hence, our expectations of steady margins in FY18.
Expect higher capex on refresh of facilities; M&A payouts. Mastek may
spend ~`561m in FY18 on capex and TAIS Tech related earn-outs. The
company is also open to tuck in acquisitions and may need to expand capacity
in some of the regions. Consequently, FCF may remain on the weaker side in
FY18. Receivable days slipped to 86 in Q1FY18 but management is confident
of pulling it back by 4-5 days in 2Q.
Performance and Valuations converging to peers, prefer to wait for
better entry point. We have increased our FY19 revenue and earnings
estimates to factor in solid execution for last few quarters, and new exchange
rate of Rs64.5/US$. We believe that bulks of the positives are factored in the
price, leaving little upside from current levels. Hence, we downgrade to hold
with revised target price of `355 (earlier `325) at 12x FY19E EPS. Risk:
Sharp rupee appreciation.
Relative price performance
Source: Bloomberg
MAST
Sensex
100
150
200
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300
350
400
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
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Jul-17
Estimates revision (%) FY18e FY19e
Sales($) 1.9 2.9
EBITDA (5.6) 2.1
PAT (1.9) 3.2
Change in Estimates  Target  Reco 
This note is not edited due to timeliness

2. 20 July 2017 Mastek – Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Anand Rathi Research 2
Quick Glance – Financials and Valuations
Fig 1 – Income statement (`m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Net revenues 10,126 5,253 5,609 7,537 8,213
Revenue growth (%) 10 -48 7 34 9
- Oper. expenses 9,561 4,961 5,085 6,662 7,204
EBIDTA 566 292 524 874 1,009
EBITDA margins (%) 6 6 9 12 12
- Interest 15 5 26 55 40
- Depreciation 373 161 129 209 244
+ Other income 46 38 68 103 75
- Tax 45 28 68 154 193
Effective tax rate (%) 20 17 16 22 24
+ Associates/(minorities) - - - - -
Adjusted PAT 178 137 369 558 606
+ Extraordinary items - - - - -
Reported PAT 178 137 369 558 606
Adj. FDEPS (`/sh) 7.6 5.6 15.2 22.4 24.4
Adj. FDEPS growth (%) -63.7 -26.1 172.7 47.5 8.6
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 3 – Cash-flow statement (`m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Adjusted PAT 178 137 369 558 606
+ Non-cash items 373 161 129 209 244
Cash profit 552 298 498 767 850
- Incr./(decr.) in WC -7 -35 166 335 194
Operating cash-flow 558 333 332 433 656
- Capex 564 -1,983 794 561 572
Free cash-flow -5 2,315 -462 -128 84
- Dividend 107 71 103 115 125
+ Equity raised 285 -2,831 26 0 -
+ Debt raised 257 -193 672 316 -500
- Investments -303 -37 541 -199 -405
- Misc. items - - - - -
Net cash-flow 733 -743 -407 271 -136
+ Op. cash & bank bal. 897 1,630 887 480 751
Cl. Cash & bank bal. 1,630 887 480 751 615
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 5 – Price movement
Source: Bloomberg
Fig 2 – Balance sheet (`m)
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
Share capital 113 115 117 117 117
Reserves & surplus 5,846 3,078 3,369 3,812 4,293
Net worth 5,959 3,193 3,486 3,929 4,410
Total debt 288 2 652 968 468
Minority interest - - - - -
Def. tax liab. (net) -238 -144 -123 -123 -123
Capital employed 6,009 3,051 4,016 4,775 4,756
Net fixed assets 671 437 435 352 245
Intangible assets 2,130 222 889 1,324 1,759
Investments 536 499 1,041 842 437
- of which, Liquid 512 311 1,013 813 407
Working capital 1,040 1,006 1,172 1,506 1,701
Cash 1,630 887 480 751 615
Capital deployed 6,009 3,051 4,016 4,775 4,756
Working capital (days) 38 70 76 73 76
Book value (`/sh) 260.3 139.5 152.3 171.6 192.6
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 4 – Ratio analysis@ `359
Year-end: Mar FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18e FY19e
P/E (x) 46.1 59.8 22.3 14.7 13.6
Cash P/E (x) 14.9 27.6 16.5 10.7 9.7
EV/EBITDA (x) 12.1 25.6 15.0 9.3 8.1
EV/sales (x) 0.7 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.0
P/B (x) 1.4 2.6 2.4 2.1 1.9
RoE (%) 3.1 3.0 11.1 15.0 14.5
RoCE (%) 4.2 3.8 13.1 17.5 17.6
Dividend yield (%) 1.1 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3
Dividend payout (%) 60.0 52.0 27.8 20.6 20.6
Net debt/equity (x) -0.3 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1
Debtor (days) 72 89 87 82 82
Inventory (days) - - - - -
Payables (days) 18 19 25 18 20
CFO:PAT% 300.7 229.2 120.7 58.8 95.8
CFO:Sales% 5.3 6.0 7.9 4.4 7.1
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research
Fig 6 – Order backlog
Source: Company
0
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Jul-12
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(`)
MAST 32.4 32.9 33.6
49.7
53.4
0
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1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
($m)

3. 20 July 2017 Mastek – Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Anand Rathi Research 3
Result Highlights
Q1FY18 Results at a Glance
Fig 8 – Quarterly result
Year-end: Mar Q1FY18 % qoq % yoy FY17 FY16 % yoy
Sales ($ m) 29 6.9 48.5 84 80 4.2
Sales (`m) 1,856 2.9 43.2 5,609 5,253 6.8
EBITDA (`m) 224 2.4 229.7 524 292 79.3
EBITDA margin (%) 12.1 -6 bps 683 bps 9.3 5.6 378 bps
EBIT (`m) 173 (7.2) 365.3 395 132 200.0
EBIT margin (%) 9.3 -102 bps 646 bps 7.0 2.5 454 bps
PBT (`m) 184 19.9 138.9 437 165 165.3
Tax (`m) (37) 325.2 (9.7) (68) (28) 148.8
Tax rate (%) (20.2) -1450 bps 3325 bps (15.6) (16.7) 104 bps
Net Income (`m) 147 1.4 309.6 369 137 168.6
Source: Company
Fig 7 – Segment-wise results
Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18 QoQ % YoY%
Revenues ($ m) 19 19 19 27 29 6.9% 48.5%
Growth YoY % -7% -7% -11% 47% 48%
Volume growth %
Revenues (` m) 1,296 1,252 1,258 1,804 1,856 2.9% 43.2%
Eff. exchange rate 66.9 66.9 67.5 67.0 64.5 -3.8% -3.6%
Employees (EoP) 1,302 1,317 1,300 1,577 1,684 6.8% 29.3%
Revenue Productivity ($ ‘000/employee) 14.9 14.4 14.1 20.7 18.2 -11.9% 22.2%
Gross Utilization (IT services) 80.2% 81.5% 82.4% 87.3% 85.9% -139 bps 569 bps
Attrition
CoR (excluding D&A) (1,021) (996) (1,003) (1,476) (1,482) 0.4% 45.2%
As % of Revenues -79% -80% -80% -82% -80% 195 bps -114 bps
SG&A (208) (151) (122) (109) (149) 37.1% -28.0%
As % of Revenues -16% -12% -10% -6% -8% -201 bps 797 bps
EBITDA 68 105 132 219 224 2.4% 229.7%
EBITDA margins % 5% 8% 11% 12% 12% -6 bps 683 bps
EBIT 37 71 100 187 173 -7.2% 365.3%
EBIT margins % 3% 6% 8% 10% 9% -102 bps 646 bps
Other Income 9 14 18 18 14 -21.7% 57.6%
Forex gain/loss 31 19 5 (45) 10 -123.5% -66.4%
Interest expense (0) (0) (18) (7) (14) 106.8% 3364.3%
PBT 77 103 104 153 184 19.9% 138.9%
PBT margins % 6% 8% 8% 8% 10% 141 bps 397 bps
Taxes (41) (27) 8 (9) (37) 325.2% -9.7%
ETR % -53% -26% 8% -6% -20% -1450 bps 3325 bps
PAT 36 76 112 145 147 1.4% 309.6%
PAT Margin % 3% 6% 9% 8% 8% -11 bps 514 bps
Source: Company, Anand Rathi Research, notes: Q1FY18 no’s are based on INDAS, whereas Q4FY17 and before no’s are based on IGAAP

4. 20 July 2017 Mastek – Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Anand Rathi Research 4
Conference Call Takeaways
Company
 Implementing vision 2020-Targeting to be the leader in digital
transformation
 Company continues to invest in digital space and endeavour to
maintain the momentum in coming quarters as well.
 Fully invested with respect to cost structure and expect returns in next
3-5 quarters.
 India business revenue is very miniscule for the company (contributed
~`63m in Q1FY18) and limited to only profitable segment.
 Receivables days were higher in this quarter at 86 days mainly because
of timings and have already reverted back to normal levels.
 Wage hike will happen in 2 phases, 1st phase from 1st July, 2017 has
been already done and will see impact in Q2FY18 margins. 2nd phase
will start from October onwards for senior management and have
impact on Q3FY18 margins.
 Capex guidance for FY18- Investment in innovation and expansion
apart from normal capex on refresh and up gradation.
 TAIS Tech rate of growth is very healthy in digital transformation
space. Current order book includes TAIS Tech orders as well.
Notes from the last two quarter conference calls
From Q4FY17
 Organic growth can be maintained in FY18 as the two businesses have
a strong customer base in their regions. Mastek (excl. TAIS Tech) has a
very high repeat customer base and business, which can be leveraged
for growth.
From Q3FY17
 New CEO John Cowen (UK-based) believes that growth can come
from all verticals and regions, given Mastek’s size and penetration.
There are no further step costs expected and management sees scope
for further margin expansion

5. 20 July 2017 Mastek – Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Anand Rathi Research 5
Factsheet
Fig 9 – Revenue by geography
(%) Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18
North America 0 0 3 29 27
Continental Europe 95 92 91 68 69
India 5 8 6 4 3
APAC (RotW) 0 0 0 0 0
Source: Company
Fig 10 – Revenue by vertical
(%) Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18
BFSI 27 29 27 16 19
Government 48 43 48 36 35
IT & Others 14 14 7 9 9
Retail 12 15 19 39 38
Source: Company
Fig 11 – Client Concentration
(%) Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18
Top-5 Clients 53 52 53 38 41
Top-10 Clients 72 73 71 53 54
Source: Company
Fig 12 – Workforce
(%) Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18
Technical 1,074 1,075 1,078 1,336 1,423
Technical Support 89 102 98 94 107
Marketing 43 43 44 45 47
Support 96 97 106 102 107
Utilization % (gross) 80 82 82 87 86
12 m Order Backlog ($ m) 32.4 32.9 33.6 49.7 53.4
Active Clients 92 91 87 159 161
Revenue per Active Client ($ m) 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Source: Company

6. 20 July 2017 Mastek – Stellar quarter but valuation gap diminishing; Hold
Anand Rathi Research 6
Valuations
The stock trades at 12x FY19e EPS, adjusted for the value of
Mastek’s13.84% stake in the US-listed Majesco, at a 10% holdco discount.
We find this attractive, given the improvement in financial performance
over the last few quarters.
Mastek’s IT services division has suffered in the past, perhaps because of
the management’s twin focus on building the products and services
businesses. After the split, the company has focused on growing the IT
services business, though business concentration in terms of UK and the
Government business were key concerns. These got offset with the TAIS
acquisition; therefore, performance and consistency are expected to
improve in FY18 and beyond.
In Q1FY18, Mastek continued to raise its profitability and is now at 12.1%
margins (much ahead of KPIT, not too far from Mindtree at 11.1% for
1QFY18).
We value the core business at 12x FY19e EPS (compared to 10.5x earlier,
reflecting consistency in performance, improvement in profitability, and
less dependence on one region. We value Mastek’s investment in Majesco
at a 10% discount (from 15% earlier) to derive our target price of `355 (of
which `61 come from the Majesco stake).
Fig 13 – Change in estimates
FY18 FY19
New Old Chg % New Old Chg %
Revenues ($m) 117 115 1.9 127 124 2.9
Revenues (`m) 7,537 7,685 (1.9) 8,213 8,292 (0.9)
EBITDA (`m) 874 926 (5.6) 1,009 989 2.1
EBITDA Margin % 11.6% 12.1% -45 bps 12.3% 11.9% 36 bps
EBIT (`m) 665 791 (16.0) 765 831 (8.0)
EBIT Margin % 8.8% 10.3% -147 bps 9.3% 10.0% -71 bps
PBT 712 837 (14.9) 799 864 (7.4)
Net profit 558 569 (1.9) 606 587 3.2
Source: Anand Rathi Research
Fig 14 – PE band
Source: Bloomberg, Anand Rathi Research
Risks
 Sharp rupee appreciation.
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PERatio(1yearforward)

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Important Disclosures on subject companies
Rating and Target Price History (as of 19 July 2017)
Date Rating
TP
(`)
Share
Price (`)
1 30-Dec-14 Buy 170 135
2 20-Apr-16 Hold 170 148
3 15-Jul-16 Hold 160 140
4 19-Oct-16 Hold 170 149
5 19-Dec-16 Buy 220 176
6 17-Jan-17 Buy 235 192
7 25-Apr-17 Buy 325 282
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in the Ratings Table below:
Ratings Guide (12 months)
Buy Hold Sell
Large Caps (>US$1bn) >15% 5-15% <5%
Mid/Small Caps (<US$1bn) >25% 5-25% <5%
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Mastek
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foregoing provisions.
1. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial owners of the securities mentioned in this report.
2. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not managed or co-managed a public offering of the securities mentioned in the report in the past 12 months.
3. ARSSBL or its affiliates may have or not received compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities in the past 12 months and do not expect
to receive compensation for investment banking services from the issuer of these securities within the next three months.
4. However, one or more of ARSSBL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those
securities or options thereon, either on their own account or on behalf of their clients.
5. As of the publication of this report, ARSSBL does not make a market in the subject securities.
6. ARSSBL or its Affiliates may or may not, to the extent permitted by law, act upon or use the above material or the conclusions stated above, or the research or analysis on
which they are based before the material is published to recipients and from time to time, provide investment banking, investment management or other services for or solicit
to seek to obtain investment banking, or other securities business from, any entity referred to in this report.
Enclave Capital LLC is distributing this document in the United States of America. ARSSBL accepts responsibility for its contents. Any US customer wishing to effect
transactions in any securities referred to herein or options thereon should do so only by contacting a representative of Enclave Capital LLC.
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Additional information on recommended securities/instruments is available on request.
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