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Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 1
Introduction to
Biostatistics
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 2
Statistician’s Image
 Dull, dry, humorless
 Speaks in technical jargon that no
one understands
 Wears thick glasses and carries a
calculator in the pocket
 Inflexible (… always says “You can’t
do that!”)
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 3
“A statistician is a person that is good
with numbers but that lacks the
personality to become an
accountant.”
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 4
The opposite sex ignores us because
we are boring.
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 5
“Bio-Sadistics”
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 6
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 7
Challenges
 Statistical ideas can be difficult and
intimidating
 Thus:
 statistical results are often “skipped-
over” when reading scientific literature
 Data is often mis-interpreted
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 8
Data
 Pieces of information,may be
primary and secondary
 Medical research involves collection
of data
 Data collected have to be
organized,analysed & interpreted to
convert it into information
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
VARIABLES
‘Variables are characteristics
associated with the subjects.
Height,weight,gender,BP,and
occupation are all variables”
Handling & interpretation of data
involves many variables.
Variable are so called because they
tend to vary between subjects.
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 9
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
 Scales of Measurement
 Nominal – unordered categories
 Ordinal – ordered categories
 Discrete – only whole numbers are
possible, order and magnitude matters
 Continuous – any value is conceivable
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 10
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 11
Statistics
 The science of collecting,
monitoring, analyzing, summarizing,
and interpreting data.
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 12
The Big Picture
Populations and Samples
Sample / Statistics
x, s, s2
Population
Parameters
μ, σ, σ2
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 13
Populations and Parameters
 Population – a group of individuals that we
would like to know something about
 Parameter - a characteristic of the
population in which we have a particular
interest
 Often denoted with Greek letters (μ, σ, ρ)
 Examples:
 The proportion of the population that would respond
to a certain drug
 The association between a risk factor and a disease
in a population
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 14
Samples and Statistics
 Sample – a subset of a population
(hopefully representative)
 Statistic – a characteristic of the
sample
 Examples:
 The observed proportion of the sample that
responds to treatment
 The observed association between a risk
factor and a disease in this sample
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 15
Populations and Samples
 Studying populations is too expensive and
time-consuming, and thus impractical
 If a sample is representative of the
population, then by observing the sample
we can learn something about the
population
 And thus by looking at the characteristics of
the sample (statistics), we may learn
something about the characteristics of the
population (parameters).
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 16
Statistical Analyses
 Descriptive Statistics
 Describe the sample
 Inference
 Make inferences about the population
using what is observed in the sample
 Primarily performed in two ways:
 Hypothesis testing
 Estimation
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 17
Issues
 Samples are random
 If we had chosen a different sample,
then we would obtain different
statistics (sampling variation or random
variation)
 However, note that we are trying to
estimate the same (unchanged) population
parameters.
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 18
Step I – Descriptive Statistics
Describe the Sample
Begin one variable at a time.
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 19
Nominal Data
unordered categories i.e with no natural
ranking order. Can be given numerical
codes
Examples
 Sex (male, female)
 Race/ethnicity (white, black, asian etc.)
Can summarize in:
 Tables – using counts and percentages
 Bar Chart
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 20
Nominal Data
 Example Table
 Insert accrual_site_treatment
 Bar Graphs
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 21
Ordinal Data
 Ordered Categories
 Examples
 Injury – mild, moderate, severe
 Income – low, medium, high
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 22
Discrete Data
 If there are many different discrete
values, then discrete data is often
treated as continuous.
 If there are very few discrete values,
then discrete data is often treated
as ordinal
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 23
Continuous Data
 Any value on the continuum is
possible (even fractions or decimals)
 Examples:
 Height
 Weight
 Many “discrete” variables are often
treated as continuous
 Examples: CD4 count, viral load
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 24
Survival Data
 Time to an event (continuous variable)
 The event does not have to be survival
 Concept of “Censoring”
 If we follow a person until the event, then the survival
time is clear.
 If we follow someone for a length of time but the event
does not occur, the the time is censored (but we still
have partial information; namely that the event did not
occur during the follow up period).
 Examples: time to response, time to relapse,
time to death
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 25
Dataset Structure
 Think of data as a rectangular
matrix of rows and columns.
 Rows represent the “experimental
unit” (e.g., person)
 Columns represent “variables”
measured on the experimental unit
 Insert dataset_example
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 26
Data Summaries
 It is ALWAYS a good idea to
summarize your data
 You become familiar with the data and
the characteristics of the people that
you are studying
 You can also identify problems with
data collection or errors in the data
(data management issues).
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 27
Visual Data Summaries
 Some visual ways to summarize data
(one variable at a time):
 Tables
 Graphs
 Bar charts
 Histograms
 Box plots
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 28
Frequency Tables
 Summarizes a variable with counts
and percentages
 The variable is categorical
 Note that you can take a continuous
variable and create categories with it
 How do you create categories for a
continuous variable?
 Choose cutoffs that are biologically meaningful
 Natural breaks in the data
 Precedent from prior research
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 29
Example: Serum Cholesterol Levels
 Insert Cholesterol_Example
 How to choose the categories?
 Talk to physician about risk categories
 May look at National Cholesterol
Education Program (NCEP) guidelines
and categories
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 30
Graphical Summaries
 Histograms
 Continuous or ordinal data on horizontal
axis
 Bar Graphs
 Nominal data
 No order to horizontal axis
 Box Plots
 Continuous data
Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School
© Scott Evans, Ph.D. 31
More Examples
 Insert accrual_by_month
 Insert More_Examples

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Introduction to Biostatistics

  • 1. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 1 Introduction to Biostatistics
  • 2. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 2 Statistician’s Image  Dull, dry, humorless  Speaks in technical jargon that no one understands  Wears thick glasses and carries a calculator in the pocket  Inflexible (… always says “You can’t do that!”)
  • 3. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 3 “A statistician is a person that is good with numbers but that lacks the personality to become an accountant.”
  • 4. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 4 The opposite sex ignores us because we are boring.
  • 5. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 5 “Bio-Sadistics”
  • 6. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 6
  • 7. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 7 Challenges  Statistical ideas can be difficult and intimidating  Thus:  statistical results are often “skipped- over” when reading scientific literature  Data is often mis-interpreted
  • 8. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 8 Data  Pieces of information,may be primary and secondary  Medical research involves collection of data  Data collected have to be organized,analysed & interpreted to convert it into information
  • 9. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School VARIABLES ‘Variables are characteristics associated with the subjects. Height,weight,gender,BP,and occupation are all variables” Handling & interpretation of data involves many variables. Variable are so called because they tend to vary between subjects. © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 9
  • 10. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School  Scales of Measurement  Nominal – unordered categories  Ordinal – ordered categories  Discrete – only whole numbers are possible, order and magnitude matters  Continuous – any value is conceivable © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 10
  • 11. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 11 Statistics  The science of collecting, monitoring, analyzing, summarizing, and interpreting data.
  • 12. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 12 The Big Picture Populations and Samples Sample / Statistics x, s, s2 Population Parameters μ, σ, σ2
  • 13. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 13 Populations and Parameters  Population – a group of individuals that we would like to know something about  Parameter - a characteristic of the population in which we have a particular interest  Often denoted with Greek letters (μ, σ, ρ)  Examples:  The proportion of the population that would respond to a certain drug  The association between a risk factor and a disease in a population
  • 14. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 14 Samples and Statistics  Sample – a subset of a population (hopefully representative)  Statistic – a characteristic of the sample  Examples:  The observed proportion of the sample that responds to treatment  The observed association between a risk factor and a disease in this sample
  • 15. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 15 Populations and Samples  Studying populations is too expensive and time-consuming, and thus impractical  If a sample is representative of the population, then by observing the sample we can learn something about the population  And thus by looking at the characteristics of the sample (statistics), we may learn something about the characteristics of the population (parameters).
  • 16. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 16 Statistical Analyses  Descriptive Statistics  Describe the sample  Inference  Make inferences about the population using what is observed in the sample  Primarily performed in two ways:  Hypothesis testing  Estimation
  • 17. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 17 Issues  Samples are random  If we had chosen a different sample, then we would obtain different statistics (sampling variation or random variation)  However, note that we are trying to estimate the same (unchanged) population parameters.
  • 18. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 18 Step I – Descriptive Statistics Describe the Sample Begin one variable at a time.
  • 19. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 19 Nominal Data unordered categories i.e with no natural ranking order. Can be given numerical codes Examples  Sex (male, female)  Race/ethnicity (white, black, asian etc.) Can summarize in:  Tables – using counts and percentages  Bar Chart
  • 20. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 20 Nominal Data  Example Table  Insert accrual_site_treatment  Bar Graphs
  • 21. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 21 Ordinal Data  Ordered Categories  Examples  Injury – mild, moderate, severe  Income – low, medium, high
  • 22. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 22 Discrete Data  If there are many different discrete values, then discrete data is often treated as continuous.  If there are very few discrete values, then discrete data is often treated as ordinal
  • 23. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 23 Continuous Data  Any value on the continuum is possible (even fractions or decimals)  Examples:  Height  Weight  Many “discrete” variables are often treated as continuous  Examples: CD4 count, viral load
  • 24. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 24 Survival Data  Time to an event (continuous variable)  The event does not have to be survival  Concept of “Censoring”  If we follow a person until the event, then the survival time is clear.  If we follow someone for a length of time but the event does not occur, the the time is censored (but we still have partial information; namely that the event did not occur during the follow up period).  Examples: time to response, time to relapse, time to death
  • 25. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 25 Dataset Structure  Think of data as a rectangular matrix of rows and columns.  Rows represent the “experimental unit” (e.g., person)  Columns represent “variables” measured on the experimental unit  Insert dataset_example
  • 26. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 26 Data Summaries  It is ALWAYS a good idea to summarize your data  You become familiar with the data and the characteristics of the people that you are studying  You can also identify problems with data collection or errors in the data (data management issues).
  • 27. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 27 Visual Data Summaries  Some visual ways to summarize data (one variable at a time):  Tables  Graphs  Bar charts  Histograms  Box plots
  • 28. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 28 Frequency Tables  Summarizes a variable with counts and percentages  The variable is categorical  Note that you can take a continuous variable and create categories with it  How do you create categories for a continuous variable?  Choose cutoffs that are biologically meaningful  Natural breaks in the data  Precedent from prior research
  • 29. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 29 Example: Serum Cholesterol Levels  Insert Cholesterol_Example  How to choose the categories?  Talk to physician about risk categories  May look at National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) guidelines and categories
  • 30. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 30 Graphical Summaries  Histograms  Continuous or ordinal data on horizontal axis  Bar Graphs  Nominal data  No order to horizontal axis  Box Plots  Continuous data
  • 31. Introduction to Biostatistics, Harvard Extension School © Scott Evans, Ph.D. 31 More Examples  Insert accrual_by_month  Insert More_Examples