CCXG Forum, September 2020, Timur Guel

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1) Reaching net-zero emissions requires addressing emissions from existing long-lived energy infrastructure like coal power plants and heavy industries, which make up the majority of emissions in emerging Asia. 2) Technologies that are currently only at prototype or demonstration stage contribute nearly 35% of emissions reductions needed by 2070 to reach net-zero, and innovations not yet adopted contribute another 40%. 3) Rapidly commercializing new technologies could allow the world to reach net-zero by 2050, but lack of policy support could delay achieving net-zero emissions.

Environment

Page 1
Energy Technology Perspectives 2020
Dr. Timur Gül, Head Energy Technology Policy Division, IEA
CCXG virtual meeting, 16 September 2020

IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 2
Our existing energy infrastructure is too big to ignore
Reaching net-zero emissions requires tackling emissions from long-lived assets in power generation and heavy-
industries. In emerging Asia, 80% of existing coal power capacity was built in the past 20 years.
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Coal Power
Other Power
Cars
Other Industry
Chemicals
Cement
Steel
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Buildings
Rail
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2/3 wheelers
Buses
GtCO2/yr
Transport
Buildings
Other
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Industry
Rest of the world
Emerging Asia

IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 3
Net-zero emissions is not viable without a lot more innovation
Technologies at prototype or demonstration stage today contribute almost 35% of the emissions reductions to 2070;
a further 40% comes from technologies that are at early stages of adoption.
Global CO2 emissions reductions in the Sustainable Development Scenario, relative to baseline trends
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IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 4
Net-zero emissions is not viable without a lot more innovation
Rapidly commercialising today’s newest & most promising technologies would help save enough CO2 emissions to
reach net-zero by 2050. Lack of policy support could delay achieving net-zero emissions.
Global CO2 emissions reductions in the Sustainable Development Scenario, relative to baseline trends
- 35
- 30
- 25
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Faster Innovation Case
2050

IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 5
Bhadla solar complex, India
| Credit photo (Bhadla solar park): Climate Investment Funds, 2018
In operation:
Fukushima, Japan
2019
Net zero requires a major push to build clean energy infrastructure
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The largest
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Selected indicators to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 through technology
Northern-Lights CCS plant
| Credit (picture): Northern Lights project website, https://northernlightsccs.com/en/about
Reaching net-zero emissions by 2050 would require a rollout of clean energy technologies & enabling infrastructure
at unprecedented scale. Significant changes to consumer behaviour can moderate – but not eliminate – the needs.

IEA 2020. All rights reserved. Page 6| Credit photo (Bhadla solar park): Climate Investment Funds, 2018
2019
Net zero requires a major push to build clean energy infrastructure
Reaching net-zero emissions by 2050 would require a roll out of clean energy technologies & enabling infrastructure
at unprecedented scale. Significant changes to consumer behaviour can moderate – but not eliminate – the needs.
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2019 2019
The largest
solar park
every
2days
2050 Net-zero emissions by 20702050 2019Net-zero emissions by 20702050
Selected indicators to reach net-zero emissions by 2050 through technology
The largest
electrolyser
in operation
today
every
hour 1
Northern-Lights
project
every
week

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