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The Future of
Energy
Farida Ismayilova
About myself
Farida Ismayilova
Total >3 years experience as:
• Drilling Geohazards Specialist
• PPFG Specialist
Graduate of Azerbaijan State Oil and Industry University
Master’s & Bachelor’s degree in Petroleum Engineering
Notes:
Questions during the presentation
Agenda
✓Paris agreement
✓Renewables vs fossil fuels
✓Transformation of oil & gas business
• The Paris Agreement is a legally binding international treaty on
climate change.
• It was initially adopted by 196 parties in Paris -effective since
2016.
• Its goal is to limit global warming to well below 2, preferably to
1.5 degrees Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels.
• The aim is reducing greenhouse gas emissions as soon as
possible to achieve a climate neutral world by 2050.
Paris agreement
Terms you will frequently hear
'Net zero' refers to achieving an overall balance between emissions
produced and emissions taken out of the atmosphere.
'Dual challenge' refers to trying to meet increasing energy demand of
the world while reducing emissions of green house gases.
Companies committing to net zero
BP aims at net zero across BP’s operations on an absolute basis by 2050 or
sooner.
Schlumberger is next with a target to reduce emissions by 30% by 2035.
Baker Hughes remains on track to reduce its carbon equivalent emissions
50% by 2030 and to achieve net-zero carbon equivalent emissions by 2050
Halliburton will submit targets in 2021
ExxonMobil and Chevron declined to set long-term emissions reduction
targets, saying they are not useful in a global context. They have shorter-
term targets to reduce methane & flaring,
Energy business is changing
COST
ENERGY
produced
CO2
emission
COST
ENERGY
Before Becoming
Note: in the future additional cost/tax will be implemented for amount of emissions
Achieving goals
Optimizing operations & equipment
Selling high emission assets if necessary
Diversifying portfolio – becoming an energy company, not just oil & gas
Increasing investment in low emission business - renewables
Advantages of fossil fuels
High profit margins
High energy when burnt
Existing infrastructure
Cheaper energy
Raw material for processing
But the climate change, requirements and regulations will demand
a transition in business and skillset
Challenges on the way
Increasing energy consumption to meet
Low profit margins of renewables compared to lower cost
production from existing oil & gas infrastructure
Entering new business for established oil & gas companies
The Rapid Transition Scenario (Rapid) posits a
series of policy measures, led by a
significant increase in carbon prices.
The Net Zero Scenario (Net Zero) assumes
that the policy measures embodied in Rapid
are both added to and reinforced by
significant shifts in societal behavior and
preferences.
Renewable
energy
through
years
Exajoule =
1018 (one
quintillion) joules
76% of the world’s
renewable energy
consumption in 2019.
Leaders in renewable
energy consumption &
production
The biggest 5 renewables projects
Different energy sources
Let’s compare them in a board game format
Purchase Cost:
How much does it
cost up front to
build/purchase?
Annual Cost:
How much does it
cost each year to
run/operate?
CO2 emissions:
How much CO2
does it produce
each year?
Type:
What primary
energy resource
does it use?
Size:
How much
energy does it
produce?
What differences do you see in
cost, energy produced, CO2?
OIL 95
9
1.6
Problems with renewables 1
INTERMITTENCY
Wind power is only generated when it’s windy, solar power is only
generated when it’s sunny. This creates several fundamental issues.
SPACE & EFFICIENCY
They can be inefficient. That’s why we need huge solar farms and
hundreds of wind turbines and massive biocrop fields.
Problems with renewables 2
COST
The sun, the wind, and water currents are all free. But in reality, the
initial outlay can be huge, and the continued costs can be far more
than you might expect.
ENVIRONMENT & CLIMATE CHANGE
What is the carbon footprint of building a wind turbine, or
transporting biofuel, or disposing of a defunct solar panel? And
what is the impact on the local environment?
Interesting facts
• China is again the major
manufacturer for renewables – for
example solar panels.
• There is work going on in Singapore
to produce electricity from shadows!
• Exploiting the contrast between
bright spots and shade to create a
current that can power small
electronics.
• Can be used in overcrowded cities,
on skyscrapers and etc.
Energy from Hydrogen
ENERGY CARRIER
Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source and can deliver or store a
tremendous amount of energy.
Hydrogen can be used in fuel cells to generate electricity, or power and heat. Today,
hydrogen is most used in petroleum refining and fertilizer production, while
transportation and utilities are emerging markets.
USES FOR HYDROGEN
Hydrogen is a clean fuel that, when consumed in a fuel cell, produces only water,
electricity, and heat. Range of use —transportation, commercial, industrial,
residential, and portable.
Hydrogen and fuel cells can provide energy for use in diverse applications: systems
for storing and enabling renewable energy; portable power; auxiliary power for
trucks, aircraft, rail, and ships; specialty vehicles such as forklifts; and passenger and
freight vehicles including cars, trucks, and buses.
Hydrogen fuel cell
Hydrogen fuel cells
produce electricity by
combining hydrogen and oxygen
atoms.
The hydrogen reacts with oxygen
across an electrochemical cell similar
to that of a battery to
produce electricity, water, and small
amounts of heat.
Many different types of fuel cells are
available for a wide range of
applications.
Need for
Solar/Wind energy
Storage
needs gridding system to
store and distribute
Space
Onshore installations
require land
Cost
of equipment & energy
production is high
Solar/Wind energy challenges
Geophysics in determining where to put wind farms
Gas risk – no shallow gas below or near
Slope stability
Geotechnical properties
Similar to assessments prior to platform installation
Geoscience in offshore wind energy
Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage
Skills in oil & gas have a place in the future
Demand – a nearby business producing a lot of
greenhouse gasses that is ready to pay for injection
Government support – regulations, lower taxes to make
it profitable and attractive for investors
Finding a reservoir with a seal on top to inject – good
parameters, away from highly-populated areas for safety
Drilling wells to inject, predicting fluids behavior and
contacts through time
geoscience, drilling, completion, reservoir engineering
CCUS requirements
Oil and gas will continue to be the main source of profit for
companies (due to high profit margin) in upcoming 10-20 yrs.
Companies will invest higher portion of income to renewables
rather than exploration of new fields.
Oil & gas skills will still be in demand in projects like CCUS,
offshore wind farms & etc.
Early adopting skills and understanding of energy transition
can give you competitive advantage in the future.
Conclusions
Resources
Denmark Technical University –
• Wind energy
• Introduction to solar cells
• Organic Solar Cells - Theory and Practice
Follow energy news
Thank you!

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The Future of Energy

  • 2. About myself Farida Ismayilova Total >3 years experience as: • Drilling Geohazards Specialist • PPFG Specialist Graduate of Azerbaijan State Oil and Industry University Master’s & Bachelor’s degree in Petroleum Engineering Notes: Questions during the presentation
  • 3. Agenda ✓Paris agreement ✓Renewables vs fossil fuels ✓Transformation of oil & gas business
  • 4. • The Paris Agreement is a legally binding international treaty on climate change. • It was initially adopted by 196 parties in Paris -effective since 2016. • Its goal is to limit global warming to well below 2, preferably to 1.5 degrees Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels. • The aim is reducing greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible to achieve a climate neutral world by 2050. Paris agreement
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Terms you will frequently hear 'Net zero' refers to achieving an overall balance between emissions produced and emissions taken out of the atmosphere. 'Dual challenge' refers to trying to meet increasing energy demand of the world while reducing emissions of green house gases.
  • 8. Companies committing to net zero BP aims at net zero across BP’s operations on an absolute basis by 2050 or sooner. Schlumberger is next with a target to reduce emissions by 30% by 2035. Baker Hughes remains on track to reduce its carbon equivalent emissions 50% by 2030 and to achieve net-zero carbon equivalent emissions by 2050 Halliburton will submit targets in 2021 ExxonMobil and Chevron declined to set long-term emissions reduction targets, saying they are not useful in a global context. They have shorter- term targets to reduce methane & flaring,
  • 9. Energy business is changing COST ENERGY produced CO2 emission COST ENERGY Before Becoming Note: in the future additional cost/tax will be implemented for amount of emissions
  • 10. Achieving goals Optimizing operations & equipment Selling high emission assets if necessary Diversifying portfolio – becoming an energy company, not just oil & gas Increasing investment in low emission business - renewables
  • 11. Advantages of fossil fuels High profit margins High energy when burnt Existing infrastructure Cheaper energy Raw material for processing But the climate change, requirements and regulations will demand a transition in business and skillset
  • 12. Challenges on the way Increasing energy consumption to meet Low profit margins of renewables compared to lower cost production from existing oil & gas infrastructure Entering new business for established oil & gas companies
  • 13.
  • 14. The Rapid Transition Scenario (Rapid) posits a series of policy measures, led by a significant increase in carbon prices. The Net Zero Scenario (Net Zero) assumes that the policy measures embodied in Rapid are both added to and reinforced by significant shifts in societal behavior and preferences.
  • 16. 76% of the world’s renewable energy consumption in 2019. Leaders in renewable energy consumption & production
  • 17. The biggest 5 renewables projects
  • 18. Different energy sources Let’s compare them in a board game format Purchase Cost: How much does it cost up front to build/purchase? Annual Cost: How much does it cost each year to run/operate? CO2 emissions: How much CO2 does it produce each year? Type: What primary energy resource does it use? Size: How much energy does it produce?
  • 19. What differences do you see in cost, energy produced, CO2? OIL 95 9 1.6
  • 20. Problems with renewables 1 INTERMITTENCY Wind power is only generated when it’s windy, solar power is only generated when it’s sunny. This creates several fundamental issues. SPACE & EFFICIENCY They can be inefficient. That’s why we need huge solar farms and hundreds of wind turbines and massive biocrop fields.
  • 21. Problems with renewables 2 COST The sun, the wind, and water currents are all free. But in reality, the initial outlay can be huge, and the continued costs can be far more than you might expect. ENVIRONMENT & CLIMATE CHANGE What is the carbon footprint of building a wind turbine, or transporting biofuel, or disposing of a defunct solar panel? And what is the impact on the local environment?
  • 22. Interesting facts • China is again the major manufacturer for renewables – for example solar panels. • There is work going on in Singapore to produce electricity from shadows! • Exploiting the contrast between bright spots and shade to create a current that can power small electronics. • Can be used in overcrowded cities, on skyscrapers and etc.
  • 23. Energy from Hydrogen ENERGY CARRIER Hydrogen is an energy carrier, not an energy source and can deliver or store a tremendous amount of energy. Hydrogen can be used in fuel cells to generate electricity, or power and heat. Today, hydrogen is most used in petroleum refining and fertilizer production, while transportation and utilities are emerging markets. USES FOR HYDROGEN Hydrogen is a clean fuel that, when consumed in a fuel cell, produces only water, electricity, and heat. Range of use —transportation, commercial, industrial, residential, and portable. Hydrogen and fuel cells can provide energy for use in diverse applications: systems for storing and enabling renewable energy; portable power; auxiliary power for trucks, aircraft, rail, and ships; specialty vehicles such as forklifts; and passenger and freight vehicles including cars, trucks, and buses.
  • 24. Hydrogen fuel cell Hydrogen fuel cells produce electricity by combining hydrogen and oxygen atoms. The hydrogen reacts with oxygen across an electrochemical cell similar to that of a battery to produce electricity, water, and small amounts of heat. Many different types of fuel cells are available for a wide range of applications.
  • 26. Storage needs gridding system to store and distribute Space Onshore installations require land Cost of equipment & energy production is high Solar/Wind energy challenges
  • 27. Geophysics in determining where to put wind farms Gas risk – no shallow gas below or near Slope stability Geotechnical properties Similar to assessments prior to platform installation Geoscience in offshore wind energy
  • 29. Skills in oil & gas have a place in the future
  • 30. Demand – a nearby business producing a lot of greenhouse gasses that is ready to pay for injection Government support – regulations, lower taxes to make it profitable and attractive for investors Finding a reservoir with a seal on top to inject – good parameters, away from highly-populated areas for safety Drilling wells to inject, predicting fluids behavior and contacts through time geoscience, drilling, completion, reservoir engineering CCUS requirements
  • 31. Oil and gas will continue to be the main source of profit for companies (due to high profit margin) in upcoming 10-20 yrs. Companies will invest higher portion of income to renewables rather than exploration of new fields. Oil & gas skills will still be in demand in projects like CCUS, offshore wind farms & etc. Early adopting skills and understanding of energy transition can give you competitive advantage in the future. Conclusions
  • 32. Resources Denmark Technical University – • Wind energy • Introduction to solar cells • Organic Solar Cells - Theory and Practice Follow energy news