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Avian Influenza
Hossam Ghoneim, MD
Cairo University
OverviewOverview
• Organism
• Epidemiology
• Transmission
• Clinical Signs
• Diagnosis and Treatment
• Prevention and Control
• Economic impact
• Actions to take
The Organism
Influenza VirusInfluenza Virus
• Family Orthomyxoviridae
• Three main types
− Type A
§ Multiple species
− Type B
§ Humans
− Type C
§ Humans and swine
• 2 major antigenic glycoproteins:
− Haemagglutinin (HA) (H1-16)
− Neuraminidase (NA) (N1-9)
• Antigenic Drift
− Change of genetic material due to
lack of proof-reading during
replication
− Responsible for annual epidemic
• Antigenic Shift
− reassortment and merging of
genetic materials from different
influenza strains
− ànovel viral subtype, most human
lack immunity
− Responsible for pandemics
Single-strand RNA with 8 gene segment
Haemagglutinin Neuraminidase
The Influenza Virion
Influenza VirusInfluenza Virus
Influenza AInfluenza A
• Multiple species
− Humans
− Avian Influenza
• Most virulent group
• Classification by surface antigens
into subtypes
− Hemagglutinin (H or HA)
− Neuraminidase (N or NA)
H5N1 is of particular concernH5N1 is of particular concern
• Mutates rapidly
• Acquire genes from flu strains in
other species
• Highly pathogenic in humans
• Birds, if surviving the infection,
excrete the virus for 10 days, orally
and in feces
Influenza BInfluenza B
• Mostly humans
• Common
• Less severe than A
• Epidemics occur less often than A
• Human seasonal vaccine
− Two strains of type A
− One strain of type B
Influenza CInfluenza C
• Humans and swine
• Different pattern of surface proteins
• Rare
− Mild to no symptoms
• By age 15, most have antibodies
Human InfluenzaHuman Influenza
Ÿ Subtypes: A(H1 - H3), B
Ÿ Droplet transmission
Ÿ Typical Incubation period: 2–4 days,
with an average of 2 days
Ÿ Symptoms:
Ÿ Fever, headache, myalgia, running nose,
cough, sore throat. Usually subside in 2 –
7 days
Avian InfluenzaAvian Influenza
• Pathogenicity based on genetic
features and/or severity of disease
in poultry
− Low pathogenic AI (LPAI)
§ H1 to H15 subtypes
− Highly pathogenic AI (HPAI)
§ Some H5 or H7 subtypes
§ LPAI H5 or H7 subtypes can mutate
into HPAI
Epidemiology
Geographic DistributionGeographic Distribution
• Worldwide distribution
• Reservoir
− Free flying aquatic birds:
Ducks, geese, shorebirds,
gulls, terns, auks
• Recent outbreaks
− The Netherlands, Australia, Mexico,
U.S., SE Asia, Eurasia
• Altered avian ecosystems have created
new niche for AI viruses
Human diseases caused by purely avian influenza viruses
(without prior re-assortment with human virus)
Human diseases caused by purely avian influenza viruses
(without prior re-assortment with human virus)
H5N1- Cambodia; Thailand; Vietnam; Indonesia;
China
95 cases, 41 deaths
2005
H 7 disease in Canada2004
H5N1 – Azerbaijan; Cambodia; China; Djibouti;
Egypt; Indonesia; Irag; Thailand; Turkey; Vietnam
84 cases, 54 deaths
2006 till (20/06/2006)
H5N1 - Vietnam: 29 cases; 20 deaths
Thailand: 17 cases; 12 deaths
2004
H7N7 ( Holland) – 78 conjunctivitis, 7 with flu-like
illness, 4 other, 1 death
2003
H5N1: Fujian/ Hong Kong : 2 patients , 1 death2003
H9N2 ( Hong Kong ; Guangdong)1998, 1999 and 2003
H5N1 ( Hong Kong) : 18 patients ; 6 deaths1997:
sporadic conjunctivitis-H7N7Pre-1997
Emergence of
H5 InfluenzaH5 Influenza
The Species Barrier Broken!!
The species barrier that previously confined the H5N1 virus to
birds and water fouls had been breached and now it is able to
infect various species
The Species Barrier Broken!!
The species barrier that previously confined the H5N1 virus to
birds and water fouls had been breached and now it is able to
infect various species
Birds and Water FoulsBirds and Water Fouls::
(e.g. Ducks, geese)
Natural carrier of avian flu, can be
symptomatic or
asymptomatic
ChickenChicken
New to H5N1 virus
Invariable fatal when attacked
PigsPigs
Avian flu in pigs are particularly worrisome
as they possess bird flu and human flu
receptors. They act as a reservoir for
genetic reassortment for flu virus
HumanHuman
FelineFeline (Cats, Tigers and Leopards)
How can the species barrier be
broken?
How can the species barrier be
broken?
Method 1
H5N1 virion
Affect water fouls
& wild birds
Mutation
Affect domestic
poultry like chicken
Mutation
Affect several
mammalian
species include
felines, pigs,
and human
Human FluAvian Flu
Reassortment
It is important to remember that H1 & H3 viral subtypes are prevalent in pigs
Method 2
How can the species barrier be
broken?
How can the species barrier be
broken?
Transmission
Animal TransmissionAnimal Transmission
• Initial source of infection
− Other poultry, migratory
waterfowl, pet birds
• Spread by aerosol, shared
drinking water, fomites
• Virus in respiratory secretions
and feces
• Virus present in eggs but eggs
unlikely to survive and hatch
Human TransmissionHuman Transmission
• Previously considered non-pathogenic
for humans
• 1997, Hong Kong
− 18 humans infected, 6 died
− H5N1 virus linked to outbreak in live
bird market and area farms (droplet)
• 2003, the Netherlands
− 83 confirmed cases in humans, 1 death
− H7N7 strain
Human TransmissionHuman Transmission
• 2004-2005, SE Asia
− 118 cases, 61 deaths
§ Indonesia, Viet Nam, Thailand, Cambodia
− H5N1 strain
− Within the vicinity of poultry outbreaks
− Evidence for human-to-human
transmission
• Role of swine
− Proposed “mixing vessel”
Avian Influenza in
Birds
Clinical SignsClinical Signs
• Incubation period: 3-14 days
• Birds found dead
• Drop in egg production
• Neurological signs
• Depression, anorexia,
ruffled feathers
• Combs swollen, cyanotic
• Conjunctivitis and respiratory signs
Post Mortem LesionsPost Mortem Lesions
• Lesions may be absent with
sudden death
• Severe congestion of
the musculature
• Dehydration
• Subcutaneous
edema of head
and neck area
Post Mortem LesionsPost Mortem Lesions
• Nasal and oral cavity discharge
• Petechiae on serosal surfaces
• Kidneys severely congested
• Severe congestion of
the conjunctivae
SamplingSampling
• Before collecting or sending any
samples, the proper authorities
should be contacted
• Samples should only be sent under
secure conditions and to authorized
laboratories to prevent the spread of
the disease
DiagnosisDiagnosis
• Clinically indistinguishable from
virulent Newcastle Disease
• Suspect with:
− Sudden death
− Drop in egg production
− Facial edema, cyanotic combs
and wattles
− Petechial hemorrhages
• Virology and serology necessary for
definitive diagnoses
TreatmentTreatment
• No specific treatment
• Supportive care and antibiotics for
secondary infections
• Antivirals (amantadine) effective in
reducing mortality
− Not approved in
food animals
− Results in
resistant viruses
Avian Influenza
in Humans
Clinical Signs in HumansClinical Signs in Humans
• 1997: Hong Kong (H5N1)
− Fever, respiratory, vomiting,
diarrhea, pain
− Fatal cases: severe bilateral pneumonia,
liver dysfunction, renal failure,
septic shock
• 1979: MP AI in harbor seals (H7N7)
− Conjunctivitis in humans in contact
Clinical Signs in HumansClinical Signs in Humans
• 2003: Netherlands (H7N7)
− Conjunctivitis
− Mild influenza or respiratory symptoms
− Fatal case: acute respiratory distress
syndrome
• 2004-2005: S.E. Asia, EurAsia
Morbidity/MortalityMorbidity/Mortality
• Approaches 100%
in commercial
poultry flocks
• Deaths within 2
to 12 days after
first signs of illness
• Survivors in
poor condition
Public Health SignificancePublic Health Significance
• Risk is low
• Strains vary in ability to infect humans
• High occupational exposure may
increase risk
• 2003: 83 cases
− Human infections from non-compliance
with personal biosafety measures
− Weak evidence of human-to-human
transmission
Prevention and
Control
How is human infection prevented?How is human infection prevented?
• Vaccines are the primary preventative for
influenza. Currently there is no vaccine to
protect humans.
• Scientists need a sample of the new strain
before they can produce a vaccine against it.
• Every dose must be made in a hen’s egg (i.e.
requires billions of eggs).
• For the first several months of a pandemic,
there will be no effective vaccine.
Infection preventionInfection prevention
• There are measures to develop new
technologies for vaccine production… i.e.,
cell-based systems for production of
vaccines. (this will vastly improve the
speed, quality & quantity of vaccine production)
• Research studies to test a vaccine began
in April 2005. Human trials are ongoing.
VaccinationVaccination
• Drawbacks to vaccination
− Expensive
− No cross protection between
15 H subtypes
− Possible creation of reassortant virus
• Current human influenza vaccines have
no efficacy against avian influenza
• Inactivated H5 and recombinant
vaccine licensed in the U.S. for
emergency in HPAI outbreaks
Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions
• Hand hygiene (most important
thing anyone can do!)
• Covering your mouth when coughing.
• Spatial distancing: at least three feet
when in public crowed.
• Daily sanitizing commonly used surfaces
(phones, keyboards, machines, etc).
• Staying home if ill.
Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions
• Avoid contact of house birds or pets with
wild ones.
• Avoid dealing with live poultry or birds in
markets or for leisure
• Proper cooking & heating of eggs &
chicken (or any edible poultry)
• Care for avoiding contact with bird fecal
matter.
Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions
• Antiviral drugs
like Tamiflu and
Relenza can
possibly reduce
the severity of the
illness when
taken within 24
hours of getting
sick.
Recommended ActionsRecommended Actions
• Notification of Authorities
− Ministry of health & population
§105 any land line
− Ministry of agriculture
§08005553555 any land line
• Quarantine
Possibility of
Pandemic
What is
Pandemic
What is
Pandemic
Endemic
− stable pattern of occurrence of the disease.
Epidemic
− occurrence of the disease greatly in excess of the
expected rate.
Pandemic
− worldwide spread of a disease, outbreaks or
epidemics occurring in many countries & in most
regions of the world
PandemicPandemic
:
Health careHealth care system
rapidly overburdenedoverburdened
Social Disruption & PanicSocial Disruption & Panic
Pandemic
Progression of pandemicProgression of pandemic
Sporadic cases
No human-to-human
transmission
Sporadic cases
No human-to-human
transmission
Clusters of cases
Inefficient human-to-
human transmission
Clusters of cases
Inefficient human-to-
human transmission
On-going cluster
related transmission
Substantial pandemic
risk
On-going cluster
related transmission
Substantial pandemic
risk
PandemicPandemic
3 conditions before a
pandemic begins:
3 conditions before a
pandemic begins:
1. A new influenza subtype that has not
previously circulated in humans must emerge.
(Rare event) (occurred)
2. Must be capable of causing disease in
humans. (occurred)
3. Must be capable of being passed easily
among humans. (?)
Sustained human to human
transmission of the new
influenza strain will be the
“trigger” for the start of a
pandemic.
Sustained human to human
transmission of the new
influenza strain will be the
“trigger” for the start of a
pandemic.
To date, H5N1 has not spread beyond
one generation of close contacts.
Previous FLU PandemicsPrevious FLU Pandemics
>2 million excess
mortality
Human & Birds
H2N2
Asian Flu1957
1 million excess
mortality
Human & Birds
H3N2
Hong Kong Flu1968
40-50 million
death
Swine & Birds
H1N1
Spanish Flu
1918
ResultSourceSubtypeYear
An avian flu pandemic would
be especially dangerous due
to the lethal nature of the
present virus and the lack of
immunity among the world’s
population.
An avian flu pandemic would
be especially dangerous due
to the lethal nature of the
present virus and the lack of
immunity among the world’s
population.
Economic Impact
Economic ImpactEconomic Impact
• Direct losses:
− Depopulation and disposal
− High morbidity and mortality
− Quarantine and surveillance
• 1978-2003: Seasonal
outbreaks of LPAI in
Minnesota cost
growers $22 million
Economic ImpactEconomic Impact
• 1983: U.S. outbreak (H5N2)
− $65 million in losses
− Destruction of 17 million birds
− 30% increase in egg prices
• 1999-2000: Italy outbreak (H7N1)
− $100 million in compensation to farmers
− 18 million birds destroyed
− Indirect losses of $500 million
Economic ImpactEconomic Impact
• 1997: Hong Kong outbreak (H5N1)
− $13 million for depopulation
and indemnities
− 1.4 million birds
• 2001: Hong Kong
outbreak (H5N1)
− 1.2 million birds
− $3.8 million
Economic ImpactEconomic Impact
• 2003: European outbreak (H7N7)
− Over 33 million birds destroyed
− ¼ of Netherlands’ poultry stock
− Cost?
• 2003-2004: SE Asia (H5N1)
− 8 countries
− >100 million birds destroyed
− Cost?
• 2004-2005: SE Asia and Eurasia
− Spread to Eurasia by migratory birds
Additional
Resources
Internet ResourcesInternet Resources
• World Organization for Animal
Health (OIE)
− www.oie.int
• USAHA Foreign Animal Diseases –
“The Gray Book”
− www.vet.uga.edu/vpp/gray_book/index
• World Health Organization
− www.who.int
Additional ResourcesAdditional Resources
• CDC – Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention
− Avian influenza (bird flu) home page
§ www.cdc.gov/flu/avian
• U.S. Department of Agriculture
− Biosecurity for the birds
§ www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/birdbiosecurity
− Avian influenza
§ www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/birdbiosecurity/hpai
.html
Further InformationFurther Information
http://www.naccho.org/topics/emergency/index.cfm
http://www.doh.wa.gov/panflu/
http://www.redcross.org/services/disaster/
http://www.cdc.gov/flu/avian/gen-info/qa.htm
http://www.islandcounty.net/health/Index.htm
Take Home
Message
Basic InformationBasic Information
• December 2003 – August 2006, 241
human cases and 141 deaths caused
by the H5N1 strain.
Avian Influenza InformationAvian Influenza Information
• The H5N1 flu virus primarily attacks the lower
respiratory tract (the lungs) — quite unlike
seasonal flu that attacks the upper respiratory
tract (nose, sinuses and pharynx.)
• Characterized by high fever, headache, malaise,
cough and sore throat and difficulty breathing.
• Acute infection usually lasts about 2 weeks, but
may have significant residual long term effects…
not the flu as we know it!!
What are the symptoms?
AGAIN
What are the symptoms?
AGAIN
• Symptoms in humans have ranged from
typical flu-like (fever, cough, sore throat
and muscle aches) to red eye, pneumonia,
acute respiratory distress (SOB), viral
pneumonia and other severe and life-
threatening complications.
• Basic personal hygiene (Hand wash)
• Care of domestic birds & pets
• Avoid crowd
• Use mask when necessary (crowd & markets)
• Proper cooking (eggs & poultry)
• No effective vaccine yet
• Suspect if Cough, High fever, red eye, SOB and
history of contact
• Report immediately to authorities
• Tamiflu ASAP
Risk of PandemicRisk of Pandemic
• Given the heavy volume
of international travel in
the 21st century, it is likely
that a pandemic would
spread globally within
about 3 months.
Frequently Asked QuestionsFrequently Asked Questions
• Should I stock up on Tamiflu?
• Are masks useful?
• Who will keep us notified about
conditions in our communities?
• Should I eat poultry & eggs?
• How do I buy poultry products?
• Is there really a risk of pandemic?
What is my role?
Thank YouThank You

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Avian influenza

  • 1. Avian Influenza Hossam Ghoneim, MD Cairo University
  • 2. OverviewOverview • Organism • Epidemiology • Transmission • Clinical Signs • Diagnosis and Treatment • Prevention and Control • Economic impact • Actions to take
  • 4. Influenza VirusInfluenza Virus • Family Orthomyxoviridae • Three main types − Type A § Multiple species − Type B § Humans − Type C § Humans and swine
  • 5. • 2 major antigenic glycoproteins: − Haemagglutinin (HA) (H1-16) − Neuraminidase (NA) (N1-9) • Antigenic Drift − Change of genetic material due to lack of proof-reading during replication − Responsible for annual epidemic • Antigenic Shift − reassortment and merging of genetic materials from different influenza strains − ànovel viral subtype, most human lack immunity − Responsible for pandemics Single-strand RNA with 8 gene segment Haemagglutinin Neuraminidase The Influenza Virion Influenza VirusInfluenza Virus
  • 6. Influenza AInfluenza A • Multiple species − Humans − Avian Influenza • Most virulent group • Classification by surface antigens into subtypes − Hemagglutinin (H or HA) − Neuraminidase (N or NA)
  • 7. H5N1 is of particular concernH5N1 is of particular concern • Mutates rapidly • Acquire genes from flu strains in other species • Highly pathogenic in humans • Birds, if surviving the infection, excrete the virus for 10 days, orally and in feces
  • 8. Influenza BInfluenza B • Mostly humans • Common • Less severe than A • Epidemics occur less often than A • Human seasonal vaccine − Two strains of type A − One strain of type B
  • 9. Influenza CInfluenza C • Humans and swine • Different pattern of surface proteins • Rare − Mild to no symptoms • By age 15, most have antibodies
  • 10. Human InfluenzaHuman Influenza Ÿ Subtypes: A(H1 - H3), B Ÿ Droplet transmission Ÿ Typical Incubation period: 2–4 days, with an average of 2 days Ÿ Symptoms: Ÿ Fever, headache, myalgia, running nose, cough, sore throat. Usually subside in 2 – 7 days
  • 11. Avian InfluenzaAvian Influenza • Pathogenicity based on genetic features and/or severity of disease in poultry − Low pathogenic AI (LPAI) § H1 to H15 subtypes − Highly pathogenic AI (HPAI) § Some H5 or H7 subtypes § LPAI H5 or H7 subtypes can mutate into HPAI
  • 13. Geographic DistributionGeographic Distribution • Worldwide distribution • Reservoir − Free flying aquatic birds: Ducks, geese, shorebirds, gulls, terns, auks • Recent outbreaks − The Netherlands, Australia, Mexico, U.S., SE Asia, Eurasia • Altered avian ecosystems have created new niche for AI viruses
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Human diseases caused by purely avian influenza viruses (without prior re-assortment with human virus) Human diseases caused by purely avian influenza viruses (without prior re-assortment with human virus) H5N1- Cambodia; Thailand; Vietnam; Indonesia; China 95 cases, 41 deaths 2005 H 7 disease in Canada2004 H5N1 – Azerbaijan; Cambodia; China; Djibouti; Egypt; Indonesia; Irag; Thailand; Turkey; Vietnam 84 cases, 54 deaths 2006 till (20/06/2006) H5N1 - Vietnam: 29 cases; 20 deaths Thailand: 17 cases; 12 deaths 2004 H7N7 ( Holland) – 78 conjunctivitis, 7 with flu-like illness, 4 other, 1 death 2003 H5N1: Fujian/ Hong Kong : 2 patients , 1 death2003 H9N2 ( Hong Kong ; Guangdong)1998, 1999 and 2003 H5N1 ( Hong Kong) : 18 patients ; 6 deaths1997: sporadic conjunctivitis-H7N7Pre-1997 Emergence of H5 InfluenzaH5 Influenza
  • 17. The Species Barrier Broken!! The species barrier that previously confined the H5N1 virus to birds and water fouls had been breached and now it is able to infect various species The Species Barrier Broken!! The species barrier that previously confined the H5N1 virus to birds and water fouls had been breached and now it is able to infect various species Birds and Water FoulsBirds and Water Fouls:: (e.g. Ducks, geese) Natural carrier of avian flu, can be symptomatic or asymptomatic ChickenChicken New to H5N1 virus Invariable fatal when attacked PigsPigs Avian flu in pigs are particularly worrisome as they possess bird flu and human flu receptors. They act as a reservoir for genetic reassortment for flu virus HumanHuman FelineFeline (Cats, Tigers and Leopards)
  • 18. How can the species barrier be broken? How can the species barrier be broken? Method 1 H5N1 virion Affect water fouls & wild birds Mutation Affect domestic poultry like chicken Mutation Affect several mammalian species include felines, pigs, and human
  • 19. Human FluAvian Flu Reassortment It is important to remember that H1 & H3 viral subtypes are prevalent in pigs Method 2 How can the species barrier be broken? How can the species barrier be broken?
  • 21. Animal TransmissionAnimal Transmission • Initial source of infection − Other poultry, migratory waterfowl, pet birds • Spread by aerosol, shared drinking water, fomites • Virus in respiratory secretions and feces • Virus present in eggs but eggs unlikely to survive and hatch
  • 22. Human TransmissionHuman Transmission • Previously considered non-pathogenic for humans • 1997, Hong Kong − 18 humans infected, 6 died − H5N1 virus linked to outbreak in live bird market and area farms (droplet) • 2003, the Netherlands − 83 confirmed cases in humans, 1 death − H7N7 strain
  • 23. Human TransmissionHuman Transmission • 2004-2005, SE Asia − 118 cases, 61 deaths § Indonesia, Viet Nam, Thailand, Cambodia − H5N1 strain − Within the vicinity of poultry outbreaks − Evidence for human-to-human transmission • Role of swine − Proposed “mixing vessel”
  • 25. Clinical SignsClinical Signs • Incubation period: 3-14 days • Birds found dead • Drop in egg production • Neurological signs • Depression, anorexia, ruffled feathers • Combs swollen, cyanotic • Conjunctivitis and respiratory signs
  • 26. Post Mortem LesionsPost Mortem Lesions • Lesions may be absent with sudden death • Severe congestion of the musculature • Dehydration • Subcutaneous edema of head and neck area
  • 27. Post Mortem LesionsPost Mortem Lesions • Nasal and oral cavity discharge • Petechiae on serosal surfaces • Kidneys severely congested • Severe congestion of the conjunctivae
  • 28. SamplingSampling • Before collecting or sending any samples, the proper authorities should be contacted • Samples should only be sent under secure conditions and to authorized laboratories to prevent the spread of the disease
  • 29. DiagnosisDiagnosis • Clinically indistinguishable from virulent Newcastle Disease • Suspect with: − Sudden death − Drop in egg production − Facial edema, cyanotic combs and wattles − Petechial hemorrhages • Virology and serology necessary for definitive diagnoses
  • 30. TreatmentTreatment • No specific treatment • Supportive care and antibiotics for secondary infections • Antivirals (amantadine) effective in reducing mortality − Not approved in food animals − Results in resistant viruses
  • 32. Clinical Signs in HumansClinical Signs in Humans • 1997: Hong Kong (H5N1) − Fever, respiratory, vomiting, diarrhea, pain − Fatal cases: severe bilateral pneumonia, liver dysfunction, renal failure, septic shock • 1979: MP AI in harbor seals (H7N7) − Conjunctivitis in humans in contact
  • 33. Clinical Signs in HumansClinical Signs in Humans • 2003: Netherlands (H7N7) − Conjunctivitis − Mild influenza or respiratory symptoms − Fatal case: acute respiratory distress syndrome • 2004-2005: S.E. Asia, EurAsia
  • 34. Morbidity/MortalityMorbidity/Mortality • Approaches 100% in commercial poultry flocks • Deaths within 2 to 12 days after first signs of illness • Survivors in poor condition
  • 35. Public Health SignificancePublic Health Significance • Risk is low • Strains vary in ability to infect humans • High occupational exposure may increase risk • 2003: 83 cases − Human infections from non-compliance with personal biosafety measures − Weak evidence of human-to-human transmission
  • 37. How is human infection prevented?How is human infection prevented? • Vaccines are the primary preventative for influenza. Currently there is no vaccine to protect humans. • Scientists need a sample of the new strain before they can produce a vaccine against it. • Every dose must be made in a hen’s egg (i.e. requires billions of eggs). • For the first several months of a pandemic, there will be no effective vaccine.
  • 38. Infection preventionInfection prevention • There are measures to develop new technologies for vaccine production… i.e., cell-based systems for production of vaccines. (this will vastly improve the speed, quality & quantity of vaccine production) • Research studies to test a vaccine began in April 2005. Human trials are ongoing.
  • 39. VaccinationVaccination • Drawbacks to vaccination − Expensive − No cross protection between 15 H subtypes − Possible creation of reassortant virus
  • 40. • Current human influenza vaccines have no efficacy against avian influenza • Inactivated H5 and recombinant vaccine licensed in the U.S. for emergency in HPAI outbreaks
  • 41. Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions • Hand hygiene (most important thing anyone can do!) • Covering your mouth when coughing. • Spatial distancing: at least three feet when in public crowed. • Daily sanitizing commonly used surfaces (phones, keyboards, machines, etc). • Staying home if ill.
  • 42. Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions • Avoid contact of house birds or pets with wild ones. • Avoid dealing with live poultry or birds in markets or for leisure • Proper cooking & heating of eggs & chicken (or any edible poultry) • Care for avoiding contact with bird fecal matter.
  • 43. Basic Infection Control PrecautionsBasic Infection Control Precautions • Antiviral drugs like Tamiflu and Relenza can possibly reduce the severity of the illness when taken within 24 hours of getting sick.
  • 44. Recommended ActionsRecommended Actions • Notification of Authorities − Ministry of health & population §105 any land line − Ministry of agriculture §08005553555 any land line • Quarantine
  • 46. What is Pandemic What is Pandemic Endemic − stable pattern of occurrence of the disease. Epidemic − occurrence of the disease greatly in excess of the expected rate. Pandemic − worldwide spread of a disease, outbreaks or epidemics occurring in many countries & in most regions of the world
  • 47. PandemicPandemic : Health careHealth care system rapidly overburdenedoverburdened Social Disruption & PanicSocial Disruption & Panic Pandemic
  • 48. Progression of pandemicProgression of pandemic Sporadic cases No human-to-human transmission Sporadic cases No human-to-human transmission Clusters of cases Inefficient human-to- human transmission Clusters of cases Inefficient human-to- human transmission On-going cluster related transmission Substantial pandemic risk On-going cluster related transmission Substantial pandemic risk PandemicPandemic
  • 49. 3 conditions before a pandemic begins: 3 conditions before a pandemic begins: 1. A new influenza subtype that has not previously circulated in humans must emerge. (Rare event) (occurred) 2. Must be capable of causing disease in humans. (occurred) 3. Must be capable of being passed easily among humans. (?)
  • 50. Sustained human to human transmission of the new influenza strain will be the “trigger” for the start of a pandemic. Sustained human to human transmission of the new influenza strain will be the “trigger” for the start of a pandemic. To date, H5N1 has not spread beyond one generation of close contacts.
  • 51. Previous FLU PandemicsPrevious FLU Pandemics >2 million excess mortality Human & Birds H2N2 Asian Flu1957 1 million excess mortality Human & Birds H3N2 Hong Kong Flu1968 40-50 million death Swine & Birds H1N1 Spanish Flu 1918 ResultSourceSubtypeYear
  • 52.
  • 53.
  • 54. An avian flu pandemic would be especially dangerous due to the lethal nature of the present virus and the lack of immunity among the world’s population. An avian flu pandemic would be especially dangerous due to the lethal nature of the present virus and the lack of immunity among the world’s population.
  • 56. Economic ImpactEconomic Impact • Direct losses: − Depopulation and disposal − High morbidity and mortality − Quarantine and surveillance • 1978-2003: Seasonal outbreaks of LPAI in Minnesota cost growers $22 million
  • 57. Economic ImpactEconomic Impact • 1983: U.S. outbreak (H5N2) − $65 million in losses − Destruction of 17 million birds − 30% increase in egg prices • 1999-2000: Italy outbreak (H7N1) − $100 million in compensation to farmers − 18 million birds destroyed − Indirect losses of $500 million
  • 58. Economic ImpactEconomic Impact • 1997: Hong Kong outbreak (H5N1) − $13 million for depopulation and indemnities − 1.4 million birds • 2001: Hong Kong outbreak (H5N1) − 1.2 million birds − $3.8 million
  • 59. Economic ImpactEconomic Impact • 2003: European outbreak (H7N7) − Over 33 million birds destroyed − ¼ of Netherlands’ poultry stock − Cost? • 2003-2004: SE Asia (H5N1) − 8 countries − >100 million birds destroyed − Cost? • 2004-2005: SE Asia and Eurasia − Spread to Eurasia by migratory birds
  • 61. Internet ResourcesInternet Resources • World Organization for Animal Health (OIE) − www.oie.int • USAHA Foreign Animal Diseases – “The Gray Book” − www.vet.uga.edu/vpp/gray_book/index • World Health Organization − www.who.int
  • 62. Additional ResourcesAdditional Resources • CDC – Centers for Disease Control and Prevention − Avian influenza (bird flu) home page § www.cdc.gov/flu/avian • U.S. Department of Agriculture − Biosecurity for the birds § www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/birdbiosecurity − Avian influenza § www.aphis.usda.gov/vs/birdbiosecurity/hpai .html
  • 65. Basic InformationBasic Information • December 2003 – August 2006, 241 human cases and 141 deaths caused by the H5N1 strain.
  • 66. Avian Influenza InformationAvian Influenza Information • The H5N1 flu virus primarily attacks the lower respiratory tract (the lungs) — quite unlike seasonal flu that attacks the upper respiratory tract (nose, sinuses and pharynx.) • Characterized by high fever, headache, malaise, cough and sore throat and difficulty breathing. • Acute infection usually lasts about 2 weeks, but may have significant residual long term effects… not the flu as we know it!!
  • 67. What are the symptoms? AGAIN What are the symptoms? AGAIN • Symptoms in humans have ranged from typical flu-like (fever, cough, sore throat and muscle aches) to red eye, pneumonia, acute respiratory distress (SOB), viral pneumonia and other severe and life- threatening complications.
  • 68. • Basic personal hygiene (Hand wash) • Care of domestic birds & pets • Avoid crowd • Use mask when necessary (crowd & markets) • Proper cooking (eggs & poultry) • No effective vaccine yet • Suspect if Cough, High fever, red eye, SOB and history of contact • Report immediately to authorities • Tamiflu ASAP
  • 69. Risk of PandemicRisk of Pandemic • Given the heavy volume of international travel in the 21st century, it is likely that a pandemic would spread globally within about 3 months.
  • 70. Frequently Asked QuestionsFrequently Asked Questions • Should I stock up on Tamiflu? • Are masks useful? • Who will keep us notified about conditions in our communities? • Should I eat poultry & eggs? • How do I buy poultry products? • Is there really a risk of pandemic? What is my role?