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© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Carrying capacity estimation in
common water bodies
Case studies in the Philippines
USSEC Southeast Asia Regional
Symposium on Aquaculture Carrying
Capacity Modeling for Common Water
bodies
10-13 June 2013 Bangkok, Thailand
Scope of the presentation
• Aquaculture impact on the environment
– nutrients, dissolved and particulate
• Small-scale aquaculture development
– Bolinao, Philippines
– Dagpan, Philippines
– Taal lake Philippines
• Cumulative aquaculture impact
• Modelling carrying capacity
– box models
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Aquaculture nutrient balance
Inputs, uptake and outputs
Less than 30 % of the nutrient inputs are retained by the fish.
The remainder go into the environment where they are
assimilated or concentrated
Nutrient budget and fate - Phosphorous
Impact on the sediments
Nutrient levels in the sediment
• Sustainable levels
– slight build up of organic layer on the seabed
– Organic layer not increasing over time
• Unsustainable level
– Build up of thick organic layer
– Change in benthic diversity
– Smothering of seagrass
– Smothering of corals
AquaPark Mid-term meeting - interim results
Phosphorus plume from fish cages
Impact on water column
Nutrient concentration in the water
• Sustainable levels
– Stable dissolved nutrient levels not breaching water
quality standards
– increased algae production and zooplankton production
– increased wild fishery production
• Unsustainable levels
– leads to high algae production
– algal bloom – algae die off – low/no oxygen – fish kill
AquaPark Mid-term meeting - interim results
Small scale aquaculture development
• Often located in shared water bodies
– Shared by municipalities, tambaks, etc
– Lack of integrated water management plan
• Often located in sheltered areas with reduced
water exchange
– Lakes
– Closed bays
– Lagoons
• Often not closely regulated or monitored
– Leading to boom – bust – boom cycle
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Norad funded EMMA project 3 case study
areas
Bolinao
and Anda
Fish cages 460
Fish pens 266
Oyster farms 254
23,000 tonne/yr
8.1 t/ha fish
0.6 t/ha mollusc
220 tonnes feed/day
Bolinao Bay 2006
Reoccurring fish Kills in Bolinao
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
a a a a b b e c c c c,fd
Fish
kill
Fish
kill
Fish
kill
Fish
kill
Fish
kill
Boom Bust Boom Bust Bust Bust Boom?
a Verceles et al., 2000, b FRMP,2001; c Sagip, 2005; d LGCAMC, e PDI,2002; f OPAG
Dagupan estuary system
Dagupan
Fish pens 553
Fish cages 124
Oyster farms 94
Fish traps 528
590 t/yr fish cage
4,860 t/yr fish pen
500 t/yr mollusc
• Cage sites
• Municipalities
Taal lake
Taal Lake
9,600 cages
112,800 t/yr
4.8 t/ha
530 t/feed/day
20 year residence time
Fish Kill occurrences Taal Lake
Environmental impact
Limited local Impact
Cumulative impact
Estimating maximum aquaculture carrying
capacity for Bolinao Bay
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
The process of determining carrying capacity for fish aquaculture
based on determining the critical phytoplankton concentration
Natural nutrient
input Water body
characteristics,
water volume and
water exchange
Natural
equilibrium
Phytoplankton
growth
Phytoplankton
concentration
Carrying
capacityAquaculture
nutrient input
Estimation of all nutrient sources
(cages + pens + river + domestic + agricultural) – (mollusc + flushing)
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Carrying capacity affected by precipitation
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Carrying capacity affected by tides
© www.akvaplan.niva.no
Predicting times of greatest risk
© www.akvaplan.niva.no

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03. Carrying Capacity estimation White 1

  • 1. © www.akvaplan.niva.no Carrying capacity estimation in common water bodies Case studies in the Philippines USSEC Southeast Asia Regional Symposium on Aquaculture Carrying Capacity Modeling for Common Water bodies 10-13 June 2013 Bangkok, Thailand
  • 2. Scope of the presentation • Aquaculture impact on the environment – nutrients, dissolved and particulate • Small-scale aquaculture development – Bolinao, Philippines – Dagpan, Philippines – Taal lake Philippines • Cumulative aquaculture impact • Modelling carrying capacity – box models © www.akvaplan.niva.no
  • 4. Inputs, uptake and outputs Less than 30 % of the nutrient inputs are retained by the fish. The remainder go into the environment where they are assimilated or concentrated
  • 5. Nutrient budget and fate - Phosphorous
  • 6. Impact on the sediments Nutrient levels in the sediment • Sustainable levels – slight build up of organic layer on the seabed – Organic layer not increasing over time • Unsustainable level – Build up of thick organic layer – Change in benthic diversity – Smothering of seagrass – Smothering of corals AquaPark Mid-term meeting - interim results
  • 8. Impact on water column Nutrient concentration in the water • Sustainable levels – Stable dissolved nutrient levels not breaching water quality standards – increased algae production and zooplankton production – increased wild fishery production • Unsustainable levels – leads to high algae production – algal bloom – algae die off – low/no oxygen – fish kill AquaPark Mid-term meeting - interim results
  • 9. Small scale aquaculture development • Often located in shared water bodies – Shared by municipalities, tambaks, etc – Lack of integrated water management plan • Often located in sheltered areas with reduced water exchange – Lakes – Closed bays – Lagoons • Often not closely regulated or monitored – Leading to boom – bust – boom cycle © www.akvaplan.niva.no
  • 10. Norad funded EMMA project 3 case study areas
  • 12. Fish cages 460 Fish pens 266 Oyster farms 254 23,000 tonne/yr 8.1 t/ha fish 0.6 t/ha mollusc 220 tonnes feed/day Bolinao Bay 2006
  • 13. Reoccurring fish Kills in Bolinao 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 a a a a b b e c c c c,fd Fish kill Fish kill Fish kill Fish kill Fish kill Boom Bust Boom Bust Bust Bust Boom? a Verceles et al., 2000, b FRMP,2001; c Sagip, 2005; d LGCAMC, e PDI,2002; f OPAG
  • 15. Dagupan Fish pens 553 Fish cages 124 Oyster farms 94 Fish traps 528 590 t/yr fish cage 4,860 t/yr fish pen 500 t/yr mollusc
  • 16. • Cage sites • Municipalities Taal lake
  • 17. Taal Lake 9,600 cages 112,800 t/yr 4.8 t/ha 530 t/feed/day 20 year residence time
  • 19. Environmental impact Limited local Impact Cumulative impact
  • 20. Estimating maximum aquaculture carrying capacity for Bolinao Bay © www.akvaplan.niva.no The process of determining carrying capacity for fish aquaculture based on determining the critical phytoplankton concentration Natural nutrient input Water body characteristics, water volume and water exchange Natural equilibrium Phytoplankton growth Phytoplankton concentration Carrying capacityAquaculture nutrient input
  • 21. Estimation of all nutrient sources (cages + pens + river + domestic + agricultural) – (mollusc + flushing) © www.akvaplan.niva.no
  • 22. Carrying capacity affected by precipitation © www.akvaplan.niva.no
  • 23. Carrying capacity affected by tides © www.akvaplan.niva.no
  • 24. Predicting times of greatest risk © www.akvaplan.niva.no