18. TAO (SCI) special issue:
climate change adaptation
- scientific evidence,
assessment framework
and decision-making
SCI TAO (the journal of Terrestrial,
Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences)
Climate Change
Adaptation – Scientific evidence,
assessment framework and decision-
making
TaiCCAT
TaiCCAT
19. 20 -
Important date:
• May 01, 2015.
• Oct. 31, 2015.
• Mar. 31, 2016.
• Sept. 01, 2016. TAO
21. Keynote speech I :
Study for climate change
impact analysis in water
related disasters
Mr. Yoichi Iwami, ICHARM, Japan
Keynote speech II :
Climate change and
international trade
Prof. Dabo Guan, University of
East Anglia, UK
Keynote speech II :
Extreme climate in urban
areas: perspectives of
participatory early warning
and real time monitoring
for flooding
Dr. Peter van der Keur, GEUS,
Denmark
22. Presentation:
The long-term sea surface temperature change in
vicinity of Taiwan and its possible impact on the
biology resources
( )
Presentation:
The effect of urban development on urban heat island
and regional precipitation pattern from ground based
and satellite data
( )
Presentation:
Analyzing the relationship between urban
development, rainfall conditions and flood occurrence
(
)
Presentation:
Landslide trend under extreme climate ( )
Presentation:
Impact analysis of coastal disasters under climate
change
( )
Presentation:
Impact on wetland biodiversity from potential sea-
level rise in Tainan City
( )
Conclusion
The feasibility on the environmental potential index
and value-added analysis using multidisciplinary
approach in Tainan city
TaiCCAT
Presentation:
The Decision Supportive Tool for Climate Change
Adaptation
( )
Presentation:
-
Assessment of Flood Risk and Adaptation Strategy
under Climate Change Impact
(
)
Presentation:
Effects of Rainfall and Flooding Events on
Waterborne Diseases
( )
Presentation:
The cross-sectoral vulnerability assessment of food
security under climate change
( )
Presentation:
A Framework for Assessing Risk of Climate Change
on Coastal Ecosystems in Taiwan
( )
Presentation:
Assessing Water Resources Vulnerability and
Resilience of Southern Taiwan in Changing Climate
( )
Conclusion
23. Presentation:
-
Engaging stakeholders to assessing and
enhancing adaptation capacity- The case of Tainan
County
(
)
Presentation:
-
Articulating a legal framework for climate change
adaptation -- A Taiwan's perspective
( )
Presentation:
The application of land use simulation model on the
climate change adaptation strategies
( )
( )
Presentation:
The establishment and application of community
adaptation indices corresponding to flood and high
temperature of climate change
( )
Presentation:
:
Unpacking the Co-production of Knowledge in
Adaptation to Climate Change: The Role of Local
Knowledge in a Coastal City – Tainan, Taiwan
( )
Presentation:
Flood resilient cities: using geodesign to support
decision-making on climate change adaptation
(
)
Conclusion
TaiCCAT
Overview:
– TaiCCAT
Developing climate change adaptation
technology – lessons learned from the TaiCCAT
project
( )
Presentation:
–
The assessment of government policies on
climate change adaptation in Taiwan – a pilot
study of the Taiwan Climate Change Adaptation
Performance Index (TCCAPI)
Presentation:
2011 2015 –
Research pattern of climate adaptation from
2011 to 2015 - a co-word based analysis
(
)
Closing ceremony:
,
26. l Drought Frequency (events per decade)
l Drought Severity (SPI per event )
l Drought Duration (months per event)
Ø Trend
Ø Trend
Ø Trend
(based on SPI) – Tainan City, 1960-2009
27. UHI & Fraction of total Rainfall
Ø The results indicate that
rainfall fraction of
thunderstorm around the
area of core urban is
enhanced by the intense UHI
effect
28. 1995 2012
1995
2011
Land use and land cover
Urban heat island intensity (related to urbanisation)
Aug. 1992
Aug. 2007
Aug. 2012
(e.g.,
)
32. longitude (E)
latitude(N)
120 120.5 121 121.5 122
22
22.5
23
23.5
24
24.5
25
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
%
Regional rainfall change rate during El Nino Spring (Feb-Apr)
comparing to the normal year (-0.5<NINO3.4< 0.5)
Lag- correla/on between rainfall modes and the ENSO and PDO index
46. AdaptCross -
(Cross-sectoral System Dynamics Model, CSD Model)
Visual Basic
CSD Model AdaptCross
VENSIM AdaptCross
AdaptCross
Water supply
sub-system
Daily amount of public
water supply in surface
water
Daily amount of
agricultural water supply
in surface water
Daily amount of public
water supply in
groundwater
Daily amount of
agricultural water supply
in groundwater
Domestic water
demand
Industrial water
demand
Agricultural
water demand
Land use
Active storage
capacity
Domestic water
quality
Leakage rate
River
discharge
Water storage
facilities
Diversion
capacity
Revenue water
ratio
Soil type
Channel
length
Channel water
conveyance losses
Flow release
Forest
coverage
Pumping
facilities
Gross Domestic
Product (GDP)
Daily domestic water
consumption per person
Non-tap water
withdrawal
Air
temperature
Economic
output value
Rainfall
Area of the
industrial zone
Irrigated area
Aquaculture
water
Crop output
value
Crop species
Livestock
water
Discount water
supply
Water purification
capacity
Urban sewage
recycling
Industrial
wastewater
recycling
Return flow
Population
Amount of alternative
water resources supply
Desalination
CSD
Model
D-S-R
AdaptCross
AdaptCross VENSIM VENSIM
AdaptCross
55. - (urban resilience):
(resilience) ( the capacity to )
(considering the
current situations)
-
-
Walker and Salt,
2006
UK Cabinet Office,
2012
(examining trends
and future threats)
-
-
-
UK Cabinet Office,
2012
Bouwer et al, 2010
(learning from
previous
experiences)
- Walker and Salt,
2006
Hutter, 2011, Hutter
et al., 2011, Hutter,
2010, Bernhard,
2010, van den Brink
(setting
goals)
-
-
Godschalk, 2003,
Fleischhauer, 2008,
van den Brink et al.,
2011, Gupta et al.,
2010
(initiating
actions)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Fleischhauer, 2008,
Hutter, 2011, Hutter
et al., 2011, Hutter,
2010, Bernhard, 2010
(involving
the public)
-
-
Godschalk, 2003,
Davoudi and Strange,
2009, UK Cabinet
Office, 2012, Hutter,
2011, Hutter et al.,
2011, Hutter, 2010,
Taipei
Tainan
56. Taipei Climate Change
Adaptation Plan, 2012
44.95%
15.67%
6.85%
14.18%
18.34%
Disaster Infrastructure Water Resources
Land use Energy supply
and industry
Agricultural
production and
biodiversity
Health
Considering the current situation
Examining trends and future threats
Learning from previous experiences
Setting goals
Initiating actions
Involving the public
Tainan Climate Change
Adaptation Plan, 2014
11.26%
4.69%
21.79%
43.79%
18.47%
Considering the current situation
Examining trends and future threats
Learning from previous experiences
Setting goals
Initiating actions
Involving the public
Disasters Infrastructure Water Resources
Land use Energy supply
and industry
Agricultural
production and
biodiversity
Health
Coastal zones判斷目前狀態
評估未來趨勢
從過去的經驗中學習
制定目標
落實行動
公共參與
Findings:
-
-
Taipei Tainan
- (urban resilience):
57. :
( )
Return period
450 years
Return period
200 years
Return period
100 years
Return period
50 years
0.120 (6500) 0.119 (9500) 0.120(11500) 0.151(120000)
0.133(6500) 0.133(9500) 0.127(11500) 0.185(120000)
0.138(6495) 0.137(9487) 0.129(11454) 0.153(11913)
0.253(6500) 0.253(9500) 0.269(11500) 0.347(120000)
0.275 (-) 0.263(-) 0.404(-) -(-)
1/500
(
)
1/100
(
)
500,000 300,000
60% 100%
/ $6,000 $20,000
30% 10%
3 ( ) 15
-> ->
18%
30%
(36%)
10%
(2%)
62. Fire bureau
Mayor
Deputy Mayor
Councilor
Water Resources Bureau
Economic Development Bureau
Tech. Industrial Park
Agricultural Bureau
District office
Irrigation assoc.
Water Resource Agency
Council of Agriculture
Ministry of Economic
Six River Management Office
Southern Region Water Resources Office
Taiwan Water Corporation
Public Construction Commission
Southern Taiwan Science Park
Citizen
Construction sector
Agriculture
Industry
Fishery
Transportation Food
Environmental groups
Farmer's assoc.
Experts
:
Central Weather Bureau
Citizen
Construction and Planning Agency
Councilor
Deputy?Mayor
Directorate General of Highways
District office
Education Bureau
Environmental Protection Bureau
Executive Yuan
Experts
Fire bureau
Fishery
Industry
Legislator
Mayor
Ministry of Economic
Ministry of Education
President
Public Works Bureau
Six River Management Office
Transportation Bureau
Water Resource Agency
Water Resources Bureau
75. UNESCO-IHE
GEUS
IMPRESSIONS
TaiCCAT
IMPRESSIONS
Tainan City
Europe
Dr. Harrison
IMPRESSIONS
~
Climate change adaption for
sustainable urban
development (ClimUrban)
The ClimUrban project (Climate
change adaption for sustainable
urban development) is a seed
money project leading towards a
project application to the new
INTERREG Programme period
2014-2020 or other clients.
Memorandum of
Understanding (MoU)
Project-led
collaboration