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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                      29th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.            Markets turn volatile ahead of expiry
 BSE SENSEX                17631.71          -0.27
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5334.60          -0.29     Mirroring the negative Asian market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.            5346.05          -0.30     markets witnessed a subdue opening. Sustained selling
 India VIX                   16.35           -0.72     pressure continued on the bourses as Nifty tested and even
                                                       breached its support level placed at 5333. However, the
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 markets managed to come off the lows for the day in the
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    afternoon trade on back of short covering and buying support
Support           5333       5250            5116      in index heavyweight stocks. The markets ended the day flat
Resistance        5386       5464            5500      to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day
                                                       were Sterlite, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Hindalco, Sesa
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Goa, L&T, ONGC, Axis Bank, Tata Steel and Tata Motors.
50 Day SMA                  5247.04
100 Day SMA                 5158.59                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5117.34        ◄Critical   amidst higher volumes, which would lead to buying
                                                       support. The global market cues are divergent. The
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The
Advances                      929             352      prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on the
Declines                     1889            1121      market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The RSI,
Same                          117               78     KST and Stochastic remain placed below their respective
Total                        2935            1551      averages, which would lead to further selling pressure.
A/D Ratio                   0.49 : 1        0.31 : 1
                                                       However, a few prevailing technical positives still hold
                                                       good, which would lead to buying support at lower
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               levels. The MACD remains placed above its average.
               28/08/12    27/08/12         % Chg.     Moreover, the MACD and KST are still placed in the
BSE              2170        2126            2.07
                                                       positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The
                                                       Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA
NSE              6510        5052            28.87
                                                       and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
Total            8680        7178            20.93
                                                       remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’.
               28/08/12    27/08/12         % Chg.
                                                       These positive conditions would lead to buying support
                                                       at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are
BSE             2335.85     1747.67          33.66
                                                       moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The
NSE             9500.81     7578.96          25.36
                                                       market sentiment remains cautious ahead of derivative
NSE F&O        173663.23   119380.68         45.47     segment expiry. Buying support remains absent. Now, it
Total          185499.89   128707.31         44.13     is important that markets witness buying support at
                                                       lower levels for the Nifty to move and sustain above the
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       psychologically important 5400 level. The markets are
               28/08/12    27/08/12         % Chg.
                                                       likely to witness intermediate bouts of volatility and
Index Fut.      564218      378284           49.15     choppiness due to impending derivative segment expiry.
Stock Fut.     1008221      717044           40.61     In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Index Opt.     4686532     3145007           49.01     Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices. The
Stock Opt.      267503      229287           16.67     support levels for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5116 and
Total          6526474     4469622           35.34     5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5386, 5464, 5500,
                                                       5565 and 5607 levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net            Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                    Stop
                                                     Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock              Close       Action        Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)            Remarks
                                                                                                                          TGT of 730
                                                                                                                          Achieved
                                                                                                                          given Sell @
                                                                                                                          748 on
  ABB Fut                  735.20     Sell Below           729.00        740.00      1.51         705            3.29     27/08/12
                                                                                                                          TGT of 62
                                                                                                                          Achieved
                                                                                                                          given Sell @
                                                                                                                          65.50 on
  Arvind Fut                62.85     Sell Below            61.00         64.60      5.90          53           13.11     28/08/12
  Hindalco Fut           106.60 Sell Below          105.00    107.70                 2.57         99             5.71
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                               Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices              Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    17632                17638      17706         17780      17922            17564        17497       17355
S&P CNX NIFTY                  5335                 5335          5358       5382          5429          5312           5289      5242
NIFTY AUG. FUT.                5346                 5344          5367       5389          5433          5323           5300      5255




                                            Stocks To Watch Out Today
Asian Paints, HUL, ITC, NMDC, NTPC, Petronet, Powergrid, Sun Pharma, TCS
ABB, Adani Enter; Allahabd Bk; Andhra Bk; Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bk; Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata,
BF utilities, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves, DCB, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, Educomp, Federal Bk; GVK, Havells,
Hindalco, HOECL, ICICI Bank, Indian Hotels, Indusind Bk; Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigation, JP Assoc; L&T, NHPC, OnMobile,
OBC, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; PFC, PunjLloyd, Raymond, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; RPower, Sesa Goa, SIntex, Sterlite,
Syndicate Bk, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Vijaya Bk; Welcorp, Yes Bk, ZEEL


                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 290812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 29th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets turn volatile ahead of expiry BSE SENSEX 17631.71 -0.27 S&P CNX NIFTY 5334.60 -0.29 Mirroring the negative Asian market cues, the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5346.05 -0.30 markets witnessed a subdue opening. Sustained selling India VIX 16.35 -0.72 pressure continued on the bourses as Nifty tested and even breached its support level placed at 5333. However, the S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets managed to come off the lows for the day in the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 afternoon trade on back of short covering and buying support Support 5333 5250 5116 in index heavyweight stocks. The markets ended the day flat Resistance 5386 5464 5500 to close near the highs for the day. The top losers for the day were Sterlite, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Hindalco, Sesa Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Goa, L&T, ONGC, Axis Bank, Tata Steel and Tata Motors. 50 Day SMA 5247.04 100 Day SMA 5158.59 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5117.34 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, which would lead to buying support. The global market cues are divergent. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The Advances 929 352 prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on the Declines 1889 1121 market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The RSI, Same 117 78 KST and Stochastic remain placed below their respective Total 2935 1551 averages, which would lead to further selling pressure. A/D Ratio 0.49 : 1 0.31 : 1 However, a few prevailing technical positives still hold good, which would lead to buying support at lower Volume (Lacs Shares) * levels. The MACD remains placed above its average. 28/08/12 27/08/12 % Chg. Moreover, the MACD and KST are still placed in the BSE 2170 2126 2.07 positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA NSE 6510 5052 28.87 and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA Total 8680 7178 20.93 remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. 28/08/12 27/08/12 % Chg. These positive conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are BSE 2335.85 1747.67 33.66 moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The NSE 9500.81 7578.96 25.36 market sentiment remains cautious ahead of derivative NSE F&O 173663.23 119380.68 45.47 segment expiry. Buying support remains absent. Now, it Total 185499.89 128707.31 44.13 is important that markets witness buying support at lower levels for the Nifty to move and sustain above the F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * psychologically important 5400 level. The markets are 28/08/12 27/08/12 % Chg. likely to witness intermediate bouts of volatility and Index Fut. 564218 378284 49.15 choppiness due to impending derivative segment expiry. Stock Fut. 1008221 717044 40.61 In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Index Opt. 4686532 3145007 49.01 Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices. The Stock Opt. 267503 229287 16.67 support levels for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5116 and Total 6526474 4469622 35.34 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks TGT of 730 Achieved given Sell @ 748 on ABB Fut 735.20 Sell Below 729.00 740.00 1.51 705 3.29 27/08/12 TGT of 62 Achieved given Sell @ 65.50 on Arvind Fut 62.85 Sell Below 61.00 64.60 5.90 53 13.11 28/08/12 Hindalco Fut 106.60 Sell Below 105.00 107.70 2.57 99 5.71 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17632 17638 17706 17780 17922 17564 17497 17355 S&P CNX NIFTY 5335 5335 5358 5382 5429 5312 5289 5242 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5346 5344 5367 5389 5433 5323 5300 5255 Stocks To Watch Out Today Asian Paints, HUL, ITC, NMDC, NTPC, Petronet, Powergrid, Sun Pharma, TCS ABB, Adani Enter; Allahabd Bk; Andhra Bk; Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bk; Bajaj Auto, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BF utilities, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves, DCB, Delta Corp; Divis Labs, Educomp, Federal Bk; GVK, Havells, Hindalco, HOECL, ICICI Bank, Indian Hotels, Indusind Bk; Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigation, JP Assoc; L&T, NHPC, OnMobile, OBC, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; PFC, PunjLloyd, Raymond, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; RPower, Sesa Goa, SIntex, Sterlite, Syndicate Bk, Tata Global, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Vijaya Bk; Welcorp, Yes Bk, ZEEL Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com