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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                                21st August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.                              Markets volatile
 BSE SENSEX                17691.08          0.19
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5366.30          0.06      Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.            5382.35          0.01      markets witnessed a firm opening. The markets moved higher
 India VIX                   15.73           0.25      on back of buying support, which also led to short covering.
                                                       However, the Nifty faltered and struggled around the 5400
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 level. Sharp selling pressure and profit taking was witnessed,
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    which took the Nifty closer to its support level at 5333. The
Support           5333       5250            5108      markets managed to come off the lows for the day to end the
Resistance        5386       5464            5500      day on a flat note. The top gainers for the day were DLF,
                                                       Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, Sesa Goa, HDFC, GAIL, BPCL, Coal
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  India, PNB and Rel. Infra
50 Day SMA                  5211.70
100 Day SMA                 5152.06                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5112.62        ◄Critical   amidst higher volumes, indicating buying concentrated
                                                       only in index heavyweight stocks. The global market
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to
Advances                     1344             681      witness a flat opening. The markets consolidated moving
Declines                     1498             818      in a narrow range. The prevailing technical positives
Same                          130               77     continue to hold good. The Stochastic has moved above
Total                        2972            1576      its average. Moreover, the RSI, KST and MACD all are still
A/D Ratio                   0.89 : 1        0.83 : 1
                                                       placed above their respective averages. Moreover, the
                                                       MACD and KST are placed in the positive territory, which
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed
               17/08/12     16/08/12        % Chg.     above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
BSE              2286        2223            2.83
                                                       More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above
                                                       Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being
NSE              6511        6104            6.66
                                                       called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positives
Total            8797        8327            5.64
                                                       would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               ADX line is moving higher, while the +DI line has started
               17/08/12     16/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       coming off its recent highs, indicating buyers are
                                                       booking profits. The market sentiment remains positive
BSE             2155.10    86255.67         -97.50
                                                       but tentative at higher levels. Follow up buying continues
NSE            10262.50    10165.94          0.95
                                                       to remain dismal at higher levels. Now, it is important
NSE F&O        125417.70   86255.67          45.40     that markets witness buying support at higher levels for
Total          137835.30   182677.28        -24.55     the Nifty to move above the 5386 resistance level and
                                                       test the 5464 resistance level. The volumes are likely to
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       remain lackluster ahead of festive holidays during the
               17/08/12     16/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       course of the next few trading sessions. The sharp rise in
Index Fut.      377380      249873           51.03     crude prices could become a sentiment dampener for the
Stock Fut.      470493      409795           14.81     markets and could stall the current uptrend. In the
Index Opt.     3528439      2304021          53.14     meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Rupee,
Stock Opt.      259232      217610           19.13     global market cues and the crude prices. The support
Total          4635544      3181299          39.80     levels for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5108, 5047, 5000
                                                       and 4950. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5386, 5464 and
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE
                                                       5500 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                    (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                   Stop
                                                    Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock            Close         Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)          Remarks
  Bata Fut               901.95      Sell Below           896.00        909.50       1.51        866           3.35

                                                                                                                        TGT of 92
                                                                                                                        Achieved
                                                                                                                        given Buy @
                                                                                                                        86.50 on
  Apollo Tyre              91.30     Buy Above             92.00         89.75       2.45         97           5.43     13/08/12
  Tata Motors DVR        141.15 Buy Above           141.75    139.25                 1.76        147           3.70
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                              Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17691                 17705      17787         17884       18063           17609        17526      17347
S&P CNX NIFTY                5366                  5369          5397       5428          5486          5339          5311      5253
NIFTY AUG. FUT.              5382                  5386          5420       5458          5530          5348          5314      5242




                                           Stocks To Watch Out Today
Aban, Andhra Bank, APIL, Apollo Tyre, Biocon, Crompton Greaves, Delta Corp, Dr. Reddys, Guj. Flouro; Hero Motocorp, HUL
India Infoline, Infosys Tech; Kotak Bank, M&M, MRPL, Ranbaxy, Renuka Sugar, Shriram Transport, Tata Chem, Videocon
ACC, Ambuja Cements, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bata, Bharat Forge, Chambal Fert; Dish TV, DLF, Exide, GAIL, GMR Infra,
HCC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hindalco, HOECL, IFCI, India Cement, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigation, NTPC, Patel Engg;
PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, SAIL, Tata Power, Tata Steel, ZEEL

                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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    risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                 The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 210812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 21st August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets volatile BSE SENSEX 17691.08 0.19 S&P CNX NIFTY 5366.30 0.06 Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5382.35 0.01 markets witnessed a firm opening. The markets moved higher India VIX 15.73 0.25 on back of buying support, which also led to short covering. However, the Nifty faltered and struggled around the 5400 S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels level. Sharp selling pressure and profit taking was witnessed, Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 which took the Nifty closer to its support level at 5333. The Support 5333 5250 5108 markets managed to come off the lows for the day to end the Resistance 5386 5464 5500 day on a flat note. The top gainers for the day were DLF, Bharti Airtel, Hindalco, Sesa Goa, HDFC, GAIL, BPCL, Coal Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY India, PNB and Rel. Infra 50 Day SMA 5211.70 100 Day SMA 5152.06 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5112.62 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, indicating buying concentrated only in index heavyweight stocks. The global market Market Breadth * BSE NSE cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to Advances 1344 681 witness a flat opening. The markets consolidated moving Declines 1498 818 in a narrow range. The prevailing technical positives Same 130 77 continue to hold good. The Stochastic has moved above Total 2972 1576 its average. Moreover, the RSI, KST and MACD all are still A/D Ratio 0.89 : 1 0.83 : 1 placed above their respective averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST are placed in the positive territory, which Volume (Lacs Shares) * augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed 17/08/12 16/08/12 % Chg. above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. BSE 2286 2223 2.83 More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being NSE 6511 6104 6.66 called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positives Total 8797 8327 5.64 would lead to buying support at regular intervals. The Turnover ( ` Crores) * ADX line is moving higher, while the +DI line has started 17/08/12 16/08/12 % Chg. coming off its recent highs, indicating buyers are booking profits. The market sentiment remains positive BSE 2155.10 86255.67 -97.50 but tentative at higher levels. Follow up buying continues NSE 10262.50 10165.94 0.95 to remain dismal at higher levels. Now, it is important NSE F&O 125417.70 86255.67 45.40 that markets witness buying support at higher levels for Total 137835.30 182677.28 -24.55 the Nifty to move above the 5386 resistance level and test the 5464 resistance level. The volumes are likely to F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * remain lackluster ahead of festive holidays during the 17/08/12 16/08/12 % Chg. course of the next few trading sessions. The sharp rise in Index Fut. 377380 249873 51.03 crude prices could become a sentiment dampener for the Stock Fut. 470493 409795 14.81 markets and could stall the current uptrend. In the Index Opt. 3528439 2304021 53.14 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Rupee, Stock Opt. 259232 217610 19.13 global market cues and the crude prices. The support Total 4635544 3181299 39.80 levels for Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5108, 5047, 5000 and 4950. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5386, 5464 and NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE 5500 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Bata Fut 901.95 Sell Below 896.00 909.50 1.51 866 3.35 TGT of 92 Achieved given Buy @ 86.50 on Apollo Tyre 91.30 Buy Above 92.00 89.75 2.45 97 5.43 13/08/12 Tata Motors DVR 141.15 Buy Above 141.75 139.25 1.76 147 3.70 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17691 17705 17787 17884 18063 17609 17526 17347 S&P CNX NIFTY 5366 5369 5397 5428 5486 5339 5311 5253 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5382 5386 5420 5458 5530 5348 5314 5242 Stocks To Watch Out Today Aban, Andhra Bank, APIL, Apollo Tyre, Biocon, Crompton Greaves, Delta Corp, Dr. Reddys, Guj. Flouro; Hero Motocorp, HUL India Infoline, Infosys Tech; Kotak Bank, M&M, MRPL, Ranbaxy, Renuka Sugar, Shriram Transport, Tata Chem, Videocon ACC, Ambuja Cements, Arvind, Ashok Leyland, Bata, Bharat Forge, Chambal Fert; Dish TV, DLF, Exide, GAIL, GMR Infra, HCC, HDFC Bank, HDIL, Hindalco, HOECL, IFCI, India Cement, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, Jain Irrigation, NTPC, Patel Engg; PTC, Punj Lloyd, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, SAIL, Tata Power, Tata Steel, ZEEL Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com