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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   20th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16859.80          0.92
                                                        Directionless session leads to choppiness
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5103.85          0.78
                                                       Mirroring the weak global market sentiment; the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5110.60          1.02
                                                       markets witnessed a negative opening. However, the over all
 India VIX                   21.43           -5.17     trend remained range bound and choppy as markets
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 struggled to find direction. Buying was concentrated mainly in
                                                       index heavyweight stocks as breadth remained negative. The
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       markets ended the day with moderate gains to close near the
Support           5073       4950            4841
                                                       highs for the day closing above the 200-day SMA. The top
Resistance        5114       5250            5333      gainers for the day were Ambuja Cement, GAIL, Siemens,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Reliance, ITC, Ranbaxy, IDFC, Bharti AIirtel, BPCL and
50 Day SMA                  5063.93
                                                       Grasim.
100 Day SMA                 5199.14                    Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst
200 Day SMA                 5073.22        ◄Critical   lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The
                                                       domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       Nifty once again closed above its long term 200-day
Advances                     1350             709
                                                       SMA. The prevailing technical positives helped the
Declines                     1321             733      markets witness short covering and selective buying
Same                          135               84     support. The RSI has moved above its average. The
Total                        2806            1526      MACD and the KST are already placed above their
A/D Ratio                   1.02 : 1        0.97 : 1   respective averages and are also placed in the positive
                                                       territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty has
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               crossed the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The Nifty
               19/06/12     18/06/12        % Chg.     basis has once again turned positive as Nifty futures
BSE              1605        1794           -10.54     trades at a premium to Nifty spot index. However, the
NSE              5419        5881            -7.85     prevailing technical negatives are likely to cap upside
Total            7024        7675            -8.48     gains. The Stochastic remains placed below its average.
                                                       The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA.
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day
               19/06/12     18/06/12        % Chg.     SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would
BSE             1865.85     1942.50          -3.95     result in regular bouts of profit taking and selling
NSE             9080.63     9751.65          -6.88
                                                       pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are
                                                       moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The
NSE F&O        152482.69   191592.93        -20.41
                                                       market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important
Total          163429.17   203287.08        -19.61
                                                       that the markets witness follow up buying support at
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          higher levels for Nifty to sustain above its 200-day SMA.
               19/06/12     18/06/12        % Chg.
                                                       The markets would witness volatility and choppiness as
                                                       it struggles to find a secular direction. In the meanwhile
Index Fut.      608218      691947          -12.10
                                                       the markets would take cues from, the news flow on
Stock Fut.      539132      571573           -5.68
                                                       FOMC meeting, Rupee, global markets and the crude
Index Opt.     4672279      6012215         -22.29     prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4950, 4841,
Stock Opt.      248516      308790          -19.52     4777 and 4624. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5071, 5114,
Total          6068145      7584525         -18.46     5250, 5333 and 5379 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                     (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                                  Stop
                                                     Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock             Close          Action          Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Arvind Fut                69.05       Sell Below            68.00       70.25         3.31          63          7.35
Bank of India Fut        328.30       Sell Below           326.00      333.25         2.22         305          6.44


Coal India             344.00    Buy Above         344.25     337.00                  2.11         360          4.58
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                               Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close          Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   16860                 16811      16939      17019          17227        16731        16602        16394
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5104                  5089       5129        5154          5220            5063        5023       4958
NIFTY JUNE FUT.               5111                  5093       5139        5167          5240            5065        5019       4945




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

ABG Shipyard, Ambuja Cements, APIL, Divis Labs, FT, GAIL, HPCL, Lupin, Mcleod Russel, Piramal Healthcare, Powergrid,
Ranbaxy, Sobha, Sun Pharma
Apollo Tyre, Areva, Arvind, BHEL, Colgate, GE Shipping, Godrej Industries, Hexaware, Infosys Tech; NHPC, Petronet, PNB,
Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Tata Chemicals, Tata Power, Union Bank, Videocon, Welcorp, Yes Bank, ZEEL




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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 200612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 20th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16859.80 0.92 Directionless session leads to choppiness S&P CNX NIFTY 5103.85 0.78 Mirroring the weak global market sentiment; the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5110.60 1.02 markets witnessed a negative opening. However, the over all India VIX 21.43 -5.17 trend remained range bound and choppy as markets S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels struggled to find direction. Buying was concentrated mainly in index heavyweight stocks as breadth remained negative. The Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 markets ended the day with moderate gains to close near the Support 5073 4950 4841 highs for the day closing above the 200-day SMA. The top Resistance 5114 5250 5333 gainers for the day were Ambuja Cement, GAIL, Siemens, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Reliance, ITC, Ranbaxy, IDFC, Bharti AIirtel, BPCL and 50 Day SMA 5063.93 Grasim. 100 Day SMA 5199.14 Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst 200 Day SMA 5073.22 ◄Critical lower volumes. The global market cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE Nifty once again closed above its long term 200-day Advances 1350 709 SMA. The prevailing technical positives helped the Declines 1321 733 markets witness short covering and selective buying Same 135 84 support. The RSI has moved above its average. The Total 2806 1526 MACD and the KST are already placed above their A/D Ratio 1.02 : 1 0.97 : 1 respective averages and are also placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty has Volume (Lacs Shares) * crossed the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The Nifty 19/06/12 18/06/12 % Chg. basis has once again turned positive as Nifty futures BSE 1605 1794 -10.54 trades at a premium to Nifty spot index. However, the NSE 5419 5881 -7.85 prevailing technical negatives are likely to cap upside Total 7024 7675 -8.48 gains. The Stochastic remains placed below its average. The Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA. Turnover ( ` Crores) * Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day 19/06/12 18/06/12 % Chg. SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would BSE 1865.85 1942.50 -3.95 result in regular bouts of profit taking and selling NSE 9080.63 9751.65 -6.88 pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The NSE F&O 152482.69 191592.93 -20.41 market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important Total 163429.17 203287.08 -19.61 that the markets witness follow up buying support at F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * higher levels for Nifty to sustain above its 200-day SMA. 19/06/12 18/06/12 % Chg. The markets would witness volatility and choppiness as it struggles to find a secular direction. In the meanwhile Index Fut. 608218 691947 -12.10 the markets would take cues from, the news flow on Stock Fut. 539132 571573 -5.68 FOMC meeting, Rupee, global markets and the crude Index Opt. 4672279 6012215 -22.29 prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 4950, 4841, Stock Opt. 248516 308790 -19.52 4777 and 4624. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5071, 5114, Total 6068145 7584525 -18.46 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Arvind Fut 69.05 Sell Below 68.00 70.25 3.31 63 7.35 Bank of India Fut 328.30 Sell Below 326.00 333.25 2.22 305 6.44 Coal India 344.00 Buy Above 344.25 337.00 2.11 360 4.58 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16860 16811 16939 17019 17227 16731 16602 16394 S&P CNX NIFTY 5104 5089 5129 5154 5220 5063 5023 4958 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5111 5093 5139 5167 5240 5065 5019 4945 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today ABG Shipyard, Ambuja Cements, APIL, Divis Labs, FT, GAIL, HPCL, Lupin, Mcleod Russel, Piramal Healthcare, Powergrid, Ranbaxy, Sobha, Sun Pharma Apollo Tyre, Areva, Arvind, BHEL, Colgate, GE Shipping, Godrej Industries, Hexaware, Infosys Tech; NHPC, Petronet, PNB, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Tata Chemicals, Tata Power, Union Bank, Videocon, Welcorp, Yes Bank, ZEEL Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com