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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                           7th December 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                           Markets turn volatile
 BSE SENSEX                    19486.80             0.49
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5930.90             0.52
                                                              Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.                5970.65             0.51
                                                              markets witnessed a firm opening. However, profit taking and
 India VIX                        15.24             -8.30     selling pressure at higher levels in the morning session saw
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        the markets erase all the gains to trade in the negative.
                                                              However, the markets managed to claw back in the positive
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3
                                                              on back of BSP supporting the FDI policy on multi-brand
Support           5885          5816            5747
                                                              retail in Rajya Sabha. The Nifty ended the day above the
Resistance        5945          6135            6313          psychologically important 5900 level. The top gainers for the
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         day were JP Associates, Axis Bank, Rel. Infra, BHEL, Tata
50 Day SMA                     5700.10        ◄Positive
                                                              Motors, SBI, IDFC, DLF, Sesa Goa and ICICI Bank.
100 Day SMA                    5507.19
                                                              Technically, the market breadth remained positive
200 Day SMA                    5343.51
                                                              amidst higher volumes, which augurs well for the
   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           markets. The markets continued to move higher on back
Advances                            1601               859
                                                              of prevailing technical positive conditions. The MACD,
                                                              KST and RSI all are still placed above their respective
Declines                            1297               661
                                                              averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST are placed in the
Same                                 103               149
                                                              positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
Total                               3001             1669     day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
A/D Ratio                        1.23 : 1          1.30 : 1   Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
                                                              SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *
                                                              Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
               06/12/12        05/12/12        % Chg.
                                                              further buying support. However, the prevailing technical
BSE                    2982         3250             -8.25    negative conditions continue to hold good. The
NSE                    9170         8798              4.23    Stochastic is still placed below its average. Moreover,
Total                 12152       12048               0.86    the RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought
                                                              zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure.
               06/12/12        05/12/12        % Chg.         Though the +DI line is placed above the 32 level it has
BSE                  2908.37     2885.77              0.78    come off its recent highs of 37 level and has once again
NSE              13584.65       13140.28              3.38    started moving lower, indicating buyers are booking
NSE F&O         157614.77       106448.9            48.07     profits regularly. The market sentiment remains upbeat.
Total           174107.79 122474.95                 42.16
                                                              Now, it is important that the Nifty witnesses follow up
                                                              buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *              5945 resistance levels and move higher. In the
               06/12/12        05/12/12        % Chg.         meanwhile the markets would take cues from the on
Index Fut.           414976      224492             84.85     going parliament session, global markets, Rupee and the
Stock Fut.           660652      557492             18.50
                                                              crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
                                                              5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The Nifty faces resistance at
Index Opt.        3898942       2515920             54.97
                                                              5945, 6135 and 6313 levels.
Stock Opt.           325820      280770             16.05
Total             5300390       3578674             39.91

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                     Stop
                                                      Initiation       Stop          Loss                     Target
       Stock             Close           Action         Price         Loss *          (%)       Target         (%)              Remarks
Andhra Bank               115.35        Buy Above           116.00        114.20       1.55         120          3.45
BPCL                      360.60        Buy Above           363.00        357.50       1.52         375          3.31
Dish TV                 81.45   Buy Above          81.75      80.25                    1.83          85          3.98
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
       Indices             Close           Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                    19487                 19399       19611        19736          20073        19274          19062       18725
S&P CNX NIFTY                    5931                5904          5969       6008           6111         5866           5800        5697
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                  5971                5942          6014       6056           6171         5899           5827        5713




                                              Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, BoB, BPCL, Canara Bank, Century Textiles,
CESC, Dena Bank, Dish TV, DLF, Hindalco, IDFC, IFCI, IRB Infra, ITC, IVRCL, JP Associates, JP Power, PFC, PNB, REC,
Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Renuka Sugar, RPower, SBI, Sesa Goa, Sintex, Sterlite, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, TCS,
Titan, UCO Bank, Union Bank, Unitech, Voltas, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank, ZEEL
Bata, Bharti Airtel, Bhushan Steel, Biocon, Cipla, Colgate, Hexaware, Infosys Tech; M&M, Wipro




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
               The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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    required to observe these restrictions.
    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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    jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
    objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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    with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 071212

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 7th December 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets turn volatile BSE SENSEX 19486.80 0.49 S&P CNX NIFTY 5930.90 0.52 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5970.65 0.51 markets witnessed a firm opening. However, profit taking and India VIX 15.24 -8.30 selling pressure at higher levels in the morning session saw S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the markets erase all the gains to trade in the negative. However, the markets managed to claw back in the positive Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 on back of BSP supporting the FDI policy on multi-brand Support 5885 5816 5747 retail in Rajya Sabha. The Nifty ended the day above the Resistance 5945 6135 6313 psychologically important 5900 level. The top gainers for the Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY day were JP Associates, Axis Bank, Rel. Infra, BHEL, Tata 50 Day SMA 5700.10 ◄Positive Motors, SBI, IDFC, DLF, Sesa Goa and ICICI Bank. 100 Day SMA 5507.19 Technically, the market breadth remained positive 200 Day SMA 5343.51 amidst higher volumes, which augurs well for the Market Breadth * BSE NSE markets. The markets continued to move higher on back Advances 1601 859 of prevailing technical positive conditions. The MACD, KST and RSI all are still placed above their respective Declines 1297 661 averages. Moreover, the MACD and KST are placed in the Same 103 149 positive territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- Total 3001 1669 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the A/D Ratio 1.23 : 1 1.30 : 1 Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Volume (Lacs Shares) * Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to 06/12/12 05/12/12 % Chg. further buying support. However, the prevailing technical BSE 2982 3250 -8.25 negative conditions continue to hold good. The NSE 9170 8798 4.23 Stochastic is still placed below its average. Moreover, Total 12152 12048 0.86 the RSI and the Stochastic are placed in the over bought zone. These negative technical conditions would lead to Turnover ( ` Crores) * intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. 06/12/12 05/12/12 % Chg. Though the +DI line is placed above the 32 level it has BSE 2908.37 2885.77 0.78 come off its recent highs of 37 level and has once again NSE 13584.65 13140.28 3.38 started moving lower, indicating buyers are booking NSE F&O 157614.77 106448.9 48.07 profits regularly. The market sentiment remains upbeat. Total 174107.79 122474.95 42.16 Now, it is important that the Nifty witnesses follow up buying support at higher levels for the Nifty to test the F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * 5945 resistance levels and move higher. In the 06/12/12 05/12/12 % Chg. meanwhile the markets would take cues from the on Index Fut. 414976 224492 84.85 going parliament session, global markets, Rupee and the Stock Fut. 660652 557492 18.50 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5885, 5816, 5747 and 5665. The Nifty faces resistance at Index Opt. 3898942 2515920 54.97 5945, 6135 and 6313 levels. Stock Opt. 325820 280770 16.05 Total 5300390 3578674 39.91 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Andhra Bank 115.35 Buy Above 116.00 114.20 1.55 120 3.45 BPCL 360.60 Buy Above 363.00 357.50 1.52 375 3.31 Dish TV 81.45 Buy Above 81.75 80.25 1.83 85 3.98 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 19487 19399 19611 19736 20073 19274 19062 18725 S&P CNX NIFTY 5931 5904 5969 6008 6111 5866 5800 5697 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 5971 5942 6014 6056 6171 5899 5827 5713 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, Apollo Tyre, Axis Bank, BoB, BPCL, Canara Bank, Century Textiles, CESC, Dena Bank, Dish TV, DLF, Hindalco, IDFC, IFCI, IRB Infra, ITC, IVRCL, JP Associates, JP Power, PFC, PNB, REC, Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Renuka Sugar, RPower, SBI, Sesa Goa, Sintex, Sterlite, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, TCS, Titan, UCO Bank, Union Bank, Unitech, Voltas, Vijaya Bank, Yes Bank, ZEEL Bata, Bharti Airtel, Bhushan Steel, Biocon, Cipla, Colgate, Hexaware, Infosys Tech; M&M, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com