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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    7th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16454.30          2.71
                                                               Short covering helps markets gain
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4997.10          2.75
                                                        Mirroring the positive global market cues The domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            4978.60          2.73
                                                        markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying
 India VIX                   24.90           -5.17      support was witnessed which led to short covering and
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  helped the Nifty move above the 4950 resistance level.
                                                        Buying momentum increased once the Nifty was able to
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                        sustain above the 4950 level helping the Nifty to move above
Support           4950       4825            4777
                                                        the psychologically important 5000 level. The markets ended
Resistance        5070       5106            5250       the day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   day. The top gainers for the day were Tata Motors, Hero
50 Day SMA                  5096.30
                                                        Motorcorp, L&T, Ambuja Cements, Rel. Infra, IDFC, Jindal
                                                        Steel, ITC, Sterlite and NTPC.
100 Day SMA                 5192.04
200 Day SMA                 5064.54        ◄ Critical
                                                        Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the market.
Advances                     1849            1168
                                                        The global market cues are positive. The domestic
                                                        markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. The
Declines                      894             319
                                                        prevailing technical positives helped the markets move
Same                          123                67
                                                        higher. The Stochastic, RSI, and KST have moved above
Total                        2866            1554       their respective averages. The MACD is already placed
A/D Ratio                   2.07 : 1        3.66 : 1    above its average. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and
                                                        100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *
                                                        ADX and the –DI line continue to come down, indicating
               06/06/12     05/06/12        % Chg.
                                                        short covering is happening, while the +DI line is moving
BSE              2096        1612            30.02      higher. These positive technical conditions would
NSE              6902        4986            38.41      prompt buying support and further short covering.
Total            8998        6598            36.36      However, a few technical negatives still continue to hold
                                                        good and would cap the upside gains The KST and
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                MACD are placed in the negative territory and warn of
               06/06/12     05/06/12        % Chg.      impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed
BSE             2060.29     1819.60          13.23      below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
NSE            11678.46     8587.16          36.00      Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day
NSE F&O        108848.26   73256.34          48.59      SMA. Further, the Nifty Futures continues to trade at a
Total          122587.01   83663.10          46.52
                                                        discount to the Nifty Spot price. The market sentiment
                                                        remains tentative as Nifty trades near the psychologically
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          important 5000 level. Now it is important that the markets
               06/06/12     05/06/12        % Chg.      witness follow up buying support at higher levels. The
Index Fut.      520113      400019           30.02      Nifty’s 200 week SMA support on weekly charts is placed
Stock Fut.      529010      411593           28.53
                                                        around 4825, which would act as good support level. In
                                                        the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Index Opt.     3220975      2076311          55.13
                                                        Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support
Stock Opt.      191948      147706           29.95
                                                        levels for Nifty are placed at 4950, 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624
Total          4462046      3035629          39.17      and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5070, 5106 and
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE                            5250 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                 Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                              Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Asian Paints          3824.05       Buy Above           3830       3776.00        1.41        3950          3.13
Axis Bank             1020.35       Buy Above           1025       1009.00        1.56        1060          3.41
                                                                                                                   TGT of 1950
                                                                                                                   Achieved
                                                                                                                   given Buy @
                                                                                                                   1875 on
Hero Motorcorp        1955.05    Buy Above           1960     1919.00             2.09        2050          4.59   06/06/12
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                           Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16454                16350     16599       16744         17138        16205        15956        15561
S&P CNX NIFTY               4997                 4965       5043       5089          5213            4919        4840       4716
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             4979                 4950       5017       5055          5160            4912        4845       4739




                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

ACC, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, APIL, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bank of baroda, Bank of India, BHEL, Bhushan Steel,
Canara Bank, DCB, FT, HCC, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Hero Motorcorp, IDFC, IRB Infra, IVRCL, Jindal Saw, Kotak Bank,
Karnataka Bank, L&T, M&M, NTPC, ONGC, Oriental Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Powergrid, PTC, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Rel.
Power, SBI, Sterlite, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Wipro
Balrampur Chini, Colgate, IOC




      Disclaimer
      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
      own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
      those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
      price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
      match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
      Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 070612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 7th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16454.30 2.71 Short covering helps markets gain S&P CNX NIFTY 4997.10 2.75 Mirroring the positive global market cues The domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4978.60 2.73 markets witnessed a gap up opening. Broad based buying India VIX 24.90 -5.17 support was witnessed which led to short covering and S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels helped the Nifty move above the 4950 resistance level. Buying momentum increased once the Nifty was able to Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 sustain above the 4950 level helping the Nifty to move above Support 4950 4825 4777 the psychologically important 5000 level. The markets ended Resistance 5070 5106 5250 the day with moderate gains to close near the highs for the Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY day. The top gainers for the day were Tata Motors, Hero 50 Day SMA 5096.30 Motorcorp, L&T, Ambuja Cements, Rel. Infra, IDFC, Jindal Steel, ITC, Sterlite and NTPC. 100 Day SMA 5192.04 200 Day SMA 5064.54 ◄ Critical Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst Market Breadth * BSE NSE higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the market. Advances 1849 1168 The global market cues are positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a gap up opening. The Declines 894 319 prevailing technical positives helped the markets move Same 123 67 higher. The Stochastic, RSI, and KST have moved above Total 2866 1554 their respective averages. The MACD is already placed A/D Ratio 2.07 : 1 3.66 : 1 above its average. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. The Volume (Lacs Shares) * ADX and the –DI line continue to come down, indicating 06/06/12 05/06/12 % Chg. short covering is happening, while the +DI line is moving BSE 2096 1612 30.02 higher. These positive technical conditions would NSE 6902 4986 38.41 prompt buying support and further short covering. Total 8998 6598 36.36 However, a few technical negatives still continue to hold good and would cap the upside gains The KST and Turnover ( ` Crores) * MACD are placed in the negative territory and warn of 06/06/12 05/06/12 % Chg. impending selling pressure. The Nifty remains placed BSE 2060.29 1819.60 13.23 below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. NSE 11678.46 8587.16 36.00 Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day NSE F&O 108848.26 73256.34 48.59 SMA. Further, the Nifty Futures continues to trade at a Total 122587.01 83663.10 46.52 discount to the Nifty Spot price. The market sentiment remains tentative as Nifty trades near the psychologically F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * important 5000 level. Now it is important that the markets 06/06/12 05/06/12 % Chg. witness follow up buying support at higher levels. The Index Fut. 520113 400019 30.02 Nifty’s 200 week SMA support on weekly charts is placed Stock Fut. 529010 411593 28.53 around 4825, which would act as good support level. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Index Opt. 3220975 2076311 55.13 Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support Stock Opt. 191948 147706 29.95 levels for Nifty are placed at 4950, 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 Total 4462046 3035629 39.17 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5070, 5106 and NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE 5250 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Asian Paints 3824.05 Buy Above 3830 3776.00 1.41 3950 3.13 Axis Bank 1020.35 Buy Above 1025 1009.00 1.56 1060 3.41 TGT of 1950 Achieved given Buy @ 1875 on Hero Motorcorp 1955.05 Buy Above 1960 1919.00 2.09 2050 4.59 06/06/12 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16454 16350 16599 16744 17138 16205 15956 15561 S&P CNX NIFTY 4997 4965 5043 5089 5213 4919 4840 4716 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4979 4950 5017 5055 5160 4912 4845 4739 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today ACC, Allahabad Bank, Andhra Bank, APIL, Ashok Leyland, Axis Bank, Bank of baroda, Bank of India, BHEL, Bhushan Steel, Canara Bank, DCB, FT, HCC, HDFC, HDFC Bank, Hero Motorcorp, IDFC, IRB Infra, IVRCL, Jindal Saw, Kotak Bank, Karnataka Bank, L&T, M&M, NTPC, ONGC, Oriental Bank, Pantaloon Retail, Powergrid, PTC, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Rel. Power, SBI, Sterlite, Tata Chemicals, TCS, Wipro Balrampur Chini, Colgate, IOC Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com