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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                             15th November 2012

                    Gold            Silver            Crude
                   (5 Dec-12)      (5 Dec-12)     (15 Nov-12)    MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) –

 Open                 31,748            61,199           4,694   Gold opened higher at 31748 but moved lower to touch an intra-
                                                                 day low of 31568. However, it managed to bounce back from lower
 High                 31,775            61,450           4,754
                                                                 levels. It touched an intra-day high of 31775. It ended the day with
 Low                  31,568            60,680           4,667   marginal gains to close at 31746.
 Close                31,746            61,375           4,740   The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to
 Prev. Close          31,719            60,804           4,680   buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its
                                                                 average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would
 % Change              0.09%            0.94%           1.28%
                                                                 lead to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed
Source – MCX                                                     above the 36 level it is declining, indicating buyers are booking
                                                                 profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31937,
                    Volume (In 000's)                            32100 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 31737,
                                                                 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 30340
                   14-Nov-12       13-Nov-12            % Chg.
                                                                 MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) –
 Gold (gms)          20,838.0           8,524.0        144.46%

 Silver (kgs)         1,388.8            521.1         166.50%
                                                                 Silver opened higher at 61199 but moved lower to touch an intra-
                                                                 day low of 60680. However, it managed to bounce back from lower
 Crude (bbl)         17,824.5           4,696.7        279.51%   levels. It touched an intra-day high of 61450. It ended the day with
Source – MCX                                                     moderate gains to close at 61375.
                                                                 The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to
                   Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its
                   14-Nov-12       13-Nov-12            % Chg.   average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would
                                                                 lead to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed
Gold                660,045.2       270,870.7          143.68%   above the 30 level it is declining, indicating buyers are booking
Silver              848,046.0       318,437.7          166.31%   profits at regular intervals. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61398,
                                                                 61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 60750,
Crude               839,649.3       220,634.3          280.56%
                                                                 59512, 57400, 56953 and 53621 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (15 NOVEMBER 12) –
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                        Crude opened lower at 4694 and moved further lower to touch an
                                                                 intra-day low of 4667. However, it managed to bounce back from
                           15/9/2012      14/8/2012     % Chg.
                                                                 lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of 4754. It ended the day
 Gold (oz)                  1,726.50       1,730.10     -0.21%   with moderate gains to close at 4740.
 Silver (oz)                    32.66         32.88     -0.67%   The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective
 WTI Crude (bbl)                86.34         86.32     0.02%    averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI
                                                                 line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
 Brent Crude (bbl)           109.73          109.61     0.11%    trend. It faces resistance at 4760, 4892, 4950 and 5000 while the
 Dollar Index                   81.08         81.12     -0.05%   supports are placed at 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                 NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                 Basis




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
China's oil imports show economy back on track
China's commodity imports for October appear to present a mixed picture, with strength in oil and weakness in iron ore
and copper, but the overall message should be that economic momentum is once again accelerating. There is always
a risk in reading too much into one month's data, and this is especially the case for October, which was distorted by
the week-long holiday at the start of the month. For this reason it's better to look at the two-month picture presented by
September and October data when trying to draw conclusions about demand in the world's biggest commodity
consumer.
Oil rises on possible Japanese stimulus
Crude rose for the first time in three days on Wednesday, buoyed by speculation that Japan may pursue more
aggressive monetary easing, potentially buoying fuel demand. Futures gained as much as 0.7% as the Standard &
Poor's GSCI Index of commodities advanced for the first time in three days.
Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Thursday                           Friday                           Monday

    Regions                    15/Nov                            16/Nov                            19/Nov

     India                                            Bank Loan Growth (Nov 4)

                                                      FX Reserves, USD (Nov 11)




                      Consumer Price Index -         Industrial Production (MoM)       Existing Home Sales (MoM)
      US
                         Core (YoY) (Oct)                        (Oct)                            (Oct)
                     Initial Jobless Claims (Nov                                          NAHB Housing Market
                                  10)                                                         Index (Nov)




                     Euro ECB Monthly Report          Euro Current Account n.s.a
     Global
                              (Nov)                             (Sep)
                       Italy Gross Domestic
                         Product (YoY) (Q3)
                    Euro Consumer Price Index                                           Japan BoJ Monetary Policy
                        - Core (YoY) (Oct)                                              Meeting Minutes (Nov 19)




                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
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The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 151112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th November 2012 Gold Silver Crude (5 Dec-12) (5 Dec-12) (15 Nov-12) MCX GOLD (5 DECEMBER 12) – Open 31,748 61,199 4,694 Gold opened higher at 31748 but moved lower to touch an intra- day low of 31568. However, it managed to bounce back from lower High 31,775 61,450 4,754 levels. It touched an intra-day high of 31775. It ended the day with Low 31,568 60,680 4,667 marginal gains to close at 31746. Close 31,746 61,375 4,740 The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to Prev. Close 31,719 60,804 4,680 buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would % Change 0.09% 0.94% 1.28% lead to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed Source – MCX above the 36 level it is declining, indicating buyers are booking profits at regular intervals. MCX Gold faces resistance at 31937, Volume (In 000's) 32100 and 32421 while the support levels are placed at 31737, 31467, 31348, 30837, 30428 and 30340 14-Nov-12 13-Nov-12 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 DECEMBER 12) – Gold (gms) 20,838.0 8,524.0 144.46% Silver (kgs) 1,388.8 521.1 166.50% Silver opened higher at 61199 but moved lower to touch an intra- day low of 60680. However, it managed to bounce back from lower Crude (bbl) 17,824.5 4,696.7 279.51% levels. It touched an intra-day high of 61450. It ended the day with Source – MCX moderate gains to close at 61375. The RSI remains placed above its average, which would lead to Turnover (In Lacs) buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its 14-Nov-12 13-Nov-12 % Chg. average and is also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to profit taking at higher levels. Though the +DI line is placed Gold 660,045.2 270,870.7 143.68% above the 30 level it is declining, indicating buyers are booking Silver 848,046.0 318,437.7 166.31% profits at regular intervals. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61398, 61912, 62273, and 64600 while the supports are placed at 60750, Crude 839,649.3 220,634.3 280.56% 59512, 57400, 56953 and 53621 levels. Source – MCX MCX CRUDE (15 NOVEMBER 12) – Global Market (Nymex - $) Crude opened lower at 4694 and moved further lower to touch an intra-day low of 4667. However, it managed to bounce back from 15/9/2012 14/8/2012 % Chg. lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of 4754. It ended the day Gold (oz) 1,726.50 1,730.10 -0.21% with moderate gains to close at 4740. Silver (oz) 32.66 32.88 -0.67% The Stochastic and the RSI are placed above their respective WTI Crude (bbl) 86.34 86.32 0.02% averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound Brent Crude (bbl) 109.73 109.61 0.11% trend. It faces resistance at 4760, 4892, 4950 and 5000 while the Dollar Index 81.08 81.12 -0.05% supports are placed at 4692, 4603, 4578 and 4467. Source – www.cmegroup.com NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: China's oil imports show economy back on track China's commodity imports for October appear to present a mixed picture, with strength in oil and weakness in iron ore and copper, but the overall message should be that economic momentum is once again accelerating. There is always a risk in reading too much into one month's data, and this is especially the case for October, which was distorted by the week-long holiday at the start of the month. For this reason it's better to look at the two-month picture presented by September and October data when trying to draw conclusions about demand in the world's biggest commodity consumer. Oil rises on possible Japanese stimulus Crude rose for the first time in three days on Wednesday, buoyed by speculation that Japan may pursue more aggressive monetary easing, potentially buoying fuel demand. Futures gained as much as 0.7% as the Standard & Poor's GSCI Index of commodities advanced for the first time in three days. Economic Calendar: Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Regions 15/Nov 16/Nov 19/Nov India Bank Loan Growth (Nov 4) FX Reserves, USD (Nov 11) Consumer Price Index - Industrial Production (MoM) Existing Home Sales (MoM) US Core (YoY) (Oct) (Oct) (Oct) Initial Jobless Claims (Nov NAHB Housing Market 10) Index (Nov) Euro ECB Monthly Report Euro Current Account n.s.a Global (Nov) (Sep) Italy Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Q3) Euro Consumer Price Index Japan BoJ Monetary Policy - Core (YoY) (Oct) Meeting Minutes (Nov 19) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com