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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                                27th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.                        Markets range bound
 BSE SENSEX                17783.21          -0.38
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5386.70          -0.53     Mirroring the negative global market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.            5402.70          0.40      markets witnessed a subdue opening. Sustained selling
 India VIX                   16.16           0.24      pressure was witnessed as markets slipped below the 5400
                                                       level. However, steady buying support and short covering
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 was witnessed at lower levels, which helped the markets to
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    come off the lows for the day. The markets once again ended
Support           5386       5333            5250      the day on a flat note to close around the 5400 levels. The
Resistance        5464       5500            5565      top losers for the day were BHEL, TCS, ACC, Jindal Steel,
                                                       HUL, ITC, NTPC, Powergrid, Sun Pharma and Hero
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Motorcorp.
50 Day SMA                  5237.22
100 Day SMA                 5158.55                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5115.50        ◄Critical   amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the
                                                       markets. The global market cues are inconclusive. The
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       domestic are markets are likely to witness a flat opening.
Advances                     1185             491      The markets continued to struggle at higher levels on
Declines                     1634             972      back of the markets being placed in the over bought
Same                          147             101      zone. The Stochastic, KST and RSI have slipped below
Total                        2966            1564      their respective averages, which would lead to selling
A/D Ratio                   0.72 : 1        0.51 : 1
                                                       pressure. However, the other prevailing technical
                                                       positives still hold good, which would lead to buying
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               support at lower levels. The MACD remains placed above
               24/08/12     23/08/12        % Chg.     its average. Moreover, the MACD and KST are still placed
BSE              2154        2009            7.22
                                                       in the positive territory, which augurs well for the
                                                       markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA,
NSE              5943        5918            0.42
                                                       100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-
Total            8097        7927            2.14
                                                       day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross
               24/08/12     23/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
                                                       buying support at lower levels. The ADX line is moving
BSE             1940.33     1950.72          -0.53
                                                       higher, while the +DI line continues to move lower
NSE             8881.37    10109.71         -12.15
                                                       indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. The
NSE F&O        128515.77   129810.20         -1.00     market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty struggles
Total          139337.47   141870.63         -1.79     around the 5400 level. Follow up buying continues to
                                                       remain dismal along with the volumes. Now, it is
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       important that markets witness buying support at regular
               24/08/12     23/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       intervals for the Nifty to move and sustain above the
Index Fut.      339303      355689           -4.61     psychologically important 5400 level. In the meanwhile
Stock Fut.      553945      618330          -10.41     the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global
Index Opt.     3641091      3591354          1.38      market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for
Stock Opt.      241729      240190           0.64      Nifty are placed at 5386, 5333, 5250, 5114 and 5047. The
Total          4776068      4805563          1.07      Nifty faces resistance at the 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607
                                                       levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                    (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                   Stop
                                                    Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
         Stock           Close         Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)          Remarks
  ABB Fut                748.80      Sell Below            748             756      1.07         730           2.41


  BPCL                   354.55      Buy Above             358             350      2.23         375           4.75
  Cipla                  366.65 Buy Above             368                  362      1.63         381           3.53
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                             Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                    S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17850                 17872     17951          18052      18231            17771        17692    17513
S&P CNX NIFTY                5387                  5386          5401       5414          5443          5372          5357    5328
NIFTY AUG. FUT.              5403                  5399          5417       5432          5465          5385          5366    5333




                                           Stocks To Watch Out Today
Aban, ABB, ABG Shipyard, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Arvind, Axis Bank, BGR Energy, Bharat Forge, Bombay Dying,
Canara Bank, CBI, Delta Corp, Dish TV, DLF, Fortis, HDIL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, IOC, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Kotak
Bank, Karnataka Bank, L&T, M&M, NTPC, OnMobile, PFC, REC, Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Sintex, Tata Global, Tata
Steel, Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, VIP, Voltas, Yes Bank
Areva, Biocon, BPCL, Cipla, Coal India, Dabur, GSPL, HOECL, ITC, Jindal Saw, JSW Steel, Lupin, MTNL, ONGC, Orchid
Chem, Ranbaxy, Rel. Power, Siemens, Tata Chem; TCS, Uniphos, Wipro


                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
                 The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 270812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 27th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets range bound BSE SENSEX 17783.21 -0.38 S&P CNX NIFTY 5386.70 -0.53 Mirroring the negative global market cues, the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5402.70 0.40 markets witnessed a subdue opening. Sustained selling India VIX 16.16 0.24 pressure was witnessed as markets slipped below the 5400 level. However, steady buying support and short covering S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels was witnessed at lower levels, which helped the markets to Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 come off the lows for the day. The markets once again ended Support 5386 5333 5250 the day on a flat note to close around the 5400 levels. The Resistance 5464 5500 5565 top losers for the day were BHEL, TCS, ACC, Jindal Steel, HUL, ITC, NTPC, Powergrid, Sun Pharma and Hero Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Motorcorp. 50 Day SMA 5237.22 100 Day SMA 5158.55 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5115.50 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets. The global market cues are inconclusive. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE domestic are markets are likely to witness a flat opening. Advances 1185 491 The markets continued to struggle at higher levels on Declines 1634 972 back of the markets being placed in the over bought Same 147 101 zone. The Stochastic, KST and RSI have slipped below Total 2966 1564 their respective averages, which would lead to selling A/D Ratio 0.72 : 1 0.51 : 1 pressure. However, the other prevailing technical positives still hold good, which would lead to buying Volume (Lacs Shares) * support at lower levels. The MACD remains placed above 24/08/12 23/08/12 % Chg. its average. Moreover, the MACD and KST are still placed BSE 2154 2009 7.22 in the positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, NSE 5943 5918 0.42 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50- Total 8097 7927 2.14 day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and Turnover ( ` Crores) * 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross 24/08/12 23/08/12 % Chg. breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels. The ADX line is moving BSE 1940.33 1950.72 -0.53 higher, while the +DI line continues to move lower NSE 8881.37 10109.71 -12.15 indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. The NSE F&O 128515.77 129810.20 -1.00 market sentiment remains cautious as Nifty struggles Total 139337.47 141870.63 -1.79 around the 5400 level. Follow up buying continues to remain dismal along with the volumes. Now, it is F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * important that markets witness buying support at regular 24/08/12 23/08/12 % Chg. intervals for the Nifty to move and sustain above the Index Fut. 339303 355689 -4.61 psychologically important 5400 level. In the meanwhile Stock Fut. 553945 618330 -10.41 the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global Index Opt. 3641091 3591354 1.38 market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for Stock Opt. 241729 240190 0.64 Nifty are placed at 5386, 5333, 5250, 5114 and 5047. The Total 4776068 4805563 1.07 Nifty faces resistance at the 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ABB Fut 748.80 Sell Below 748 756 1.07 730 2.41 BPCL 354.55 Buy Above 358 350 2.23 375 4.75 Cipla 366.65 Buy Above 368 362 1.63 381 3.53 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17850 17872 17951 18052 18231 17771 17692 17513 S&P CNX NIFTY 5387 5386 5401 5414 5443 5372 5357 5328 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5403 5399 5417 5432 5465 5385 5366 5333 Stocks To Watch Out Today Aban, ABB, ABG Shipyard, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Arvind, Axis Bank, BGR Energy, Bharat Forge, Bombay Dying, Canara Bank, CBI, Delta Corp, Dish TV, DLF, Fortis, HDIL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, IOC, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, Kotak Bank, Karnataka Bank, L&T, M&M, NTPC, OnMobile, PFC, REC, Rel. Capital, Reliance, Rel. Infra, Sintex, Tata Global, Tata Steel, Union Bank, Vijaya Bank, VIP, Voltas, Yes Bank Areva, Biocon, BPCL, Cipla, Coal India, Dabur, GSPL, HOECL, ITC, Jindal Saw, JSW Steel, Lupin, MTNL, ONGC, Orchid Chem, Ranbaxy, Rel. Power, Siemens, Tata Chem; TCS, Uniphos, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com