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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                                28th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.      Sentiment turns weak as Nifty breaches 5400
 BSE SENSEX                17678.81          -0.59
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5350.25          -0.68     Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues, the domestic
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.            5362.40          -0.75     markets witnessed a flat opening. However, sustained selling
 India VIX                   16.47           1.91      pressure was witnessed amidst low volumes as markets
                                                       traded below the 5400 level. The markets failed to show any
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 signs of resilience and moved lower. Buying support
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    remained elusive ahead of the derivative segment expiry on
Support           5333       5250            5116      Thursday. The markets ended the day with modest losses to
Resistance        5386       5464            5500      close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day
                                                       were Jindal Steel, PNB, Axis bank, IDFC, Rel. Infra, DLF,
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Bank of Baroda, SBI, JP Associates and Sesa Goa.
50 Day SMA                  5243.13
100 Day SMA                 5158.47                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5116.41        ◄Critical   amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
                                                       divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives
Advances                     1022             444      continued to weigh on the market sentiment. Selling
Declines                     1784            1037      pressure and profit taking as witnessed as markets were
Same                          130               76     placed in the over bought zone. The current fall has
Total                        2936            1557      resulted in the oscillators RSI, KST and Stochastic
A/D Ratio                   0.57 : 1        0.43 : 1
                                                       breaching their respective averages. These would lead to
                                                       further selling pressure. However, the other prevailing
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               technical positives still hold good, which would lead to
               27/08/12     24/08/12        % Chg.     buying support at lower levels. The MACD remains
BSE              2126        2154            -1.30
                                                       placed above its average. Moreover, the MACD and KST
                                                       are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well
NSE              5052        5943           -14.99
                                                       for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-
Total            7178        8097           -11.35
                                                       day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
               27/08/12     24/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden
                                                       Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
BSE             1747.67     1940.33          -9.93
                                                       buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and
NSE             7578.96     8881.37         -14.66
                                                       –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
NSE F&O        119380.68   128515.77         -7.11     trend. The market sentiment remains cautious ahead of
Total          128707.31   139337.47         -7.63     derivative segment expiry. Follow up buying continues to
                                                       remain dismal along with lackluster volumes. Now, it is
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *
                                                       important that markets witness buying support at lower
               27/08/12     24/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       levels for the Nifty to move and sustain above the
Index Fut.      378284      339303           11.49     psychologically important 5400 level. In the meanwhile
Stock Fut.      717044      553945           29.44     the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global
Index Opt.     3145007      3641091         -13.62     market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for
Stock Opt.      229287      241729           -5.15     Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5116 and 5047. The Nifty
Total          4469622      4776068         -10.65     faces resistance at the 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607
                                                       levels.
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                    (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                   Stop
                                                    Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
        Stock            Close         Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)          Remarks
  Arvind Fut               65.80     Sell Below            65.50         67.00       2.29         62           5.34
  BHEL Fut               224.55      Sell Below           224.00        230.50       2.90        210           6.25


  Apollo Tyre            95.20 Buy Above             97.00               94.75       2.32        102           5.15
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                              Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17679                 17720      17779         17878       18036           17621        17563    17405
S&P CNX NIFTY                5350                  5365          5384       5418          5470          5332          5313    5260
NIFTY AUG. FUT.              5362                  5376          5393       5424          5472          5345          5327    5279




                                           Stocks To Watch Out Today
Apollo Tyre, Bhushan Steel, Cipla, Dabur, HUL, MRPL, Ranbaxy, Ultratech, Uniphos
Aban, ABB, ABG Shipyard, Adani Enter; Arvind, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind, BoB, BoI, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves,
Cummins, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, Dish TV, DLF, Essar Oil, Federal Bank, GMR Infra, Godrej Inds; GVK, HCC, HDIL,
Hexaware, HOECL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JP Ass; JSW Steel, Kotak Bk; KTK Bk; L&T, NALCO, Pantaloon
Retail, Patel Engg; PFC, Piramal Health; Polaris, Punj Lloyd, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; Rel. Infra, Renuka Sugar, ROlta, SBI,
Syndicate Bk; UCO Bk; Union Bk, Yes Bank


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                            th
                 The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 280812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Sentiment turns weak as Nifty breaches 5400 BSE SENSEX 17678.81 -0.59 S&P CNX NIFTY 5350.25 -0.68 Mirroring the inconclusive global market cues, the domestic NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5362.40 -0.75 markets witnessed a flat opening. However, sustained selling India VIX 16.47 1.91 pressure was witnessed amidst low volumes as markets traded below the 5400 level. The markets failed to show any S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels signs of resilience and moved lower. Buying support Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 remained elusive ahead of the derivative segment expiry on Support 5333 5250 5116 Thursday. The markets ended the day with modest losses to Resistance 5386 5464 5500 close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Jindal Steel, PNB, Axis bank, IDFC, Rel. Infra, DLF, Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Bank of Baroda, SBI, JP Associates and Sesa Goa. 50 Day SMA 5243.13 100 Day SMA 5158.47 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5116.41 ◄Critical amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a Market Breadth * BSE NSE flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives Advances 1022 444 continued to weigh on the market sentiment. Selling Declines 1784 1037 pressure and profit taking as witnessed as markets were Same 130 76 placed in the over bought zone. The current fall has Total 2936 1557 resulted in the oscillators RSI, KST and Stochastic A/D Ratio 0.57 : 1 0.43 : 1 breaching their respective averages. These would lead to further selling pressure. However, the other prevailing Volume (Lacs Shares) * technical positives still hold good, which would lead to 27/08/12 24/08/12 % Chg. buying support at lower levels. The MACD remains BSE 2126 2154 -1.30 placed above its average. Moreover, the MACD and KST are still placed in the positive territory, which augurs well NSE 5052 5943 -14.99 for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above its 50- Total 7178 8097 -11.35 day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Turnover ( ` Crores) * Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day 27/08/12 24/08/12 % Chg. SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to BSE 1747.67 1940.33 -9.93 buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and NSE 7578.96 8881.37 -14.66 –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound NSE F&O 119380.68 128515.77 -7.11 trend. The market sentiment remains cautious ahead of Total 128707.31 139337.47 -7.63 derivative segment expiry. Follow up buying continues to remain dismal along with lackluster volumes. Now, it is F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * important that markets witness buying support at lower 27/08/12 24/08/12 % Chg. levels for the Nifty to move and sustain above the Index Fut. 378284 339303 11.49 psychologically important 5400 level. In the meanwhile Stock Fut. 717044 553945 29.44 the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global Index Opt. 3145007 3641091 -13.62 market cues and the crude prices. The support levels for Stock Opt. 229287 241729 -5.15 Nifty are placed at 5333, 5250, 5116 and 5047. The Nifty Total 4469622 4776068 -10.65 faces resistance at the 5386, 5464, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Arvind Fut 65.80 Sell Below 65.50 67.00 2.29 62 5.34 BHEL Fut 224.55 Sell Below 224.00 230.50 2.90 210 6.25 Apollo Tyre 95.20 Buy Above 97.00 94.75 2.32 102 5.15 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17679 17720 17779 17878 18036 17621 17563 17405 S&P CNX NIFTY 5350 5365 5384 5418 5470 5332 5313 5260 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5362 5376 5393 5424 5472 5345 5327 5279 Stocks To Watch Out Today Apollo Tyre, Bhushan Steel, Cipla, Dabur, HUL, MRPL, Ranbaxy, Ultratech, Uniphos Aban, ABB, ABG Shipyard, Adani Enter; Arvind, Axis Bank, Bajaj Hind, BoB, BoI, BHEL, Bombay Dying, Crompton Greaves, Cummins, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, Dish TV, DLF, Essar Oil, Federal Bank, GMR Infra, Godrej Inds; GVK, HCC, HDIL, Hexaware, HOECL, ICICI Bank, IFCI, IVRCL, Jindal Steel, JP Ass; JSW Steel, Kotak Bk; KTK Bk; L&T, NALCO, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; PFC, Piramal Health; Polaris, Punj Lloyd, RCOM, REC, Rel. Cap; Rel. Infra, Renuka Sugar, ROlta, SBI, Syndicate Bk; UCO Bk; Union Bk, Yes Bank Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com