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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    5th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.            Markets respect 200-day Weekly SMA
 BSE SENSEX                15988.40          0.15       Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets
 S&P CNX NIFTY              4848.15          0.14       witnessed a gap down opening below its 200-day weekly
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            4840.50          0.33       SMA. However, the markets managed to pull back from lower
 India VIX                   25.60           -4.37      levels on back of short covering and selective buying support.
                                                        Buying momentum picked up in the afternoon session as
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  markets erased all the losses to trade with gains. The
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the
Support           4824       4777            4742       highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were JP
Resistance        4950       5070            5106       Associates, L&T, Siemens, ONGC, Bank of Baroda, BPCL,
                                                        Axis Bank, DLF, Tata Motors and PNB.
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
50 Day SMA                  5108.34                     Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5190.36                     amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
200 Day SMA                 5065.70        ◄ Critical   divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                                                        flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE        continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Stochastic,
Advances                     1204             621       KST and RSI are placed below their respective averages.
Declines                     1449             842       Moreover, the KST and MACD are placed in the negative
Same                          121                81     territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The
Total                        2774            1544       Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA
A/D Ratio                   0.83 : 1        0.74 : 1    and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed
                                                        below its 100-day SMA. The ADX line is moving higher,
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                while the –DI line is placed at 37.70 level indicating
               04/06/12     01/06/12        % Chg.      sellers have an upper hand. The +DI line is moving lower.
BSE              1589        2029           -21.69      These negative technical conditions would lead to further
NSE              5080        5483            -7.36
                                                        selling pressure. However, a few positive technical
                                                        conditions still hold good. The MACD is still placed
Total            6669        7512           -11.23
                                                        above its average. Further, the Stochastic is nearing the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                oversold zone. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and
               04/06/12     01/06/12        % Chg.      100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA.
BSE             1759.61     1873.85          -6.10
                                                        These positive technical conditions would prompt short
                                                        covering and selective buying support at lower levels.
NSE             8920.14     8947.20          -0.30
                                                        The market sentiment has turned tentative after the smart
NSE F&O        81583.31    79781.44          2.26
                                                        pull back rally helping the Nifty sustain above its 200-day
Total          92263.06    90602.49          1.83       weekly SMA. Now it is important that the markets witness
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *          buying support and move above the 4950 resistance
                                                        level. The Nifty’s 200 day SMA support on weekly charts
               04/06/12     01/06/12        % Chg.
                                                        is placed at 4825, which should act as good support
Index Fut.      441058      444173           -0.70      level. If Nifty fails to take support at this level then it is
Stock Fut.      443785      464907           -4.54      likely to move lower and possibly test the 4742 level. In
Index Opt.     2385506      2271315          5.03       the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Stock Opt.      162894      147652           10.32      Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support
Total          3433243      3328047          3.89       levels for Nifty are placed at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and
                                                        4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, and 5106
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE
                                                        levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
       Stock          Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Axis Bank              988.00       Buy Above           994.00      978.00         1.61        1030          3.62
BPCL                   716.50       Buy Above           720.50      707.00         1.87         750          4.09
Hexaware               122.30    Buy Above         123.00     120.75               1.83         128          4.07
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
       Indices          Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 15988                15917      16085      16181          16444        15821        15653        15389
S&P CNX NIFTY               4848                 4826       4881        4914          5002            4793        4738       4650
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             4841                 4818       4875        4909          5001            4783        4726       4635




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Aban, Adani Enterprises, Asian Paints, Bata, BEML, Bombay Dying, Cairn, Cipla, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, GE Shipping,
HDFC, HUL, Jindal Steel, Onmobile, Opto Circuit, Sterlite, Sun TV, Tata Chemicals, Tata Power, Titan, VIP
Ambuja Cements, Axis Bank, BPCL, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, DLF, HPCL, IOC, JP Associates, Oil India, ONGC.




      Disclaimer
      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
      reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
      though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
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      risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 050612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 5th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets respect 200-day Weekly SMA BSE SENSEX 15988.40 0.15 Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets S&P CNX NIFTY 4848.15 0.14 witnessed a gap down opening below its 200-day weekly NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4840.50 0.33 SMA. However, the markets managed to pull back from lower India VIX 25.60 -4.37 levels on back of short covering and selective buying support. Buying momentum picked up in the afternoon session as S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets erased all the losses to trade with gains. The Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 markets ended the day with modest gains to close near the Support 4824 4777 4742 highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were JP Resistance 4950 5070 5106 Associates, L&T, Siemens, ONGC, Bank of Baroda, BPCL, Axis Bank, DLF, Tata Motors and PNB. Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 50 Day SMA 5108.34 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5190.36 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 200 Day SMA 5065.70 ◄ Critical divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives Market Breadth * BSE NSE continued to weigh on market sentiment. The Stochastic, Advances 1204 621 KST and RSI are placed below their respective averages. Declines 1449 842 Moreover, the KST and MACD are placed in the negative Same 121 81 territory and warn of impending selling pressure. The Total 2774 1544 Nifty remains placed below its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA A/D Ratio 0.83 : 1 0.74 : 1 and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA. The ADX line is moving higher, Volume (Lacs Shares) * while the –DI line is placed at 37.70 level indicating 04/06/12 01/06/12 % Chg. sellers have an upper hand. The +DI line is moving lower. BSE 1589 2029 -21.69 These negative technical conditions would lead to further NSE 5080 5483 -7.36 selling pressure. However, a few positive technical conditions still hold good. The MACD is still placed Total 6669 7512 -11.23 above its average. Further, the Stochastic is nearing the Turnover ( ` Crores) * oversold zone. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and 04/06/12 01/06/12 % Chg. 100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. BSE 1759.61 1873.85 -6.10 These positive technical conditions would prompt short covering and selective buying support at lower levels. NSE 8920.14 8947.20 -0.30 The market sentiment has turned tentative after the smart NSE F&O 81583.31 79781.44 2.26 pull back rally helping the Nifty sustain above its 200-day Total 92263.06 90602.49 1.83 weekly SMA. Now it is important that the markets witness F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * buying support and move above the 4950 resistance level. The Nifty’s 200 day SMA support on weekly charts 04/06/12 01/06/12 % Chg. is placed at 4825, which should act as good support Index Fut. 441058 444173 -0.70 level. If Nifty fails to take support at this level then it is Stock Fut. 443785 464907 -4.54 likely to move lower and possibly test the 4742 level. In Index Opt. 2385506 2271315 5.03 the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Stock Opt. 162894 147652 10.32 Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support Total 3433243 3328047 3.89 levels for Nifty are placed at 4824, 4777, 4742, 4624 and 4530. The Nifty faces resistance at the 4950, 5070, and 5106 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Axis Bank 988.00 Buy Above 994.00 978.00 1.61 1030 3.62 BPCL 716.50 Buy Above 720.50 707.00 1.87 750 4.09 Hexaware 122.30 Buy Above 123.00 120.75 1.83 128 4.07 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 15988 15917 16085 16181 16444 15821 15653 15389 S&P CNX NIFTY 4848 4826 4881 4914 5002 4793 4738 4650 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 4841 4818 4875 4909 5001 4783 4726 4635 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Aban, Adani Enterprises, Asian Paints, Bata, BEML, Bombay Dying, Cairn, Cipla, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, GE Shipping, HDFC, HUL, Jindal Steel, Onmobile, Opto Circuit, Sterlite, Sun TV, Tata Chemicals, Tata Power, Titan, VIP Ambuja Cements, Axis Bank, BPCL, Delta Corp; Dena Bank, DLF, HPCL, IOC, JP Associates, Oil India, ONGC. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com