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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                            15th October 2012
         Indices *             Close          % Chg.                            Markets rangbound
 BSE SENSEX                    18675.18             -0.69
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5676.05             -0.56     Mirroring the weak global market cues and disappointing set
 NIFTY OCT. FUT.                5686.55             -0.92     of Infosys numbers the domestic markets witnessed a
 India VIX                        16.49             0.00      subdue opening. However, the markets managed to come off
                                                              the lows for the day to move higher and trade with gains.
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                        However, lack of follow up buying support and sustained
                 Level 1       Level 2         Level 3        selling pressure at higher levels saw the markets give away
Support           5630          5607            5526          the gains. The over all trend remained volatile ad choppy.
Resistance        5703          5741            5884          The markets see-sawed during the course of the day unable
                                                              to find a secular direction. The markets ended the day with
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                         modest losses to close near the lows for the day. The top
50 Day SMA                     5460.62                        losers for the day were Infosys Tech; Bharti Airtel, BHEL,
100 Day SMA                    5290.02                        IDFC, Wipro, Hero Motocorp, BoB; Kotak Bank, Axis Bank
200 Day SMA                    5232.19        ◄Positive       and DLF.

   Market Breadth *             BSE             NSE           Technically, the market breadth remained weak, amidst
Advances                            1369               654    lower volumes. The prevailing technical negatives
Declines                            1517               844    continued to weigh on the market sentiment leading to
Same                                 134                 77   selling pressure higher levels. The Stochastic, RSI, KST
Total                               3020             1575     and MACD are still placed below their respective
A/D Ratio                        0.90 : 1          0.77 : 1
                                                              averages. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed in the over
                                                              bought zone. These technical negatives would lead to
             Volume (Lacs Shares)         *                   profit taking and selling pressure. However, a few
               12/10/12        11/10/12        % Chg.         technical positives continue to hold good and would lead
BSE                    2666         2681             -0.56
                                                              to buying support at lower levels. The KST and the
                                                              MACD are still placed in the positive territory, which
NSE                    8098         8551             -5.30
                                                              augurs well for the markets. Moreover, the Nifty remains
Total                 10764       11232              -4.17
                                                              placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day
             Turnover ( ` Crores)         *                   SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
               12/10/12        11/10/12        % Chg.
                                                              above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later
                                                              being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive
BSE                  2742.56     2479.38            10.61
                                                              conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels.
NSE              12527.28       12677.27             -1.18
                                                              The ADX line and –DI line are moving lower, indicating
NSE F&O         144471.13 138733.32                   4.14    sellers are covering shorts regularly. The market
Total           159740.97 153889.97                   3.80    sentiment remains tentative and cautious as market
                                                              struggles to find secular direction. In the meanwhile the
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)            *
                                                              markets would take cues from earnings season, global
                                               % Chg.
               12/10/12        11/10/12
                                                              markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels
Index Fut.           365862      411920             -11.18    for Nifty are placed at 5630, 5607, 5526, and 5448. The Nifty
Stock Fut.           607459      580058               4.72    faces resistance at 5703, 5741, 5884, 5912 and 5945 levels.
Index Opt.        3305625       3364724              -1.76
Stock Opt.           678276      463901             46.21
Total             4957222       4820603               3.22

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                                   Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                   www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                              Stop
                                                 Initiation       Stop        Loss                     Target
      Stock           Close         Action         Price         Loss *        (%)       Target         (%)               Remarks
ACC                   1498.05      Buy Above           1501          1476       1.67         1550          3.26
Century Textiles       390.90      Buy Above            396           382       3.54          428          8.08
HCL Tech               581.65   Buy Above            583              573       1.72          605          3.77
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                          Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close          Pivot Point       R1       R2         R3                   S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 18675               18719      18800       18925          19131        18594           18513       18307
S&P CNX NIFTY               5676                5687          5714     5752           5818          5649           5621        5556
NIFTY OCT. FUT.             5687                5702          5727     5767           5832          5662           5638        5573




                                          Stocks To Watch Out Today
ACC, Ambuja Cements, Aurobindo Pharma, Bata, Bhushan Steel, Century Textiles, Crompton Greaves, Dabur, Federal Bank,
HCL Tech; HDFC Bank, HUL, ITC, JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, Karnatak Bank, Rel. Power, Tata
Chem; Tata Global, Tata Power, Titan
Bharat Forge, Exide, ICICI Bank, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; Raymond, Sun Pharma, Wipro




                                                        Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 15th October 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets rangbound BSE SENSEX 18675.18 -0.69 S&P CNX NIFTY 5676.05 -0.56 Mirroring the weak global market cues and disappointing set NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5686.55 -0.92 of Infosys numbers the domestic markets witnessed a India VIX 16.49 0.00 subdue opening. However, the markets managed to come off the lows for the day to move higher and trade with gains. S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels However, lack of follow up buying support and sustained Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 selling pressure at higher levels saw the markets give away Support 5630 5607 5526 the gains. The over all trend remained volatile ad choppy. Resistance 5703 5741 5884 The markets see-sawed during the course of the day unable to find a secular direction. The markets ended the day with Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY modest losses to close near the lows for the day. The top 50 Day SMA 5460.62 losers for the day were Infosys Tech; Bharti Airtel, BHEL, 100 Day SMA 5290.02 IDFC, Wipro, Hero Motocorp, BoB; Kotak Bank, Axis Bank 200 Day SMA 5232.19 ◄Positive and DLF. Market Breadth * BSE NSE Technically, the market breadth remained weak, amidst Advances 1369 654 lower volumes. The prevailing technical negatives Declines 1517 844 continued to weigh on the market sentiment leading to Same 134 77 selling pressure higher levels. The Stochastic, RSI, KST Total 3020 1575 and MACD are still placed below their respective A/D Ratio 0.90 : 1 0.77 : 1 averages. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone. These technical negatives would lead to Volume (Lacs Shares) * profit taking and selling pressure. However, a few 12/10/12 11/10/12 % Chg. technical positives continue to hold good and would lead BSE 2666 2681 -0.56 to buying support at lower levels. The KST and the MACD are still placed in the positive territory, which NSE 8098 8551 -5.30 augurs well for the markets. Moreover, the Nifty remains Total 10764 11232 -4.17 placed above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day Turnover ( ` Crores) * SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed 12/10/12 11/10/12 % Chg. above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross breakout’. These positive BSE 2742.56 2479.38 10.61 conditions would lead to buying support at lower levels. NSE 12527.28 12677.27 -1.18 The ADX line and –DI line are moving lower, indicating NSE F&O 144471.13 138733.32 4.14 sellers are covering shorts regularly. The market Total 159740.97 153889.97 3.80 sentiment remains tentative and cautious as market struggles to find secular direction. In the meanwhile the F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * markets would take cues from earnings season, global % Chg. 12/10/12 11/10/12 markets, Rupee and the crude prices. The support levels Index Fut. 365862 411920 -11.18 for Nifty are placed at 5630, 5607, 5526, and 5448. The Nifty Stock Fut. 607459 580058 4.72 faces resistance at 5703, 5741, 5884, 5912 and 5945 levels. Index Opt. 3305625 3364724 -1.76 Stock Opt. 678276 463901 46.21 Total 4957222 4820603 3.22 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks ACC 1498.05 Buy Above 1501 1476 1.67 1550 3.26 Century Textiles 390.90 Buy Above 396 382 3.54 428 8.08 HCL Tech 581.65 Buy Above 583 573 1.72 605 3.77 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18675 18719 18800 18925 19131 18594 18513 18307 S&P CNX NIFTY 5676 5687 5714 5752 5818 5649 5621 5556 NIFTY OCT. FUT. 5687 5702 5727 5767 5832 5662 5638 5573 Stocks To Watch Out Today ACC, Ambuja Cements, Aurobindo Pharma, Bata, Bhushan Steel, Century Textiles, Crompton Greaves, Dabur, Federal Bank, HCL Tech; HDFC Bank, HUL, ITC, JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Steel, Jubilant Food, Karnatak Bank, Rel. Power, Tata Chem; Tata Global, Tata Power, Titan Bharat Forge, Exide, ICICI Bank, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; Raymond, Sun Pharma, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com