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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   21st June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16896.63          0.22
                                                                   Listless trading to continue
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5120.55          0.33
                                                       Mirroring the positive global market sentiment; the domestic
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5122.45          0.23
                                                       markets witnessed a flat but positive opening. The markets
 India VIX                   21.03           -1.86     continued to remain listless and range bound as it struggled
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 to find a direction. The volumes recorded remained on the
                                                       lower side. The markets ended the day with modest gains to
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day
Support           5114       5073            4950
                                                       were ACC, Tata Motors, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Dr. Reddys,
Resistance        5250       5333            5379      Jindal Steel, HCL Tech; ONGC, JP Associates and Hero
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Motocorp.
50 Day SMA                  5061.81
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
100 Day SMA                 5198.30                    higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets.
200 Day SMA                 5073.63        ◄Critical   The Asian market cues are negative. The domestic
                                                       markets are likely to witness a subdue opening. The
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       prevailing technical positives helped the markets witness
Advances                     1617             915
                                                       selective buying support. The RSI, the MACD and the
Declines                     1090             538      KST are placed above their respective averages. More so
Same                          146             103      the MACD and KST are also placed in the positive
Total                        2853            1556      territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty is
A/D Ratio                   1.48 : 1        1.70 : 1   placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The
                                                       Nifty basis has turned positive as Nifty futures trades at a
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               premium to Nifty spot index. However, the prevailing
               20/06/12     19/06/12        % Chg.     technical negatives continue to hold good and are likely
BSE              1824        1605            13.64     to cap upside gains. The Stochastic remains placed
NSE              5444        5419            0.45      below its average. The Nifty remains placed below its
Total            7268        7024            3.47      100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below
                                                       its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking
               20/06/12     19/06/12        % Chg.     and selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI
BSE             1903.98     1865.85          2.04      line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend.
NSE             9316.46     9080.63          2.60
                                                       The market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is
                                                       important that the markets witness follow up buying
NSE F&O        118567.04   152482.69        -22.24
                                                       support at regular intervals for Nifty to sustain above its
Total          129787.48   163429.17        -20.58
                                                       200-day SMA. The markets would witness volatility and
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          choppiness as it struggles to find a secular direction. In
               20/06/12     19/06/12        % Chg.
                                                       the meanwhile the markets would take cues from, the
                                                       outcome of FOMC meeting, Rupee, global markets and
Index Fut.      379903      608218          -37.54
                                                       the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at
Stock Fut.      505799      539132           -6.18
                                                       5114, 5073, 4950, 4841 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance
Index Opt.     3643574      4672279         -22.02     at the 5250, 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
Stock Opt.      179452      248516          -27.79
Total          4708728      6068145         -18.09

NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                    (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close          Action         Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
AB Nuvo                 787.20       Buy Above            790        769.75        2.56         835          5.70
Century Textiles        288.75       Buy Above            294        286.75        2.47         310          5.44
Bata                   820.90    Buy Above            825     809.25               1.91         860          4.24
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  16897                16900     16959       17022         17145        16837        16777        16655
S&P CNX NIFTY                5121                 5121       5141       5162          5203            5100        5080       5039
NIFTY JUNE FUT.              5122                 5121       5145       5169          5216            5098        5073       5026




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Allahabad Bank, APIL, Bata, BEML, BGR Energy, Century Textiles, CESC, Crompton Greaves, Dabur, Dish TV, Divis Labs,
Dr. Reddys, Educomp, GVK, Grasim, Havells, HCC, HCL Tech; Hero Motorcorp, Hexaware, HOECL, HPCL, HUL, Hind. Zinc,
India Cement, IOC, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Lupin, McDowell, Mcleod Russel, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg;
Piramal Healthcare, Siemens, Sintex, Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee
Bajaj Holdings, Chambal Fert; Cummins, Infosys Tech.




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      This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
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      required to observe these restrictions.
      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
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      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 210612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 21st June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16896.63 0.22 Listless trading to continue S&P CNX NIFTY 5120.55 0.33 Mirroring the positive global market sentiment; the domestic NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5122.45 0.23 markets witnessed a flat but positive opening. The markets India VIX 21.03 -1.86 continued to remain listless and range bound as it struggled S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels to find a direction. The volumes recorded remained on the lower side. The markets ended the day with modest gains to Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day Support 5114 5073 4950 were ACC, Tata Motors, Sesa Goa, Sterlite, Dr. Reddys, Resistance 5250 5333 5379 Jindal Steel, HCL Tech; ONGC, JP Associates and Hero Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Motocorp. 50 Day SMA 5061.81 Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 100 Day SMA 5198.30 higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. 200 Day SMA 5073.63 ◄Critical The Asian market cues are negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a subdue opening. The Market Breadth * BSE NSE prevailing technical positives helped the markets witness Advances 1617 915 selective buying support. The RSI, the MACD and the Declines 1090 538 KST are placed above their respective averages. More so Same 146 103 the MACD and KST are also placed in the positive Total 2853 1556 territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty is A/D Ratio 1.48 : 1 1.70 : 1 placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. The Nifty basis has turned positive as Nifty futures trades at a Volume (Lacs Shares) * premium to Nifty spot index. However, the prevailing 20/06/12 19/06/12 % Chg. technical negatives continue to hold good and are likely BSE 1824 1605 13.64 to cap upside gains. The Stochastic remains placed NSE 5444 5419 0.45 below its average. The Nifty remains placed below its Total 7268 7024 3.47 100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative Turnover ( ` Crores) * conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking 20/06/12 19/06/12 % Chg. and selling pressure. The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI BSE 1903.98 1865.85 2.04 line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. NSE 9316.46 9080.63 2.60 The market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important that the markets witness follow up buying NSE F&O 118567.04 152482.69 -22.24 support at regular intervals for Nifty to sustain above its Total 129787.48 163429.17 -20.58 200-day SMA. The markets would witness volatility and F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * choppiness as it struggles to find a secular direction. In 20/06/12 19/06/12 % Chg. the meanwhile the markets would take cues from, the outcome of FOMC meeting, Rupee, global markets and Index Fut. 379903 608218 -37.54 the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at Stock Fut. 505799 539132 -6.18 5114, 5073, 4950, 4841 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance Index Opt. 3643574 4672279 -22.02 at the 5250, 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels. Stock Opt. 179452 248516 -27.79 Total 4708728 6068145 -18.09 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks AB Nuvo 787.20 Buy Above 790 769.75 2.56 835 5.70 Century Textiles 288.75 Buy Above 294 286.75 2.47 310 5.44 Bata 820.90 Buy Above 825 809.25 1.91 860 4.24 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16897 16900 16959 17022 17145 16837 16777 16655 S&P CNX NIFTY 5121 5121 5141 5162 5203 5100 5080 5039 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5122 5121 5145 5169 5216 5098 5073 5026 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Allahabad Bank, APIL, Bata, BEML, BGR Energy, Century Textiles, CESC, Crompton Greaves, Dabur, Dish TV, Divis Labs, Dr. Reddys, Educomp, GVK, Grasim, Havells, HCC, HCL Tech; Hero Motorcorp, Hexaware, HOECL, HPCL, HUL, Hind. Zinc, India Cement, IOC, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, Lupin, McDowell, Mcleod Russel, Pantaloon Retail, Patel Engg; Piramal Healthcare, Siemens, Sintex, Sun Pharma, Tata Coffee Bajaj Holdings, Chambal Fert; Cummins, Infosys Tech. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com