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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                    10th July 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                17391.98          -0.74
                                                                       Markets under pressure
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5275.15          -0.79
                                                       Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY JULY FUT.            5279.40          -0.90
                                                       markets witnessed a gap down opening. Sustained selling
 India VIX                   18.72           3.76      pressure was witnessed in the morning trade as Nifty
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 breached the 5300 level. The over all trend remained range
                                                       bound and listless. The markets managed to come off the
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       lows of the day. It ended the day with moderate losses to
Support           5250       5114            5084
                                                       close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day
Resistance        5333       5379            5500      were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim.
50 Day SMA                  5057.16
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained negative
100 Day SMA                 5184.19                    amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are
200 Day SMA                 5084.23        â—„Critical   negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
                                                       flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       negatives have weighed on the market sentiment. The
Advances                     1096             442
                                                       RSI and the Stochastic being placed in the over bought
Declines                     1772            1047      zone has triggered profit taking on the bourses. The RSI,
Same                          103               65     KST and Stochastic has slipped below their respective
Total                        2971            1554      averages. Further, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed
A/D Ratio                   0.62 : 1        0.42 : 1   below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative
                                                       conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               and selling pressure. However, a few positives still hold
               09/07/12     06/07/12        % Chg.     good and would lead to buying support at lower levels.
BSE              2305        2869           -19.66     The MACD remains placed above its average. Moreover,
NSE              6123        7379           -17.02     the MACD and KST are also placed in the positive
Total            8428        10248          -17.76     territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty
                                                       remains placed above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               200-day SMA. The has moved lower along with the ADX
               09/07/12     06/07/12        % Chg.     line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating
BSE             1818.07     2111.63         -13.90     a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains
NSE             8430.14     9782.83         -13.83
                                                       positive but tentative ahead of the earnings season. Now
                                                       it is now important that the markets witness buying
NSE F&O        86848.16    82465.62          5.31
                                                       support at lower levels, for the Nifty to hold the 5250
Total          97096.37    94360.08          2.90
                                                       support level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          witnessed. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
               09/07/12     06/07/12        % Chg.
                                                       from the forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global
                                                       markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty
Index Fut.      330857      335717           -1.45
                                                       are placed at 5250, 5114, 5084, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty
Stock Fut.      377062      426593          -11.61
                                                       faces resistance at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
Index Opt.     2403677      2166534          10.95
Stock Opt.      138256      141847           -2.53
Total          3249852      3070691          7.61

NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation       Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action          Price         Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Escorts Fut             69.25       Sell Below           68.50       70.55         2.99          64          6.57


TCS                   1259.40       Buy Above        1265.00       1239.00         2.06        1310          3.56
Ultratech Cement      1561.20    Buy Above        1565.00     1540.00              1.60        1620          3.51
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.


                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close          Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 17392                 17407     17471      17549          17692        17328        17265        17123
S&P CNX NIFTY               5275                  5278      5298        5321          5364            5255        5235       5192
NIFTY JULY FUT.             5279                  5287      5311        5342          5397            5256        5232       5177




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

BF Utilities, Dabur, HPCL, ICICI Bank, ITC, M&M, Mcleod Russel, Tata Communication, TCS, TVS Motors, Ultratech Cement,
ABB, AB Nuvo, Bajaj Auto, BoB, BoI, Bharti AIrtel, DCB, Delta Corp; Educomp, Escorts, Essar Oil, Federal Bank, FT, GAIL,
GMR Infra, GSPL, Guj. Flourochemicals, GVK, HCC, HDIL, HOECL, Hind. Zinc, IB Realestate, IDBI, Jindal Saw, Jindal Steel,
JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Energy, LIC Hsg; LITL, L&T, Maruti, MLL, Oil India, Pantaloon, Petronet, Polaris, Praj, PTC,
Raymond, Rel. Infra, Siemens, Sintex, Sobha, SREI Infra, Sterlite, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chem; Tata Coffee, Tata
Global, Tata Power, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige, Uco Bank, Uniphos, Unitech, Videocon, Voltas, Welcorp,
Wipro, ZEEL




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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 100712

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 10th July 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 17391.98 -0.74 Markets under pressure S&P CNX NIFTY 5275.15 -0.79 Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic NIFTY JULY FUT. 5279.40 -0.90 markets witnessed a gap down opening. Sustained selling India VIX 18.72 3.76 pressure was witnessed in the morning trade as Nifty S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels breached the 5300 level. The over all trend remained range bound and listless. The markets managed to come off the Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 lows of the day. It ended the day with moderate losses to Support 5250 5114 5084 close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day Resistance 5333 5379 5500 were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, HUL, Powergrid, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim. 50 Day SMA 5057.16 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 100 Day SMA 5184.19 amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are 200 Day SMA 5084.23 â—„Critical negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical Market Breadth * BSE NSE negatives have weighed on the market sentiment. The Advances 1096 442 RSI and the Stochastic being placed in the over bought Declines 1772 1047 zone has triggered profit taking on the bourses. The RSI, Same 103 65 KST and Stochastic has slipped below their respective Total 2971 1554 averages. Further, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed A/D Ratio 0.62 : 1 0.42 : 1 below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These negative conditions would result in regular bouts of profit taking Volume (Lacs Shares) * and selling pressure. However, a few positives still hold 09/07/12 06/07/12 % Chg. good and would lead to buying support at lower levels. BSE 2305 2869 -19.66 The MACD remains placed above its average. Moreover, NSE 6123 7379 -17.02 the MACD and KST are also placed in the positive Total 8428 10248 -17.76 territory, which augurs well for the markets. The Nifty remains placed above the 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and Turnover ( ` Crores) * 200-day SMA. The has moved lower along with the ADX 09/07/12 06/07/12 % Chg. line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways indicating BSE 1818.07 2111.63 -13.90 a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains NSE 8430.14 9782.83 -13.83 positive but tentative ahead of the earnings season. Now it is now important that the markets witness buying NSE F&O 86848.16 82465.62 5.31 support at lower levels, for the Nifty to hold the 5250 Total 97096.37 94360.08 2.90 support level. Intermediate bouts of volatility would be F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * witnessed. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues 09/07/12 06/07/12 % Chg. from the forthcoming earnings season, Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support levels for Nifty Index Fut. 330857 335717 -1.45 are placed at 5250, 5114, 5084, 4950 and 4841. The Nifty Stock Fut. 377062 426593 -11.61 faces resistance at the 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels. Index Opt. 2403677 2166534 10.95 Stock Opt. 138256 141847 -2.53 Total 3249852 3070691 7.61 NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Escorts Fut 69.25 Sell Below 68.50 70.55 2.99 64 6.57 TCS 1259.40 Buy Above 1265.00 1239.00 2.06 1310 3.56 Ultratech Cement 1561.20 Buy Above 1565.00 1540.00 1.60 1620 3.51 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17392 17407 17471 17549 17692 17328 17265 17123 S&P CNX NIFTY 5275 5278 5298 5321 5364 5255 5235 5192 NIFTY JULY FUT. 5279 5287 5311 5342 5397 5256 5232 5177 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today BF Utilities, Dabur, HPCL, ICICI Bank, ITC, M&M, Mcleod Russel, Tata Communication, TCS, TVS Motors, Ultratech Cement, ABB, AB Nuvo, Bajaj Auto, BoB, BoI, Bharti AIrtel, DCB, Delta Corp; Educomp, Escorts, Essar Oil, Federal Bank, FT, GAIL, GMR Infra, GSPL, Guj. Flourochemicals, GVK, HCC, HDIL, HOECL, Hind. Zinc, IB Realestate, IDBI, Jindal Saw, Jindal Steel, JP Associates, JP Power, JSW Energy, LIC Hsg; LITL, L&T, Maruti, MLL, Oil India, Pantaloon, Petronet, Polaris, Praj, PTC, Raymond, Rel. Infra, Siemens, Sintex, Sobha, SREI Infra, Sterlite, Sun TV, Syndicate Bank, Tata Chem; Tata Coffee, Tata Global, Tata Power, Tata Steel, Tech Mahindra, Titan, TTK Prestige, Uco Bank, Uniphos, Unitech, Videocon, Voltas, Welcorp, Wipro, ZEEL Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com