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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                                 6th August 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.                  Markets to test higher levels
 BSE SENSEX                17197.93          -0.15
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5215.70          -0.23     Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets
 NIFTY AUG. FUT.             5241.05         -0.11     witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling pressure
 India VIX                   16.12           -3.87     was witnessed in the morning trade as markets traded below
                                                       the 5200 level. However, the markets managed to bounce
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 back from the lower levels on back of positive European
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    market opening. Short covering and buying support was
Support           5106       5047            4950      witnessed which helped the markets move higher nearer the
Resistance        5250       5333            5379      5250 resistance level. The markets ended the day with
                                                       marginal losses to close near the highs for the day. The top
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  losers for the day were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC,
50 Day SMA                  5139.55                    HUL, Powergrid, Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim.
100 Day SMA                 5146.77
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                 5106.52        ◄Critical
                                                       amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       markets. The global market cues are positive. The
Advances                     1263             598      domestic markets are likely to witness a firm opening.
Declines                     1514             869
                                                       The prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on
                                                       the market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The
Same                          126               70
                                                       Stochastic and KST have slipped below their respective
Total                        2903            1537
                                                       averages. Moreover, the MACD is already placed below
A/D Ratio                   0.83 : 1        0.69 : 1
                                                       its average its average. The Stochastic remains placed in
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               the over bought zone. The KST and MACD are placed in
                                                       the negative territory, which warns of impending selling
               03/08/12     02/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       pressure. The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed below
BSE              1988        1686            17.91
                                                       its 100-day SMA and is on verge of moving above it in the
NSE              5371        5576            -3.68     next few trading sessions. These negative technical
Total            7359        7262            1.33      conditions would prompt further bouts of profit taking
                                                       and selling pressure especially at higher levels. However,
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *
                                                       a few technical positives still hold good. The RSI is
               03/08/12     02/08/12        % Chg.
                                                       placed above its average. The Nifty remains placed
BSE             1905.55     1756.07          8.51      above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
NSE             8903.67     9345.22          -4.72     More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA is placed above the
NSE F&O        100201.47   55596.18          80.23     Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positives would lead to
Total          111010.69   66697.47          66.44     buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, the +DI line
                                                       and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          bound trend. The market sentiment remains tentative as
               03/08/12     02/08/12        % Chg.     Nifty continues to struggle around the 5250 resistance
Index Fut.      423133      246418           71.71     level. Now it is important that the markets witness buying
Stock Fut.      428451      306701           39.70     support at regular intervals for the Nifty to close above
Index Opt.     2791816      1446881          92.95     the 5250 level and move higher to test the 5333-5379
Stock Opt.      168780      110561           52.66
                                                       levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
                                                       from the Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices.
Total          3812180      2110561          66.48
                                                       The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5106, 5047, 5000,
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE                          4950 and 4859. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333,
                                                       5379 and 5464 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                     (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                   Stop
                                                    Initiation           Stop      Loss                    Target
           Stock          Close         Action      Price               Loss *      (%)      Target         (%)           Remarks
  Asian Paints           3757.25      Buy Above           3777          3724.00     1.40         3894           3.10
  Balrampur Chini           60.35     Buy Above              61           58.25     4.51           67           9.84
  Bata                    917.90      Buy Above             922          899.00     2.49          970           5.21
  BHEL                   225.15 Buy Above             226     222.00                1.77          235           3.98
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                             Intra-day Resistance                          Intra-day Support
         Indices          Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                    S1          S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   17198                17144     17262          17326      17507             17080       16963     16782
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5216                 5200          5236       5256          5311           5180          5145    5089
NIFTY AUG. FUT.               5241                 5196          5292       5343          5489           5145          5049    4902




                                            Stocks To Watch Out Today
AB Nuvo, BoI, Bharat Forge, Dish TV, IDFC, LIC Hsg; M&M, McLeod Russel, RPower, Sterlite, Tata Power, Tata Steel, ZEEL
Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BHEL, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, FT, HOECL, IVRCL, MRF,
MTNL, NTPC, OFSS, Raymond, Tata Coffee, Tata Global, Titan, United Spirits, Wipro




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                    The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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    Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                 The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 060812

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 6th August 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets to test higher levels BSE SENSEX 17197.93 -0.15 S&P CNX NIFTY 5215.70 -0.23 Mirroring the weak global market cues the domestic markets NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5241.05 -0.11 witnessed a negative opening. Sustained selling pressure India VIX 16.12 -3.87 was witnessed in the morning trade as markets traded below the 5200 level. However, the markets managed to bounce S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels back from the lower levels on back of positive European Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 market opening. Short covering and buying support was Support 5106 5047 4950 witnessed which helped the markets move higher nearer the Resistance 5250 5333 5379 5250 resistance level. The markets ended the day with marginal losses to close near the highs for the day. The top Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY losers for the day were BHEL, TCS, Jindal Steel, ACC, ITC, 50 Day SMA 5139.55 HUL, Powergrid, Hero Motocorp, Sun Pharma and Grasim. 100 Day SMA 5146.77 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5106.52 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the Market Breadth * BSE NSE markets. The global market cues are positive. The Advances 1263 598 domestic markets are likely to witness a firm opening. Declines 1514 869 The prevailing technical negatives continued to weigh on the market sentiment leading to selling pressure. The Same 126 70 Stochastic and KST have slipped below their respective Total 2903 1537 averages. Moreover, the MACD is already placed below A/D Ratio 0.83 : 1 0.69 : 1 its average its average. The Stochastic remains placed in Volume (Lacs Shares) * the over bought zone. The KST and MACD are placed in the negative territory, which warns of impending selling 03/08/12 02/08/12 % Chg. pressure. The Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed below BSE 1988 1686 17.91 its 100-day SMA and is on verge of moving above it in the NSE 5371 5576 -3.68 next few trading sessions. These negative technical Total 7359 7262 1.33 conditions would prompt further bouts of profit taking and selling pressure especially at higher levels. However, Turnover ( ` Crores) * a few technical positives still hold good. The RSI is 03/08/12 02/08/12 % Chg. placed above its average. The Nifty remains placed BSE 1905.55 1756.07 8.51 above its 50-day SMA, 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. NSE 8903.67 9345.22 -4.72 More so the Nifty’s 50-day SMA is placed above the NSE F&O 100201.47 55596.18 80.23 Nifty’s 200-day SMA. These positives would lead to Total 111010.69 66697.47 66.44 buying support at lower levels. The ADX line, the +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * bound trend. The market sentiment remains tentative as 03/08/12 02/08/12 % Chg. Nifty continues to struggle around the 5250 resistance Index Fut. 423133 246418 71.71 level. Now it is important that the markets witness buying Stock Fut. 428451 306701 39.70 support at regular intervals for the Nifty to close above Index Opt. 2791816 1446881 92.95 the 5250 level and move higher to test the 5333-5379 Stock Opt. 168780 110561 52.66 levels. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Rupee, global market cues and the crude prices. Total 3812180 2110561 66.48 The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5106, 5047, 5000, NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE 4950 and 4859. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333, 5379 and 5464 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Asian Paints 3757.25 Buy Above 3777 3724.00 1.40 3894 3.10 Balrampur Chini 60.35 Buy Above 61 58.25 4.51 67 9.84 Bata 917.90 Buy Above 922 899.00 2.49 970 5.21 BHEL 225.15 Buy Above 226 222.00 1.77 235 3.98 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17198 17144 17262 17326 17507 17080 16963 16782 S&P CNX NIFTY 5216 5200 5236 5256 5311 5180 5145 5089 NIFTY AUG. FUT. 5241 5196 5292 5343 5489 5145 5049 4902 Stocks To Watch Out Today AB Nuvo, BoI, Bharat Forge, Dish TV, IDFC, LIC Hsg; M&M, McLeod Russel, RPower, Sterlite, Tata Power, Tata Steel, ZEEL Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Bajaj Hind; Balrampur Chini, Bata, BHEL, Colgate, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, FT, HOECL, IVRCL, MRF, MTNL, NTPC, OFSS, Raymond, Tata Coffee, Tata Global, Titan, United Spirits, Wipro Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com