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India Morning Note
    a       g
Wednesday, July 18, 2012
              y

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                    Views on markets t
                                                                              today
 Nam of Index
   me                     Jul 2         Jul 3   Change (%)
                                                         )   • India markets closed on flat note yesterday after
                                                                   an        s          n
 Sensex             17,103.31      17,105.30       0.01%       witnessing intr
                                                                             raday gyrat tions as in
                                                                                                   nvestors red duced
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,197.25      5,192.85      -0.08%       bets on future rate cuts f
                                                                  s                      from the ceentral bank after
                                                                                                               k
 BSE Mid-cap          6,208.86      6,158.24      -0.82%       hawkish comm  ments from Reserve Bank of India
                                                                                        m
 BSE IT               5,235.37      5,209.36      -0.50%       goveernor D S Subbarao o on inflation Investors are
                                                                                                   n.           s
 BSE Banks          12,146.08      12,135.36      -0.09%                     ensive stock due to uncertainty about
                                                               betting on defe           ks        u
                                                               monnsoon rainfa
                                                                             alls and the prospect of policy ref
                                                                                                   o            forms.
FII A
    Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                               BSE Sensex was up 1.99 p points or 0.01%, off cloose to
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       130 points from the day's high and up about 30 p
                                                                             m                     p            points
 16-Jul                 1,584          1,228         356       from the day's l
                                                                  m           low.
 13-Jul                 1,984          1,604         380
                                                             • Most of the au
                                                                    t           uto stocks f
                                                                                           fell on spec culation tha the
                                                                                                                   at
 Tota Jul
    al                 28,194         20,102        8092       goveernment wi raise fue prices after presid
                                                                                 ill       el          a           dential
 2012 YTD             351,719       302,617        49102       electtion on July 19 or after the appointment of new
                                                                                y
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)      vice president on August 7. While PS OMCs ro
                                                                                                       SU          ose on
                                                               specculation the governm
                                                                                 e        ment will raise fuel prices
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
                                                               shorrtly. Aviation shares de
                                                                                n         eclined after public sector oil
                                                                                                       r
 16-Jul                   270           259           11
                                                               marketing comp   panies hiked jet fuel pr
                                                                                           d           rices.
 13-Jul                   336           509          -174
 Tota Jul
    al                  3,960          5,746        -1787    • Exide Industrie es fell 2.55% after Deutsche Bank
 2012 YTD              67,103         74,734        -7632
                                                               downgraded th industria and auto
                                                                              he         al         omotive bat tteries
                                                               makker to "hold from "b
                                                                                d"       buy", citing weaker p pricing
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                   power due to s  steeper com
                                                                                         mpetition an higher s
                                                                                                     nd         selling
                                       NSE           BSE       costs. Jindal Ste and Pow also fell 0.8% after CLSA
                                                                               eel       wer
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                 51.88          20.65      downgraded t    the stock to "unde   erperform" from
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                      8,427          1,750      "outperform" b  because of concerns about p
                                                                                                    s          project
 Advances                              429          1,044      exec
                                                                  cution and rising policy risks from its captive coal
                                                                                          y         m           e
                                                               minees.
 Declines                            1,051          1,763
 Unchanged                              75           117     • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.59x as investors sold
                                                                   ket
 Tota
    al                               1,555          2,924      small and mid cap stocks On provisional basis FIIs
                                                                                          s.                  s,
                                                               bougght equity of `4.75bn while dom
                                                                                                 mestic institu
                                                                                                              utions
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                               sold equity of `2
                                                                               2.66bn in ca segmen
                                                                                          ash    nt.
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est               Change (%)
                                                         )
 DJIA
    A                             12,805.54        0.62%
                                                             • Asian markets a mixed to
                                                                              are                 pan is rising while
                                                                                       oday, as Jap
                                                               Hang Seng fe
                                                                   g          ell down a home price data was
                                                                                       as
 NAS
   SDAQ                            2,910.04        0.45%
                                                               disappointing.
 Nikk *
    kei                            8,773.70        0.21%
 Hang Seng *                      19,339.59       -0.59%     • We expect a fla opening f the Indian markets amid
                                                                   e          at        for
                                                               the directionle
                                                                             ess Asian stocks. No major e
                                                                                                  o        events
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                               besides consum price in
                                                                             mer                  oday would keep
                                                                                       ndex data to
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                                               markets in the s
                                                                              sideways m
                                                                                       momentum.
                                     Latest      Previous
                                     Quote          Close    Econom and Cor
                                                                  mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                    velopments
                                                                                             s
 Indian Rupee per $                   55.07         55.20
                                                             • The 2G spectrum EGoM, he  eaded by P Chidambara am, is
 Indian Rupee per €                   67.66         67.73      scheeduled to meet today to take up th issue of r
                                                                                         o          he         rollout
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)               88.82         89.22      oblig
                                                                   gations and spectrum p
                                                                                        pricing.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                              1,581.20      1,589.10
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                               27.27         27.29



Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
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TOP GAINERS                                           Buzzin Stocks
                                                           ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  • The Competition Appell   late Tribunnal will b begin
                     Previous   Currennt   Change       rehe
                                                           earing DLF's appeal against the CCI’s `63
                                                                                            e           30Cr
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)       penalty order ttoday. The COMPAT will also take up
                                                                                           w            e
 Cadila Health        798.75
                           5     836.65      4.74       an application filed by D
                                                                                DLF seeking clarity on the
                                                                                            g
 Wipro                355.55
                           5     362.35      1.91       stat
                                                           tus of the c
                                                                      cease and ddesist order that had b
                                                                                            r           been
 Glen
    nmark Ph          381.00
                           0     388.15      1.88       passsed by Com
                                                                     mpetition Commission of India last y
                                                                                                        year
 Marico               180.95
                           5     184.10      1.74     • Rata
                                                           an Tata said that Tata Ste         eel's Europ
                                                                                                        pean
 TATA
    AGLOBAL           114.35
                           5     116.30      1.71       operations will remain und der stress, but added that
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                    operations in In
                                                                       ndia are exp
                                                                                  pected to remain strong
                                                                                                        g.
                                                      • Petr
                                                           roleum min  nister Jaipa Reddy has prom
                                                                                  al                 mised
                     Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                           expeditious cle
                                                                      earance for four investment propo
                                                                                                      osals
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
 Glod
    dyne Tech         360.80     375.90       4.19      of Reliance and has agree to quicke approvals for
                                                           R           d          ed        er
 CHO
   OLAFIN             206.25     214.00       3.76      two blocks in Cauvery basiin.
 Resp
    ponsive Inds       92.70      96.00       3.56    • Jindal Steel and Power te erminates a $2.1bn mining
 Kirlo
     oskar Oil Eng    151.65     155.95       2.84      and steel projec in Bolivia
                                                                       ct         a.
 Mcle
    eod Russel        311.05     319.30       2.65    • GTL Infra pro
                                                          L         omoters m may infuse `930Cr in a
                                                        com
                                                          mpany arm for an allot
                                                                               tted 44.6 cr
                                                                                          rore conver
                                                                                                    rtible
TOP LOSERS                                              debentures.
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  • Reports say tha Coal Indi may finalize its `170
                                                                       at          ia                 00Cr
                     Previous   Currennt   Change                     ract on July 31.
                                                        explosive contr
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
                                                      • Infosys has ab
                                                                     bandoned t  the acquisit
                                                                                            tion of Bel
                                                                                                      lgian
 Adani Enter          212.45
                           5    194.55
                                     5       -8.43
                                                        payment solutio
                                                                      ons, Clear2Pay.
 JPINFRATEC            56.10
                           0      52.85
                                      5      -5.79
                                                      • TCS has rece  eived a m   multi-year contract f
                                                                                                      from
 Muthoot Fin          139.70
                           0    131.80
                                     0       -5.65
                                                        Scandinavian A
                                                                     Airlines for a undisclos
                                                                                  an        sed amount.
                                                                                                      .
 ADA POWER
   ANI                 48.75
                           5      46.35
                                      5      -4.92
 GMR Infra
   R                   23.75
                           5      22.75
                                      5      -4.21    • Hind
                                                           dalco owne Novelis has pulled out of a joint
                                                                      ed
                                                           ture with Alcoa Inc to r
                                                        vent                      recycle beve
                                                                                             erage cans.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                      US markets
                     Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                         US markets rose o overnight, a
                                                                                   after investors encoura
                                                                                                         aged
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)
 Info Edge India      367.05     357.05      -2.72    by US Fed Reserv Chairma Ben Bernanke's spe
                                                                        ve         an                    eech
 TVS Motor             36.45      35.50      -2.61    and so
                                                           olid results from Goldm man Sachs Group Inc. and
                                                      Coca-C
                                                           Cola Co.
 Alsto T&D
     om               194.85     190.15      -2.41
 Asho Leyland
    ok                 24.95      24.35      -2.40
 COX KINGS
   X                  131.60     129.05      -1.94




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                    (resea
                                                  arch@keyno
                                                           otecapitals.net)            (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /            Wedn
                              nesday                   Thu
                                                         ursday                     Friday
                                                                                    F                         Monday
                                                                                                              M

   Reg
     gions                    18
                               8-Jul                     19-Jul                     20-Jul
                                                                                    2                           23-Jul

   Ind
     dia             Consumer Price
                            r                                              Forex Re
                                                                                  eserves Dat
                                                                                            ta
                     Index




   US                Building p
                              permits &         Initial Job
                                                          bless Claims
                                                                     s     American Petroleumm
                     Housing start data                                    Institute Monthly
                                                                                   e
                                                                           Report

                     MBA mort tgage             Existing H
                                                         Home Sales
                     application                (MoM)

                                                Leading Indicator
                                                (MoM)

   Glo
     obal            Bank of En
                              ngland            Japan's Leading            UK Public Sector Ne
                                                                                             et        Nationw wide Housing
                     Minutes                    Economic Index
                                                         c                        ng
                                                                           Borrowin                    Prices s.a (MoM) an
                                                                                                               s          nd
                                                                                                       n. s.a (Y
                                                                                                               YoY)

                     Bank of Ca
                              anada             Eurozone Current
                                                       e's                 Germany Producer
                                                                                    y
                     Moneytary Policy
                              y                 Account n
                                                        n.s.a              Price Ind
                                                                                   dex (YoY &
                                                                           MoM)

                     Bank of Ja
                              apan policy       UK,s Ret Sales
                                                       tail
                     meeting mminutes           (MoM) an (YoY)
                                                       nd




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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 18-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Wednesday, July 18, 2012 y Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jul 2 Jul 3 Change (%) ) • India markets closed on flat note yesterday after an s n Sensex 17,103.31 17,105.30 0.01% witnessing intr raday gyrat tions as in nvestors red duced CNX Nifty X 5,197.25 5,192.85 -0.08% bets on future rate cuts f s from the ceentral bank after k BSE Mid-cap 6,208.86 6,158.24 -0.82% hawkish comm ments from Reserve Bank of India m BSE IT 5,235.37 5,209.36 -0.50% goveernor D S Subbarao o on inflation Investors are n. s BSE Banks 12,146.08 12,135.36 -0.09% ensive stock due to uncertainty about betting on defe ks u monnsoon rainfa alls and the prospect of policy ref o forms. FII A Activity (`Cr) BSE Sensex was up 1.99 p points or 0.01%, off cloose to Date e Buy Sell Net 130 points from the day's high and up about 30 p m p points 16-Jul 1,584 1,228 356 from the day's l m low. 13-Jul 1,984 1,604 380 • Most of the au t uto stocks f fell on spec culation tha the at Tota Jul al 28,194 20,102 8092 goveernment wi raise fue prices after presid ill el a dential 2012 YTD 351,719 302,617 49102 electtion on July 19 or after the appointment of new y MF A Activity (`Cr) vice president on August 7. While PS OMCs ro SU ose on specculation the governm e ment will raise fuel prices Date e Buy Sell Net shorrtly. Aviation shares de n eclined after public sector oil r 16-Jul 270 259 11 marketing comp panies hiked jet fuel pr d rices. 13-Jul 336 509 -174 Tota Jul al 3,960 5,746 -1787 • Exide Industrie es fell 2.55% after Deutsche Bank 2012 YTD 67,103 74,734 -7632 downgraded th industria and auto he al omotive bat tteries makker to "hold from "b d" buy", citing weaker p pricing Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines power due to s steeper com mpetition an higher s nd selling NSE BSE costs. Jindal Ste and Pow also fell 0.8% after CLSA eel wer Trad ding Volume (Cr) 51.88 20.65 downgraded t the stock to "unde erperform" from Turn nover (`Cr) 8,427 1,750 "outperform" b because of concerns about p s project Advances 429 1,044 exec cution and rising policy risks from its captive coal y m e minees. Declines 1,051 1,763 Unchanged 75 117 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.59x as investors sold ket Tota al 1,555 2,924 small and mid cap stocks On provisional basis FIIs s. s, bougght equity of `4.75bn while dom mestic institu utions Glob Markets bal sold equity of `2 2.66bn in ca segmen ash nt. Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) DJIA A 12,805.54 0.62% • Asian markets a mixed to are pan is rising while oday, as Jap Hang Seng fe g ell down a home price data was as NAS SDAQ 2,910.04 0.45% disappointing. Nikk * kei 8,773.70 0.21% Hang Seng * 19,339.59 -0.59% • We expect a fla opening f the Indian markets amid e at for the directionle ess Asian stocks. No major e o events * as o 8.25AM IST of besides consum price in mer oday would keep ndex data to Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s markets in the s sideways m momentum. Latest Previous Quote Close Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per $ 55.07 55.20 • The 2G spectrum EGoM, he eaded by P Chidambara am, is Indian Rupee per € 67.66 67.73 scheeduled to meet today to take up th issue of r o he rollout NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 88.82 89.22 oblig gations and spectrum p pricing. Gold ($/oz) d 1,581.20 1,589.10 Silve ($/oz) er 27.27 27.29 Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • The Competition Appell late Tribunnal will b begin Previous Currennt Change rehe earing DLF's appeal against the CCI’s `63 e 30Cr Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) penalty order ttoday. The COMPAT will also take up w e Cadila Health 798.75 5 836.65 4.74 an application filed by D DLF seeking clarity on the g Wipro 355.55 5 362.35 1.91 stat tus of the c cease and ddesist order that had b r been Glen nmark Ph 381.00 0 388.15 1.88 passsed by Com mpetition Commission of India last y year Marico 180.95 5 184.10 1.74 • Rata an Tata said that Tata Ste eel's Europ pean TATA AGLOBAL 114.35 5 116.30 1.71 operations will remain und der stress, but added that (BSE Mid-Cap) E operations in In ndia are exp pected to remain strong g. • Petr roleum min nister Jaipa Reddy has prom al mised Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e expeditious cle earance for four investment propo osals Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Glod dyne Tech 360.80 375.90 4.19 of Reliance and has agree to quicke approvals for R d ed er CHO OLAFIN 206.25 214.00 3.76 two blocks in Cauvery basiin. Resp ponsive Inds 92.70 96.00 3.56 • Jindal Steel and Power te erminates a $2.1bn mining Kirlo oskar Oil Eng 151.65 155.95 2.84 and steel projec in Bolivia ct a. Mcle eod Russel 311.05 319.30 2.65 • GTL Infra pro L omoters m may infuse `930Cr in a com mpany arm for an allot tted 44.6 cr rore conver rtible TOP LOSERS debentures. (BSE A-Group) E • Reports say tha Coal Indi may finalize its `170 at ia 00Cr Previous Currennt Change ract on July 31. explosive contr Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) • Infosys has ab bandoned t the acquisit tion of Bel lgian Adani Enter 212.45 5 194.55 5 -8.43 payment solutio ons, Clear2Pay. JPINFRATEC 56.10 0 52.85 5 -5.79 • TCS has rece eived a m multi-year contract f from Muthoot Fin 139.70 0 131.80 0 -5.65 Scandinavian A Airlines for a undisclos an sed amount. . ADA POWER ANI 48.75 5 46.35 5 -4.92 GMR Infra R 23.75 5 22.75 5 -4.21 • Hind dalco owne Novelis has pulled out of a joint ed ture with Alcoa Inc to r vent recycle beve erage cans. (BSE Mid-Cap) E US markets Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e US markets rose o overnight, a after investors encoura aged Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Info Edge India 367.05 357.05 -2.72 by US Fed Reserv Chairma Ben Bernanke's spe ve an eech TVS Motor 36.45 35.50 -2.61 and so olid results from Goldm man Sachs Group Inc. and Coca-C Cola Co. Alsto T&D om 194.85 190.15 -2.41 Asho Leyland ok 24.95 24.35 -2.40 COX KINGS X 131.60 129.05 -1.94 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Wedn nesday Thu ursday Friday F Monday M Reg gions 18 8-Jul 19-Jul 20-Jul 2 23-Jul Ind dia Consumer Price r Forex Re eserves Dat ta Index US Building p permits & Initial Job bless Claims s American Petroleumm Housing start data Institute Monthly e Report MBA mort tgage Existing H Home Sales application (MoM) Leading Indicator (MoM) Glo obal Bank of En ngland Japan's Leading UK Public Sector Ne et Nationw wide Housing Minutes Economic Index c ng Borrowin Prices s.a (MoM) an s nd n. s.a (Y YoY) Bank of Ca anada Eurozone Current e's Germany Producer y Moneytary Policy y Account n n.s.a Price Ind dex (YoY & MoM) Bank of Ja apan policy UK,s Ret Sales tail meeting mminutes (MoM) an (YoY) nd KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.