MANISH BAPNA, INTERIM PRESIDENT        JANUARY 10, 2012
The Prediction Game
How Will 2011 Be Remembered?
How Will 2011 Be Remembered?http://www.inquisitr.com/168221/occupy-wall-street-stomps-on-stimulus/
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket4. Ren...
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket4. Ren...
U.S. Climate Policy - 2011Pres. Obama calls for clean                National vehicle rules establishedenergy standards   ...
U.S. GHG Emissions Target for 2020Source: Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States Using Existing Federal Au...
Administration’s Rulemaking Report Card                                           YES   NOPower Plant Performance Standard...
CA & RGGI States Represent Sizable Economies                    Percent of U.S. GDP 2009                                  ...
Yesterday & Today“I will clean up the planet, I will   “Let us resolve that all nations--includingmake global warming a pr...
Yesterday & Today        “I do support capping carbon emissions.”                    Gov. Sarah Palin         October 2008...
Campaign 2012
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Re...
China’s President, Premier and Politburo                                  Xi Jinping                                      ...
Clean Energy Trade War?
Coal Consumption in China Total Energy Consumption (Btu) in China, 2008US Department of Energy, Energy Information Adminis...
China’s Provincial CO2 Trading Systems                                                “It’s very clear in China’s Five-   ...
CO2 & Efficiency Trading Around the World                      EU             RGGI             States                     ...
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Re...
Accelerating Global Food Demand
Annual Average Global Yield Rates                       Crop                   1961-1990 1990-2007 % Difference           ...
Degraded Lands: An Opportunity?Indonesia                   Brazil
Restoration Stories in 2012                        Indonesia                                                              ...
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Re...
Global Energy Investment for Power GenerationSource:EIA, IEA, Bloomberg New Energy Finance
IPCC Global Review of Renewable EnergyIPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources-SPM 2011, pg 10.
Residential Solar Power by 2015 (U.S.)NREL, Break-Even Cost for Residential Photovoltaics in the United States, 2009, Figu...
And competitively priced renewables are not    just taking off in the U.S…                                                ...
The Shale Gas Boom              Time Magazine, April 2011
U.S. Clean Energy Policy & IncentivesSource: Brookings
Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Re...
Earth Summits 1972-2012    Stockholm 1972         Rio 1992   Johannesburg 2002      Rio 2012
Rio Earth Summit 2012  Green Economy     Institutional Framework for                     Sustainable Development
Rio: What are they saying?• Green economy roadmap, UNEO• No new institutions, engage private sector and social media• Late...
What to Look for at Rio+20    Energy Access                                          Food Security                        ...
MANISH BAPNA, INTERIM PRESIDENT        JANUARY 10, 2012
Stories to Watch 2012
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Stories to Watch 2012

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Looking ahead to the big environmental and sustainability stories for 2012. Topics include: What does the U.S. presidential election mean for key environmental issues, including the future of the EPA? What will be the key drivers for renewable energy in 2012? What does China’s upcoming leadership transition mean? How will the expanding global population impact scarce natural resources, including forests? What will happen at the 2012 Earth Summit in Rio?

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  • FORMAT: BLACK BACKGROUNDMODIFIED VERSION OF http://pdf.wri.org/stories_to_watch_2012_invitation.pdf Black background- with stories to watch invite
  • REPUBLICAN WHO WON NH BUT LOST NATIONAL ELECTION SPECTACULARLY
  • Durban protestors
  • Occupy Wall Street
  • SLIDE: pictures of 2008 Republican and Democratic candidates and campaigns quotes – see National Journal article pg 3
  • SLIDE: pictures of 2008 Republican and Democratic candidates and campaigns quotes – see National Journal article pg 3
  • After Palin slide
  • [Slide: picture of solar panel; Solar World and newspaper clippings]
  • Option 1
  • Slide: Su Wei picture and quote
  • How are we going to meet this increase in demand for food? The annual rate of growth in yields of many basic crops has actually declined over the past 20 years relative to the previous 30 years, as you can see here. But the UN Food and Agricultural Organization says that agricultural production needs to increase on average by 1.4 percent per year from now to 2050 if we are to meet global food demands. Our current rate is lower.
  • A solution exists, however, that could obviate the need for further extensification of agriculture. This solution is restoring degraded or significantly underproductive lands back into productive crop fields and grazing lands. These so-called “degraded lands” are areas that were converted from their natural ecosystem years ago, unsustainably managed for a period of time, and now generate little in terms of food or economic output. Here you see images of such lands from Indonesia, China, and Brazil to give you an idea of what I am talking about.
  • The rise in the middle class is linked to rising per capita affluence. The current recession notwithstanding, global per capita income levels have increased over the past 2 decades and will likely continue to increase once the great recession is over.With this increase comes an increase in the consumption of stuff
  • Manish to add language
  • FORMAT: BLACK BACKGROUNDMODIFIED VERSION OF http://pdf.wri.org/stories_to_watch_2012_invitation.pdf Black background- with stories to watch invite
  • Stories to Watch 2012

    1. 1. MANISH BAPNA, INTERIM PRESIDENT JANUARY 10, 2012
    2. 2. The Prediction Game
    3. 3. How Will 2011 Be Remembered?
    4. 4. How Will 2011 Be Remembered?http://www.inquisitr.com/168221/occupy-wall-street-stomps-on-stimulus/
    5. 5. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    6. 6. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    7. 7. U.S. Climate Policy - 2011Pres. Obama calls for clean National vehicle rules establishedenergy standards EPA Mercury & Air Toxics Rules CA Air Resources Board adopts final cap-and-trade regulationJan. Mar. Jul. Oct. Nov. Dec. EPA ozone rules delayed Sec. Clinton urges EU to change approach to curbing aviation emissionsOffshore drilling expanded Keystone decision delayed
    8. 8. U.S. GHG Emissions Target for 2020Source: Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States Using Existing Federal Authorities and StateAction, World Resources Institute, 2010
    9. 9. Administration’s Rulemaking Report Card YES NOPower Plant Performance StandardsEfficiency Standards for Appliances andEquipmentTransportation Standards for Light-DutyVehicles MY 2017-2025Refinery Performance StandardsNatural Gas System Regulations for VOCs,SO2, & ToxicsHydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
    10. 10. CA & RGGI States Represent Sizable Economies Percent of U.S. GDP 2009 California • CA: GHG cap-and-trade 13.3% program in 2013 will cover 85% of emissions by 2015 • RGGI: GHG cap-and- RGGI trade program for electricity (10 states) U.S. (balance) covers more than 20% of 19% 67.7% regions total emissionsSource: US Census
    11. 11. Yesterday & Today“I will clean up the planet, I will “Let us resolve that all nations--includingmake global warming a priority.” my own--will act with seriousness of purpose, and reduce the carbon we sendSen. John McCain, Jan. 2008 into our atmosphere.” Candidate Barack Obama, July 2008
    12. 12. Yesterday & Today “I do support capping carbon emissions.” Gov. Sarah Palin October 2008, Vice Presidential Debate
    13. 13. Campaign 2012
    14. 14. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    15. 15. China’s President, Premier and Politburo Xi Jinping Li Keqiang1. http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-03/15/xin_4720305151238906199427.jpg2. http://www.wantchinatimes.com/whoswho-cnt.aspx?id=20101208000064&cid=20 3. http://tilt.ft.com/#!posts/2011-08/26926/chinas-changing-of-guard
    16. 16. Clean Energy Trade War?
    17. 17. Coal Consumption in China Total Energy Consumption (Btu) in China, 2008US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, “Country Analysis Brief: China”http://205.254.135.24/countries/cab.cfm?fips=CH
    18. 18. China’s Provincial CO2 Trading Systems “It’s very clear in China’s Five- Year Plan that it’s our objective to gradually establish a national system on carbon emissions trading.” - Su Wei Su Wei Director General for Climate Change National Development and Reform CommissionPhoto by Miguel Villagran/Getty Images Europe
    19. 19. CO2 & Efficiency Trading Around the World EU RGGI States ChinaCalifornia Provinces India Australia New Zealand
    20. 20. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    21. 21. Accelerating Global Food Demand
    22. 22. Annual Average Global Yield Rates Crop 1961-1990 1990-2007 % Difference Wheat 2.9 0.5 - 83% Maize 2.2 1.8 - 18% Rice 2.2 0.9 - 59% Soya 1.8 1.1 - 39%Source: Alston, Beddow and Pardey (2009) using FAO (2008) and USDA FAS (2008)
    23. 23. Degraded Lands: An Opportunity?Indonesia Brazil
    24. 24. Restoration Stories in 2012 Indonesia BrazilConsumer Goods Forum Consumershttp://www.globalforestwatch.org/english/indonesia/forests.htmhttp://indepthafrica.com/global-issues/dilma-rousseff-declares-the-winner-of-brazil-election/
    25. 25. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    26. 26. Global Energy Investment for Power GenerationSource:EIA, IEA, Bloomberg New Energy Finance
    27. 27. IPCC Global Review of Renewable EnergyIPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources-SPM 2011, pg 10.
    28. 28. Residential Solar Power by 2015 (U.S.)NREL, Break-Even Cost for Residential Photovoltaics in the United States, 2009, Figure 8.
    29. 29. And competitively priced renewables are not just taking off in the U.S… China: Wind energy competitive in two years Italy, Spain, Greece & Portugal: and solar PV by 2015. Solar PV competitive within two years. India: Solar PV Germany: Wind competitive with on-FL, NC, NJ, Southwest: electricity spot grid diesel generation.Solar PV close tocompetitive with fossil prices cheaper thanfuels. fossil fuels some days in 2011. Brazil: In 2011, Wind energy Island Nations, Japan & Hawaii: auctions undercut price of Solar PV competitive within two natural gas. years.
    30. 30. The Shale Gas Boom Time Magazine, April 2011
    31. 31. U.S. Clean Energy Policy & IncentivesSource: Brookings
    32. 32. Stories to Watch 20121. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year2. Transitions in China3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?5. A Bravo for Rio?
    33. 33. Earth Summits 1972-2012 Stockholm 1972 Rio 1992 Johannesburg 2002 Rio 2012
    34. 34. Rio Earth Summit 2012 Green Economy Institutional Framework for Sustainable Development
    35. 35. Rio: What are they saying?• Green economy roadmap, UNEO• No new institutions, engage private sector and social media• Late engagement, defensive posture• Keep “common but differentiated responsibilities”• Opportunity to shine, strong involvement of Rio city
    36. 36. What to Look for at Rio+20 Energy Access Food Security Water Governancehttp://www.nexusafrica.ca/africa-in-2011-getting-out-the-vote-the-call/http://www.new-ventures.org/content/scaling-clean-energy-access-india-workshophttp://vivekitam.wordpress.com/2011/01/14/a-paperback-analysis-of-nacs-food-security-proposal-part-2/© ICRC
    37. 37. MANISH BAPNA, INTERIM PRESIDENT JANUARY 10, 2012
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