Looking ahead to the big environmental and sustainability stories for 2012. Topics include: What does the U.S. presidential election mean for key environmental issues, including the future of the EPA? What will be the key drivers for renewable energy in 2012? What does China’s upcoming leadership transition mean? How will the expanding global population impact scarce natural resources, including forests? What will happen at the 2012 Earth Summit in Rio?
4. How Will 2011 Be Remembered?
http://www.inquisitr.com/168221/occupy-wall-street-stomps-on-stimulus/
5. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
6. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
7. U.S. Climate Policy - 2011
Pres. Obama calls for clean National vehicle rules established
energy standards
EPA Mercury &
Air Toxics Rules
CA Air Resources Board
adopts final cap-and-trade
regulation
Jan. Mar. Jul. Oct. Nov. Dec.
EPA ozone rules delayed Sec. Clinton urges EU
to change approach to
curbing aviation emissions
Offshore drilling expanded
Keystone decision delayed
8. U.S. GHG Emissions Target for 2020
Source: Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in the United States Using Existing Federal Authorities and State
Action, World Resources Institute, 2010
9. Administration’s Rulemaking Report Card
YES NO
Power Plant Performance Standards
Efficiency Standards for Appliances and
Equipment
Transportation Standards for Light-Duty
Vehicles MY 2017-2025
Refinery Performance Standards
Natural Gas System Regulations for VOCs,
SO2, & Toxics
Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs)
10. CA & RGGI States Represent Sizable Economies
Percent of U.S. GDP 2009
California • CA: GHG cap-and-trade
13.3% program in 2013 will cover
85% of emissions by 2015
• RGGI: GHG cap-and-
RGGI
trade program for electricity
(10 states)
U.S. (balance) covers more than 20% of
19%
67.7% region's total emissions
Source: US Census
11. Yesterday & Today
“I will clean up the planet, I will “Let us resolve that all nations--including
make global warming a priority.” my own--will act with seriousness of
purpose, and reduce the carbon we send
Sen. John McCain, Jan. 2008 into our atmosphere.”
Candidate Barack Obama, July 2008
12. Yesterday & Today
“I do support capping carbon emissions.”
Gov. Sarah Palin
October 2008, Vice Presidential Debate
14. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
15. China’s President, Premier and Politburo
Xi Jinping Li Keqiang
1. http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2008-03/15/xin_4720305151238906199427.jpg
2. http://www.wantchinatimes.com/whoswho-cnt.aspx?id=20101208000064&cid=20 3. http://tilt.ft.com/#!posts/2011-08/26926/chinas-changing-of-guard
17. Coal Consumption in China
Total Energy Consumption (Btu) in China, 2008
US Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration, “Country Analysis Brief: China”
http://205.254.135.24/countries/cab.cfm?fips=CH
18. China’s Provincial CO2 Trading Systems
“It’s very clear in China’s Five-
Year Plan that it’s our objective to
gradually establish a national
system on carbon emissions
trading.”
- Su Wei
Su Wei
Director General for Climate Change
National Development and Reform
Commission
Photo by Miguel Villagran/Getty Images Europe
19. CO2 & Efficiency Trading Around the World
EU
RGGI
States China
California Provinces
India
Australia
New Zealand
20. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
24. Restoration Stories in 2012
Indonesia Brazil
Consumer Goods Forum
Consumers
http://www.globalforestwatch.org/english/indonesia/forests.htm
http://indepthafrica.com/global-issues/dilma-rousseff-declares-the-winner-of-brazil-election/
25. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
27. IPCC Global Review of Renewable Energy
IPCC Special Report on Renewable Energy Sources-SPM 2011, pg 10.
28. Residential Solar Power by 2015 (U.S.)
NREL, Break-Even Cost for Residential Photovoltaics in the United States, 2009, Figure 8.
29. And competitively priced renewables are not
just taking off in the U.S…
China: Wind energy
competitive in two years
Italy, Spain, Greece & Portugal: and solar PV by 2015.
Solar PV competitive within two
years.
India: Solar PV
Germany: Wind competitive with on-
FL, NC, NJ, Southwest:
electricity spot grid diesel generation.
Solar PV close to
competitive with fossil prices cheaper than
fuels. fossil fuels some
days in 2011.
Brazil: In 2011, Wind energy Island Nations, Japan & Hawaii:
auctions undercut price of Solar PV competitive within two
natural gas. years.
33. Stories to Watch 2012
1. U.S. Climate & Energy in an Election Year
2. Transitions in China
3. An Overlooked Breadbasket?
4. Renewable Energy: Boom or Bust?
5. A Bravo for Rio?
35. Rio Earth Summit 2012
Green Economy Institutional Framework for
Sustainable Development
36. Rio: What are they saying?
• Green economy roadmap, UNEO
• No new institutions, engage private sector and social media
• Late engagement, defensive posture
• Keep “common but differentiated responsibilities”
• Opportunity to shine, strong involvement of Rio city
FORMAT: BLACK BACKGROUNDMODIFIED VERSION OF http://pdf.wri.org/stories_to_watch_2012_invitation.pdf Black background- with stories to watch invite
REPUBLICAN WHO WON NH BUT LOST NATIONAL ELECTION SPECTACULARLY
Durban protestors
Occupy Wall Street
SLIDE: pictures of 2008 Republican and Democratic candidates and campaigns quotes – see National Journal article pg 3
SLIDE: pictures of 2008 Republican and Democratic candidates and campaigns quotes – see National Journal article pg 3
After Palin slide
[Slide: picture of solar panel; Solar World and newspaper clippings]
Option 1
Slide: Su Wei picture and quote
How are we going to meet this increase in demand for food? The annual rate of growth in yields of many basic crops has actually declined over the past 20 years relative to the previous 30 years, as you can see here. But the UN Food and Agricultural Organization says that agricultural production needs to increase on average by 1.4 percent per year from now to 2050 if we are to meet global food demands. Our current rate is lower.
A solution exists, however, that could obviate the need for further extensification of agriculture. This solution is restoring degraded or significantly underproductive lands back into productive crop fields and grazing lands. These so-called “degraded lands” are areas that were converted from their natural ecosystem years ago, unsustainably managed for a period of time, and now generate little in terms of food or economic output. Here you see images of such lands from Indonesia, China, and Brazil to give you an idea of what I am talking about.
The rise in the middle class is linked to rising per capita affluence. The current recession notwithstanding, global per capita income levels have increased over the past 2 decades and will likely continue to increase once the great recession is over.With this increase comes an increase in the consumption of stuff
Manish to add language
FORMAT: BLACK BACKGROUNDMODIFIED VERSION OF http://pdf.wri.org/stories_to_watch_2012_invitation.pdf Black background- with stories to watch invite