Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

Stories to Watch 2020

2,062 views

Published on

Trends, major moments and policy decisions in 2020 related to climate change, biodiversity, corporate sustainability, technology, politics, and more. The presentation highlights actions by governments, businesses, activists, finance and innovators that will shape the trajectory for climate action and other environmental issues for the decade to come.

Published in: Environment
  • Be the first to comment

Stories to Watch 2020

  1. 1. 2010 - Mark Zuckerberg 2011 - The Protester 2012 - President Barack Obama 2013 - Pope Francis 2014 - The Ebola Fighters 2015 - Angela Merkel: Chancellor of the Free World 2016 - Donald Trump: President of the Divided United States 2017 - The Silence Breakers: The Voices that Launched a Movement 2018 - The Guardians and the War on Truth 2019 - Greta Thunberg: The Power of Youth TIME Person of the Year
  2. 2. Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill (2010) $17.1B in damages to natural resources Photo: US Coast Guard/Wikimedia
  3. 3. Hurricane Sandy (2012) $70B in damages Photo: Sgt. Mark C. Olsen/US Air Force/ New Jersey National Guard/Wikimedia
  4. 4. Floods Devastate India and Pakistan (2014) Death toll 1,300 Photo: Flickr/India Air Force
  5. 5. China’s Airpocalypse (2016) 500M people impacted Photo: V.V. Polywoda/Flickr
  6. 6. “Day Zero” Threatens Cape Town and Other Cities (2018) 4M risk of running out of water Photo: Zaian/Wikimedia
  7. 7. An Inferno of Fires California 2018: 1.8M hectares Amazonia 2019: 900,000 hectares Australia 2019: 6.3M hectares Photo: Flickr/robdownunder
  8. 8. Some Good News: New Global Goals (2015)
  9. 9. Global Climate Agreement in Paris (2015) Photo: COP Paris/Flickr
  10. 10. What Went Wrong? • Failure of Collective Action • Rising Inequality • Erosion of Democratic Norms • Resurgence of Nationalism
  11. 11. Part 1: Three Major Issues
  12. 12. Part 1: Three Major Issues
  13. 13. Part 1: Three Major Issues
  14. 14. Part 1: Three Major Issues
  15. 15. Ocean Overheated… Marine heatwaves doubled since 1982, driving coral bleaching events Photo: Mark Spalding/WRI
  16. 16. Overpolluted… 8M metric tons of plastic every year​ Photo: Vaidehi Shah/Flickr
  17. 17. …and Overfished 33% of stocks are overfished​ 60% are fully fished Photo: Germano74/pxhere
  18. 18. Even Worse Than We Thought IPCC Special Report on Ocean and Cryosphere September 2019 Climate impact on ocean: $428B by 2050 Photo: United Nations/Mark Garten/Flickr
  19. 19. 2020 Targets Off Track • End illegal fishing • End harmful fishing subsidies • Protect 10% of the ocean
  20. 20. 2020 UN Ocean Conference Lisbon, Portugal June 2-6 Photo: Michaela Loheit/Flickr
  21. 21. Can High-Level Panel for a Sustainable Ocean Economy Create a New Narrative? HLP Report: June 2020 Photo: Alex Bennett/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH Kenya Palau Portugal Australia Chile Fiji Indonesia GhanaCanada Jamaica Japan Mexico Namibia Norway
  22. 22. Will WTO Cut Harmful Fishing Subsidies? Twelfth Ministerial Conference Nur-Sultan, Kazakhstan June 8-11 Photo: Kalpak Travel/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  23. 23. Will Nations Reach a High Seas Agreement? 2/3 of the ocean unregulated and unmanaged Photo: Ruth Noguerón/WRI/Flickr UN negotiations: Next round March 23-April 3 WHAT TO WATCH
  24. 24. Will New National Climate Commitments Include Ocean Action? Ocean-based action could deliver 1/5 of emissions reductions needed by 2050 Photo: Chris Bentley/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  25. 25. Biodiversity Under Threat 1M species threatened with extinction​ ~60% average decline in animal populations since 1970 Photo: Vincent Poulissen/Flickr
  26. 26. AICHI Targets: Deadline in 2020
  27. 27. AICHI Targets: Deadline in 2020 …instead, almost doubled
  28. 28. 2020 Biodiversity COP Kunming, China October 5-10 Photo: Stephen Zopf/Flickr
  29. 29. Will New Targets Drive Accountability? • Geography-Based ​ • Footprint-Based​ • Equitable Sharing Photo: WRI/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  30. 30. Will Governments Commit to Protect 30% of Land and Sea? Photo: Brando/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  31. 31. China in the Spotlight? #1 importer of soybeans, beef and timber Photo: Xusenru/Pixabay WHAT TO WATCH #1 foreign investor in infrastructure and extractive industry
  32. 32. Hottest Decade on Record (2010-2019) Source: NASA
  33. 33. Global CO2 Emissions All-Time High Source: Global Carbon Project
  34. 34. We Need to Peak Emissions ASAP Source: WRI
  35. 35. We Need to Peak Emissions ASAP Source: WRI
  36. 36. We Need to Peak Emissions ASAP Source: WRI
  37. 37. We Need to Peak Emissions ASAP Source: WRI
  38. 38. 2020 UN Climate Conference Glasgow, UK November 9-20 Photo: Ad Meskens/Wikimedia
  39. 39. Will Countries Make Ambitious Commitments? Long Term… Net Zero by 2050: 73 Countries 398 Cities 786 Businesses 16 Investors Photo: Aaron Minnick/WRI WHAT TO WATCH …And Short Term Enhanced National Climate Commitments (NDCs)
  40. 40. Progress in Key Areas? • Nature-Based Solutions • Adaptation • Finance Ministers Photo: CIFOR/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  41. 41. Will Climate Commitments Move the Needle? WHAT TO WATCH
  42. 42. Will Climate Commitments Move the Needle? WHAT TO WATCH
  43. 43. Part 2: The Actors
  44. 44. Part 2: The Actors
  45. 45. Part 2: The Actors
  46. 46. It’s Not the Good Old Days Photo: United Nations
  47. 47. Don’t Count on Us G20 Summit November 2020 Saudi Arabia Photo: Alan Santos/Wikimedia
  48. 48. A Mixed Bag Photo: White House/Flickr
  49. 49. Leaders of the Pack Source: Climate Watch 79 countries 10.5% of emissions
  50. 50. Will Major Emitters Stand Up? China 23% US 12% EU 7.3% India 7% Source: Climate Watch WHAT TO WATCH ~50% of global emissions
  51. 51. Will China Be Bold? • More coal? Renewables? • Belt and Road Initiative • Commodities Photo: Kremlin WHAT TO WATCH
  52. 52. Will India Surpass Expectations? • Renewables • Coal • Electric Vehicles Photo: Presidential Communications Operations Office/Wikimedia WHAT TO WATCH
  53. 53. Will the EU Green Deal Gain Traction? • Germany?​ • Brexit? • EU-China? Photo: Diliff/Wikimedia WHAT TO WATCH
  54. 54. And What About the United States? Photo: Dean Franklin/Wikimedia WHAT TO WATCH
  55. 55. Trump’s Attack on Environment Continues 95 total rollbacks Photo: Tony Webster/Flickr
  56. 56. We Are Still In 68% of GDP 51% of emissions Photo: Steve Morgan/Wikimedia 3,800 states, cities, business and more
  57. 57. Progress in 2019—Despite Trump ↓ 2% decline GHG emissions ↓ 18% decline in coal generation Photo: Flickr/National Renewable Energy Lab
  58. 58. How Will Climate Play in the Primaries? Democratic National Convention July 2020 Milwaukee, Wisconsin Photo: Andrew Dallos/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  59. 59. What Happens on November 3? Photo: Steven Bevacqua/Flickr November 9: COP 26 November 4: Paris Withdrawal WHAT TO WATCH
  60. 60. Financial Sector Waking Up to Climate Risk
  61. 61. Fossil Fuels No Longer a Sure Bet BlackRock: $90B lost on fossil fuels, 2009-2019 Photo: Financial Times/Flickr
  62. 62. … and Physical Risks Have Arrived Climate disasters cost $650B in past 3 years Photo: CIFOR
  63. 63. More Heavyweights Avoiding Fossil Fuels INSURERS MULTILATERAL DEVELOPMENT BANKS STATE INVESTMENT FUNDS SOVEREIGN WEALTH FUNDS ASSET MANAGERS
  64. 64. Flows to Sustainable Investment Funds on the Rise Morningstar
  65. 65. Lots of Initiatives ASSET MANAGERS ASSET OWNERS BANKS FINANCIAL REGULATORS FINANCE MINISTERS INSTITUTIONS FOR DISCLOSURE
  66. 66. But Fossil Fuels Still Winning Source: WRI Wells Fargo Barclays Bank of America JP Morgan Chase Société Générale
  67. 67. Will Financial Regulators Push for More Green, Less Brown Investment? • Risk weighting • Disclosure • Stress testing Photo: Europe Central Bank/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  68. 68. Will Development Banks Align Portfolios with Paris Goals? European Investment Bank: No more fossil fuel projects, including oil and gas Photo: Forgemind ArchiMedia/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  69. 69. Will Finance Ministers Influence NDCs? • Carbon Pricing • Green Fiscal Policies Photo: World Bank WHAT TO WATCH
  70. 70. Can the Financial Sector Come Together? Mark Carney, UN Special Envoy on Climate Action and Finance Photo: World Economic Forum/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  71. 71. Leading Corporations Rethinking Their Role WEF: “The purpose of a company is to engage all its stakeholders in shared and sustained value creation” Photo: WEF/Flickr
  72. 72. Some Major Businesses Taking the Lead • 750+ companies committed to science-based climate action • Nearly 4 GtCO2 Photo: Walmart Corporate/Flickr
  73. 73. New Circular Economy Models Emerging… Photo: Bradley Siefert/Flickr $4.5T opportunity
  74. 74. …But Consumerism Still Draining Natural Resources 1.75x faster than planet can renew Photo: CSIRO/Flickr
  75. 75. Companies Missing the Mark on Deforestation Targets 5M hectares sacrificed for commodities each year Photo: CIFOR/Flickr
  76. 76. Will 1,000 Businesses Align With Climate Science by COP26? WHAT TO WATCH
  77. 77. Will More Industries Reach a Tipping Point? Photo: Adam Cohn/Flickr What about others? • Fossil fuels • Cement • Metals • Aviation 20% of companies in some sectors: • Food & beverage • Apparel • Hospitality • IT & Telecom WHAT TO WATCH
  78. 78. Will Companies Go Beyond Climate? WHAT TO WATCH
  79. 79. Will Trade Associations Change Their Ways? • International Chambers Coalition​ • Business Roundtable​ • U.S. Chamber of Commerce​ Photo: Walmart/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  80. 80. Tech Moves Faster Than You Think Source: Comin and Hobijn and others/visualcapitalist.com
  81. 81. Tech Moves Faster Than You Think Source: Comin and Hobijn and others/visualcapitalist.com
  82. 82. Tech Moves Faster Than You Think Source: Comin and Hobijn and others/visualcapitalist.com
  83. 83. Tech Moves Faster Than You Think Source: Comin and Hobijn and others/visualcapitalist.com
  84. 84. Tech Moves Faster Than You Think Source: Comin and Hobijn and others/visualcapitalist.com
  85. 85. Tech Moves Fast Impossible Burger: 2016: 0 restaurants​ 2020: 15,000+ restaurants​ Photo: Tony Webster/Flickr
  86. 86. Will Cities and Companies Electrify Their Fleets? • Bogotá and Chile: 1100 new e-buses for 2020​ • Amazon's 100k electric truck fleet starts starting in 2020​ • Coming soon: Ford's Electric F-150 and Tesla Cybertruck Photo: WRI WHAT TO WATCH
  87. 87. Is Battery Storage the Next Disruptor? 3x GW growth projected for 2020 in U.S. Photo: Smnt/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  88. 88. Hard to Abate Sectors: Easier Than You Think Total cost of decarbonization: <0.5% of global GDP​ Photo: Unsplash WHAT TO WATCH
  89. 89. The Next Frontier? • Plans for world’s largest direct air capture plant underway​ • Heliogen’s solar energy reaches 1,000° C​ • Electric aircraft testing​ • First zero emission gas power plant moves toward full-scale deployment​ Photo: Heliogen WHAT TO WATCH
  90. 90. Photo: University of Michigan
  91. 91. First Earth Day: April 22, 1970 • 1970: Clean Air Act Creation of EPA • 1972: Clean Water Act • 1973: Endangered Species Act Photo: University of Michigan
  92. 92. Growing Social Movements • Extinction Rebellion​ • #FridaysForFuture • #PrayForAmazonas • Green New Deal​ • Tech walkouts​ Photo: Julia Hawkins
  93. 93. Youth Leading the Way • September 2019: 7M people in 185 countries • Young people across 6 continents rank climate change top global issue​ Photo: 350.org/Flickr
  94. 94. Indigenous People Standing Together 4 environmental defenders killed every week Photo: 350.org/Flickr
  95. 95. Workers in on the Climate Movement • International Trade Union Confederation • AFL-CIO Photo: Peg Hunter
  96. 96. A Time of Social Unrest • France: rise in fuel taxes • Chile: fare hike for public transit • Ecuador: reduced fuel subsidies Photo: Olivier Ortelpa/Flickr
  97. 97. Inequality and Climate Crisis Are Linked The richest 10% account for half of global greenhouse gas emissions​ Photo: Johnny Miller/Unequal Scenes
  98. 98. Will Civic Space Be Protected? Escazú Agreement: 5 more countries to enter into force​ Photo: Daniel Cima/CIDH WHAT TO WATCH
  99. 99. Will Climate Plans Address Just Transition? Photo: Unclimatechange/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  100. 100. How Will Governments Respond? EU, Argentina, Bangladesh, Canada, UK declared climate emergencies​ Photo: European Parliament/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  101. 101. Will Activism Lead to Political Change? Photo: Peg Hunter/Flickr WHAT TO WATCH
  102. 102. Silent Spring: Published 1962
  103. 103. US Banned DDT in 1972
  104. 104. Cuyahoga River—1969
  105. 105. Cuyahoga River—Today
  106. 106. April 22: 50th Anniversary of Earth Day
  107. 107. Photo: White House Photo Office

×