WORLD ECONOMY DOING WELL
Photo: Rafael Matsunaga/Flickr
Dow Jones hits
25,000
January 5, 2018
Global
GDP up
3.6%

POVERTY REACHES LOWEST RATE IN HISTORY
Photo: Maria Fleischmann/World Bank. Source: World Poverty Clock (projected)
38 million
people escaped
extreme poverty

2017: HOTTEST NON-EL NIÑO YEAR ON RECORD
Source: NOAA

2017: GLOBAL EMISSIONS RISE
Source: WMO

RECORD HURRICANES IN 2017
Photo: Flickr/Antii Lipponen
$135 billion
insurance payouts

FLOODING IN SOUTH ASIA
Photo: Flickr/CAN Europe
1,400
people killed

BIGGEST FIRES EVER RECORDED IN CALIFORNIA
Photo: Flickr/US Department of Agriculture
1.2 million
acres burned

SHAKE UP IN GEOPOLITICS
Photo: Flickr/European Council President

How Far Will Trump Go?
A Fossil Fuel Renaissance or Renewable Energy Surge?
Will Momentum on Climate Continue?
Will Businesses & Investors Accelerate
Momentum Toward Sustainability?
Will Mobility Trends Help People & the Planet?
The Ascent of Plant-Based Protein?
HOW DID WE DO IN 2017?
Photo: Michael Fleshman/Flickr

INTRODUCING THE McVEGAN
Photo: McDonald’s

NEW DELHI POLLUTION “OFF THE CHART”
Source: US State Department

#1 ENVIRONMENTAL
HEALTH RISK
1 in 9
deaths
worldwide
Photo: Flickr/CIAT

BEYOND HUMAN HEALTH
Photo: Flickr/World Bank Photo Collection
AIR POLLUTION AFFECTS:
• Food production
• Solar energy output
• Climate change

WHAT TO WATCH:
Has China Turned a Corner?
Photo: Flickr/Jens Schott Knudsen
2017
Air pollution in Beijing
decreased by 20%

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will India Step Up Enforcement?
Photo: Flickr/CIAT
• National and city action plans
• Agricultural burning
• Cleaner fuel standards

Photo: Flickr/Kamilokardona
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will People Use Technology
to Demand Clean Air?
COLOMBIA
Purpleair monitors track
air quality in real time

WHAT TO WATCH:
Photo: Flickr/ZAMG
Sentinel-5P:
unprecedented detail
Will New Satellites Be a Game Changer?

RECORD OIL PRODUCTION
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy

BIG OIL: 5 OF 12 TOP COMPANIES BY REVENUE

ENERGY DOMINANCE?
Photo: Flickr/Gage Skidmore
2018
U.S. to produce record
10 million barrels oil/day

BUT, DISRUPTIVE FORCES IN PLAY…
Photo: Flickr/American Tobacco Historic District

CAR COMPANIES…
Photo: Flickr/Ford Europe
Volvo, Ford, GM
announced
expanding EV fleets

GOVERNMENTS…
Photo: Flickr/NatalieMaynor
UK, France, Norway,
Netherlands:
No new gas cars by 2040

INVESTORS…
Photo: Flickr/RosieTulips
2017
155 shareholder
resolutions on climate
and sustainability

INSURERS…
Photo: Flickr/World Bank Photo Collection
AXA quits oil sands

…AND OIL COMPANIES STARTING TO RESPOND
Photo: Flickr/Jonah G.S.
SHELL and STATOIL
commit to reduce
emissions intensity
BP puts
$200 million
towards solar
EXXON agrees
to disclose
climate risk

WHAT TO WATCH:
Offshore Drilling: How Far Will It Go?
Photo: Flickr/JournoJen
17 Atlantic and
Pacific governors
oppose offshore
drilling
Florida taken off
list of states for
offshore drilling

Photo: Flickr/Kārlis Dambrāns
On deck:
Germany, China, India and California
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will More Governments Ban Gas Cars?

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Development Banks
Drop Oil?
Photo: Flickr/World Bank Photo Collection
WORLD BANK:
No upstream oil & gas investment by 2019

WHAT TO WATCH:
How Will Saudi Aramco IPO Be Valued?
Photo: Flickr/RosieTulips

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Others Follow the World’s
Largest Pension Fund?
Photo: Flickr/JournoJen
NORWEGIAN PENSION FUND ($1 trillion):
Advised to divest from oil

Photo: Flickr/Martin Schachermayer
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Oil Companies Follow Through?

ONE ADMINISTRATION THAT WON’T…
Photo: US Environmental Protection Agency
• Clean Power Plan
• Vehicle Emissions
Standards
• Social Cost of Carbon
• Paris Agreement

BUT WE ARE STILL IN!
Photo: Flickr/David Yu
15
U.S. states
455
U.S. cities
1,700+
U.S. businesses

THE WORLD IS MOVING AHEAD

THE WORLD IS MOVING AHEAD

GLOBAL CO2 EMISSIONS NEED TO DECLINE RAPIDLY
Source: Carbon Crunch

Who Is Going to Lead?
Photo: Flickr/European Council
WHAT TO WATCH:

Photo: Flickr/Gustavo M
3.5%
rise in CO2
in 2017
2018
Launch of
national carbon
market
WHAT TO WATCH:
Which Way for China’s Emissions?

WHAT TO WATCH:
Source: India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE); Bridge to India
Note: all year sin the chart are fiscal years: 1 April – 31 March
Will India’s Renewable Energy Growth Keep Pace?

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will US Subnational Action Add Up?
Photo: Flickr/WRI
REPORT RELEASE
September 2018

NEW GLOBAL REPORT
September 2018
WHAT TO WATCH:
What Will the New Climate Economy Find?

Photo: Flickr/Matthew Paulson
September 12–14, 2018
San Francisco, CA
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will 2018 Summit Lead to More Action?

WHAT TO WATCH:
US Midterm Elections:
Who Comes Out on Top?
Source: US Today/ Inside Elections
435
House
seats
34
Senate
seats
36 Governors

WHAT TO WATCH:
Source: Citizens Climate Lobby
Will Bipartisan Support for Climate Grow?
62
Members
of Climate
Solutions
Caucus
x 66

WHAT TO WATCH:
COP24: Will Countries Ramp Up Ambition?
Photo: Flickr/Kamil Porembinski
• Talanoa Dialogue
• Paris Rulebook
• Pre-2020 Issues

Photo: International Monetary Fund Follow

Photo: The Economist

THE PATH TO 1.5–2°C RELIES ON CO2 REMOVAL
Source: UNEP

THE PATH TO 1.5–2°C RELIES ON CO2 REMOVAL
Source: UNEP

THE PATH TO 1.5–2°C RELIES ON CO2 REMOVAL
Source: UNEP

A MASSIVE CHALLENGE
Source: UNEP 2017

A SPECTRUM OF STRATEGIES
Photos: Flickr/AgriLife Today/WRI/United Soybean Board; ClimeWorks, Roger Aines

A SPECTRUM OF STRATEGIES
Photos: Flickr/AgriLife Today/WRI/United Soybean Board; ClimeWorks, Roger Aines

A SPECTRUM OF STRATEGIES
Photos: Flickr/AgriLife Today/WRI/United Soybean Board; ClimeWorks, Roger Aines

NATURAL STRATEGIES ARE READY TO SCALE
2 billion
hectares potential for
landscape restoration

DIRECT AIR CAPTURE & STORAGE
Photo: ClimeWorks
3 COMPANIES AT
THE FOREFRONT:
• Carbon Engineering
• ClimeWorks
• Global Thermostat

ENHANCED WEATHERING
Photo: Flickr/Michel G.

WHAT TO WATCH:
What Will the IPCC Report Say
About Negative Emissions?
Photo: Flickr/Takver
OCTOBER 2018
Global Warming of 1.5ºC
report launch

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Natural Approaches Attract More Investment?
Source: CS/WWF/McKinsey

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will the First Zero Emission Gas
Power Plant Work as Expected?
Photo: Net Power and CB&I

2017: LARGEST HUMANITARIAN CRISIS SINCE WWII
Photo: Flickr/Hugh Macleod / IRIN
83 million
people needed
emergency food
assistance

FOOD: WATER’S BIGGEST CUSTOMER
Photo: Pixabay/Qui Nguyen Khac
Agriculture accounts
for 69% of global
water withdrawal

WATER RISK WIDESPREAD
Aquduct Water Risk Atlas

MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA AT HIGH RISK
Source: Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas

2040: WATER STRESS ON THE RISE
Aqueduct Water Risk Atlas
33 countries
to face extremely
high stress

SYRIA’S WAR—PRECEDED BY DROUGHT
Photo: Flickr/U.S. Department of State
• 1.5 million rural Syrians
migrated to cities
• Climate change made the
drought 2–3X more likely

TROUBLED WATERS IN LAKE CHAD REGION
Photo: Espen Røst / Bistandsaktuelt
• Lake Chad has shrunk by
95% since 1960s
• 2.4 million people displaced
• Herder/farmer conflict rivals
Boko Haram threat

Will UN Security
Council Adopt
Climate Resolution?
Photo: UNAMID/Flickr
WHAT TO WATCH:

WHAT TO WATCH:
How Will Countries
Manage New Mega-Dams?
Photo: Jacey Fortin
GRAND ETHIOPIAN
RENAISSANCE DAM:
• $5 billion project
• Africa's largest
hydroelectric dam

WHAT TO WATCH:
Cities Facing Water Crises?
Photo: Aloysius/Pixabay
Cape Town “Day Zero”
• April 2018
• 4 million residents’
taps run dry?

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Integrated Data Lead to
Better Management?
Source: Aqueduct Food

WHAT TO WATCH:
Can the Data Revolution
Help Prevent Crises?
Resource Watch
Launching April 2018

THE OCEAN IN HOT WATER
• US EPA: Average Global Sea Surface
Temperature, 1880-2015
Source: US EPA
Over 30% of man made co2 emissions

CORAL BLEACHING CRISIS
Photo: Flickr/Oregon State University
50%
of coral reefs lost
due to bleaching
Coral
bleaching
4x
as frequent
than 1980s

DROWNING IN PLASTIC
Photo: Flickr/Susan White/USFWS
~9 million tons
per year
More plastic than fish
in the ocean by 2050

FISHING BEYOND THE OCEAN'S LIMITS
Photo: Flickr/-JvL-
31% overfished
58% fished to capacity

GROWING WAVE OF AWARENESS
JANUARY 2016
SDG14
Life Below Water
Photo: Flickr/gpparker
1,400 Commitments
at The Ocean
Conference of the UN
UN Special Envoy
for the Ocean
JUNE 2017 SEPTEMBER 2017

WHAT TO WATCH:
Progress on Plastic?
Photo: Flickr/Jedimentat44
• 40+ countries have banned, restricted
or taxed use of plastic bags
• UN proposed ban on plastic in the ocean

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will New Leadership Emerge?
Photo: Flickr/floheinstein
January 22–26
Davos, Switzerland

Photo: Thomas Mues/Flickr
Key ocean assets worth
$24 trillion
WHAT TO WATCH:
Will a Blue Economy Narrative Take Hold?

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will G7 Leaders Unite?
Photo: Flickr/European Council President
June 8–9
Charlevoix, Canada

WHAT TO WATCH:
Will Negotiations Begin for
UN Treaty on the High Seas?
Photo: Flickr/Joanna Penn
Must protect 30% by 2030 to
achieve ocean sustainability

TECHNOLOGIES TO WATCH:
Will Blockchain Help Green Supply Chains?
Photo: Flickr/Corey Templeton

TECHNOLOGIES TO WATCH:
Will Tree-Planting
Drones Take Off?
Photo: BioCarbon Engineering

TECHNOLOGIES TO WATCH:
Self-Driving Pizza Trucks?

TECHNOLOGIES TO WATCH:
Does Utility-Scale Energy
Storage Catalyze Renewables?
Photo credit: hoesim

Source: Boston Dynamics
Robots?
TECHNOLOGIES TO WATCH: