The document discusses probability and random processes. It defines random variables as functions that assign real numbers to elements of a sample space from a random experiment. Random variables can be discrete or continuous. Discrete random variables take countable values while continuous random variables take all values in an interval. Probability mass functions define probabilities for discrete random variables and probability density functions define probabilities for continuous random variables. The cumulative distribution function gives the probability that a random variable is less than or equal to a value. Examples are provided to illustrate discrete and continuous random variables and their probability functions.
This presentation is based on ``Statistical Modeling: The two cultures'' from Leo Breiman. It compares the data modeling culture (statistics) and the algorithmic modeling culture (machine learning).
How to validate a model?
What is a best model ?
Types of data
Types of errors
The problem of over fitting
The problem of under fitting
Bias Variance Tradeoff
Cross validation
K-Fold Cross validation
Boot strap Cross validation
Analysis of data is an important task in data managements systems. Many mathematical tools are used in data analysis. A new division of data management has appeared in machine learning, linear algebra, an optimal tool to analyse and manipulate the data. Data science is a multi-disciplinary subject that uses scientific methods to process the structured and unstructured data to extract the knowledge by applying suitable algorithms and systems. The strength of linear algebra is ignored by the researchers due to the poor understanding. It powers major areas of Data Science including the hot fields of Natural Language Processing and Computer Vision. The data science enthusiasts finding the programming languages for data science are easy to analyze the big data rather than using mathematical tools like linear algebra. Linear algebra is a must-know subject in data science. It will open up possibilities of working and manipulating data. In this paper, some applications of Linear Algebra in Data Science are explained.
This presentation is based on ``Statistical Modeling: The two cultures'' from Leo Breiman. It compares the data modeling culture (statistics) and the algorithmic modeling culture (machine learning).
How to validate a model?
What is a best model ?
Types of data
Types of errors
The problem of over fitting
The problem of under fitting
Bias Variance Tradeoff
Cross validation
K-Fold Cross validation
Boot strap Cross validation
Analysis of data is an important task in data managements systems. Many mathematical tools are used in data analysis. A new division of data management has appeared in machine learning, linear algebra, an optimal tool to analyse and manipulate the data. Data science is a multi-disciplinary subject that uses scientific methods to process the structured and unstructured data to extract the knowledge by applying suitable algorithms and systems. The strength of linear algebra is ignored by the researchers due to the poor understanding. It powers major areas of Data Science including the hot fields of Natural Language Processing and Computer Vision. The data science enthusiasts finding the programming languages for data science are easy to analyze the big data rather than using mathematical tools like linear algebra. Linear algebra is a must-know subject in data science. It will open up possibilities of working and manipulating data. In this paper, some applications of Linear Algebra in Data Science are explained.
This is an introduction to text analytics for advanced business users and IT professionals with limited programming expertise. The presentation will go through different areas of text analytics as well as provide some real work examples that help to make the subject matter a little more relatable. We will cover topics like search engine building, categorization (supervised and unsupervised), clustering, NLP, and social media analysis.
Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement Learning | EdurekaEdureka!
YouTube: https://youtu.be/xtOg44r6dsE
(** Python Data Science Training: https://www.edureka.co/python **)
In this PPT on Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement learning, we’ll be discussing the types of machine learning and we’ll differentiate them based on a few key parameters. The following topics are covered in this session:
1. Introduction to Machine Learning
2. Types of Machine Learning
3. Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement learning
4. Use Cases
Python Training Playlist: https://goo.gl/Na1p9G
Python Blog Series: https://bit.ly/2RVzcVE
Follow us to never miss an update in the future.
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/edurekaIN
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/edureka_learning/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/edurekaIN/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/edurekain
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edureka
We will discuss the following: Graph, Directed vs Undirected Graph, Acyclic vs Cyclic Graph, Backedge, Search vs Traversal, Breadth First Traversal, Depth First Traversal, Detect Cycle in a Directed Graph.
15 Probability Distribution Practical (HSC).pdfvedantsk1
Understanding Murphy's Law: Embracing the Unexpected
Content
Section 1: Unveiling Murphy's Law
Section 2: Real-life Applications
Section 3: Navigating the Unexpected
Section 1: Unveiling Murphy's Law
Page 1.1: Origin and Concept
Historical Context: Murphy's Law, originating from aerospace engineering, embodies the principle that "anything that can go wrong will go wrong." Its evolution from an engineering adage to a universal concept reflects its enduring relevance in diverse scenarios, providing a unique perspective on risk assessment and preparedness.
Psychological Implications: Understanding the law's impact on human behavior and decision-making processes provides insights into risk assessment, preparedness, and the psychology of uncertainty, offering valuable lessons for educators in managing unexpected events in the classroom.
Cultural Permeation: The law's integration into popular culture and its influence on societal perspectives toward unpredictability and risk management underscores its significance in contemporary discourse, highlighting its relevance in educational settings.
Page 1.2: The Science Behind the Law
Entropy and Probability: Exploring the scientific underpinnings of Murphy's Law reveals its alignment with principles of entropy and the probabilistic nature of complex systems, shedding light on its broader applicability, including its relevance in educational systems and institutional frameworks.
Complex Systems Theory: The law's resonance with the behavior of complex systems, including technological, social, and natural systems, underscores its relevance in diverse domains, from engineering to project management, offering insights into managing the complexities of educational environments.
Adaptive Strategies: Analysis of the law's implications for adaptive strategies and resilience planning offers valuable insights into mitigating the impact of unexpected events and enhancing system robustness, providing practical guidance for educators in navigating unforeseen challenges.
Page 1.3: Psychological and Behavioral Aspects
Cognitive Biases and Decision Making: Understanding how cognitive biases influence responses to unexpected events provides a framework for addressing the psychological dimensions of Murphy's Law in professional and personal contexts, offering strategies for educators to support students in managing unexpected outcomes.
Stress and Coping Mechanisms: Exploring the psychological impact of unexpected outcomes and the development of effective coping mechanisms equips individuals and organizations with strategies for managing uncertainty, providing valuable insights for educators in supporting students' emotional well-being.
Learning from Failure: Embracing the lessons inherent in Murphy's Law fosters a culture of learning from failure, promoting resilience, innovation, and adaptability in the face of unforeseen challenges, offering educators a framework for cultivating a growth mindset in students.
This is an introduction to text analytics for advanced business users and IT professionals with limited programming expertise. The presentation will go through different areas of text analytics as well as provide some real work examples that help to make the subject matter a little more relatable. We will cover topics like search engine building, categorization (supervised and unsupervised), clustering, NLP, and social media analysis.
Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement Learning | EdurekaEdureka!
YouTube: https://youtu.be/xtOg44r6dsE
(** Python Data Science Training: https://www.edureka.co/python **)
In this PPT on Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement learning, we’ll be discussing the types of machine learning and we’ll differentiate them based on a few key parameters. The following topics are covered in this session:
1. Introduction to Machine Learning
2. Types of Machine Learning
3. Supervised vs Unsupervised vs Reinforcement learning
4. Use Cases
Python Training Playlist: https://goo.gl/Na1p9G
Python Blog Series: https://bit.ly/2RVzcVE
Follow us to never miss an update in the future.
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/edurekaIN
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/edureka_learning/
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/edurekaIN/
Twitter: https://twitter.com/edurekain
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/edureka
We will discuss the following: Graph, Directed vs Undirected Graph, Acyclic vs Cyclic Graph, Backedge, Search vs Traversal, Breadth First Traversal, Depth First Traversal, Detect Cycle in a Directed Graph.
15 Probability Distribution Practical (HSC).pdfvedantsk1
Understanding Murphy's Law: Embracing the Unexpected
Content
Section 1: Unveiling Murphy's Law
Section 2: Real-life Applications
Section 3: Navigating the Unexpected
Section 1: Unveiling Murphy's Law
Page 1.1: Origin and Concept
Historical Context: Murphy's Law, originating from aerospace engineering, embodies the principle that "anything that can go wrong will go wrong." Its evolution from an engineering adage to a universal concept reflects its enduring relevance in diverse scenarios, providing a unique perspective on risk assessment and preparedness.
Psychological Implications: Understanding the law's impact on human behavior and decision-making processes provides insights into risk assessment, preparedness, and the psychology of uncertainty, offering valuable lessons for educators in managing unexpected events in the classroom.
Cultural Permeation: The law's integration into popular culture and its influence on societal perspectives toward unpredictability and risk management underscores its significance in contemporary discourse, highlighting its relevance in educational settings.
Page 1.2: The Science Behind the Law
Entropy and Probability: Exploring the scientific underpinnings of Murphy's Law reveals its alignment with principles of entropy and the probabilistic nature of complex systems, shedding light on its broader applicability, including its relevance in educational systems and institutional frameworks.
Complex Systems Theory: The law's resonance with the behavior of complex systems, including technological, social, and natural systems, underscores its relevance in diverse domains, from engineering to project management, offering insights into managing the complexities of educational environments.
Adaptive Strategies: Analysis of the law's implications for adaptive strategies and resilience planning offers valuable insights into mitigating the impact of unexpected events and enhancing system robustness, providing practical guidance for educators in navigating unforeseen challenges.
Page 1.3: Psychological and Behavioral Aspects
Cognitive Biases and Decision Making: Understanding how cognitive biases influence responses to unexpected events provides a framework for addressing the psychological dimensions of Murphy's Law in professional and personal contexts, offering strategies for educators to support students in managing unexpected outcomes.
Stress and Coping Mechanisms: Exploring the psychological impact of unexpected outcomes and the development of effective coping mechanisms equips individuals and organizations with strategies for managing uncertainty, providing valuable insights for educators in supporting students' emotional well-being.
Learning from Failure: Embracing the lessons inherent in Murphy's Law fosters a culture of learning from failure, promoting resilience, innovation, and adaptability in the face of unforeseen challenges, offering educators a framework for cultivating a growth mindset in students.
This presentation is a part of Business analytics course.
Probability Distribution is a statistical function which links or lists all the possible outcomes a random variable can take, in any random process, with its corresponding probability of occurrence.
Predicates & Quantifiers
CMSC 56 | Discrete Mathematical Structure for Computer Science
September 1, 2018
Instructor: Allyn Joy D. Calcaben
College of Arts & Sciences
University of the Philippines Visayas
Industrial Training at Shahjalal Fertilizer Company Limited (SFCL)MdTanvirMahtab2
This presentation is about the working procedure of Shahjalal Fertilizer Company Limited (SFCL). A Govt. owned Company of Bangladesh Chemical Industries Corporation under Ministry of Industries.
Welcome to WIPAC Monthly the magazine brought to you by the LinkedIn Group Water Industry Process Automation & Control.
In this month's edition, along with this month's industry news to celebrate the 13 years since the group was created we have articles including
A case study of the used of Advanced Process Control at the Wastewater Treatment works at Lleida in Spain
A look back on an article on smart wastewater networks in order to see how the industry has measured up in the interim around the adoption of Digital Transformation in the Water Industry.
Sachpazis:Terzaghi Bearing Capacity Estimation in simple terms with Calculati...Dr.Costas Sachpazis
Terzaghi's soil bearing capacity theory, developed by Karl Terzaghi, is a fundamental principle in geotechnical engineering used to determine the bearing capacity of shallow foundations. This theory provides a method to calculate the ultimate bearing capacity of soil, which is the maximum load per unit area that the soil can support without undergoing shear failure. The Calculation HTML Code included.
Using recycled concrete aggregates (RCA) for pavements is crucial to achieving sustainability. Implementing RCA for new pavement can minimize carbon footprint, conserve natural resources, reduce harmful emissions, and lower life cycle costs. Compared to natural aggregate (NA), RCA pavement has fewer comprehensive studies and sustainability assessments.
Immunizing Image Classifiers Against Localized Adversary Attacksgerogepatton
This paper addresses the vulnerability of deep learning models, particularly convolutional neural networks
(CNN)s, to adversarial attacks and presents a proactive training technique designed to counter them. We
introduce a novel volumization algorithm, which transforms 2D images into 3D volumetric representations.
When combined with 3D convolution and deep curriculum learning optimization (CLO), itsignificantly improves
the immunity of models against localized universal attacks by up to 40%. We evaluate our proposed approach
using contemporary CNN architectures and the modified Canadian Institute for Advanced Research (CIFAR-10
and CIFAR-100) and ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge (ILSVRC12) datasets, showcasing
accuracy improvements over previous techniques. The results indicate that the combination of the volumetric
input and curriculum learning holds significant promise for mitigating adversarial attacks without necessitating
adversary training.
HEAP SORT ILLUSTRATED WITH HEAPIFY, BUILD HEAP FOR DYNAMIC ARRAYS.
Heap sort is a comparison-based sorting technique based on Binary Heap data structure. It is similar to the selection sort where we first find the minimum element and place the minimum element at the beginning. Repeat the same process for the remaining elements.
Saudi Arabia stands as a titan in the global energy landscape, renowned for its abundant oil and gas resources. It's the largest exporter of petroleum and holds some of the world's most significant reserves. Let's delve into the top 10 oil and gas projects shaping Saudi Arabia's energy future in 2024.
Water billing management system project report.pdfKamal Acharya
Our project entitled “Water Billing Management System” aims is to generate Water bill with all the charges and penalty. Manual system that is employed is extremely laborious and quite inadequate. It only makes the process more difficult and hard.
The aim of our project is to develop a system that is meant to partially computerize the work performed in the Water Board like generating monthly Water bill, record of consuming unit of water, store record of the customer and previous unpaid record.
We used HTML/PHP as front end and MYSQL as back end for developing our project. HTML is primarily a visual design environment. We can create a android application by designing the form and that make up the user interface. Adding android application code to the form and the objects such as buttons and text boxes on them and adding any required support code in additional modular.
MySQL is free open source database that facilitates the effective management of the databases by connecting them to the software. It is a stable ,reliable and the powerful solution with the advanced features and advantages which are as follows: Data Security.MySQL is free open source database that facilitates the effective management of the databases by connecting them to the software.
6th International Conference on Machine Learning & Applications (CMLA 2024)ClaraZara1
6th International Conference on Machine Learning & Applications (CMLA 2024) will provide an excellent international forum for sharing knowledge and results in theory, methodology and applications of on Machine Learning & Applications.
2. Random Variables
A random variable is a function that assigns a real number X(s) to every elements s in
S, where S is the sample space corresponding to a random experiment.
Random variables
Discrete Random Variables Continuous Random variables
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 2
3. Discrete Random variable:
If X is a random variable which can take a finite number or countably infinite
number of values, X is called a Discrete Random variable.
Eg:
1. The marks obtained by the student in an exam.
2. Number of students absent for a particular class.
Continuous Random variable:
If X is a random variable which can take all values in an interval, then is called
a Continuous Random variable.
Eg:
The length of time during which a vacuum tube installed in a circuit functions is
a continuous RV.
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 3
4. Probability Mass Function (or) Probability Function:
If X is a discrete RV with distinct values x1 x2 x3 ,… xn…
then P ( X = xi) = pi, then the function p(x) is called the
Probability Mass Function.
Where p(i = 1, 2, 3, …) satisfy the following conditions:
1. for all i, and
2.
0,
pi
1
i
i
p
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 4
5. PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION FOR CONTINUOUS CASE:
If X is a continuous r.v., then f(x) is defined the probability density
function of X.
Provided f(x) satisfies the following conditions,
1.
2.
3.
( ) 0
f x
( ) 1
f x dx
( ) ( )
b
a
P a x b f x dx
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 5
6. CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION OF C.R.V.:
The cumulative distribution function of a continuous r.v. X is
( ) ( ) ( ) ,
x
F x P X x f x dx for x
CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION OF D.R.V.:
The cumulative distribution function F(x) of a discrete r.v. X with
probability distribution p(x) is given by
( ) ( ) ( )
i
i
X x
F x P X x p x for x
6
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP
7. Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 7
Relationship between probability density function and distribution function
𝑖) 𝑓 𝑥 =
𝑑
𝑑𝑥
𝐹 𝑥
𝑖𝑖) 𝐹 𝑥 =
−∞
𝑥
𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥
8. PROBLEM 1:
The number of telephone calls received in an office during lunch time has the
following probability function given below
No. of calls 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Probability
p(x)
0.05 0.2 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05
i) Verify that it is really a probability function.
ii) Find the probability that there will be 3 or more calls.
iii)Find the probability that there will be odd number of calls.
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 8
9. ii) Let X denote the no. of telephone calls
P(X>=3) = P(X=3) + P(X=4) + P(X=5) +P(X=6)
= 0.2 + 0.15 + 0.1 + 0.05
= 0.5
iii) Let X denote the no. of telephone calls
P(X is odd) = P(X=1) + P(X=3) + P(X=5)
= 0.2 + 0.2 + 0.1
= 0.5
i) Probability function p(x) follows 2 properties
i) all probability values lies between 0 and 1
ii) total probability value is 1.
In the given data all probability values are between 0 and 1
And 0.05+0.2+0.25+0.15+0.1+0.05 = 1
So it is a probability function.
Solution:
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 9
10. PROBLEM 2:
A r. v. X has the following probability functions
X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
p(x) 0 k 2k 2k 3k k2 2k2 7k2 + k
Find (i) value of k
(ii) P(1.5 < X < 4.5 / X > 2)
(iii) if P(X ≤ a) > ½, find the minimum value of a.
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 10
11. Solution:
7
0
2
( ) . . . ( ) 1
10 9 1
(10 1)( 1) 0
1
, 1
10
( ) cannot be negative,
1 is neglected.
1
10
x
i w k t p x
k k
k k
k
p x
k
k
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 11
12. 7
3
( ) (1.5 4.5 / 2)
( )
( / )
( )
[(1.5 4.5) ( 2)]
(1.5 4.5 / 2)
( 2)
( 3) ( 4)
( )
5
5
10
=
7 7
10
r
ii P X x
P A B
P A B
P B
P X X
P X X
P X
P X P X
P X r
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 12
0 1 2 3 4 5
13. ( ) By trials,
( 0) 0
1
( 1)
10
3
( 2)
10
5
( 3)
10
8
( 4)
10
1
the minimum value of 'a' satisfying the condition ( ) 4
2
iii
P X
P X
P X
P X
P X
P X a is
X 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
p(x) 0 1/10 2/10 2/10 3/10 1/100 2/100 17/100
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 13
14. PROBLEM 3
A random Variable X has the following probability distribution.
Find
(i) the value of k
(ii) Evaluate P[X<2] and P[-2<X<2]
(iii)Find the cumulative Distribution of X.
x -2 -1 0 1 2 3
p(x) 0.1 k 0.2 2k 0.3 3k
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 14
15. Solution:
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 15
6
0
( ) . . . ( ) 1
6 0.6 1
6 0.4
1
15
x
i w k t p x
k
k
k
16.
2 2 1
0 1
1 2
0.1 0.2
15 15
3 1
0.3
15 2
ii
P X P X P X
P X P X
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 16
17. Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 17
( )
[ ]
[ ] [ ] [ ]
2 2
1 0 1
1 2
0.2
15 15
3
= 0.2
15
2
5
ii
P X
P X P X P X
- < <
= = - + = + =
= + +
+
=
18. (iii) The Cumulative Distribution of X:
X F(x) = P(X ≤ x)
-2 F(-2)=P(X≤-2)=P(X=-2)=0.1=1/10
-1 F(-1)=P(X≤-1)=F(-2)+P(-1)=1/10+k=1/10+1/15=0.17
0 F(0)=P(X≤0)=F(-1)+P(0)=1/6+2/10=1/6+1/5=0.37
1 F(1)=P(X≤1)=F(0)+P(1)=11/30+2/15=15/30=1/2
2 F(2)=P(X≤2)=F(1)+P(2)=1/2+3/10=(5+3)/10=8/10=4/5
3 F(3)=P(X≤3)=F(2)+P(3)=4/5+3/15=(12+3)/15=1
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 18
19. Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 19
Problem
If the random variable X takes the values 1,2,3 and 4 such that
2P(X=1) = 3P(X=2) = P(X=3) = 5P(X=4), find the probability distribution and
cumulative distribution function.
Let P(X=3) = k
So P(X=1) = k/2
P(X=2) = k/3
P(X=4) = k/5
By property, 𝑘 +
𝑘
2
+
𝑘
3
+
𝑘
5
= 1
So 𝑘 =
30
61
20. X 1 2 3 4
P(X) 15/61 10/61 30/61 6/61
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 20
F(X)= 1
𝑥
𝑝(𝑋)
When X < 1 , F(X) = 0
X 1 2 3 4
F(X) 15/61 25/61 55/61 61/61 = 1
21. Problem 3:
The diameter, say X of an electric cable, is assumed to be a continuous r.v.
with p.d.f. :
f(x) = 6x(1-x), 0 ≤ x ≤ 1
(i) Check that the above is a p.d.f.
(ii) Compute P(X ≤ ½ / ⅓ ≤ X ≤ ⅔)
(iii) Determine the number k such that P(X< k) = P(X > k)
(iv) Find the cumulative distribution function.
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 21
22. Solution:
1 1
0 0
1
2 3
0
( )
( ) 6 (1 )
6
2 3
1
i
f x dx x x dx
x x
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 22
23. 1
2
1
3
2
3
1
3
( )
1 1
( )
1 1 2 3 2
( | )
1 2
2 3 3 ( )
3 3
6 (1 )
=
6 (1 )
11
11
54
13 26
27
ii
P X
P X X
P X
x x dx
x x dx
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 23
24. 1
0
2 3 2 3
3 2
( )
( ) ( )
6 (1 ) 6 (1 )
3 2 3(1 ) 2(1 )
4 6 1 0
1 1 3
,
2 2
1
The only possible value of k in the given range is .
2
1
2
k
k
iii
We have P X k P X k
x x dx x x dx
k k k k
k k
k
k
Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 24
25. Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 25
𝑖𝑣) 𝐹 𝑥 =
−∞
𝑥
𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥
𝐹 𝑥 =
0
𝑥
6𝑥 1 − 𝑥 𝑑𝑥
=
0
𝑥
(6𝑥 − 6𝑥2
)𝑑𝑥
= 6
𝑥2
2
− 6
𝑥3
3 0
𝑥
𝐹(𝑥) = 3𝑥2
− 2𝑥3 is the cumulative distribution function
26. Dr. S. Kalyani PRP 26
Problem
The distribution function of a random variable X is given by 𝐹 𝑋 = 1 − 1 + 𝑥 𝑒−𝑥
, 𝑥 ≥ 0
Find the density function.
Solution:
We know that 𝑓 𝑥 =
𝑑
𝑑𝑥
𝐹 𝑥
=
𝑑
𝑑𝑥
{1 − 𝑒−𝑥 − 𝑥𝑒−𝑥}
= 0 − −𝑒−𝑥
− (−𝑥𝑒−𝑥
+ 𝑒−𝑥
)
= 𝑒−𝑥
+ 𝑥𝑒−𝑥
− 𝑒−𝑥
= 𝑥𝑒−𝑥, 𝑥 ≥ 0. is the density function