The document discusses putting a "climate change filter" on forest stewardship and conservation. It provides an overview of climate change impacts on forests in New England, including warmer temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and species range shifts. It then focuses on the Caroline Lake Preserve, identifying challenges like potential declines of northern species and opportunities like increased structural diversity. Actions are suggested to help the forests adapt, such as favoring under-represented species and practicing small-scale disturbances, with the goal of maintaining historically characteristic forests.
Understanding Forest Vulnerability to Climate ChangeMaria Janowiak
Presentation to University of Maine School of Forest Resources, April 2018.
Forests are a defining landscape feature across New England and northern New York, covering more than 40 million acres from the coast of the Atlantic Ocean to the peaks of the Appalachian Mountains. The changing climate is altering the region’s forests, and the foresters and other natural resource professionals working to keep the region’s forest ecosystems healthy and productive are increasingly considering climate change in their work. This presentation will highlight a new climate change vulnerability assessment and describe how climate change is expected to affect the 40 million acres of forest found in the region.
Presentation to the Michigan Society of American Foresters, October 2016. Includes information on the potential effects of climate change on tree and bird species in Michigan and examples of how land managers are adapting to changing conditions.
Climate change is altering forest ecosystems, with many changes expected by the end of the 21st century. Forests vary widely, and not all forests are equally at risk; vulnerabilities are strongly influenced by regional differences in climate impacts and adaptive capacity. Further, as an increasing amount of scientific information on forest vulnerability to climate change becomes available, natural resource managers are searching for ways to realistically use this information to meet specific management needs, ranging from landscape-level planning and coordination to on-the-ground implementation.
Forest Ecology and Management Webinar Series - August 13, 2019
Environmental Changes and their Impact on ForestGhulam Asghar
Climate change is affecting our natural environment. This presentation deals with understanding of effects of environmental changes on forests and mitigation methods.
Integrating Climate Change and Forest AdaptationMaria Janowiak
Presentation to University of Maine Climate Change Institute, April 2018.
Abstract: More and more information is becoming available about how forests and other
ecosystems may change in response to a warmer and changing climate, but it can be
challenging to integrate this information into real-world management plans and
activities. This seminar will discuss adaptation as a growing field of science and
applications of adaptation approaches, highlighting the USDA Climate Adaptation
Workbook (adaptationworkbook.org/), with on-the-ground examples like the Adaptive
Silviculture for Climate Change (forestadaptation.org/ascc) national experiment.
Understanding Forest Vulnerability to Climate ChangeMaria Janowiak
Presentation to University of Maine School of Forest Resources, April 2018.
Forests are a defining landscape feature across New England and northern New York, covering more than 40 million acres from the coast of the Atlantic Ocean to the peaks of the Appalachian Mountains. The changing climate is altering the region’s forests, and the foresters and other natural resource professionals working to keep the region’s forest ecosystems healthy and productive are increasingly considering climate change in their work. This presentation will highlight a new climate change vulnerability assessment and describe how climate change is expected to affect the 40 million acres of forest found in the region.
Presentation to the Michigan Society of American Foresters, October 2016. Includes information on the potential effects of climate change on tree and bird species in Michigan and examples of how land managers are adapting to changing conditions.
Climate change is altering forest ecosystems, with many changes expected by the end of the 21st century. Forests vary widely, and not all forests are equally at risk; vulnerabilities are strongly influenced by regional differences in climate impacts and adaptive capacity. Further, as an increasing amount of scientific information on forest vulnerability to climate change becomes available, natural resource managers are searching for ways to realistically use this information to meet specific management needs, ranging from landscape-level planning and coordination to on-the-ground implementation.
Forest Ecology and Management Webinar Series - August 13, 2019
Environmental Changes and their Impact on ForestGhulam Asghar
Climate change is affecting our natural environment. This presentation deals with understanding of effects of environmental changes on forests and mitigation methods.
Integrating Climate Change and Forest AdaptationMaria Janowiak
Presentation to University of Maine Climate Change Institute, April 2018.
Abstract: More and more information is becoming available about how forests and other
ecosystems may change in response to a warmer and changing climate, but it can be
challenging to integrate this information into real-world management plans and
activities. This seminar will discuss adaptation as a growing field of science and
applications of adaptation approaches, highlighting the USDA Climate Adaptation
Workbook (adaptationworkbook.org/), with on-the-ground examples like the Adaptive
Silviculture for Climate Change (forestadaptation.org/ascc) national experiment.
Workshop at UConn in June 2018.
Foresters and natural resource professionals face a tremendous challenge: how can we develop and implement management actions that help ecosystems respond to climate change? New England Forestry Foundation (NEFF) and partners are dedicated to the sustainability of our region’s forested landscape and are providing this workshop to help foresters learn more about climate-informed silviculture.
This session:
Reviewed current and anticipated effects of climate change on Connecticut’s forests;
Described resources and tools that can be used to integrate climate change into forest management practices;
Offered communication strategies to help landowners and clients understand the importance of this type of management;
Showed real-world examples of adaptation actions.
Presentation given by Chris Swanston to the the Hudson to Housatonic (H2H) Conservation Initiative for the H2H Conservation in a Changing Climate workshop on December 11, 2014.
Dr. Robert Keane of RMRS Missoula Fire Lab and contributor to the Northern Rockies Adaptation Partnership assessment, presents climate change impacts and vulnerabilities for forests of the northern Rockies at the Adaptive Silviculture for Climate Change (ASCC) Workshop.
This is the fifth lesson taught under the course - Climate Change and Global Environment at the Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
Dennis Todey (of USDA ARS and USDA Midwest Climate Hub), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Maria Janowiak (of Forest Service and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water.
Danielle Shannon (Michigan Technological University and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water
Danielle Shannon (Michigan Technological University and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water
Stephen Handler (Forest Service, and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Climate Change and Forests: New England and Northern New YorkMaria Janowiak
Webinar hosted by the Forest Stewards Guild.
Climate change is a growing concern for forests across the Northeast, and foresters and woodland owners are considering how to prepare for future conditions and how to evaluate risks for the lands that they own and manage. The USDA Forest Service has published a new report describing how climate change is expected to affect the 40 million acres of forest found in the region. A team of more than 30 scientists and land managers contributed to the report: New England and Northern New York Forest Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis: A Report from the New England Climate Change Response Framework Project. Climate change is already having an impact on the region’s forests, increasing damage from extreme precipitation events and insect pests. Future changes could dramatically alter the landscape that characterizes the region. The report assesses the vulnerability of eight major community types in the region and provides a foundation that foresters can use to make ecosystems more resilient and adaptable to future conditions.
Keith Nislow (Forest Service and Northeast Climate Science Center) presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Maria Janowiak (of Forest Service and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water.
Workshop at UConn in June 2018.
Foresters and natural resource professionals face a tremendous challenge: how can we develop and implement management actions that help ecosystems respond to climate change? New England Forestry Foundation (NEFF) and partners are dedicated to the sustainability of our region’s forested landscape and are providing this workshop to help foresters learn more about climate-informed silviculture.
This session:
Reviewed current and anticipated effects of climate change on Connecticut’s forests;
Described resources and tools that can be used to integrate climate change into forest management practices;
Offered communication strategies to help landowners and clients understand the importance of this type of management;
Showed real-world examples of adaptation actions.
Presentation given by Chris Swanston to the the Hudson to Housatonic (H2H) Conservation Initiative for the H2H Conservation in a Changing Climate workshop on December 11, 2014.
Dr. Robert Keane of RMRS Missoula Fire Lab and contributor to the Northern Rockies Adaptation Partnership assessment, presents climate change impacts and vulnerabilities for forests of the northern Rockies at the Adaptive Silviculture for Climate Change (ASCC) Workshop.
This is the fifth lesson taught under the course - Climate Change and Global Environment at the Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
Dennis Todey (of USDA ARS and USDA Midwest Climate Hub), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Maria Janowiak (of Forest Service and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water.
Danielle Shannon (Michigan Technological University and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water
Danielle Shannon (Michigan Technological University and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water
Stephen Handler (Forest Service, and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Climate Change and Forests: New England and Northern New YorkMaria Janowiak
Webinar hosted by the Forest Stewards Guild.
Climate change is a growing concern for forests across the Northeast, and foresters and woodland owners are considering how to prepare for future conditions and how to evaluate risks for the lands that they own and manage. The USDA Forest Service has published a new report describing how climate change is expected to affect the 40 million acres of forest found in the region. A team of more than 30 scientists and land managers contributed to the report: New England and Northern New York Forest Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment and Synthesis: A Report from the New England Climate Change Response Framework Project. Climate change is already having an impact on the region’s forests, increasing damage from extreme precipitation events and insect pests. Future changes could dramatically alter the landscape that characterizes the region. The report assesses the vulnerability of eight major community types in the region and provides a foundation that foresters can use to make ecosystems more resilient and adaptable to future conditions.
Keith Nislow (Forest Service and Northeast Climate Science Center) presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Maria Janowiak (of Forest Service and NIACS), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at Antioch University New England, Keene, NH on April 4-5, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and Trout Unlimited.
Details at www.forestadaptation.org/water.
A subset of slides on the Norcross Wildlife Sanctuary's Adaptation Demonstration, presented by Maria Janowiak at the MassConn Conservation in a Changing Climate workshop, March 30, 2016
Adaptation of forest management to climate change in the Asia Pacific RegionCIFOR-ICRAF
This presentation was delivered at the third Asia-Pacific Forestry Week 2016, in Clark Freeport Zone, Philippines.
The five sub-thematic streams at APFW 2016 included:
Pathways to prosperity: Future trade and markets
Tackling climate change: challenges and opportunities
Serving society: forestry and people
New institutions, new governance
Our green future: green investment and growing our natural assets
Climate Is Always Changing: Regional, National, and Global Trends (and how th...LPE Learning Center
For more, visit: http://www.extension.org/70286 Weather happens and the climate is always changing. Farmers are very in tune with these changes because weather is critical to any farming operation. What are the current weather trends in your area? Is it hotter? dryer? cooler? warmer? Is the growing season longer? Has the first frost date changed?
There is a real possibility that the weather of 30 years ago is not what we are seeing today or will see 30 years from now. The video to the right gives an overview of some of the weather trends.
A presentation on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports, with particular relevance to Africa and Trans-frontier Conservation Areas within Southern Africa
Presentation for the International Grains Forum (www.igc.int/en/about/aboutus-pressrelease.aspx, www.igcargentina.com/eng/index.html)
https://globalfutures.cgiar.org/2015/12/20/to-latin-america-for-global-connections
Diabetes is a rapidly and serious health problem in Pakistan. This chronic condition is associated with serious long-term complications, including higher risk of heart disease and stroke. Aggressive treatment of hypertension and hyperlipideamia can result in a substantial reduction in cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes 1. Consequently pharmacist-led diabetes cardiovascular risk (DCVR) clinics have been established in both primary and secondary care sites in NHS Lothian during the past five years. An audit of the pharmaceutical care delivery at the clinics was conducted in order to evaluate practice and to standardize the pharmacists’ documentation of outcomes. Pharmaceutical care issues (PCI) and patient details were collected both prospectively and retrospectively from three DCVR clinics. The PCI`s were categorized according to a triangularised system consisting of multiple categories. These were ‘checks’, ‘changes’ (‘change in drug therapy process’ and ‘change in drug therapy’), ‘drug therapy problems’ and ‘quality assurance descriptors’ (‘timer perspective’ and ‘degree of change’). A verified medication assessment tool (MAT) for patients with chronic cardiovascular disease was applied to the patients from one of the clinics. The tool was used to quantify PCI`s and pharmacist actions that were centered on implementing or enforcing clinical guideline standards. A database was developed to be used as an assessment tool and to standardize the documentation of achievement of outcomes. Feedback on the audit of the pharmaceutical care delivery and the database was received from the DCVR clinic pharmacist at a focus group meeting.
Willie Nelson Net Worth: A Journey Through Music, Movies, and Business Venturesgreendigital
Willie Nelson is a name that resonates within the world of music and entertainment. Known for his unique voice, and masterful guitar skills. and an extraordinary career spanning several decades. Nelson has become a legend in the country music scene. But, his influence extends far beyond the realm of music. with ventures in acting, writing, activism, and business. This comprehensive article delves into Willie Nelson net worth. exploring the various facets of his career that have contributed to his large fortune.
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Introduction
Willie Nelson net worth is a testament to his enduring influence and success in many fields. Born on April 29, 1933, in Abbott, Texas. Nelson's journey from a humble beginning to becoming one of the most iconic figures in American music is nothing short of inspirational. His net worth, which estimated to be around $25 million as of 2024. reflects a career that is as diverse as it is prolific.
Early Life and Musical Beginnings
Humble Origins
Willie Hugh Nelson was born during the Great Depression. a time of significant economic hardship in the United States. Raised by his grandparents. Nelson found solace and inspiration in music from an early age. His grandmother taught him to play the guitar. setting the stage for what would become an illustrious career.
First Steps in Music
Nelson's initial foray into the music industry was fraught with challenges. He moved to Nashville, Tennessee, to pursue his dreams, but success did not come . Working as a songwriter, Nelson penned hits for other artists. which helped him gain a foothold in the competitive music scene. His songwriting skills contributed to his early earnings. laying the foundation for his net worth.
Rise to Stardom
Breakthrough Albums
The 1970s marked a turning point in Willie Nelson's career. His albums "Shotgun Willie" (1973), "Red Headed Stranger" (1975). and "Stardust" (1978) received critical acclaim and commercial success. These albums not only solidified his position in the country music genre. but also introduced his music to a broader audience. The success of these albums played a crucial role in boosting Willie Nelson net worth.
Iconic Songs
Willie Nelson net worth is also attributed to his extensive catalog of hit songs. Tracks like "Blue Eyes Crying in the Rain," "On the Road Again," and "Always on My Mind" have become timeless classics. These songs have not only earned Nelson large royalties but have also ensured his continued relevance in the music industry.
Acting and Film Career
Hollywood Ventures
In addition to his music career, Willie Nelson has also made a mark in Hollywood. His distinctive personality and on-screen presence have landed him roles in several films and television shows. Notable appearances include roles in "The Electric Horseman" (1979), "Honeysuckle Rose" (1980), and "Barbarosa" (1982). These acting gigs have added a significant amount to Willie Nelson net worth.
Television Appearances
Nelson's char
WRI’s brand new “Food Service Playbook for Promoting Sustainable Food Choices” gives food service operators the very latest strategies for creating dining environments that empower consumers to choose sustainable, plant-rich dishes. This research builds off our first guide for food service, now with industry experience and insights from nearly 350 academic trials.
Artificial Reefs by Kuddle Life Foundation - May 2024punit537210
Situated in Pondicherry, India, Kuddle Life Foundation is a charitable, non-profit and non-governmental organization (NGO) dedicated to improving the living standards of coastal communities and simultaneously placing a strong emphasis on the protection of marine ecosystems.
One of the key areas we work in is Artificial Reefs. This presentation captures our journey so far and our learnings. We hope you get as excited about marine conservation and artificial reefs as we are.
Please visit our website: https://kuddlelife.org
Our Instagram channel:
@kuddlelifefoundation
Our Linkedin Page:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/kuddlelifefoundation/
and write to us if you have any questions:
info@kuddlelife.org
UNDERSTANDING WHAT GREEN WASHING IS!.pdfJulietMogola
Many companies today use green washing to lure the public into thinking they are conserving the environment but in real sense they are doing more harm. There have been such several cases from very big companies here in Kenya and also globally. This ranges from various sectors from manufacturing and goes to consumer products. Educating people on greenwashing will enable people to make better choices based on their analysis and not on what they see on marketing sites.
Micro RNA genes and their likely influence in rice (Oryza sativa L.) dynamic ...Open Access Research Paper
Micro RNAs (miRNAs) are small non-coding RNAs molecules having approximately 18-25 nucleotides, they are present in both plants and animals genomes. MiRNAs have diverse spatial expression patterns and regulate various developmental metabolisms, stress responses and other physiological processes. The dynamic gene expression playing major roles in phenotypic differences in organisms are believed to be controlled by miRNAs. Mutations in regions of regulatory factors, such as miRNA genes or transcription factors (TF) necessitated by dynamic environmental factors or pathogen infections, have tremendous effects on structure and expression of genes. The resultant novel gene products presents potential explanations for constant evolving desirable traits that have long been bred using conventional means, biotechnology or genetic engineering. Rice grain quality, yield, disease tolerance, climate-resilience and palatability properties are not exceptional to miRN Asmutations effects. There are new insights courtesy of high-throughput sequencing and improved proteomic techniques that organisms’ complexity and adaptations are highly contributed by miRNAs containing regulatory networks. This article aims to expound on how rice miRNAs could be driving evolution of traits and highlight the latest miRNA research progress. Moreover, the review accentuates miRNAs grey areas to be addressed and gives recommendations for further studies.
Natural farming @ Dr. Siddhartha S. Jena.pptxsidjena70
A brief about organic farming/ Natural farming/ Zero budget natural farming/ Subash Palekar Natural farming which keeps us and environment safe and healthy. Next gen Agricultural practices of chemical free farming.
5. If you want a single “answer” for how
to respond to climate change, it’s:
“It depends”
It depends on where you are working
and what you’re trying to achieve.
6. Forest Adaptation Resources
Adaptation Workbook
Strategies & Approaches
Menu of adaptation actions
Structured process to
integrate climate
change considerations
into management.
• Workbook approachOrder a copy at:
www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760 Also online: AdaptationWorkbook.org
7. What actions can be taken to
enhance the ability of a system to
cope with change
and
meet conservation goals and
objectives?
8. Swanston et al. 2016; www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760
Adaptation Process
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management objectives
given projected impacts
and vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and tactics .
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
9. Adaptation Process: Deciphered
Swanston et al. 2016; www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760
1. Where are you
and what do you
care about?
2. How is that
particular place
vulnerable to
climate change?
3. What challenges
or opportunities
does climate
change present?
4. What actions
can help systems
adapt to change?
5. How can you
know whether
those actions were
effective?
12. www.forestadaptation.org/ne-assessment
Vulnerability Assessment
• Series of reports for natural
resource professionals
• Focus on tree species and
forest ecosystems
• Examine a range of future
climates
• Evaluate key ecosystem
vulnerabilities to climate change
• Does not make
recommendations or assess
vulnerability to changes in
mgmt., land use, policy
13. New England & Northern New York
• Synthesize existing literature and climate change
assessments
• Incorporate new results from models projecting
forest response to climate change
www.forestadaptation.org/ne-assessment
14. Observations: Warmer Temperatures
Warmer temperatures
• MA temperatures
increased about 2.8°F
since 1895
• Winter has warmed
most
• Extremely hot days have
increased
• Shorter duration of lake
ice cover
• Longer growing season
• Plants flowering earlier
Annual Temperature Change since 1895
NOAA Climate at a Glance; Melillo et al. 2014
15. Observations: Altered Precipitation
Altered Precipitation
• MA precipitation
increased over 5” since
1895
• High variability from
year to year
• Greatest increase of
more than 2” in fall
• Substantial increases in
extreme rain events:
71% increase across
northeast since 1958
Annual Precipitation Change since 1895
NOAA Climate at a Glance; Melillo et al. 2014
16. Observed Climate Trends
Sea-level Rise
• Sea level rose about 9 inches per century
• Increases in coastal flooding
Climate.gov, Adapted from J. Boothroyd, University of Rhode Island.
Relative sea level rise: Newport, RI tide gauge
Increased
about 10”
over last 100
years
17. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Increased disturbance
from extreme events
Heavy precipitation
Flooding
Ice storms
Heat waves/droughts
Wind storms
Hurricanes
“Events” are very
difficult to predict
=
(?)
18. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Increased disturbance
from extreme events
Heavy precipitation
Flooding
Ice storms
Heat waves/droughts
Wind storms
Hurricanes
“Events” are very
difficult to predict
VTRANS/VT ANR
NY DEC
Dan Turner,
Cambridge
Fire Dept.
NOAA
19. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Future predictions of
summer precipitation
are mixed.
Rain during the
growing season may
not change a lot.
More Precipitation
Less Precipitation
June-October
Figure: Lynch et al. 2016
20. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Future predictions of
summer precipitation
are mixed.
Rain during the
growing season may
not change a lot.
Precipitation
21. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Future predictions of
summer precipitation
are mixed.
Rain during the
growing season may
not change a lot.
Water loss from soils
(evaporation)
Groundwater
recharge
Runoff
PrecipitationWater loss from trees
(transpiration)
22. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Future predictions of
summer precipitation
are mixed.
Rain during the
growing season may
not change a lot.
Water loss from soils
(evaporation)
Groundwater
recharge
PrecipitationWater loss from trees
(transpiration)
Runoff
Extreme events increase runoff
23. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Future predictions of
summer precipitation
are mixed.
Rain during the
growing season may
not change a lot.
Extreme events increase runoff
Warmer temperatures dry air & soils
Result: Risk of moisture stress & drought
Water loss from soils
(evaporation)
Water loss from trees
(transpiration)
Groundwater
recharge
Runoff
Precipitation
25. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Plant and animal
species will respond to
changes in climate.
2070-2100 Low 2070-2100 High
Current Distribution
Importance Value
Low
High
Suitable Habitat: Red Spruce
27. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Plant and animal
species will respond to
changes in climate.
= species X
suitable habitat
50% Reduction in Habitat:
Habitat reduced equally Best habitats remain
28. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Plant and animal
species will respond to
changes in climate.
What really matters:
Local conditions
Competition
Management
Disturbance
Potential to decline
Black, red, white spruce
Northern white-cedar
Eastern hemlock
Eastern white pine
Paper, yellow birch
Mixed model results
American beech
Balsam fir
Northern red oak
Sugar maple
Quaking aspen
Potential “winners”
Black, scarlet oak
Blackgum
Chestnut oak
Eastern redcedar
Flowering dogwood
Pignut hickory
Silver maple
Sweet birch
Yellow-poplar
New habitat
American holly
Black hickory
Chinkapin oak
Hackberry
Shortleage pine
Sweetgum
Virginia pine
www.forestadaptation/org/ne-species
29. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Interactions make all
the difference.
Chronic stress
Disturbances
Invasive species
Insect pests
Forest diseases
Image: Bartlett Tree Experts
Drought
Injury
Pests and
Disease
30. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Interactions make all
the difference.
Chronic stress
Disturbances
Invasive species
Insect pests
Forest diseases
Ayres and Lombardero 2000, Woods et al. 2005, Parmesan 2006, Dukes et al. 2009 Image: Frumhoff et al. 2007
Forest Insects and Disease
Indirect: Stress from other impacts
increases susceptibility
Direct:
• Pests migrating northward
• Decreased probability of cold lethal temps
• Accelerated lifecycles
HWA lethal temp:
-20 to -30°F
31. Variable weather
Water changes
Species changes
Threat multiplier
Interactions make all
the difference.
Chronic stress
Disturbances
Invasive species
Insect pests
Forest diseases
Dukes et al. 2009, Rustad et al. 2011; Images: Invasives Plants Atlas of New England (www.eddmaps.org)
Invasives Species
Indirect: Stress or disturbance from other
impacts can affect the potential for
invasion or success
Direct:
• Expanded ranges under warmer
conditions
• Increased competitiveness from ability
of some plants to take advantage of
elevated CO2
33. Generally Challenges
• Reduced growth from
moisture stress
• Decline of northern &
boreal species
• Disturbance from
extreme events
• Wildfire potential
• Forests pests & disease
• Invasive species
Generally Opportunities
• Increased productivity:
longer growing season
• Increased productivity:
more CO2
• Increased habitat for
some species
Depends on
SITE and OBJECTIVES!
Effects on Forests
www.forestadaptation.org/ne-assessment
34. Remember: Location, Location, Location
Research and assessments describe broad
trends but local conditions and management
make the difference.
35. Next time you’re in the woods
Take a look around & think about:
What’s important here?
How might it change?
What am I already doing to help?
What else can I do to help?
www.forestadaptation.org/NESAF2015
37. Forest Adaptation Resources
Adaptation Workbook
Strategies & Approaches
Menu of adaptation actions
Structured process to
integrate climate
change considerations
into management.
• Workbook approachOrder a copy at:
www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760 Also online: AdaptationWorkbook.org
39. What actions can be taken to
enhance the ability of a system to
cope with change
and
meet conservation goals and
objectives?
40. Swanston et al. 2016; www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760
Adaptation Process
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management objectives
given projected impacts
and vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and tactics .
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
41. Adaptation Process: Deciphered
Swanston et al. 2016; www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/52760
1. Where are you
and what do you
care about?
2. How is that
particular place
vulnerable to
climate change?
3. What challenges
or opportunities
does climate
change present?
4. What actions
can help systems
adapt to change?
5. How can you
know whether
those actions were
effective?
42. Translating concepts to actions
Options (concepts):
• Resistance, Resilience, Transition
Strategies:
• Regionally specific conditions
Approaches:
• Actions for a specific ecosystem
or forest type
Tactics:
• Prescriptions for local conditions
and mgmt. objectives
Adaptation Strategies & Approaches
www.adaptationworkbook.org/niacs-strategies
43. Adaptation Strategies & Approaches
RESISTANCE RESILIENCE TRANSITION
Improve defenses of
forest against change
Maintain relatively
unchanged conditions
Accommodate some
degree of change
Return to prior condition
after disturbance
Facilitate change
Enable ecosystem to
respond to new and
changing conditions
Millar et al. 2007
Options – big concepts for how to respond
44. Adaptation Strategies & Approaches
Resist
Change
Promote a
Transition
Enhance
Resilience
1: Sustain fundamental ecological functions.
2: Reduce existing biological stressors.
3: Reduce impacts of severe disturbances.
4: Maintain or create refugia.
5: Enhance species and structural diversity.
6: Promote ecosystem redundancy.
7: Increase landscape connectivity.
8: Enhance genetic diversity.
9: Facilitate species transitions.
10: Realign after disturbance.
www.adaptationworkbook.org/niacs-strategies
StrategiesOptions
45. Why it’s important:
Helps connect the dots
from broad concepts to
specific actions for
implementation.
Management
Goals & Objectives
Climate Change Impacts
Intent of Adaptation (Option)
Make Idea Specific
(Strategy, Approach)
Action to Implement
(Tactic)
Challenges & Opportunities
Menu + Workbook: Connects the Dots
47. Caroline Lake Preserve
The Nature Conservancy
About 1,000 acres of forest
Acquired from industrial
ownership in 1997
Working forest to
demonstrate sustainable
forestry practices
www.forestadaptation.org/carolinelake
48. Conservation Goals & Objectives:
Maintain/restore forests that were
historically characteristic of the area
Mid-to-late successional structure
Natural disturbances
Under-represented species
49. Incorporate climate change
considerations into a forest
management plan
Northern Hardwoods (643 acres)
Lowland Conifer (259 acres)
Lowland Hardwoods (78 acres)
Shoreline Buffer (<5 acres)
Upland Conifer (<5 acres)
50. 2. How is this particular
place vulnerable to
climate change?
51. Climate Change Impacts
Regional Ecosystem Impacts
1) Longer growing season
2) Less snow, more rain
3) Altered soil moisture
4) Potential for summer drought
5) Extreme events
6)Species range shifts
7) Invasive plants
8)Forest pests and diseases
www.forestadaptation.org/vulnerability-assessment
52. Altered precipitation & drier conditions
• Located at headwaters of Bad River
• Contains numerous wetlands– very
vulnerable to hydrologic change
Projected declines in many common
northern species
Property contains many species
expected to decline
Site has high species diversity
compared to nearby forests
Climate Change Impacts
54. Challenges
Under-represented species
may not do better in future:
yellow birch, hemlock
Lowland conifer/hardwood
forests are not managed
• Declining boreal conifers
• Potential emerald ash borer
in ash swamps
Deer herbivory could
increase
Proportion of Stand Composed of
Species Projected to Decrease
Janowiak et al. (in review)
55. Challenges Opportunities
• Some species (white
pine and red oak) may
fare same or better in
future
• Small- or medium-sized
disturbances increase
structural diversity
• Unique site and location
may offer opportunities
for refugia
Under-represented species
may not do better in future:
yellow birch, hemlock
Lowland conifer/hardwood
forests are not managed
• Declining boreal conifers
• Potential emerald ash borer
in ash swamps
Deer herbivory could
increase
57. Same actions–
climate change
just makes
them that
much more
important
Small “tweaks” that
improve effectiveness
New & different
actions to consider,
even some that may
seem wild & crazy
*individual results will vary
What adaptation looks like:
58. Already doing and even more important
Practice Current Purpose Adaptation Co-Benefits
Favor under-
represented
species
Species/structural
diversity; habitats
Hedge against decline of one
species; opportunity to favor
future-adapted species
Encourage
large woody
debris
Structural diversity;
habitats; nutrients
Create moister and cooler
conditions on forest floor
Mimic
natural
disturbances
Species/structural
diversity; accelerate
succession
Makes it easier to take
advantage of natural
disturbances
59. Small tweaks in management
Forest Current Action Adaptation Action
Northern
Hardwoods
Use single-tree or group
selection methods to
maintain species
composition/diversity and
increase structural
diversity
Same, plus:
Use large group selection or
shelterwood harvests to increase
northern red oak in some stands
Promote white pine, black cherry,
yellow birch, and other desirable
species that are less likely to decline
Shoreline
Buffer
No harvest reserve area Where opportunities exist, promote
white pine or other long-lived conifer
component for diversity/shoreline
shading
60. Wild and crazy? Addressing potential risks
Forest Current Action Adaptation Action
Lowland
Hardwoods
No harvest reserve
area
No harvest reserve area, BUT:
If regeneration is inadequate or emerald
ash borer mortality appears likely, consider
introduction of plantings of swamp white
oak, bur oak, etc.
61. 5. How can you know
whether those actions
were effective?
62. Climate-informed Forest Inventory
Traditional Metrics New Risk Metrics
• Total Stocking
• Tree Species Diversity
• Richness
• Evenness
• Large Coarse Woody Debris
• Regeneration
• Saplings
• Seedlings
• Risk of Decline
• Trees
• Saplings
• Seedlings
Janowiak et al. (in review)
64. Norcross Wildlife Sanctuary (MA/CT)
Increase tree species diversity & forest structure
Reduce impacts from forest pests and diseases
Promote native species adapted to future conditions
65. Trout Unlimited & Partners (VT/MA)
Increase tree species diversity & forest structure
Reduce impacts from forest pests and diseases
Increase stream connectivity
Reducing impacts from extreme events, low flows, etc.
66. The Nature Conservancy (ME)
Increase tree species diversity & forest
structure
Promote future-adapted tree species by
planting (red & black spruce, white pine)
Current White Pine Abundance
67. Providence Water (RI)
Reduce impacts from forest pests and diseases
Promote future-adapted tree species by planting southern species
(black oak, pin oak, persimmon, pitch pine, shortleaf pine)
Minimize impacts from herbivory
68. Accept uncertainty.
Use new information & ideas.
Take action, focusing on win-wins.
Be creative & flexible.
Work and learn with others.
A few final thoughts…