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Ecosystem	
  Services	
  and	
  Climate	
  Change:	
  
Towards	
  integrated	
  response	
  strategies	
  
Lalisa A. Duguma & Peter Minang
World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF) &
ASB Partnership for Tropical Forest Margins
Email: l.duguma@cgiar.org
Climate	
  Change	
  
§  Coolest future summers are hotter than
hottest summers of past 50 years.
§  (Diffenbaugh & Scherer, 2011).
Source: http://thebritishgeographer.weebly.com/
sea-level-change.html
The	
  warming	
  effect	
   Sea	
  level	
  rise
We	
  are	
  responsible!
•  Only 5 out of 24,210 articles reject
Anthropogenic Global Warming.
•  Only 4 out of 69,406 authors (1 out of 17,352
authors) reject Anthropogenic Global Warming.
•  Search terms used: “global warming” or “global
climate change” or “climate change.”
•  Source of data: ISI Web of Science climate change
related articles published in 2013 and 2014.
•  http://www.jamespowell.org/index.html. Accessed
24-11-2015.
Adaptation
RESPONSE
Mitigation
Can we do both
effectively?
Ecosystem-­‐based	
  approaches	
  provide	
  a	
  pla>orm	
  for	
  
jointly	
  addressing	
  A	
  and	
  M.	
  	
  
Ecosystem based
approaches are relatively:
§  Cost effective: depending
on the choice of
activities multiple outputs
could be achieved.
§  Efficient: both A and M
can be addressed at a
time.
§  Locally relevant:
Ecosystem based
approaches connect with
local communities.
Duguma et al 2014a, 2014b;
Van Noordwijk et al 2015
Most	
  CC	
  related	
  policies,	
  strategies,	
  approaches	
  
and	
  iniEaEves	
  rely	
  on	
  ecosystems!	
  
REDD+*
REALUBonn Challenge -
FLR
Climate smart
agriculture
NAPANAMA
INDC
Climate smart
landscapes
Wetlands Restoration
and Conservation
(WRC)* 
Avoided Conversion of
Grasslands and
Shrublands (ACoGS)*
Afforestation,
Reforestation and
Revegetation (ARR)*
Improved forest
management*
* Typical AFOLU practices
Ecosystem	
  services	
  reduce	
  exposure	
  to	
  climate	
  
change	
  impacts!	
  
Ecosystems Roles in addressing climate change related impacts
Mountain forests •  Stabilize snow reducing the risk of avalanches
•  Protect against erosion and increase slope stability by binding soil
together; preventing landslides
•  Reduce risk of floods by increasing infiltration of rainfall and
delaying peak floodwater flows
•  Water recharge and purification, drought mitigation
Wetlands and
floodplains
•  Control floods in coastal areas
•  Reduce the speed and volume of runoff after heavy rainfall
Mangroves and
Coral reefs
•  Absorb (low-magnitude) wave energy, reduce wave heights
Drylands •  Vegetation in drylands ameliorate the effects of drought and control
desertification. Trees, grasses, and shrubs conserve soil and retain
moisture.
Uy, N., & Shaw, R. (2012). The role of ecosystems in climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction.
Ecosystem-Based Adaptation, 12, 41-59.
Ecosystems	
  deliver	
  ecosystems	
  services	
  that	
  
enhance	
  adapEve	
  capacity!	
  
Generic indicators for
adaptive capacity (IPCC)
Roles of ecosystems
Income §  NTFPs collected and sold from forest ecosystems. E.g.
Fuelwood, honey, forest foods, bush meat
§  Fish and other sea foods
§  Income from tourism
Health §  Medicinal plants (traditional medicines)
§  Medical therapies
§  Ingredients for pharmaceuticals (Prunus africana trees)
§  Biodegradation of toxic chemicals e.g. microbial
degradation
§  Provision of nutritious foods
Education §  Easily accessible goods and service that spare time for
women to engage in education
§  Source of materials for building schools, etc.
Despite	
  their	
  roles	
  for	
  addressing	
  CC,	
  
ecosystems	
  are	
  also	
  prone	
  to	
  CC	
  impacts!	
  
Climate change affects ecosystem
structure, functions and processes:
§  Pollination
§  Migration behaviours
§  Habitat quality
§  Biodiversity
§  Microbial activity
§  Nutrient flow and dynamics
§  Hydrology
§  Wildfire and insect outbreaks
Grimm et al. (2013). The impacts of climate change on ecosystem structure and function. Frontiers in
Ecology and the Environment 11: 474–482. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/120282
northward or to higher altitudes in order to adjust to rising temperatures. Others, however, might not be
able to adapt fast enough to keep pace with the rate of climate change.
Invasive Species
As temperature, precipitation, and other conditions change, the species best suited to the new conditions
will thrive, often taking food and resources away from others. Some of the species that thrive might be
invasive (not native to a region) and could gradually drive out or even kill native species.
Migrations and Life
Cycle Events
The timing of many natural
events, such as flower blooms
and animal migrations, is
linked to climate factors such
as temperature, moisture
availability, and amount of
daylight. Changes in weather
patterns and extreme events
associated with climate change
can disrupt these natural
patterns. These disruptions,
in turn, can affect seasonal
behavior and interactions
among species. For example,
if birds migrate and lay eggs
too early, hatchlings might not
have an adequate food supply.
While some animals and plants
will successfully adjust life-cycle
patterns to changing weather
pattern cues, others might not be
so successful.
Year
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Averagedistancemovednorth(miles)
Northward Shift of Bird Migrations,
1966–2005
Hundreds of species of birds in North America are wintering
farther north in recent years.
Source: National Audubon Society. 2009. www.audubon.org/bird/bacc/techreport.html
So	
  what	
  can	
  we	
  do?	
  
Sustain: sustaining the existence of
intact ecosystems and maintaining
their potential to deliver ES is
paramount.
Rehabilitate: If ecosystems are
degraded/ being degraded,
rehabilitation could enhance A&M
roles.
Facilitate: CC affects even
intact ecosystems.
Innovation is crucial.
Concluding	
  thoughts	
  
§  To make climate change actions sustainable and
effective, promoting sustainable ecosystem
management is crucial.
§  Exposure to CC related disasters may increase
and adaptive capacity may decline if ecosystem
degradation is not addressed.
§  There is a strong need for a system level
adaptation e.g. looking at socio-ecological
systems.
Thank	
  You!	
  

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Ecosystem services and climate change towards integrated response strategies

  • 1. Ecosystem  Services  and  Climate  Change:   Towards  integrated  response  strategies   Lalisa A. Duguma & Peter Minang World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF) & ASB Partnership for Tropical Forest Margins Email: l.duguma@cgiar.org
  • 2. Climate  Change   §  Coolest future summers are hotter than hottest summers of past 50 years. §  (Diffenbaugh & Scherer, 2011). Source: http://thebritishgeographer.weebly.com/ sea-level-change.html The  warming  effect   Sea  level  rise
  • 3. We  are  responsible! •  Only 5 out of 24,210 articles reject Anthropogenic Global Warming. •  Only 4 out of 69,406 authors (1 out of 17,352 authors) reject Anthropogenic Global Warming. •  Search terms used: “global warming” or “global climate change” or “climate change.” •  Source of data: ISI Web of Science climate change related articles published in 2013 and 2014. •  http://www.jamespowell.org/index.html. Accessed 24-11-2015.
  • 5. Ecosystem-­‐based  approaches  provide  a  pla>orm  for   jointly  addressing  A  and  M.     Ecosystem based approaches are relatively: §  Cost effective: depending on the choice of activities multiple outputs could be achieved. §  Efficient: both A and M can be addressed at a time. §  Locally relevant: Ecosystem based approaches connect with local communities. Duguma et al 2014a, 2014b; Van Noordwijk et al 2015
  • 6. Most  CC  related  policies,  strategies,  approaches   and  iniEaEves  rely  on  ecosystems!   REDD+* REALUBonn Challenge - FLR Climate smart agriculture NAPANAMA INDC Climate smart landscapes Wetlands Restoration and Conservation (WRC)*  Avoided Conversion of Grasslands and Shrublands (ACoGS)* Afforestation, Reforestation and Revegetation (ARR)* Improved forest management* * Typical AFOLU practices
  • 7. Ecosystem  services  reduce  exposure  to  climate   change  impacts!   Ecosystems Roles in addressing climate change related impacts Mountain forests •  Stabilize snow reducing the risk of avalanches •  Protect against erosion and increase slope stability by binding soil together; preventing landslides •  Reduce risk of floods by increasing infiltration of rainfall and delaying peak floodwater flows •  Water recharge and purification, drought mitigation Wetlands and floodplains •  Control floods in coastal areas •  Reduce the speed and volume of runoff after heavy rainfall Mangroves and Coral reefs •  Absorb (low-magnitude) wave energy, reduce wave heights Drylands •  Vegetation in drylands ameliorate the effects of drought and control desertification. Trees, grasses, and shrubs conserve soil and retain moisture. Uy, N., & Shaw, R. (2012). The role of ecosystems in climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction. Ecosystem-Based Adaptation, 12, 41-59.
  • 8. Ecosystems  deliver  ecosystems  services  that   enhance  adapEve  capacity!   Generic indicators for adaptive capacity (IPCC) Roles of ecosystems Income §  NTFPs collected and sold from forest ecosystems. E.g. Fuelwood, honey, forest foods, bush meat §  Fish and other sea foods §  Income from tourism Health §  Medicinal plants (traditional medicines) §  Medical therapies §  Ingredients for pharmaceuticals (Prunus africana trees) §  Biodegradation of toxic chemicals e.g. microbial degradation §  Provision of nutritious foods Education §  Easily accessible goods and service that spare time for women to engage in education §  Source of materials for building schools, etc.
  • 9. Despite  their  roles  for  addressing  CC,   ecosystems  are  also  prone  to  CC  impacts!   Climate change affects ecosystem structure, functions and processes: §  Pollination §  Migration behaviours §  Habitat quality §  Biodiversity §  Microbial activity §  Nutrient flow and dynamics §  Hydrology §  Wildfire and insect outbreaks Grimm et al. (2013). The impacts of climate change on ecosystem structure and function. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 11: 474–482. http://dx.doi.org/10.1890/120282 northward or to higher altitudes in order to adjust to rising temperatures. Others, however, might not be able to adapt fast enough to keep pace with the rate of climate change. Invasive Species As temperature, precipitation, and other conditions change, the species best suited to the new conditions will thrive, often taking food and resources away from others. Some of the species that thrive might be invasive (not native to a region) and could gradually drive out or even kill native species. Migrations and Life Cycle Events The timing of many natural events, such as flower blooms and animal migrations, is linked to climate factors such as temperature, moisture availability, and amount of daylight. Changes in weather patterns and extreme events associated with climate change can disrupt these natural patterns. These disruptions, in turn, can affect seasonal behavior and interactions among species. For example, if birds migrate and lay eggs too early, hatchlings might not have an adequate food supply. While some animals and plants will successfully adjust life-cycle patterns to changing weather pattern cues, others might not be so successful. Year -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 Averagedistancemovednorth(miles) Northward Shift of Bird Migrations, 1966–2005 Hundreds of species of birds in North America are wintering farther north in recent years. Source: National Audubon Society. 2009. www.audubon.org/bird/bacc/techreport.html
  • 10. So  what  can  we  do?   Sustain: sustaining the existence of intact ecosystems and maintaining their potential to deliver ES is paramount. Rehabilitate: If ecosystems are degraded/ being degraded, rehabilitation could enhance A&M roles. Facilitate: CC affects even intact ecosystems. Innovation is crucial.
  • 11. Concluding  thoughts   §  To make climate change actions sustainable and effective, promoting sustainable ecosystem management is crucial. §  Exposure to CC related disasters may increase and adaptive capacity may decline if ecosystem degradation is not addressed. §  There is a strong need for a system level adaptation e.g. looking at socio-ecological systems.