MOOCs – Still a viable
business model?
Yves Epelboin
Professor Emeritus UPMC-
Sorbonne-Universités, Paris
Yves.Epelboin@impmc.upmc
Agenda
 The context
 MOOC’s budget
 MOOCs for Europe
 Emerging business models
 Conclusion
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
US context: students debt
 Tuition fees at an
inacceptable level:
 Up to 10 000 $ in
public universities
 40 000 – 60 000 $ in
private
universities
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Le Monde 26/04/2015
US context: Tuition debt
A negative impact on the
US economy
First debt before housing!
1160 Billions US $
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Le Monde 26/04/2015
Growth of MOOCs
https://www.edsurge.com/n/2014-12-26-moocs-in-2014-breaking-down-the-numbers
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC and student
retention Success as not the
same meaning in a
MOOC than in a
class
P. Hill e-Literate, March 2013
http://mfeldstein.com/emerging-student-
patterns-in-moocs-a-revised-graphical-view/
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC
The budget
An important investment
 Course scenario renewed
 New documents and OER
 Massive use of short videos (chunks 5-7 up to 15 mn)
 Need of a local organization
to sustain the MOOCs
A MOOC is a complex
team project
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC: do you have the
budget?
 Example of a 8 weeks MOOC
 Base: Sciences with Maths equations and graphics
 MOOC being used internally at least 3 times
 Human resources
 Teachers
 Academic support
 Technical support
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Budget: teachers
Mission Course 1 Course 2 Course 3
Preparation 40 8 8
Writing docs 90 20 20
Writing
assessments
40 10 10 Optional
Video
recording
32 6 6 ½ day per one hour
Project
organization
30 5 5
Animation 48 48 48
Total 520 hours
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Budget: pedagogic support
Mission Course 1 Course 2 Course 3
Pedagogic engineer 40 8 8
Project manager 60 12 12
Tests 60 12 12
Total 225 hours
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Budget: technical support
Mission Course 1 Course 2 Course 3
Video 32 6 6 Recording
Video 180-240 36-50 36-50 Editing
Texts 10 2 2 Formatting
Iconography 35 7 7 Variable
Integration 15 3 3 Platform
Meetings 10 2 2
Total 480 hours
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs, Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley 2015
Cost
Mission Course 1 Course 2 Course 3 Total Euros
Teachers 15 000 5 200 5 200 25 400
Pedagogic
support
6 000 1 200 1 200 8 400
Technical
support
10 000 2 000 2 000 14 000
Salaries ≈ 48 000
Base:
Teachers: 75 k€/y, support teachers: 60 k€/y, tech: 47 k€/y
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs, Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley 2015
Total cost
 8 weeks MOOC:
 30 000 € - 120 000 € (external support)
 UC San Diego: 150 000 $
 Not included:
 Delivery
 Environment for teachers and staff
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
See: Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs,
Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley
2015
Cost comparizon
Students
€
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Classic
MOOC
SPOC
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC economy
 Less expensive solution:
 Below 200 – 300 students: classic approach
 Above 500 students blended approach versus
classic approach
 MOOC valid only above 200-300 students
 Staff environment not taken into account
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC & SPOC in
university
 Large classes: freshmen: SPOC
 Recruiting more students without aditional investment
(staff, building): MOOC
 Federation of universities for rare studies: MOOC, SPOC.
Ex.: Virtual Bavarian University
 Universities do not have the manpower to build a full
curriculum
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
The MIT Model
https://formation.unpidf.fr/fr/mediatheque/media-51
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Free MOOCs can
only be a by-
product
MOOC
Emerging Business
models
Facts
 Students and employers value credential and
diploma, delivered by universities
 Badges and certifications are of value for life
education
Different objectives Different business
models
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Case # 1
Arizona State University (ASU)
 Universities consortium
 First year through MOOCs for less than 6000$
 Payment at the end
 Participation of edX
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Case # 2
Urbana Champaign university
 eMBA for 20 000$
1. First, selected Coursera specializations
2. Agreement of curriculum by Urbana
3. Finish as official MBA degree
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Case # 3
EPFL (Switzerland) MOOCs@Africa
 Free access to MOOCs
 Certification: 30 €/ECTS, full cursus 8-12 ECTS followed
by a personal work (6-10 ECTS, 90€/ECTS)
 Exams in a partner center
 Partners: Coursera and edX
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Case # 4
Gestion de Projets (Ecole Centrale Lille)
 Free MOOC
 Second part with one or two ECTS by payment (50 – 150
€) with different levels of examinations and options
 Various options for continuous education (490-690 €)
http://mooc.gestiondeprojet.pm/
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Others
 Georgia Tech master in ccomputer sciences
 MiriadaX
 Open U
There is a huge space for online learning with
MOOCs
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC providers?
 Unclear Business models?
 Will certification and course selling suffice?
 Shift of Udacity from Higher Education to
Continuous Education “There is no money to
make with HE”
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC providers?
Coursera
 Certifications & Specializations
«… we are hosting nearly 900 courses and I expect to have
1,000 courses on our platform by early 2015. In three years,
we’ll have 5,000 courses, which is about the curriculum of your
average medium to large university. »
Daphne Koller, Knowledge@Wharton 05/01/2015
Tommorrow: online university?
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
A university model
 A three-tiers system
MOOC
designers
MOOC
distributor
Universities
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Blended
learning
MOOC
A continuous education
model
 A four-tiers system
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOC
designers
MOOC
distributor
MOOC
broker
Company
Conclusion
MOOCs for Universities
 Blended learning and distance learning for
freshmen
 Cheaper way to handle large classes
 Efficient means to attract distant students
 A method to increase the participation of
minorities?
 Rare studies and small classes
 If universities are able to work together
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
MOOCs for continuous
Education
 A huge market for the XXI century
« The other trend we’ve observed, from the larger corporations
in our client base, is a shift to outsourcing the development of
E-Learning content to professional agencies rather than
building in-house. We’re excited about the landscape for
2014. »
Guy McEvoy, Managing Director, Guyka
E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-206 Report, docebo
report,www.docebo.com
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Coursera & al.
 Major actors to federate universities
 Major actors for continuous Education
 Much more than certificates providers, providers
of tommorrow education
 Future partners of universities for courses
building.
EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
Yves.epelboin@impmc.upmc.fr
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/yepelboin
Twitter: @yepelboin
Blogs: http://blog.educpros.fr/yves-epelboin/ (french)
http://www.eunis.org/blog/category/erai-2/blogs/ (english)
Discussion

MOOCs: still a viable business model?

  • 1.
    MOOCs – Stilla viable business model? Yves Epelboin Professor Emeritus UPMC- Sorbonne-Universités, Paris Yves.Epelboin@impmc.upmc
  • 2.
    Agenda  The context MOOC’s budget  MOOCs for Europe  Emerging business models  Conclusion EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 3.
    US context: studentsdebt  Tuition fees at an inacceptable level:  Up to 10 000 $ in public universities  40 000 – 60 000 $ in private universities EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Le Monde 26/04/2015
  • 4.
    US context: Tuitiondebt A negative impact on the US economy First debt before housing! 1160 Billions US $ EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Le Monde 26/04/2015
  • 5.
  • 6.
    MOOC and student retentionSuccess as not the same meaning in a MOOC than in a class P. Hill e-Literate, March 2013 http://mfeldstein.com/emerging-student- patterns-in-moocs-a-revised-graphical-view/ EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 7.
  • 8.
    An important investment Course scenario renewed  New documents and OER  Massive use of short videos (chunks 5-7 up to 15 mn)  Need of a local organization to sustain the MOOCs A MOOC is a complex team project EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 9.
    MOOC: do youhave the budget?  Example of a 8 weeks MOOC  Base: Sciences with Maths equations and graphics  MOOC being used internally at least 3 times  Human resources  Teachers  Academic support  Technical support EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 10.
    Budget: teachers Mission Course1 Course 2 Course 3 Preparation 40 8 8 Writing docs 90 20 20 Writing assessments 40 10 10 Optional Video recording 32 6 6 ½ day per one hour Project organization 30 5 5 Animation 48 48 48 Total 520 hours EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 11.
    Budget: pedagogic support MissionCourse 1 Course 2 Course 3 Pedagogic engineer 40 8 8 Project manager 60 12 12 Tests 60 12 12 Total 225 hours EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 12.
    Budget: technical support MissionCourse 1 Course 2 Course 3 Video 32 6 6 Recording Video 180-240 36-50 36-50 Editing Texts 10 2 2 Formatting Iconography 35 7 7 Variable Integration 15 3 3 Platform Meetings 10 2 2 Total 480 hours EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs, Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley 2015
  • 13.
    Cost Mission Course 1Course 2 Course 3 Total Euros Teachers 15 000 5 200 5 200 25 400 Pedagogic support 6 000 1 200 1 200 8 400 Technical support 10 000 2 000 2 000 14 000 Salaries ≈ 48 000 Base: Teachers: 75 k€/y, support teachers: 60 k€/y, tech: 47 k€/y EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs, Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley 2015
  • 14.
    Total cost  8weeks MOOC:  30 000 € - 120 000 € (external support)  UC San Diego: 150 000 $  Not included:  Delivery  Environment for teachers and staff EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin See: Pomerol, Epelboin & Thoury MOOCs, Design, Use and Business Models, Wiley 2015
  • 15.
    Cost comparizon Students € 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 160000 100 200300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 Classic MOOC SPOC EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 16.
    MOOC economy  Lessexpensive solution:  Below 200 – 300 students: classic approach  Above 500 students blended approach versus classic approach  MOOC valid only above 200-300 students  Staff environment not taken into account EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 17.
    MOOC & SPOCin university  Large classes: freshmen: SPOC  Recruiting more students without aditional investment (staff, building): MOOC  Federation of universities for rare studies: MOOC, SPOC. Ex.: Virtual Bavarian University  Universities do not have the manpower to build a full curriculum EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 18.
    The MIT Model https://formation.unpidf.fr/fr/mediatheque/media-51 EdTechJune 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Free MOOCs can only be a by- product
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Facts  Students andemployers value credential and diploma, delivered by universities  Badges and certifications are of value for life education Different objectives Different business models EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 21.
    Case # 1 ArizonaState University (ASU)  Universities consortium  First year through MOOCs for less than 6000$  Payment at the end  Participation of edX EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 22.
    Case # 2 UrbanaChampaign university  eMBA for 20 000$ 1. First, selected Coursera specializations 2. Agreement of curriculum by Urbana 3. Finish as official MBA degree EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 23.
    Case # 3 EPFL(Switzerland) MOOCs@Africa  Free access to MOOCs  Certification: 30 €/ECTS, full cursus 8-12 ECTS followed by a personal work (6-10 ECTS, 90€/ECTS)  Exams in a partner center  Partners: Coursera and edX EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 24.
    Case # 4 Gestionde Projets (Ecole Centrale Lille)  Free MOOC  Second part with one or two ECTS by payment (50 – 150 €) with different levels of examinations and options  Various options for continuous education (490-690 €) http://mooc.gestiondeprojet.pm/ EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 25.
    Others  Georgia Techmaster in ccomputer sciences  MiriadaX  Open U There is a huge space for online learning with MOOCs EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 26.
    MOOC providers?  UnclearBusiness models?  Will certification and course selling suffice?  Shift of Udacity from Higher Education to Continuous Education “There is no money to make with HE” EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 27.
    MOOC providers? Coursera  Certifications& Specializations «… we are hosting nearly 900 courses and I expect to have 1,000 courses on our platform by early 2015. In three years, we’ll have 5,000 courses, which is about the curriculum of your average medium to large university. » Daphne Koller, Knowledge@Wharton 05/01/2015 Tommorrow: online university? EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 28.
    A university model A three-tiers system MOOC designers MOOC distributor Universities EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin Blended learning MOOC
  • 29.
    A continuous education model A four-tiers system EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin MOOC designers MOOC distributor MOOC broker Company
  • 30.
  • 31.
    MOOCs for Universities Blended learning and distance learning for freshmen  Cheaper way to handle large classes  Efficient means to attract distant students  A method to increase the participation of minorities?  Rare studies and small classes  If universities are able to work together EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 32.
    MOOCs for continuous Education A huge market for the XXI century « The other trend we’ve observed, from the larger corporations in our client base, is a shift to outsourcing the development of E-Learning content to professional agencies rather than building in-house. We’re excited about the landscape for 2014. » Guy McEvoy, Managing Director, Guyka E-Learning Market Trends & Forecast 2014-206 Report, docebo report,www.docebo.com EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 33.
    Coursera & al. Major actors to federate universities  Major actors for continuous Education  Much more than certificates providers, providers of tommorrow education  Future partners of universities for courses building. EdTech June 2-3 2015 London Y.Epelboin
  • 34.
    Yves.epelboin@impmc.upmc.fr LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/yepelboin Twitter: @yepelboin Blogs:http://blog.educpros.fr/yves-epelboin/ (french) http://www.eunis.org/blog/category/erai-2/blogs/ (english)
  • 35.