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Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
1st
March 2012
Gold
(5 Apr-12)
Silver
(5 Mar-12)
Crude
(19 Mar-12)
Open 28,876 60,687 5,326
High 28,923 61,488 5,326
Low 27,752 57,230 5,182
Close 27,952 57,783 5,227
Prev. Close 28,875 60,883 5,325
% Change -3.20% -5.09% -1.84%
Source – MCX
Volume (In 000's)
29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg.
Gold (gms) 76,001.0 33,826.0 124.68%
Silver (kgs) 2,554.4 1,543.8 65.46%
Crude (bbl) 15,376.1 14,880.0 3.33%
Source – MCX
Turnover (In Lacs)
29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg.
Gold 2,159,636.5 971,686.8 122.26%
Silver 1,537,963.7 905,168.3 69.91%
Crude 806,990.0 746,312.0 8.13%
Source – MCX
Global Market (Nymex - $)
29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg.
Gold (oz) 1,722.90 1,711.30 0.68%
Silver (oz) 35.13 34.64 1.39%
Crude (bbl) 107.06 107.07 -0.01%
Dollar Index 78.72 78.82 -0.13%
Source – www.cmegroup.com
MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened flat at 28876. It moved
higher to touch an intraday high of 28923. However, it failed to hold
on to gains and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27752. It
ended the day with large losses to close at 27952.
The RSI has breached its average. Moreover, the Stochastic
remains placed below its average, which would lead to selling
pressure at regular intervals. The ADX line, +DI line are moving
lower. Infact +DI lines has fallen from the 30 level and -DI line has
moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength,
while buyers have booked profit at higher levels. MCX GOLD faces
resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are
placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 60687. It
moved higher to touch an intraday high of 61488. However, it failed
to hold on to gains and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of
57230. It ended the day with large losses to close at 57783.
The Stochastic and the RSI have slipped below their respective
averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The -DI line has
started moving higher, while the +DI line has witnessed a sharp fall
indicating buyers have booked profit s at higher levels. However, it
remains placed above the 30 level. MCX Silver faces resistance at
61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157,
51029 and 50252 levels.
MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened flat at 5326 level.
Incidentally, this was also the highest price for the day. It moved
lower to touch an intraday low of 5182. It ended the day with high
losses to close at 5227.
The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages,
which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The –DI line
is moving higher, while the ADX line, and +DI line are moving lower
indicating buyers have started unwinding their long positions. It
faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports are
placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels.
Commodities Close Pivot Point
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
CRUDE MAR 12 5227 5245 5308 5389 5533 5164 5101 4957
GOLD APR 12 27952 28209 28666 29380 30551 27495 27038 25867
SILVER MAR 12 57783 58834 60437 63092 67350 56179 54576 50318
Daily Commodity Report
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:
Thursday
Mar. 01
Monday
Mar. 05
Tuesday
Mar. 06
Wednesday
Mar. 07
Thursday
Mar. 08
Jobless Claims Factory Orders 1 Month bill auction Bank Reserve
Settlement
Jobless claims
Personal Income and
Outlays
Non-Manufacturing
Index
1 Year bill Auction Consumer Credit Bloomberg consumer
comfort index
Construction Spending 3-month, 6-month bill
auction
ICSC - Goldman Store
Sales
Productivity and Costs Money supply
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
4
th
Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the
recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or
sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn
brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as
advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and
related information and opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the
subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly
related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.

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Keynote commodity daily report 010312

  • 1. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com 1st March 2012 Gold (5 Apr-12) Silver (5 Mar-12) Crude (19 Mar-12) Open 28,876 60,687 5,326 High 28,923 61,488 5,326 Low 27,752 57,230 5,182 Close 27,952 57,783 5,227 Prev. Close 28,875 60,883 5,325 % Change -3.20% -5.09% -1.84% Source – MCX Volume (In 000's) 29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg. Gold (gms) 76,001.0 33,826.0 124.68% Silver (kgs) 2,554.4 1,543.8 65.46% Crude (bbl) 15,376.1 14,880.0 3.33% Source – MCX Turnover (In Lacs) 29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg. Gold 2,159,636.5 971,686.8 122.26% Silver 1,537,963.7 905,168.3 69.91% Crude 806,990.0 746,312.0 8.13% Source – MCX Global Market (Nymex - $) 29/2/2012 28/2/2012 % Chg. Gold (oz) 1,722.90 1,711.30 0.68% Silver (oz) 35.13 34.64 1.39% Crude (bbl) 107.06 107.07 -0.01% Dollar Index 78.72 78.82 -0.13% Source – www.cmegroup.com MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened flat at 28876. It moved higher to touch an intraday high of 28923. However, it failed to hold on to gains and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27752. It ended the day with large losses to close at 27952. The RSI has breached its average. Moreover, the Stochastic remains placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure at regular intervals. The ADX line, +DI line are moving lower. Infact +DI lines has fallen from the 30 level and -DI line has moved above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength, while buyers have booked profit at higher levels. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. MCX SILVER (MARCH 12) - Silver opened higher at 60687. It moved higher to touch an intraday high of 61488. However, it failed to hold on to gains and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57230. It ended the day with large losses to close at 57783. The Stochastic and the RSI have slipped below their respective averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The -DI line has started moving higher, while the +DI line has witnessed a sharp fall indicating buyers have booked profit s at higher levels. However, it remains placed above the 30 level. MCX Silver faces resistance at 61708, 65159 and 66261 while the supports are placed at 56157, 51029 and 50252 levels. MCX CRUDE (MARCH 12) - Crude opened flat at 5326 level. Incidentally, this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower to touch an intraday low of 5182. It ended the day with high losses to close at 5227. The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The –DI line is moving higher, while the ADX line, and +DI line are moving lower indicating buyers have started unwinding their long positions. It faces resistance at 5436, 5462 and 5498 while the supports are placed at 5150, 5095, 4905 and 4727 levels. Commodities Close Pivot Point Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAR 12 5227 5245 5308 5389 5533 5164 5101 4957 GOLD APR 12 27952 28209 28666 29380 30551 27495 27038 25867 SILVER MAR 12 57783 58834 60437 63092 67350 56179 54576 50318 Daily Commodity Report
  • 2. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com US Economic Calendar: Thursday Mar. 01 Monday Mar. 05 Tuesday Mar. 06 Wednesday Mar. 07 Thursday Mar. 08 Jobless Claims Factory Orders 1 Month bill auction Bank Reserve Settlement Jobless claims Personal Income and Outlays Non-Manufacturing Index 1 Year bill Auction Consumer Credit Bloomberg consumer comfort index Construction Spending 3-month, 6-month bill auction ICSC - Goldman Store Sales Productivity and Costs Money supply
  • 3. Keynote Capitals Ltd. 4 th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent.