SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 36
Download to read offline
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
POLITICAL
MONITOR
APRIL 2017
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS
3Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
49%
26%
4%
1%
13%
7%
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 ; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote
in General Elections = 821. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most accurate results in the 2015 GE.
Voting Intention
45%
27%
3%
2%
14%
9%
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +18
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +23
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER
4Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
2015 General Election
23 point
lead
Highest Conservative
campaign lead that
we’ve measured
(previous was 22pts
in May 1983)
5Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Oct03
Apr04
Oct04
Apr05
Oct05
Apr06
Oct06
Apr07
Oct07
Apr08
Oct08
Apr09
Oct09
Apr10
Oct10
Apr11
Oct11
Apr12
Oct12
Apr13
Oct13
Apr14
Oct14
Apr15
Oct15
Apr16
Oct16
Apr17
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: October ‘03 – April ‘17
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
Voting decisions
7Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
HAVE YOU DEFINITELY DECIDED TO VOTE FOR THE ………. PARTY OR IS THERE A CHANCE YOU MAY
CHANGE YOUR MIND BEFORE YOU VOTE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Labour and Lib Dem vote softer than Conservatives
60
43
21
36
40
56
78
63
Liberal Democrat
supporters
Labour supporters
Conservative
supporters
Overall
MAY CHANGE MIND DEFINITELY DECIDED
Political Monitor | April2017 | FINAL | Public | 8
I want you to think about what it
is that most attracted you to ……..
party. Some people are attracted
mainly by the policies of the party,
some by the leaders of the party
and some because they identify
with the party as a whole. If you
had a total of ten points to
allocate according to how
important each of these was to
you, how many points would you
allocate to the leaders of the party
you intend voting for, how many
to its policies, and how many to
the party as a whole? Please bear
in mind that the total of all your
points should add up to ten.
Vote drivers – the political triangle
Base: All giving a General Election voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
4.3
2.6
3.0
3.7
3.1 3.0
Policies Leaders Parties
Apr-15 Apr-17
Mean score – April 2015 - April 2017
9Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
IF YOU HAD A TOTAL OF TEN POINTS TO ALLOCATE ACCORDING TO HOW IMPORTANT EACH OF THESE
WAS TO YOU, HOW MANY POINTS WOULD YOU ALLOCATE TO THE LEADERS OF THE PARTY YOU INTEND
VOTING FOR, HOW MANY TO ITS POLICIES, AND HOW MANY TO THE PARTY AS A WHOLE? PLEASE BEAR
IN MIND THAT THE TOTAL OF ALL YOUR POINTS SHOULD ADD UP TO TEN.
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
What drives voters – leader, party, or policy?
3.5
3.2 3.4 3.2
3
3.9 3.8
2.6 2.5
2.6
3.1
4.4 4.4
4.1 4.2
4.7
4
3.8
4.1
4.3
4.3
3.7
2.1 2 2.3
2.4
2.1
2.1
2.2
3.3 3.2
3 3
0
1
2
3
4
5
Oct-86
Apr-87
Oct-87
Apr-88
Oct-88
Apr-89
Oct-89
Apr-90
Oct-90
Apr-91
Oct-91
Apr-92
Oct-92
Apr-93
Oct-93
Apr-94
Oct-94
Apr-95
Oct-95
Apr-96
Oct-96
Apr-97
Oct-97
Apr-98
Oct-98
Apr-99
Oct-99
Apr-00
Oct-00
Apr-01
Oct-01
Apr-02
Oct-02
Apr-03
Oct-03
Apr-04
Oct-04
Apr-05
Oct-05
Apr-06
Oct-06
Apr-07
Oct-07
Apr-08
Oct-08
Apr-09
Oct-09
Apr-10
Oct-10
Apr-11
Oct-11
Apr-12
Oct-12
Apr-13
Oct-13
Apr-14
Oct-14
Apr-15
Oct-15
Apr-16
Oct-16
Apr-17
LEADERS POLICIES PARTY
10Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE PRIME MINISTER, THE CONSERVATIVE’S
THERESA MAY, OR LABOUR’S JEREMY CORBYN?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 *In May 2015 asked as: Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister,
David Cameron, Ed Miliband or Nick Clegg?
Most capable Prime Minister
61
23
1
1
6
7
MAY
CORBYN
OTHER
NO DIFFERENCE
NEITHER / NONE
DON’T KNOW
April 2017
61
52
48
23
12
16
Theresa May and
Jeremy Corbyn
May 2017
Tony Blair and
William Hague
May 2001
Margaret Thatcher
and Michael Foot
May 1983
Highest ratings for May, Thatcher and
Blair that we’ve measured
11Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION, WHICH, IF ANY, ISSUES DO YOU THINK WILL BE VERY
IMPORTANT TO YOU IN HELPING YOU DECIDE WHICH PARTY TO VOTE FOR?* (UNPROMPTED)
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Most important issues to the vote
42
31
21
18
17
14
8
10
7
47
24
35
19
16
8
9
Europe / EU / Brexit
Healthcare/NHS/hospitals
Education/schools
Managing the economy/economic situation
Asylum and immigration
Taxation
Poverty / inequality
Don’t Know
Apr-17 Apr-15
12Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
48%
25%
52%
36%
39%
39%
20%
17%
40%
17%
28%
19%
28%
46%
12%
8%
6%
9%
10%
8%
8%
3%
2%
2%
1%
9%
1%
3%
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON…. THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL
DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Conservatives lead on four out of five issues most
Handling Britain’s future
relationship with the
European Union
Healthcare
Managing the economy
Education
Asylum and immigration
Taxation
Poverty / inequality
Importance ranking
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
Conservative lead
+31
-15
+35
+7
+20
+11
-26
important to voters
13Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
28%
32%
24%
52%
39%
26%
31%
35%
35%
15%
18%
22%
5%
9%
7%
5%
7%
8%
1%
3%
3%
3%
3%
8%
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Crime and any-social
behaviour
Defence
Benefits
Housing
Pensions
Overseas aid
Importance ranking
=12th
=11th
10th
=11th
8th
13th
Conservative lead
-3
-3
-11
+37
+21
+4
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON…. THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL
DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Best party on other issues
14Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON HEALTHCARE, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR,
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Labour keep lead on healthcare
25%
3%0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jan78
Jul78
Jan79
Jul79
Jan80
Jul80
Jan81
Jul81
Jan82
Jul82
Jan83
Jul83
Jan84
Jul84
Jan85
Jul85
Jan86
Jul86
Jan87
Jul87
Jan88
Jul88
Jan89
Jul89
Jan90
Jul90
Jan91
Jul91
Jan92
Jul92
Jan93
Jul93
Jan94
Jul94
Jan95
Jul95
Jan96
Jul96
Jan97
Jul97
Jan98
Jul98
Jan99
Jul99
Jan00
Jul00
Jan01
Jul01
Jan02
Jul02
Jan03
Jul03
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
8%
40%
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM
13 point
lead
15 point
lead
15Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON MANAGING THE ECONOMY, THE
CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Conservatives’ best rating since 1990 on economic policies
2%
17%
52%
6%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan90
Jul90
Jan91
Jul91
Jan92
Jul92
Jan93
Jul93
Jan94
Jul94
Jan95
Jul95
Jan96
Jul96
Jan97
Jul97
Jan98
Jul98
Jan99
Jul99
Jan00
Jul00
Jan01
Jul01
Jan02
Jul02
Jan03
Jul03
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM
18 point
lead
35 point
lead
16Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON ASYLUM AND IMMIGRATION, THE
CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Conservatives’ best ratings on asylum/immigration since 2005
19%
39%
10%
9%
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Jul05
Oct05
Jan06
Apr06
Jul06
Oct06
Jan07
Apr07
Jul07
Oct07
Jan08
Apr08
Jul08
Oct08
Jan09
Apr09
Jul09
Oct09
Jan10
Apr10
Jul10
Oct10
Jan11
Apr11
Jul11
Oct11
Jan12
Apr12
Jul12
Oct12
Jan13
Apr13
Jul13
Oct13
Jan14
Apr14
Jul14
Oct14
Jan15
Apr15
Jul15
Oct15
Jan16
Apr16
Jul16
Oct16
Jan17
Apr17
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM
4 point gap
20 point
lead
17Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON EDUCATION, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR,
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Conservatives’ best ratings on education since 1983
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM
29%
36%
9%
1%0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mar77
Sep77
Mar78
Sep78
Mar79
Sep79
Mar80
Sep80
Mar81
Sep81
Mar82
Sep82
Mar83
Sep83
Mar84
Sep84
Mar85
Sep85
Mar86
Sep86
Mar87
Sep87
Mar88
Sep88
Mar89
Sep89
Mar90
Sep90
Mar91
Sep91
Mar92
Sep92
Mar93
Sep93
Mar94
Sep94
Mar95
Sep95
Mar96
Sep96
Mar97
Sep97
Mar98
Sep98
Mar99
Sep99
Mar00
Sep00
Mar01
Sep01
Mar02
Sep02
Mar03
Sep03
Mar04
Sep04
Mar05
Sep05
Mar06
Sep06
Mar07
Sep07
Mar08
Sep08
Mar09
Sep09
Mar10
Sep10
Mar11
Sep11
Mar12
Sep12
Mar13
Sep13
Mar14
Sep14
Mar15
Sep15
Mar16
Sep16
Mar17
8 point gap
7 point lead
18Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
20%
37%
18%
34%
24%
27%
44%
31%
36%
35%
18%
19%
29%
52%
34%
55%
39%
43%
40%
29%
38%
33%
34%
57%
51%
37%
Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union
Healthcare
Managing the economy
Education
Asylum and Immigration
Taxation
Poverty and inequality
Pensions
Benefits
Housing
Defence
Crime and anti-social behaviour
Overseas aid
Corbyn
May
WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON……
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
May most trusted leader on most issues
19Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
52%
34%
55%
39%
43%
40%
29%
38%
33%
34%
57%
51%
37%
48%
25%
52%
36%
39%
39%
20%
28%
32%
24%
52%
39%
26%
Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union
Healthcare
Managing the economy
Education
Asylum and Immigration
Taxation
Poverty and inequality
Pensions
Benefits
Housing
Defence
Crime and anti-social behaviour
Overseas aid
May
Conservative party
WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON……
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
May outperforms Conservative party on many issues
20Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
20%
37%
18%
34%
24%
27%
44%
31%
36%
35%
18%
19%
29%
17%
40%
17%
29%
19%
28%
46%
31%
35%
35%
15%
18%
22%
Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union
Healthcare
Managing the economy
Education
Asylum and Immigration
Taxation
Poverty and inequality
Pensions
Benefits
Housing
Defence
Crime and anti-social behaviour
Overseas aid
Corbyn
Labour
WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON……
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017
Corbyn’s ratings similar to Labour on most issues
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 21
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS
22Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
21%
50%
29%
Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Paul Nuttall Tim Farron The Government
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF UKIP /LEADER OF THE LIBERAL
DEMOCRATS ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 . Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
46%
47%
7%
56%37%
7%
27%
62%
11%
+3%
swing from March
2017
+3%
swing from March
2017
+4%
swing from March
2017
+1.5%
swing from March
2017
+7.5%
swing from March
2017
+19 Net -35 Net -29 Net -7 Net -1 Net
SATISFIED 56% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 21% SATISFIED 30% SATISFIED 46%
DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 62% DISSATISFIED 50% DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 47%
30%
37%
32%
23Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS … ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month. In February 2016 data for Paul Nuttall and Tim Farron was not collected
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Aprl 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
MAY CORBYN FARRON NUTTALL
56%
27%
30%
21%
24Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
NUMBER OF MONTHS FROM BECOMING PRIME MINISTER
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
25Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1994 – 2017)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Number of months from becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
HOWARD BLAIR (94-97) DUNCAN SMITH (01-03) MILIBAND (10-15) CAMERON (05-10) HAGUE (97-01) CORBYN (15-present)
Corbyn
26Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction)
56%
37%
7%
April 2017 August 2016 – April 2017
SATISFIED 56%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = +19
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
27Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 401 Conservative supporters 18+ , 21st – 25th April 2017
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters
95%
3%
2%
April 2017
SATISFIED 95%
DISSATISFIED 3%
DON’T KNOW 2%
Net = +92
August 2016 – April 2017
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
28Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
27%
62%
11%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
SATISFIED 27%
DISSATISFIED 62%
DON’T KNOW 11%
Net = -35
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
29Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
53%
36%
11%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
SATISFIED 53%
DISSATISFIED 36%
DON’T KNOW 11%
Net = +17
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 219 Labour supporters 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
30Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
30%
37%
32%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
SATISFIED 30%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 32%
Net = -7
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Tim Farron (satisfaction)
April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
31Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
67%
22%
11%
SATISFIED 67%
DISSATISFIED 22%
DON’T KNOW 11%
Net = +45
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 129 Liberal Democrat supporters 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Tim Farron (satisfaction among Lib Dem supporters)
April 2017
32Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY PAUL NUTTALL IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
UKIP, THE UK INDEPENDENCE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Paul Nuttall(satisfaction)
March 2017
21%
50%
29%
SATISFIED 21%
DISSATISFIED 50%
DON’T KNOW 29%
Net = -29
April 2017
14%
51%
35% SATISFIED 14%
DISSATISFIED 51%
DON’T KNOW 35%
Net = -37
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 33
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM
34Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
28%
24%
40%
8%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Sep-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Apr-06
Nov-06
Jul-07
Feb-08
Aug-08
Feb-09
Aug-09
Feb-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Sep-11
Mar-12
Sep-12
Mar-13
Sep-13
Mar-14
Sep-14
Mar-15
Oct-15
Aprl-16
Oct-16
Apr-17
IMPROVE 28%
STAY THE SAME 24%
GET WORSE 40%
DON’T KNOW 8%
EOI = -12
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017
Economic Optimism Index
April 2017
35Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Aug1997
Dec1997
Apr1998
Aug1998
Dec1998
Apr1999
Aug1999
Dec1999
Apr2000
Aug2000
Dec2000
Apr2001
Aug2001
Dec2001
Apr2002
Aug2002
Dec2002
Apr2003
Aug2003
Dec2003
Apr2004
Aug2004
Dec2004
Apr2005
Aug2005
Dec2005
Apr2006
Aug2006
Dec2006
Apr2007
Aug2007
Dec2007
Apr2008
Aug2008
Dec2008
Apr2009
Aug2009
Dec2009
Apr2010
Aug2010
Dec2010
Apr2011
Aug2011
Dec2011
Apr2012
Aug2012
Dec2012
Apr2013
Aug2013
Dec2013
Apr2014
Aug2014
Dec2014
Apr2015
Aug2015
Dec2015
Apr2016
Aug2016
Dec2016
Apr2017
-12
Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
36
POLITICAL
MONITOR
APRIL 2017

More Related Content

What's hot

Support for independence rises as referendum speculation grows
Support for independence rises as referendum speculation growsSupport for independence rises as referendum speculation grows
Support for independence rises as referendum speculation growsIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker: Q1 2017
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker:  Q1 2017Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker:  Q1 2017
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker: Q1 2017Ipsos UK
 
Political Monitor November 2017
Political Monitor November 2017Political Monitor November 2017
Political Monitor November 2017Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Final General Election Poll
Ipsos MORI Final General Election PollIpsos MORI Final General Election Poll
Ipsos MORI Final General Election PollIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016Ipsos UK
 
2017 General Election: What to expect
2017 General Election: What to expect2017 General Election: What to expect
2017 General Election: What to expectIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016Ipsos UK
 
How Britain voted in the 2017 election
How Britain voted in the 2017 electionHow Britain voted in the 2017 election
How Britain voted in the 2017 electionIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political MonitorIpsos MORI January 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political MonitorIpsos UK
 
Austerity and public services
Austerity and public servicesAusterity and public services
Austerity and public servicesIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...Ipsos UK
 
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & Society
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & SocietyNetworking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & Society
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & SocietyIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos UK
 

What's hot (20)

Support for independence rises as referendum speculation grows
Support for independence rises as referendum speculation growsSupport for independence rises as referendum speculation grows
Support for independence rises as referendum speculation grows
 
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker: Q1 2017
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker:  Q1 2017Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker:  Q1 2017
Ipsos MORI Halifax Housing Market Confidence Tracker: Q1 2017
 
Political Monitor November 2017
Political Monitor November 2017Political Monitor November 2017
Political Monitor November 2017
 
Ipsos MORI Final General Election Poll
Ipsos MORI Final General Election PollIpsos MORI Final General Election Poll
Ipsos MORI Final General Election Poll
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2016
 
2017 General Election: What to expect
2017 General Election: What to expect2017 General Election: What to expect
2017 General Election: What to expect
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2017
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - October 2016
 
How Britain voted in the 2017 election
How Britain voted in the 2017 electionHow Britain voted in the 2017 election
How Britain voted in the 2017 election
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: April 2016
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: November 2015
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - June 2016
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: May 2016
 
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political MonitorIpsos MORI January 2016 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2016 Political Monitor
 
Austerity and public services
Austerity and public servicesAusterity and public services
Austerity and public services
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: January 2017
 
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...
Ipsos MORI June 2015 Political Monitor: EU, Leader and government satisfactio...
 
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & Society
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & SocietyNetworking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & Society
Networking Nations - Ipsos MORI - Fragmentation, Cohesion & Society
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2016
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - February 2016
 

Similar to Conservatives Lead on Key Issues in Latest Poll

Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political MonitorIpsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos UK
 
Political Monitor - March 2018
Political Monitor - March 2018Political Monitor - March 2018
Political Monitor - March 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald Trump
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald Trump
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos MORI September 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos UK
 
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final Week
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final WeekIpsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final Week
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final WeekIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016Ipsos UK
 
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic Optimism
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic Optimism
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI June Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June Political MonitorIpsos MORI June Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June Political MonitorIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...Ipsos UK
 

Similar to Conservatives Lead on Key Issues in Latest Poll (20)

Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor June 2018
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor April 2018
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor May 2018
 
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political MonitorIpsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI January 2018 Political Monitor
 
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018
Ipsos MORI December Political Monitor 2018
 
Political Monitor - March 2018
Political Monitor - March 2018Political Monitor - March 2018
Political Monitor - March 2018
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: March 2018
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - November 2016
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald Trump
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald TrumpIpsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald Trump
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor July 2018: Views of Donald Trump
 
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018
Ipsos MORI Politicial Monitor October 2018
 
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political MonitorIpsos MORI September 2018 Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI September 2018 Political Monitor
 
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013
Beyond the Bubble: Ipsos MORI at the Labour Party Conference 2013
 
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final Week
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final WeekIpsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final Week
Ipsos MORI General Election Briefing: The Final Week
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: September 2016
 
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
Beyond the Bubble: Conservative Party Conference 2014
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic Optimism
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic OptimismIpsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic Optimism
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor October 2015 - Views on Europe & Economic Optimism
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor: August 2016
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor September 2014: Key 2015 Election Issues and Pol...
 
Ipsos MORI June Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June Political MonitorIpsos MORI June Political Monitor
Ipsos MORI June Political Monitor
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor February 2015: Tactical voting and preferred coa...
 

More from Ipsos UK

The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit vote
The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit voteThe Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit vote
The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit voteIpsos UK
 
Bridging the gap: cyber security skills
Bridging the gap: cyber security skillsBridging the gap: cyber security skills
Bridging the gap: cyber security skillsIpsos UK
 
The state of cyber resilience in the UK
The state of cyber resilience in the UKThe state of cyber resilience in the UK
The state of cyber resilience in the UKIpsos UK
 
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate Change
Ipsos Global Advisor:  The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos Global Advisor:  The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate Change
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos UK
 
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah Everard
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah Everard
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos UK
 
Global Infrastructure Index 2020
Global Infrastructure Index 2020Global Infrastructure Index 2020
Global Infrastructure Index 2020Ipsos UK
 
Women, work and COVID-19
Women, work and COVID-19Women, work and COVID-19
Women, work and COVID-19Ipsos UK
 
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORI
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORIUS Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORI
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORIIpsos UK
 
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in Britain
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainSexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in Britain
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainIpsos UK
 
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social Media
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaCOVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social Media
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaIpsos UK
 
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMS
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSSolving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMS
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020Ipsos UK
 
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?Ipsos UK
 
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORI
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORICoronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORI
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORIIpsos UK
 
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of Death
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathThe Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of Death
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathIpsos UK
 
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus Poll
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollPublic Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus Poll
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - Housing
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - Housing
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos UK
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos UK
 

More from Ipsos UK (20)

The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit vote
The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit voteThe Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit vote
The Beat: 5 years on from the Brexit vote
 
Bridging the gap: cyber security skills
Bridging the gap: cyber security skillsBridging the gap: cyber security skills
Bridging the gap: cyber security skills
 
The state of cyber resilience in the UK
The state of cyber resilience in the UKThe state of cyber resilience in the UK
The state of cyber resilience in the UK
 
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate Change
Ipsos Global Advisor:  The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate ChangeIpsos Global Advisor:  The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate Change
Ipsos Global Advisor: The Perils of Perception: Environment and Climate Change
 
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah Everard
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah EverardIpsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah Everard
Ipsos Community: Quotes following the events around the vigil for Sarah Everard
 
Global Infrastructure Index 2020
Global Infrastructure Index 2020Global Infrastructure Index 2020
Global Infrastructure Index 2020
 
Women, work and COVID-19
Women, work and COVID-19Women, work and COVID-19
Women, work and COVID-19
 
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORI
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORIUS Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORI
US Election 2020 Webinar - Ipsos MORI
 
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in Britain
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in BritainSexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in Britain
Sexual orientation and attitudes to LGBTQ+ in Britain
 
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social Media
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social MediaCOVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social Media
COVID-19: Conspiracies and Confusions and the link with Social Media
 
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMS
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMSSolving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMS
Solving the Cyber Security Skills Gap with DCMS
 
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020
Ipsos MORI Politial Pulse - April 2020
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - March 2020
 
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?
International Women's Day 2020: What is acceptable behaviour in the workplace?
 
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORI
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORICoronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORI
Coronavirus Opinion and Reaction - Ipsos MORI
 
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of Death
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of DeathThe Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of Death
The Perils of Perception 2020: Causes of Death
 
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus Poll
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus PollPublic Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus Poll
Public Perception of Environmental Impact: Ipsos Omnibus Poll
 
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019
Ipsos MORI Social Media Britain November 2019
 
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - Housing
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - HousingIpsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - Housing
Ipsos MORI 2019 General Election Campign Tracker - Housing
 
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019
Ipsos MORI Political Monitor - 6 December 2019
 

Recently uploaded

25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdfFIRST INDIA
 
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct CommiteemenRoberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemenkfjstone13
 
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书Fi L
 
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...Muhammad Shamsaddin Megalommatis
 
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...AlexisTorres963861
 
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024Ismail Fahmi
 
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdf
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdfKishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdf
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdfKISHAN REDDY OFFICE
 
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...Axel Bruns
 
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...Pooja Nehwal
 
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptx
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptxMinto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptx
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptxAwaiskhalid96
 
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!Krish109503
 
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoReferendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoSABC News
 
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptxKAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptxjohnandrewcarlos
 
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...narsireddynannuri1
 
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s LeadershipTDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadershipanjanibaddipudi1
 
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Axel Bruns
 
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort Service
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceEnjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort Service
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceDelhi Call girls
 
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...Ismail Fahmi
 

Recently uploaded (20)

25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
25042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
26042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
30042024_First India Newspaper Jaipur.pdf
 
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct CommiteemenRoberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
Roberts Rules Cheat Sheet for LD4 Precinct Commiteemen
 
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书
如何办理(BU学位证书)美国贝翰文大学毕业证学位证书
 
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...
Beyond Afrocentrism: Prerequisites for Somalia to lead African de-colonizatio...
 
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...
Defensa de JOH insiste que testimonio de analista de la DEA es falso y solici...
 
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024
Different Frontiers of Social Media War in Indonesia Elections 2024
 
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdf
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdfKishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdf
Kishan Reddy Report To People (2019-24).pdf
 
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...
AI as Research Assistant: Upscaling Content Analysis to Identify Patterns of ...
 
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...
Call Girls in Mira Road Mumbai ( Neha 09892124323 ) College Escorts Service i...
 
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptx
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptxMinto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptx
Minto-Morley Reforms 1909 (constitution).pptx
 
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!
Israel Palestine Conflict, The issue and historical context!
 
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election ManifestoReferendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
Referendum Party 2024 Election Manifesto
 
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptxKAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
KAHULUGAN AT KAHALAGAHAN NG GAWAING PANSIBIKO.pptx
 
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...
Nurturing Families, Empowering Lives: TDP's Vision for Family Welfare in Andh...
 
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s LeadershipTDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
TDP As the Party of Hope For AP Youth Under N Chandrababu Naidu’s Leadership
 
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
Dynamics of Destructive Polarisation in Mainstream and Social Media: The Case...
 
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort Service
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort ServiceEnjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort Service
Enjoy Night⚡Call Girls Iffco Chowk Gurgaon >༒8448380779 Escort Service
 
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
HARNESSING AI FOR ENHANCED MEDIA ANALYSIS A CASE STUDY ON CHATGPT AT DRONE EM...
 

Conservatives Lead on Key Issues in Latest Poll

  • 1. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 1 POLITICAL MONITOR APRIL 2017
  • 2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2 VOTING INTENTIONS
  • 3. 3Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 49% 26% 4% 1% 13% 7% HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 ; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 821. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most accurate results in the 2015 GE. Voting Intention 45% 27% 3% 2% 14% 9% ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +18 CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +23 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM OTHER
  • 4. 4Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May15 Jun15 Jul15 Aug15 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 Corbyn elected (Sept 15) May as PM (July 16) HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM 2015 General Election 23 point lead Highest Conservative campaign lead that we’ve measured (previous was 22pts in May 1983)
  • 5. 5Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Oct03 Apr04 Oct04 Apr05 Oct05 Apr06 Oct06 Apr07 Oct07 Apr08 Oct08 Apr09 Oct09 Apr10 Oct10 Apr11 Oct11 Apr12 Oct12 Apr13 Oct13 Apr14 Oct14 Apr15 Oct15 Apr16 Oct16 Apr17 2015 General Election Miliband elected (Sept 10) Corbyn elected (Sept 15) May as PM (July 16) HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections Headline voting intention: October ‘03 – April ‘17 2005 General Election 2010 General Election Cameron elected (Dec 05) Brown as PM (June 07) CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM
  • 6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6 Voting decisions
  • 7. 7Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public HAVE YOU DEFINITELY DECIDED TO VOTE FOR THE ………. PARTY OR IS THERE A CHANCE YOU MAY CHANGE YOUR MIND BEFORE YOU VOTE? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Labour and Lib Dem vote softer than Conservatives 60 43 21 36 40 56 78 63 Liberal Democrat supporters Labour supporters Conservative supporters Overall MAY CHANGE MIND DEFINITELY DECIDED
  • 8. Political Monitor | April2017 | FINAL | Public | 8 I want you to think about what it is that most attracted you to …….. party. Some people are attracted mainly by the policies of the party, some by the leaders of the party and some because they identify with the party as a whole. If you had a total of ten points to allocate according to how important each of these was to you, how many points would you allocate to the leaders of the party you intend voting for, how many to its policies, and how many to the party as a whole? Please bear in mind that the total of all your points should add up to ten. Vote drivers – the political triangle Base: All giving a General Election voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 4.3 2.6 3.0 3.7 3.1 3.0 Policies Leaders Parties Apr-15 Apr-17 Mean score – April 2015 - April 2017
  • 9. 9Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public IF YOU HAD A TOTAL OF TEN POINTS TO ALLOCATE ACCORDING TO HOW IMPORTANT EACH OF THESE WAS TO YOU, HOW MANY POINTS WOULD YOU ALLOCATE TO THE LEADERS OF THE PARTY YOU INTEND VOTING FOR, HOW MANY TO ITS POLICIES, AND HOW MANY TO THE PARTY AS A WHOLE? PLEASE BEAR IN MIND THAT THE TOTAL OF ALL YOUR POINTS SHOULD ADD UP TO TEN. Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: All giving a General Election Voting intention 859 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 What drives voters – leader, party, or policy? 3.5 3.2 3.4 3.2 3 3.9 3.8 2.6 2.5 2.6 3.1 4.4 4.4 4.1 4.2 4.7 4 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.7 2.1 2 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2 3.3 3.2 3 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Oct-86 Apr-87 Oct-87 Apr-88 Oct-88 Apr-89 Oct-89 Apr-90 Oct-90 Apr-91 Oct-91 Apr-92 Oct-92 Apr-93 Oct-93 Apr-94 Oct-94 Apr-95 Oct-95 Apr-96 Oct-96 Apr-97 Oct-97 Apr-98 Oct-98 Apr-99 Oct-99 Apr-00 Oct-00 Apr-01 Oct-01 Apr-02 Oct-02 Apr-03 Oct-03 Apr-04 Oct-04 Apr-05 Oct-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 Apr-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 Oct-11 Apr-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13 Apr-14 Oct-14 Apr-15 Oct-15 Apr-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 LEADERS POLICIES PARTY
  • 10. 10Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public WHO DO YOU THINK WOULD MAKE THE MOST CAPABLE PRIME MINISTER, THE CONSERVATIVE’S THERESA MAY, OR LABOUR’S JEREMY CORBYN? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 *In May 2015 asked as: Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, David Cameron, Ed Miliband or Nick Clegg? Most capable Prime Minister 61 23 1 1 6 7 MAY CORBYN OTHER NO DIFFERENCE NEITHER / NONE DON’T KNOW April 2017 61 52 48 23 12 16 Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn May 2017 Tony Blair and William Hague May 2001 Margaret Thatcher and Michael Foot May 1983 Highest ratings for May, Thatcher and Blair that we’ve measured
  • 11. 11Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT GENERAL ELECTION, WHICH, IF ANY, ISSUES DO YOU THINK WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT TO YOU IN HELPING YOU DECIDE WHICH PARTY TO VOTE FOR?* (UNPROMPTED) Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Most important issues to the vote 42 31 21 18 17 14 8 10 7 47 24 35 19 16 8 9 Europe / EU / Brexit Healthcare/NHS/hospitals Education/schools Managing the economy/economic situation Asylum and immigration Taxation Poverty / inequality Don’t Know Apr-17 Apr-15
  • 12. 12Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 48% 25% 52% 36% 39% 39% 20% 17% 40% 17% 28% 19% 28% 46% 12% 8% 6% 9% 10% 8% 8% 3% 2% 2% 1% 9% 1% 3% Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON…. THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Conservatives lead on four out of five issues most Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union Healthcare Managing the economy Education Asylum and immigration Taxation Poverty / inequality Importance ranking 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th Conservative lead +31 -15 +35 +7 +20 +11 -26 important to voters
  • 13. 13Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 28% 32% 24% 52% 39% 26% 31% 35% 35% 15% 18% 22% 5% 9% 7% 5% 7% 8% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 8% Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Crime and any-social behaviour Defence Benefits Housing Pensions Overseas aid Importance ranking =12th =11th 10th =11th 8th 13th Conservative lead -3 -3 -11 +37 +21 +4 WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON…. THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Best party on other issues
  • 14. 14Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON HEALTHCARE, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Labour keep lead on healthcare 25% 3%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan78 Jul78 Jan79 Jul79 Jan80 Jul80 Jan81 Jul81 Jan82 Jul82 Jan83 Jul83 Jan84 Jul84 Jan85 Jul85 Jan86 Jul86 Jan87 Jul87 Jan88 Jul88 Jan89 Jul89 Jan90 Jul90 Jan91 Jul91 Jan92 Jul92 Jan93 Jul93 Jan94 Jul94 Jan95 Jul95 Jan96 Jul96 Jan97 Jul97 Jan98 Jul98 Jan99 Jul99 Jan00 Jul00 Jan01 Jul01 Jan02 Jul02 Jan03 Jul03 Jan04 Jul04 Jan05 Jul05 Jan06 Jul06 Jan07 Jul07 Jan08 Jul08 Jan09 Jul09 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jul11 Jan12 Jul12 Jan13 Jul13 Jan14 Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 8% 40% CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM 13 point lead 15 point lead
  • 15. 15Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON MANAGING THE ECONOMY, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Conservatives’ best rating since 1990 on economic policies 2% 17% 52% 6% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Jan90 Jul90 Jan91 Jul91 Jan92 Jul92 Jan93 Jul93 Jan94 Jul94 Jan95 Jul95 Jan96 Jul96 Jan97 Jul97 Jan98 Jul98 Jan99 Jul99 Jan00 Jul00 Jan01 Jul01 Jan02 Jul02 Jan03 Jul03 Jan04 Jul04 Jan05 Jul05 Jan06 Jul06 Jan07 Jul07 Jan08 Jul08 Jan09 Jul09 Jan10 Jul10 Jan11 Jul11 Jan12 Jul12 Jan13 Jul13 Jan14 Jul14 Jan15 Jul15 Jan16 Jul16 Jan17 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM 18 point lead 35 point lead
  • 16. 16Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON ASYLUM AND IMMIGRATION, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Conservatives’ best ratings on asylum/immigration since 2005 19% 39% 10% 9% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Jul05 Oct05 Jan06 Apr06 Jul06 Oct06 Jan07 Apr07 Jul07 Oct07 Jan08 Apr08 Jul08 Oct08 Jan09 Apr09 Jul09 Oct09 Jan10 Apr10 Jul10 Oct10 Jan11 Apr11 Jul11 Oct11 Jan12 Apr12 Jul12 Oct12 Jan13 Apr13 Jul13 Oct13 Jan14 Apr14 Jul14 Oct14 Jan15 Apr15 Jul15 Oct15 Jan16 Apr16 Jul16 Oct16 Jan17 Apr17 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM 4 point gap 20 point lead
  • 17. 17Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON EDUCATION, THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Conservatives’ best ratings on education since 1983 CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM 29% 36% 9% 1%0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Mar77 Sep77 Mar78 Sep78 Mar79 Sep79 Mar80 Sep80 Mar81 Sep81 Mar82 Sep82 Mar83 Sep83 Mar84 Sep84 Mar85 Sep85 Mar86 Sep86 Mar87 Sep87 Mar88 Sep88 Mar89 Sep89 Mar90 Sep90 Mar91 Sep91 Mar92 Sep92 Mar93 Sep93 Mar94 Sep94 Mar95 Sep95 Mar96 Sep96 Mar97 Sep97 Mar98 Sep98 Mar99 Sep99 Mar00 Sep00 Mar01 Sep01 Mar02 Sep02 Mar03 Sep03 Mar04 Sep04 Mar05 Sep05 Mar06 Sep06 Mar07 Sep07 Mar08 Sep08 Mar09 Sep09 Mar10 Sep10 Mar11 Sep11 Mar12 Sep12 Mar13 Sep13 Mar14 Sep14 Mar15 Sep15 Mar16 Sep16 Mar17 8 point gap 7 point lead
  • 18. 18Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 20% 37% 18% 34% 24% 27% 44% 31% 36% 35% 18% 19% 29% 52% 34% 55% 39% 43% 40% 29% 38% 33% 34% 57% 51% 37% Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union Healthcare Managing the economy Education Asylum and Immigration Taxation Poverty and inequality Pensions Benefits Housing Defence Crime and anti-social behaviour Overseas aid Corbyn May WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON…… Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 May most trusted leader on most issues
  • 19. 19Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 52% 34% 55% 39% 43% 40% 29% 38% 33% 34% 57% 51% 37% 48% 25% 52% 36% 39% 39% 20% 28% 32% 24% 52% 39% 26% Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union Healthcare Managing the economy Education Asylum and Immigration Taxation Poverty and inequality Pensions Benefits Housing Defence Crime and anti-social behaviour Overseas aid May Conservative party WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON…… Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 May outperforms Conservative party on many issues
  • 20. 20Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 20% 37% 18% 34% 24% 27% 44% 31% 36% 35% 18% 19% 29% 17% 40% 17% 29% 19% 28% 46% 31% 35% 35% 15% 18% 22% Handling Britain’s future relationship with the European Union Healthcare Managing the economy Education Asylum and Immigration Taxation Poverty and inequality Pensions Benefits Housing Defence Crime and anti-social behaviour Overseas aid Corbyn Labour WHICH PARTY LEADER DO YOU TRUST MOST ON…… Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: Each area was asked of approximately half the sample c.500 British adults 18+ 21st – 25th April 2017 Corbyn’s ratings similar to Labour on most issues
  • 21. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 21 SATISFACTION WITH THE GOVERNMENT AND PARTY LEADERS
  • 22. 22Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 21% 50% 29% Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn Paul Nuttall Tim Farron The Government ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF UKIP /LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS ? Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor Base: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 . Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied Satisfaction with leaders and the Government 46% 47% 7% 56%37% 7% 27% 62% 11% +3% swing from March 2017 +3% swing from March 2017 +4% swing from March 2017 +1.5% swing from March 2017 +7.5% swing from March 2017 +19 Net -35 Net -29 Net -7 Net -1 Net SATISFIED 56% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 21% SATISFIED 30% SATISFIED 46% DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 62% DISSATISFIED 50% DISSATISFIED 37% DISSATISFIED 47% 30% 37% 32%
  • 23. 23Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS … ? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month. In February 2016 data for Paul Nuttall and Tim Farron was not collected Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Aprl 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Sep15 Oct15 Nov15 Dec15 Jan16 Feb16 Mar16 Apr16 May16 Jun16 Jul16 Aug16 Sep16 Oct16 Nov16 Dec16 Jan17 Feb17 Mar17 Apr17 MAY CORBYN FARRON NUTTALL 56% 27% 30% 21%
  • 24. 24Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER Netsatisfaction NUMBER OF MONTHS FROM BECOMING PRIME MINISTER Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone May
  • 25. 25Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE … PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1994 – 2017) Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone Number of months from becoming Opposition Leader Netsatisfaction HOWARD BLAIR (94-97) DUNCAN SMITH (01-03) MILIBAND (10-15) CAMERON (05-10) HAGUE (97-01) CORBYN (15-present) Corbyn
  • 26. 26Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Theresa May (satisfaction) 56% 37% 7% April 2017 August 2016 – April 2017 SATISFIED 56% DISSATISFIED 37% DON’T KNOW 7% Net = +19 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 Dissatisfied Satisfied
  • 27. 27Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 401 Conservative supporters 18+ , 21st – 25th April 2017 Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters 95% 3% 2% April 2017 SATISFIED 95% DISSATISFIED 3% DON’T KNOW 2% Net = +92 August 2016 – April 2017 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 Dissatisfied Satisfied
  • 28. 28Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 27% 62% 11% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 SATISFIED 27% DISSATISFIED 62% DON’T KNOW 11% Net = -35 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction) April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 29. 29Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 53% 36% 11% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 SATISFIED 53% DISSATISFIED 36% DON’T KNOW 11% Net = +17 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 219 Labour supporters 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters) April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 30. 30Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 30% 37% 32% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Aprl-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 SATISFIED 30% DISSATISFIED 37% DON’T KNOW 32% Net = -7 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Tim Farron (satisfaction) April 2017 September 2015 – April 2017 Satisfied Dissatisfied
  • 31. 31Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 67% 22% 11% SATISFIED 67% DISSATISFIED 22% DON’T KNOW 11% Net = +45 ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 129 Liberal Democrat supporters 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Tim Farron (satisfaction among Lib Dem supporters) April 2017
  • 32. 32Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY PAUL NUTTALL IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF UKIP, THE UK INDEPENDENCE PARTY? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Paul Nuttall(satisfaction) March 2017 21% 50% 29% SATISFIED 21% DISSATISFIED 50% DON’T KNOW 29% Net = -29 April 2017 14% 51% 35% SATISFIED 14% DISSATISFIED 51% DON’T KNOW 35% Net = -37
  • 33. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 33 ECONOMIC OPTIMISM
  • 34. 34Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public 28% 24% 40% 8% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Sep-04 Mar-05 Sep-05 Apr-06 Nov-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Oct-15 Aprl-16 Oct-16 Apr-17 IMPROVE 28% STAY THE SAME 24% GET WORSE 40% DON’T KNOW 8% EOI = -12 DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,004 British adults 18+, 21st – 25th April 2017 Economic Optimism Index April 2017
  • 35. 35Political Monitor | April 2017 | Final | Public DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS? Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 Aug1997 Dec1997 Apr1998 Aug1998 Dec1998 Apr1999 Aug1999 Dec1999 Apr2000 Aug2000 Dec2000 Apr2001 Aug2001 Dec2001 Apr2002 Aug2002 Dec2002 Apr2003 Aug2003 Dec2003 Apr2004 Aug2004 Dec2004 Apr2005 Aug2005 Dec2005 Apr2006 Aug2006 Dec2006 Apr2007 Aug2007 Dec2007 Apr2008 Aug2008 Dec2008 Apr2009 Aug2009 Dec2009 Apr2010 Aug2010 Dec2010 Apr2011 Aug2011 Dec2011 Apr2012 Aug2012 Dec2012 Apr2013 Aug2013 Dec2013 Apr2014 Aug2014 Dec2014 Apr2015 Aug2015 Dec2015 Apr2016 Aug2016 Dec2016 Apr2017 -12
  • 36. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) © 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos. 36 POLITICAL MONITOR APRIL 2017