Only 14% of Britons think that the new funding announced for the NHS by the government will lead to actual improvements, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor. As the NHS celebrates its 70th year half the public (49%) believe the new funding will only be enough to maintain the current level of NHS services, but not to lead to improvements – a third 33% think the amount is not enough and the NHS will get worse. While there is some variation across party lines supporters of all parties are pessimistic the funding will lead to improvements - a quarter (23%) of Conservative voters believe the amount is enough to lead to improvements compared with 8% of Labour voters. More than half (55%) of Conservative voters and 47% of Labour voters think the amount is enough to maintain current levels, while one in five (21%) Conservatives and two in five (40%) Labour voters think it will still get worse).

1. Document Name Here | May 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
1
Ipsos MORIPOLITICAL
MONITOR
June
2018

2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. 3Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1026 British adults 18+, 22nd– 27th June 2018; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote
in General Elections = 784. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = -3
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +3
41%
38%
7%
4%
4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
39%
42%
6%
4%
4%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN

4. 4Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Apr18
May18
Jun18
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)

5. 5Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Apr04
Jul04
Oct04
Jan05
Apr05
Jul05
Oct05
Jan06
Apr06
Jul06
Oct06
Jan07
Apr07
Jul07
Oct07
Jan08
Apr08
Jul08
Oct08
Jan09
Apr09
Jul09
Oct09
Jan10
Apr10
Jul10
Oct10
Jan11
Apr11
Jul11
Oct11
Jan12
Apr12
Jul12
Oct12
Jan13
Apr13
Jul13
Oct13
Jan14
Apr14
Jul14
Oct14
Jan15
Apr15
Jul15
Oct15
Jan16
Apr16
Jul16
Oct16
Jan17
Apr17
Jul17
Oct17
Jan18
Apr18
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
2015 General Election 2017 General Election
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – June ‘18
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM

6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS

7. 7Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
30
%
63%
7%
35%
58%
7%
31%
57%
12%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
-2%
swing from June 2018
-1%
swing from June 2018
-1%
swing from June 2018
-3%
swing from June 2018
-23 Net -26 Net -7 Net -33 Net
SATISFIED 35% SATISFIED 31% SATISFIED 27% SATISFIED 30%
DISSATISFIED 58% DISSATISFIED 57% DISSATISFIED 34% DISSATISFIED 63%
27
%
34
%
38
%
Vince Cable

8. 8Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – June 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Apr18
May18
Jun18
MAY CORBYN CABLE
35%
31%
27%
2017 GE2016 EU Ref
% satisfied

9. 9Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2018)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister

10. 10Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2018)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Duncan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10) Blair (94-97)
Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92) Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn

11. 11Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Theresa May (satisfaction)
35%
58%
7%
June 2018 August 2016 – June 2018
SATISFIED 35%
DISSATISFIED 58%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = -23
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

12. 12Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 355 Conservative supporters 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
68%
27%
5%
June 2018
SATISFIED 68%
DISSATISFIED 27%
DON’T KNOW 5%
Net = +41
August 2016 – June 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

13. 13Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
31%
57%
12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
SATISFIED 31%
DISSATISFIED 57%
DON’T KNOW 12%
Net = -26
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
June 2018 September 2015 – June 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

14. 14Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
57%32%
11%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
SATISFIED 57%
DISSATISFIED 32%
DON’T KNOW 11%
Net = +25
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 346 Labour supporters 18+ 22nd-27th June 2018.
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
June 2018 September 2015 – June 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

15. 15Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
27%
34%
38%
SATISFIED 27%
DISSATISFIED 34%
DON’T KNOW 38%
Net = -7
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
June 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Apr-18
May-18
Jun-18
September 2017 – June 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

16. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 16
ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

17. 17Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
19%
23%54%
4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
Jun-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Nov-10
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
Nov-13
Feb-14
May-14
Aug-14
Nov-14
Feb-15
Apr-15
Sep-15
Dec-15
Mar-16
Jun-16
Sep-16
Dec-16
Mar-17
Jul-17
Nov-17
Apr-18
IMPROVE 19%
STAY THE SAME 23%
GET WORSE 54%
DON’T KNOW 4%
EOI = -35
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Economic Optimism Index
June 2018
Base: X British adults 18+ 22nd – 25th June 2018.

18. 18Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Economic Optimism Index – 1998-2018
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
Oct1998
Jul1999
Apr2000
Jan2001
Oct2001
Jul2002
Apr2003
Jan2004
Oct2004
Jul2005
Apr2006
Jan2007
Oct2007
Jul2008
Apr2009
Jan2010
Oct2010
Jul2011
Apr2012
Jan2013
Oct2013
Jul2014
Apr2015
Jan2016
Oct2016
Jul2017
Apr2018
-35

19. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 19
Brexit

20. 20Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR
BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain
5%
5%
6%
5%
6%
11%
25%
29%
31%
30%
30%
33%
2
3
4
4
3
5
34%
33%
28%
31%
31%
28%
33%
30%
31%
29%
29%
23%
June 2018
May 2018
March 2018
October 2017
July 2017
March 2017
VERY CONFIDENT FAIRLY CONFIDENT NOT VERY CONFIDENT NOT CONFIDENT AT ALL
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
c. 1,000 British adults 18+

21. 21Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR
BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
44%
36% 35% 37%
34%
30%
51%
60% 60% 59%
63%
67%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Mar-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 May-18 Jun-18
c. 1,000 British adults 18+
%
Not confident
Confident

22. 22Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
AND IF BRITAIN AND OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS FAIL TO REACH AN AGREEMENT ON THE
NEW TERMS OF BRITAIN’S FUTURE RELATIONSHIP WITH THE EU BY THE TIME BRITAIN LEAVES,
WHO IF ANYONE, DO YOU THINK WILL BE MOST TO BLAME? THE UK GOVERNMENT, THE
EUROPEAN UNION OR BOTH EQUALLY?
Attributing blame in the case of a no deal Brexit
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
49%
18%
30%
Both equally
The European Union
The UK Government
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

23. 23Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
AND STILL THINKING ABOUT THE NEGOTIATIONS, DO YOU THINK THERESA MAY HAS BEEN
STRONGER OR WEAKER AT ACHIEVING HER OBJECTIVES THAN THE LEADERS OF THE EUROPEAN
UNION HAVE BEEN AT ACHIEVING THEIR OBJECTIVES, OR HAVE THEY BOTH BEEN ABOUT THE
SAME?
May’s Brexit negotiations performance
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Theresa May has been stronger
Theresa May has been weaker
About the same
Don’t know
8%
42%43%
7%
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

24. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 24
NHS

25. 25Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON HEALTHCARE, THE CONSERVATIVE ,
LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Best party managing the NHS
June 2018
22%
40%
5%
1%
7%
9%
17%
Conservative 22%
Labour 40%
Lib Dem 5%
UKIP 1%
Other 7%
None 9%
Don’t know 17%
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

26. 26Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON HEALTHCARE, THE CONSERVATIVE ,
LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Best party managing the NHS
%
22%
1%0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jan78
Jul78
Jan79
Jul79
Jan80
Jul80
Jan81
Jul81
Jan82
Jul82
Jan83
Jul83
Jan84
Jul84
Jan85
Jul85
Jan86
Jul86
Jan87
Jul87
Jan88
Jul88
Jan89
Jul89
Jan90
Jul90
Jan91
Jul91
Jan92
Jul92
Jan93
Jul93
Jan94
Jul94
Jan95
Jul95
Jan96
Jul96
Jan97
Jul97
Jan98
Jul98
Jan99
Jul99
Jan00
Jul00
Jan01
Jul01
Jan02
Jul02
Jan03
Jul03
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
Jul17
Jan18
5%
40%
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP
Base: c.1,000 British month adults each
April 1978 – June 2018

27. 27Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
AS YOU MAY KNOW THE GOVERNMENT HAS RECENTLY ANNOUNCED THAT IT WILL BE PROVIDING AN EXTRA
£20BILLION A YEAR FOR THE NHS FOR THE NEXT FIVE YEARS, AN INCREASE OF 3.4%. WHEN THINKING ABOUT
THE EFFECT THIS EXTRA FUNDING WILL HAVE ON THE NHS, WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING IS CLOSEST TO YOUR
OPINION?
Funding the NHS
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
The extra funding is enough to lead
to improvements in NHS services
The extra funding is enough to
maintain the current level of NHS
services, but not to lead to
improvements
The extra funding is not enough and
NHS services will get worse
Don’t know
14%
49%
33%
4%
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

28. 28Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING, IF ANY, WOULD YOU SUPPORT TO PAY FOR THE INCREASED FUNDING FOR THE NHS THE
GOVERNMENT HAS ANNOUNCED? PLEASE PICK ALL THAT APPLY, OR IF YOU THINK THE NHS SHOULD NOT RECEIVE
ANY FUNDING THERE IS AN OPTION TO SAY SO.
Funding the NHS
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
1%
5%
20%
21%
38%
55%
55%
NHS should not receive any funding
Other
Reduced spending on other public services
Higher government borrowing
More charges for NHS services for everyone
More charges for NHS services for people on
high income
Increase the taxes that I pay
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.

29. 29Political Monitor | June 2018| Final | Public
THINKING ABOUT THE NHS OVER THE NEXT FEW YEARS DO YOU EXPECT IT TO?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Expectations of the NHS
GET MUCH
BETTER
GET A LITTLE
BETTER
STAY THE
SAME
Better 22%
Worse 54%
Net better +/- -32%
June 2018
3%
19%
21%42%
12% 2%
%
22%
Better
Worse
54%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Mar-02
Sep-02
Mar-03
Sep-03
Mar-04
Sep-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Mar-06
Sep-06
Mar-07
Sep-07
Mar-08
Sep-08
Mar-09
Sep-09
Mar-10
Sep-10
Mar-11
Sep-11
Mar-12
Sep-12
Mar-13
Sep-13
Mar-14
Sep-14
Mar-15
Sep-15
Mar-16
Sep-16
Mar-17
Sep-17
Mar-18
March 2002 - June 2018
Base: 1026 British adults 18+ 22nd – 27th June 2018.
GET A LITTLE
WORSE
GET MUCH
WORSE
DON’T
KNOW

30. Document Name Here | May 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
30
Ipsos MORI
June 2018 POLITICAL MONITOR