CLIMATE change affects the components of water cycle such as evaporation, precipitation and evapotranspiration and thus results in large-scale alteration in water present in glaciers, rivers, lakes, oceans, etc. The effects of cli-mate change on subsurface water relates to the changes in its recharge and discharge rates plus changes in quantity and quality of water in aquifers. Climate change refers to the long-term changes in the components of climate such as temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc. The major cause of climate change is the rising level of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere such as CO2, CH4, N2O, water vapour, ozone and chlorofluorocarbon. These GHGs absorb 95% of the longwave back radiations emitted from the surface, thus making the Earth warmer. Except CO2, the effects of other GHGs are minor because of their low concentration and also because of low residence times (e.g. water vapour and methane). The rise in CO2 level causing global warming was first proposed by Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish scientist in 1896 and now it is a widely accepted fact that the concentration of CO2 is the primary regulator of temperature on the Earth and leads to global warming.
Adaptation to global change must include prudent management of groundwater as a renewable, but slow-feedback resource in most cases. Groundwater storage is already over-tapped in many regions, yet available subsurface storage may be a key to meeting the combined demands of agriculture, industry, municipal and domestic water supply, and ecosystems during times of shortage.
Introducing Groundwater Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides. Analyze information about water quality and underpin decisions about water resource management with this PPT slideshow. Demonstrate the process of planning, developing, and managing the optimum use of water by using this visually appealing PPT layout. The survey data for determining water quality can be easily presented by using our professionally designed water cycle management PowerPoint slideshow. Describe the natural processes and human processes that affect water quality. Understand sources of water pollution, natural and human processes affecting water quality by taking the advantage of this PPT slideshow. Provide data on the optimization of deterioration in water quality and pollutants that deteriorate the quality of water on a global scale with the help of our water quality management PowerPoint infographics. You can easily explain further topics like wastewater treatment process, wastewater reuse, global wastewater reuse by sector, etc. by downloading this ready-to-use PowerPoint slide deck. https://bit.ly/2RCTUun
CLIMATE change affects the components of water cycle such as evaporation, precipitation and evapotranspiration and thus results in large-scale alteration in water present in glaciers, rivers, lakes, oceans, etc. The effects of cli-mate change on subsurface water relates to the changes in its recharge and discharge rates plus changes in quantity and quality of water in aquifers. Climate change refers to the long-term changes in the components of climate such as temperature, precipitation, evapotranspiration, etc. The major cause of climate change is the rising level of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere such as CO2, CH4, N2O, water vapour, ozone and chlorofluorocarbon. These GHGs absorb 95% of the longwave back radiations emitted from the surface, thus making the Earth warmer. Except CO2, the effects of other GHGs are minor because of their low concentration and also because of low residence times (e.g. water vapour and methane). The rise in CO2 level causing global warming was first proposed by Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish scientist in 1896 and now it is a widely accepted fact that the concentration of CO2 is the primary regulator of temperature on the Earth and leads to global warming.
Adaptation to global change must include prudent management of groundwater as a renewable, but slow-feedback resource in most cases. Groundwater storage is already over-tapped in many regions, yet available subsurface storage may be a key to meeting the combined demands of agriculture, industry, municipal and domestic water supply, and ecosystems during times of shortage.
Introducing Groundwater Management PowerPoint Presentation Slides. Analyze information about water quality and underpin decisions about water resource management with this PPT slideshow. Demonstrate the process of planning, developing, and managing the optimum use of water by using this visually appealing PPT layout. The survey data for determining water quality can be easily presented by using our professionally designed water cycle management PowerPoint slideshow. Describe the natural processes and human processes that affect water quality. Understand sources of water pollution, natural and human processes affecting water quality by taking the advantage of this PPT slideshow. Provide data on the optimization of deterioration in water quality and pollutants that deteriorate the quality of water on a global scale with the help of our water quality management PowerPoint infographics. You can easily explain further topics like wastewater treatment process, wastewater reuse, global wastewater reuse by sector, etc. by downloading this ready-to-use PowerPoint slide deck. https://bit.ly/2RCTUun
This study explains the use of remote sensing data for spatially distributed hydrological modeling using the MIKE-SHE software used in Tarim River Basin CHINA
The river Bharathapuzha is the lifeline of three districts in Central Kerala namely Palakkad, Malappuram and Thrissur and also parts of Coimbatore district of Tamil Nadu. This region gets an increase in population during the recent years. Water is unevenly distributed as surface and groundwater resources. An integrated hydrogeological study in the whole basin has not been attempted so far. This is the result of our investigation.
Randy Lehr (Northland College), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Fluvial Morphology handbook for students.
Contents are: definition, scope, importance of Fluvial Morphology, sediment load, channel pattern and process, role sediment to build delta, Reynolds number, Froude Number, channel pattern of Tista and Jamuna River, causes and consequences of flood, benefit of flood, flood and floodplain, hydraulic geometry, water resource management (in Bangladesh), hydrograph, origin and development of river, tributary and distributary and many more.
An aquifer is an underground layer of water-bearing rock. Water-bearing rocks are permeable, meaning that they have openings that liquids and gases can pass through. Sedimentary rock such as sandstone, as well as sand and gravel, are examples of water-bearing rock.
This presentation talks about the impact on global water resources caused by climate change.
Presentation prepared with the help of Neha Rathi, a volunteer at India Water Portal.
This study explains the use of remote sensing data for spatially distributed hydrological modeling using the MIKE-SHE software used in Tarim River Basin CHINA
The river Bharathapuzha is the lifeline of three districts in Central Kerala namely Palakkad, Malappuram and Thrissur and also parts of Coimbatore district of Tamil Nadu. This region gets an increase in population during the recent years. Water is unevenly distributed as surface and groundwater resources. An integrated hydrogeological study in the whole basin has not been attempted so far. This is the result of our investigation.
Randy Lehr (Northland College), presented at the Adapting Forested Watersheds to Climate Change Workshop, at The Waters, Minocqua, WI on March 15-16, 2017. The workshop was hosted by the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science (NIACS), USDA Climate Hubs, and the Wisconsin Initiative on Climate Change Impacts (WICCI).
Fluvial Morphology handbook for students.
Contents are: definition, scope, importance of Fluvial Morphology, sediment load, channel pattern and process, role sediment to build delta, Reynolds number, Froude Number, channel pattern of Tista and Jamuna River, causes and consequences of flood, benefit of flood, flood and floodplain, hydraulic geometry, water resource management (in Bangladesh), hydrograph, origin and development of river, tributary and distributary and many more.
An aquifer is an underground layer of water-bearing rock. Water-bearing rocks are permeable, meaning that they have openings that liquids and gases can pass through. Sedimentary rock such as sandstone, as well as sand and gravel, are examples of water-bearing rock.
This presentation talks about the impact on global water resources caused by climate change.
Presentation prepared with the help of Neha Rathi, a volunteer at India Water Portal.
Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater ResourcesC. P. Kumar
Powerpoint presentation describing climate change impacts in India, hydrological impact of climate change, impact of climate change on groundwater, methodology to assess the impact of climate change on groundwater resources, recent studies, and role of artificial intelligence.
Potential Global Warming and Sea Level Rise; Impact of Climate Change on Ene...Jack Onyisi Abebe
This presentation discusses the Potential Global Warming and Sea Level Rise; Impact of Climate Change on Energy Use, Water and Water Quality and Availability
Today Water, Climate & Energy is related to every
aspect of human life: social equity, ecosystem & economic
sustainability. Water is used to generate energy; energy is used to
provide water. Water, energy and climate are inextricably linked,
which is of great concern and increasing importance for future.
Global primary energy demand is projected to increase by just
over 50% between now and 2030, which can be met by more
prod., consuming water & other natural resources, adopting
better technologies and also encouraging changes in energy use
pattern. Water withdrawals are predicted to increase by 50% by
2025 in developing countries and 18% in developed countries.
The worst fallouts of the climate change are shrinking of water
resources. Climate change acts as an amplifier of the already
intense competition over water & energy sources.
Solving the interlinked challenges of water, energy & climate in
a sustainable manner is one of the fundamental goals of the
present generation. To achieve this, related research and
knowledge should be expanded and discussed with in technical
circles. Technology, innovation a sense of shared responsibility
and political will are factors that bring real solutions to keep pace
with increasing needs. Resolving growing issues will require
better and integrated policy frameworks & political engagement
for all stakeholders within and across water sheds. Leadership
from all parts of society is must for change to happen.
Presented by Guillaume Lacombe at the Regional Conference on Risks and Solutions: Adaptation Frameworks for Water Resources Planning, Development and Management in South Asia, on July 12, 2016, at Hilton, Colombo, Sri Lanka
Acetabularia Information For Class 9 .docxvaibhavrinwa19
Acetabularia acetabulum is a single-celled green alga that in its vegetative state is morphologically differentiated into a basal rhizoid and an axially elongated stalk, which bears whorls of branching hairs. The single diploid nucleus resides in the rhizoid.
Operation “Blue Star” is the only event in the history of Independent India where the state went into war with its own people. Even after about 40 years it is not clear if it was culmination of states anger over people of the region, a political game of power or start of dictatorial chapter in the democratic setup.
The people of Punjab felt alienated from main stream due to denial of their just demands during a long democratic struggle since independence. As it happen all over the word, it led to militant struggle with great loss of lives of military, police and civilian personnel. Killing of Indira Gandhi and massacre of innocent Sikhs in Delhi and other India cities was also associated with this movement.
Synthetic Fiber Construction in lab .pptxPavel ( NSTU)
Synthetic fiber production is a fascinating and complex field that blends chemistry, engineering, and environmental science. By understanding these aspects, students can gain a comprehensive view of synthetic fiber production, its impact on society and the environment, and the potential for future innovations. Synthetic fibers play a crucial role in modern society, impacting various aspects of daily life, industry, and the environment. ynthetic fibers are integral to modern life, offering a range of benefits from cost-effectiveness and versatility to innovative applications and performance characteristics. While they pose environmental challenges, ongoing research and development aim to create more sustainable and eco-friendly alternatives. Understanding the importance of synthetic fibers helps in appreciating their role in the economy, industry, and daily life, while also emphasizing the need for sustainable practices and innovation.
This slide is special for master students (MIBS & MIFB) in UUM. Also useful for readers who are interested in the topic of contemporary Islamic banking.
Macroeconomics- Movie Location
This will be used as part of your Personal Professional Portfolio once graded.
Objective:
Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
Unit 8 - Information and Communication Technology (Paper I).pdfThiyagu K
This slides describes the basic concepts of ICT, basics of Email, Emerging Technology and Digital Initiatives in Education. This presentations aligns with the UGC Paper I syllabus.
A workshop hosted by the South African Journal of Science aimed at postgraduate students and early career researchers with little or no experience in writing and publishing journal articles.
How to Make a Field invisible in Odoo 17Celine George
It is possible to hide or invisible some fields in odoo. Commonly using “invisible” attribute in the field definition to invisible the fields. This slide will show how to make a field invisible in odoo 17.
Normal Labour/ Stages of Labour/ Mechanism of LabourWasim Ak
Normal labor is also termed spontaneous labor, defined as the natural physiological process through which the fetus, placenta, and membranes are expelled from the uterus through the birth canal at term (37 to 42 weeks
Read| The latest issue of The Challenger is here! We are thrilled to announce that our school paper has qualified for the NATIONAL SCHOOLS PRESS CONFERENCE (NSPC) 2024. Thank you for your unwavering support and trust. Dive into the stories that made us stand out!
BÀI TẬP BỔ TRỢ TIẾNG ANH GLOBAL SUCCESS LỚP 3 - CẢ NĂM (CÓ FILE NGHE VÀ ĐÁP Á...
Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater System
1. Impact of Climate ChangeImpact of Climate Change
on Groundwater Systemon Groundwater System
C. P. KumarC. P. Kumar
Scientist ‘G’Scientist ‘G’
National Institute of HydrologyNational Institute of Hydrology
Roorkee – 247667 (Uttarakhand)Roorkee – 247667 (Uttarakhand)
13-14 November, 201513-14 November, 2015
2. Why include groundwater in
climate change studies?
Although groundwater accounts for small
percentage of Earth’s total water,
groundwater comprises approximately thirty
percent of the Earth’s freshwater.
Groundwater is the primary source of water
for over 1.5 billion people worldwide.
Depletion of groundwater may be the most
substantial threat to irrigated agriculture,
exceeding even the buildup of salts in soils.
(Alley, et al., 2002)
3. What is Climate Change?
IPCC usage:
•Any change in climate over time, whether due to
natural variability or from human activity.
Alternate:
•Change of climate, attributed directly or
indirectly to human activity, that
•Alters composition of global atmosphere and
•Is in addition to natural climate variability observed
over comparable time periods
4.
5. GLOBAL CIRCULATION MODELS
Formulated to simulate climate sensitivity to increased
concentrations of greenhouse gases such as carbon
dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide.
6. Fundamental equations
in climate models
Atmosphere general circulation
models (AGCMs)
Ocean general circulation models
(OGCMs)
Coupled atmosphere-ocean
general circulation models
(AOGCMs)
Types of climate models
Numerical discretization in AOGCMs
8. GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE OVER LAST CENTURY
- 1 .0
- 0 .5
0 .0
0 .5
1 .0
Temperatureanomaly(oC)
- 1 .0
- 0 .5
0 .0
0 .5
1 .0
1 8 5 0 1 8 7 5 1 9 0 0 1 9 2 5 1 9 5 0 1 9 7 5 2 0 0 0
Y e a r s
9. 9
PROJECTED SURFACE TEMPERATUREPROJECTED SURFACE TEMPERATURE
CHANGESCHANGES
(2090-2099 relative to 1980-1999)(2090-2099 relative to 1980-1999)
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5
(o
C)
Continued emissions would lead to further warming
of 1.1ºC to 6.4ºC over the 21st
century
(best estimates: 1.8ºC - 4ºC)
10. Some areas are projected to become wetter,
others drier with an overall increase projected.
Source: IPCC, 2007
White areas have disagreement among models.
Annual mean precipitation change: 2071 to 2100 Relative to 1990
Winters (Dec-Feb) Monsoon (Jun-Aug)
11. Sea-Level Rise
• Global sea-level change results mainly from two
processes, mostly related to recent climate
change, that alter the volume of water in the
global ocean through -
• a) thermal expansion and
• b) the exchange of water between oceans and
other reservoirs (glaciers and ice caps, ice
sheets, other land water reservoirs, including
through anthropogenic change in land hydrology
and the atmosphere).
13. Other Observations of Change in
Global Climate
Globally, hot days, hot nights, and heat waves have
become more frequent.
Frequency of heavy precipitation events has
increased over most land areas.
In Future…
Tropical cyclones to become more intense, with
heavier precipitation.
Snow cover is projected to contract.
Hot extremes, heat waves, and heavy precipitation
events will become more frequent.
20. Rainfall
No clear trend in average annual rainfall over the country
1 8 7 0 1 8 8 0 1 8 9 0 1 9 0 0 1 9 1 0 1 9 2 0 1 9 3 0 1 9 4 0 1 9 5 0 1 9 6 0 1 9 7 0 1 9 8 0 1 9 9 0 2 0 0 0
- 3 0
- 2 0
- 1 0
0
1 0
2 0
3 0
RainfallAnomaly(%ofmean)
- 3 0
- 2 0
- 1 0
0
1 0
2 0
3 0
Y e a r s
All India summer monsoon rainfall anomalies (1871-1999)
21. 68%
22
10Annual rainfall shows decreasingAnnual rainfall shows decreasing
tendency in recent times over ~68%tendency in recent times over ~68%
area of the country.area of the country.
Sontakke, H.N. Singh, N. Singh,Sontakke, H.N. Singh, N. Singh,
Indian Institute of TropicalIndian Institute of Tropical
Meteorology, Research Report No.Meteorology, Research Report No.
PR-121, May 2008PR-121, May 2008
Rainfall variations across India during 1813 – 2006
22. Heavy rainfall events
(>10cm)
Very heavy rainfall
events (>15cm)
Heavy precipitation events over Central
India have increased during last 50
years
Source: IITM, Goswami et al. 2006
Light to moderate rainfall
events (5-100 mm)
23. 23
• Glacier melt projected to increase flooding and rock
avalanches and to affect water resources within the next
2 to 3 decades.
• Salinity of groundwater especially along the coast, due to
increases in sea level and over-exploitation.
• In India, gross per capita water availability will decline from
1820 m3
/yr in 2001 to 1140 m3
/yr in 2050.
IMPACTS ON WATERIMPACTS ON WATER
RESOURCESRESOURCES
24. Sea Level Rise in India
• Observations based on tide gauge
measurements along the Indian coast, for a
period of 20 years and more, for which
significantly consistent data are available,
indicate that -
• the sea level along the Indian coast has
been rising at the rate of about 1.3 mm/year
on an average.
25. In coastal areas there is a naturalIn coastal areas there is a natural
balance between salt and freshwaterbalance between salt and freshwater
f r e s h g r o u n d w a t e r
g r o u n d s u r f a c e
s a l in e g r o u n d w a t e r
s e a
p h r e a t ic w a t e r t a b le
z o n e o f d iffu s io n
im p e r v io u s la y e r
26. Hydrological Impact of Climate Change
Temperature increases affect the hydrologic cycle by directly increasing
evaporation of available surface water and vegetation transpiration.
Consequently, these changes can influence precipitation amounts, timings and
intensity rates, and indirectly impact the flux and storage of water in surface and
subsurface reservoirs (i.e., lakes, soil moisture, groundwater).
In addition, there may be other associated impacts, such as sea water intrusion,
water quality deterioration, potable water shortage, etc.
While climate change affects surface water resources directly through changes in
the major long-term climate variables such as air temperature, precipitation, and
evapotranspiration, the relationship between the changing climate variables and
groundwater is more complicated and poorly understood.
27. The greater variability in rainfall could mean more frequent and prolonged periods
of high or low groundwater levels, and saline intrusion in coastal aquifers due to sea
level rise and resource reduction.
Groundwater resources are related to climate change through the direct
interaction with surface water resources, such as lakes and rivers, and indirectly
through the recharge process.
The direct effect of climate change on groundwater resources depends upon the
change in the volume and distribution of groundwater recharge.
Therefore, quantifying the impact of climate change on groundwater resources
requires not only reliable forecasting of changes in the major climatic variables, but
also accurate estimation of groundwater recharge.
29. Issues on Groundwater Use
In addition, CLIMATE CHANGE impact may add existing pressure on
groundwater by i) impeding recharge capacities; ii) being called on
to fill eventual gaps in surface water availability due to increased
variability in precipitation; iii) groundwater contamination.
Major problems related with groundwater use are:
<Issues due to over-exploitation of groundwater>
Depletion in groundwater table
Land subsidence
Saline water intrusion
<Issues on groundwater contamination>
Human health damage
Abandonment of well leading to decrease of water availability
30. Climate change could affect groundwater sustainability in several ways, including
(1) changes in groundwater recharge resulting from seasonal and decadal changes
in precipitation and temperature,
(2) more severe and longer lasting droughts,
(3) changes in evapotranspiration due to changes in temperature and vegetation,
(4) possible increased demands for ground water as a backup source of water
supply or for further economical (agricultural) development,
(5) sea water intrusion in low-lying coastal areas due to rising sea levels and
reduced groundwater recharge that may lead a deterioration of the groundwater
quality there.
Because groundwater systems tend to respond much more slowly to long-term
variability in climate conditions than surface-water systems, their management
requires special long-term ahead-planning.
Impact of Climate Change on Groundwater
31. (a) Soil Moisture
The amount of water stored in the soil is fundamentally important to agriculture
and has an influence on the rate of actual evaporation, groundwater recharge,
and generation of runoff.
The local effects of climate change on soil moisture, however, will vary not only
with the degree of climate change but also with soil characteristics. The water-
holding capacity of soil will affect possible changes in soil moisture deficits; the
lower the capacity, the greater the sensitivity to climate change. For example,
sand has lower field capacity than clay.
Climate change may also affect soil characteristics, perhaps through changes
in cracking, which in turn may affect soil moisture storage properties.
32. (b) Groundwater Recharge
Groundwater is the major source of water across much of the world, particularly
in rural areas in arid and semi-arid regions, but there has been very little
research on the potential effects of climate change.
Aquifers generally are replenished by effective rainfall, rivers, and lakes. This
water may reach the aquifer rapidly, through macro-pores or fissures, or more
slowly by infiltrating through soils and permeable rocks overlying the aquifer.
A change in the amount of effective rainfall will alter recharge, but so will a
change in the duration of the recharge season. Increased winter rainfall, as
projected under most scenarios for mid-latitudes, generally is likely to result in
increased groundwater recharge.
However, higher evaporation may mean that soil deficits persist for longer and
commence earlier, offsetting an increase in total effective rainfall.
33. Various types of aquifers will be recharged differently. The main types are
unconfined and confined aquifers.
An unconfined aquifer is recharged directly by local rainfall, rivers, and lakes,
and the rate of recharge will be influenced by the permeability of overlying rocks
and soils.
Unconfined aquifers are sensitive to local climate change, abstraction, and
seawater intrusion. However, quantification of recharge is complicated by the
characteristics of the aquifers themselves as well as overlying rocks and soils.
A confined aquifer, on the other hand, is characterized by an overlying bed
that is impermeable, and local rainfall does not influence the aquifer. It is
normally recharged from lakes, rivers, and rainfall that may occur at distances
ranging from a few kilometers to thousands of kilometers.
34. Several approaches can be used to estimate recharge based on surface water,
unsaturated zone and groundwater data. Among these approaches, numerical
modelling is the only tool that can predict recharge.
Modelling is also extremely useful for identifying the relative importance of different
controls on recharge, provided that the model realistically accounts for all the
processes involved.
However, the accuracy of recharge estimates depends largely on the availability of
high quality hydrogeologic and climatic data.
The medium through which recharge takes place often is poorly known and very
heterogeneous, again challenging recharge modelling.
Determining the potential impact of climate change on groundwater resources, in
particular, is difficult due to the complexity of the recharge process, and the variation
of recharge within and between different climatic zones.
In general, there is a need to intensify research on modeling techniques, aquifer
characteristics, recharge rates, and seawater intrusion, as well as monitoring of
groundwater abstractions.
35. (c) Coastal Aquifers
Coastal aquifers are important sources of freshwater. However, salinity
intrusion can be a major problem in these zones. Changes in climatic variables
can significantly alter groundwater recharge rates for major aquifer systems and
thus affect the availability of fresh groundwater.
Sea-level rise will cause saline intrusion into coastal aquifers, with the amount
of intrusion depending on local groundwater gradients.
For many small island states, seawater intrusion into freshwater aquifers has
been observed as a result of overpumping of aquifers. Any sea-level rise would
worsen the situation.
36. A link between rising sea level and changes in the water balance is suggested
by a general description of the hydraulics of groundwater discharge at the coast.
The shape of the water table and the depth to the freshwater/saline interface
are controlled by the difference in density between freshwater and salt water, the
rate of freshwater discharge and the hydraulic properties of the aquifer.
To assess the impacts of potential climate change on fresh groundwater
resources, we should focus on changes in groundwater recharge and impact of
sea level rise on the loss of fresh groundwater resources in water resources
stressed coastal aquifers.
37. Methodology to Assess the Impact of Climate Change
on Groundwater System
The methodology consists of three main steps.
To begin with, climate scenarios can be formulated for the future years
such as 2050 and 2100.
Secondly, based on these scenarios and present situation, seasonal and
annual recharges are simulated with the UnSat Suite (HELP module for
recharge) or WetSpass model.
Finally, the annual recharge outputs from UnSat Suite or WetSpass model
are used to simulate groundwater system conditions using steady-state
groundwater model setups, such as MODFLOW, for the present condition
and for the future years.
38. Objective
The influence of climate changes on goundwater levels and salinity, due
to:
a. Sea level rise
b. Changes in precipitation and temperature
Methodology
1. Develop and calibrate a density-dependent numerical groundwater flow
model that matches hydraulic head and concentration distributions in
the aquifer.
2. Estimate changes in sea level, temperature and precipitation
downscaled from GCM outputs.
3. Estimate changes in groundwater recharge.
4. Apply sea level rise and changes in recharge to numerical groundwater
model and make predictions for changes in groundwater levels and
salinity distribution.
39. The main tasks that are involved in such a study are:
Describe hydrogeology of the study area.
Analyze climate data from weather stations and modelled GCM, and
build future predicted climate change datasets with temperature,
precipitation and solar radiation variables (downscaled to the study
area).
Define methodology for estimating changes to groundwater recharge
under both current climate conditions and for the range of climate-
change scenarios for the study area.
Use of a computer code (such as UnSat Suite or WetSpass) to estimate
groundwater recharge based on available precipitation and temperature
records and anticipated changes to these parameters.
40. Quantify the spatially distributed recharge rates using the climate data and
spatial soil survey data.
Development and calibration of a three-dimensional regional-scale
groundwater flow model (such as Visual MODFLOW).
Simulate groundwater levels using each recharge data set and evaluate
the changes in groundwater levels through time.
Undertake sensitivity analysis of the groundwater flow model.
41. A typical flow chart for various aspects of such a study is given below. The figure shows the connection from
the climate analysis, to recharge simulation, and finally to a groundwater model. Recharge is applied to a
three-dimensional groundwater flow model, which is calibrated to historical water levels. Transient
simulations are undertaken to investigate the temporal response of the aquifer system to historic and future
climate periods.
42. Hsu et al. (2007)
Adopted a numerical modeling approach to investigate the response
of the groundwater system to climate variability to effectively manage
the groundwater resources of the Pingtung Plain in southwestern
Taiwan.
A hydrogeological model (MODFLOW SURFACT) was constructed
based on the information from geology, hydrogeology, and
geochemistry.
The modeling result shows decrease of available groundwater in the
stress of climate change, and the enlargement of the low-groundwater-
level area on the coast signals the deterioration of water quantity and
quality in the future.
43.
44. Jyrkama and Sykes (2007)
Presented a physically based methodology that can be used to characterize
both the temporal and spatial effect of climate change on groundwater
recharge. The method, based on the hydrologic model HELP3, can be used
to estimate potential groundwater recharge at the regional scale with high
spatial and temporal resolution.
The method is used to simulate the past conditions, with 40 years of actual
weather data, and future changes in the hydrologic cycle of the Grand River
watershed. The impact of climate change is modelled by perturbing the
model input parameters using predicted changes in the regions climate.
The overall rate of groundwater recharge is predicted to increase as a result
of climate change. The higher intensity and frequency of precipitation will
also contribute significantly to surface runoff, while global warming may
result in increased evapotranspiration rates.
Warmer winter temperatures will reduce the extent of ground frost and shift
the spring melt from spring toward winter, allowing more water to infiltrate
into the ground.
45.
46. CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATIONCLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION
• Managing gw. recharge
• Management of gw. storage
• Protection of gw. quality
• Managing demands for gw.
• Managing gw. discharge
Managing groundwater recharge
Protecting
groundwater
quality
Managing
demand for
groundwater
Managing groundwater
discharge
Managing
groundwater
storage
Adaptation: management responses for gw. dependent
systems to risks associated with climate variability and climate
change
• Building the adaptive capacity for groundwater
48. CONCLUSION
Although climate change has been widely recognized, research on
the impacts of climate change on the groundwater system is relatively
limited.
The impact of future climatic change may be felt more severely in
developing countries such as India, whose economy is largely
dependent on agriculture and is already under stress due to current
population increase and associated demands for energy, freshwater
and food.
If the likely consequences of future changes of groundwater
recharge, resulting from both climate and socio-economic change, are
to be assessed, hydrogeologists must increasingly work with
researchers from other disciplines, such as socio-economists,
agricultural modelers and soil scientists.
The Greenhouse Effect and Global Warming
Greenhouse Analogy: Anyone who has visited a greenhouse for growing plants or sat in a parked car with the windows closed on a warm summer day has experienced the principle behind global warming. The sunlight goes through the glass and the heat is trapped inside.
The gases in the atmosphere surrounding the earth act much the same way. Incoming solar radiation passes through the atmosphere to the earth’s surface, but most of the outgoing radiation emitted from the surface of the Earth is absorbed by the greenhouse gas molecules in the atmosphere and reradiated back towards the earth. In other words, the greenhouse gases trap heat as it is reradiated from the earth back to space. The effect of this is to warm the earth&apos;s surface.
Water vapor and carbon dioxide are the 2 most abundant natural greenhouse gases.
This natural greenhouse effect keeps the earth about 60°F warmer than it otherwise would be. Without the greenhouse effect, life as we know it would not be possible.
This is a graph of the change in worldwide temperatures over the last 120+ years. Although the trend is decidedly upward, there are periods when temperatures are flat or even slightly decreasing, suggesting that increasing temperatures may not be entirely due to increased carbon dioxide levels.
Figure SPM. 6. Projected surface temperature changes for the late 21st century (2090-2099). The map shows the multi-AOGCM average projection for the A1B SRES scenario. All temperatures are relative to the period 1980-1999. {Figure 3.2}
For the next two decades a warming of about 0.2°C per decade is projected for a range of SRES emission
scenarios. Even if the concentrations of all GHGs and aerosols had been kept constant at year 2000 levels, a
further warming of about 0.1°C per decade would be expected. Afterwards, temperature projections increasingly
depend on specific emission scenarios. {3.2}
SYR SPM p.6
Glacier melt in the Himalayas is projected to increase flooding, and rock avalanches from destabilised slopes, and to affect water resources within the next two to three decades. This will be followed by decreased river flows as the glaciers recede. [10.2, 10.4]
India, China and Bangladesh are especially susceptible to increasing salinity of their groundwater as well as surface water resources, especially along the coast, due to increases in sea level as a direct impact of global warming (Han et al., 1999). WG2 Chapter 10 p.483
The gross per capita water availability in India will decline from ~1820 m 3/yr in 2001 to as low as ~1140m 3/yr in 2050. WG2 Chapter 10 p.481
And, What is the problem related with groundwater use in many Asian cities?
Well, in many Asian cities, due to the population increase and economic development, groundwater tends to be over-exploited and it leads to groundwater table decreasing, land subsidence, and saline water intrusion in coastal area. On the other hand, groundwater contamination is also serious problem. Human health damage and abandonment of well caused by the groundwater contamination are identified in Asian cities. In addition to those, climate change impact may add existing pressure on groundwater by impeding recharge capacities, being called on to fill eventual gaps in surface water availability due to increased variability in precipitation, and groundwater contamination.