Hydropower Assessment finalDraft 20Feb-4

A Rapid Assessment of Hydropower Potential and
Investment Opportunities in Gilgit-Baltistan
By:
Izhar Hunzai
February 2013
Islamabad
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH,
Pakistan
Renewable Energy & Energy Efficiency REEE
House # 11-B, Street # 50, F-8/4, Islamabad
Tel: 0092-51-2851175, Fax: 2854576

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TABLE OF CONTENTS
ACRONYMS AND ABRIVIATIONS........................................................................................................................................3
1. INTRODUCTION ANDPURPOSE................................................................................................................................4
2 METHODOLOGY.................................................................................................................................................................5
2.1 Review of existing studies ....................................................................................................................................5
2.2 Resource assessment and baselines ................................................................................................................5
2.3 Data collection...........................................................................................................................................................5
3 NATIONAL CONTEXT.......................................................................................................................................................6
4 WATER RESOURCES OF GB...........................................................................................................................................7
4.1 Overview......................................................................................................................................................................7
4.2 Existing Power Stations.........................................................................................................................................8
4.3 Under Construction Power Stations.................................................................................................................8
5 HYDROPOWERPOTENTIALOF GB............................................................................................................................9
5.1 Resource Potential...................................................................................................................................................9
5.2 Identified Hydropower Projects......................................................................................................................10
6 POWER DEMAND FORECAST.....................................................................................................................................12
6.1 Summary of Demand ............................................................................................................................................12
6.2 Population and Growth Rate.............................................................................................................................14
6.3 Load Centers.............................................................................................................................................................15
6.4 Load Demand Forecast ........................................................................................................................................16
7 INVESTMENT OPPORTUNTIES FOR PRIVATE SECTOR.................................................................................16
7.1 Macro level situation.............................................................................................................................................16
7.2 Why invest in GB?...................................................................................................................................................16
7.3 Shovel-ready projects...........................................................................................................................................17
7.4 Other potential sites..............................................................................................................................................18
7.5 Real life cases ...........................................................................................................................................................18
8 OPTIMIZATION OPTIONS............................................................................................................................................19
8.1 Extension of National Grid to GB.....................................................................................................................19
8.2 Optimizing capacity of existing plants and potential sites...................................................................19
8.3 Grid development and rationalization..........................................................................................................20
8.4 Scaling of community based power utilities...............................................................................................20
8.5 Increasing plant load factor...............................................................................................................................20
8.6 Proposing innovative financing model .........................................................................................................21
9 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS.........................................................................................................21
9.1 Resource availability and policy vacuum.....................................................................................................21
9.2 Summary conclusions...........................................................................................................................................21
9.3 Key elements of an enabling energy policy.................................................................................................22
REFERENCES..............................................................................................................................................................................24
ANNEX-I: TERMS OF REFERENCE....................................................................................................................................26
ANNEX-II: MONTHLY AVERAGE FLOW OF RIVER INDUS, NEAR CHILAS......................................................28
ANNEX-III: LIST OF IDENTIFIED HYDROPOWERPROJECTS IN GB..................................................................35
ANNEX-III: LOAD CENTERS WITH POPULATION......................................................................................................40
ANNEX-IV: COST BTEAKDOWN OFTWO ACTUAL SITES......................................................................................50
ANNEX-V: RANKING OFPRIORITIZED PROJECTS.....................................................................................................61

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ACRONYMS AND ABRIVIATIONS
ADB Asian Development BAnk
ADP Annual Development Program
AEDB Aletrantive Energy Development Board
AKRSP Aga Khan Rural Support Programme
CDM Clean Development Mechanism
CDWP Central Development Working Group
GB Gilgit-Baltistan
GBLA Gilgit-Baltistan Legeslative Assembly
GBC Gilgit-Baltsiatn Council
CGH Greenhouse gas emissions
GIZ Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (German Agency for
International Cooperation)
IFC International Finanace Corporation
KWh kilowatt-hour
KW kilowatt
MW Magawatt
NEPRA National Electric Power Regulatory Autority
PLF Plant Load Factor
PPAF Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund
PPIB Private Power and Infrastructure Board
PPPs Public-Private Partnerships
PSDP Public Sector Development Program
REEE Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency
RETs Renewable Enetrgy TEchnologies
UNFCCC UN Framework Convention for Climate Change
WAPDA Water and Power Development Authority
W&PDD Water and Power Development Department
WB World BAnk

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1. INTRODUCTION ANDPURPOSE
This study, conducted for the Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency (REEE) program of
GIZ, Pakistan, assesses potential for hydropower development in Gilgit-Baltistan (GB). The
study provides latest data on hydropower potential of the River Indus, its tributaries and
streams, falling in GB’s administrative boundaries.
GB offers tremendous potential to generate renewable energy primarily from hydro and
secondarily from solar sources. Its unique ecology, part of a larger mountain landscape
known as the Water Towers of the World, serves as a vital source of water to the River
Indus, on which the majority of Pakistan’s irrigation and hydroelectricity depends.
Enriched with permafrost, perennial flow of water meets with significant slope gradient,
giving the area unmatched advantage to generate low-cost hydroelectricity in tens of
thousands of MW. The hydropower potential of GB is well established for large projects
from previous assessments undertaken by Gilgit-Baltistan Water and Power Development
Department (GB-W&PDD), WAPDA, and GIZ (then known as GIZ). Though vital, many of
these sites are complex and long-term projects, requiring large sums of investment money
and time to develop. Moreover, given the fragility of the mountain ecology, the answer may
be smart, rather than mega development.
In recent years, GB-W&PDD, Private Power and Infrastrycture Board (PPIB) and
Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) have identified hundreds of other sites,
where technically sound, economically viable and ecologically smart projects can be built.
These smaller to medium sized projects are attractive from a host of strategic perspectives.
For one thing, they fall under the provincial authority, which makes them immune to
national and international politics, and more feasible from a commercial point of view.
They can also contribute to accelerated job and industry creation, fiscal autonomy and
better local governance.
As provided in the TORs (Annex 1), the primary objective of this study was to undertake a
rapid assessment of the potential for run-of-the-river hydropower projects in GB, and
provide updated data. As per the scope of the assignment, the study addresses all the key
components, including assessment of hydrological resources and hydropower potential in
GB, identification and prioritization of sites suitable for public and private sector
investments, and preparation of key way-forward recommendations.
Specifically, the study provides updated information on all high-potential sites for likely
investors that have not been previously available in a consolidated form. It is an attempt to
pull together relevant data on the hydropower status of GB, together with key contextual
information, such as evolving provincial policy, hydrology, existing and forthcoming public
sector investment plans, population trends, demand forecast, and optimization pathways.
The study also provides actual data on two completed projects, showing cost of land
acquisition, technology, related infrastructure, such as access roads, and other key aspects,
likely to be useful for potential investors. This information has been obtained from original
sources, such as GB-W&PDD, and WAPDA.
The primary audience for this report is the Government of GB, especially W&PDD.
However, the ultimate users of this report can be all the stakeholders, especially potential
investors, planners and policy-makers, both in GB and at the federal level. As part of GIZ
Pakistan’s REEE mandate, the study is also intended to serve as a useful resource for
formulating a hydropower development policy for GB Government, with a view to
attracting investment capital and promote public private partnerships (PPPs). Although the
study does not cover policy and investment aspects in greater detail, it provides some
initial ideas on likey frame principles and innovative financing mechanisms.

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2 METHODOLOGY
2.1 Review of existing studies
A desk review was undertaken of existing studies and technical reports prepared or
commissioned by GB-W&PDD, and national and national and international agencies
working on hydropower development. In addition, policy documents prepared by GB
Government, NEPRA, and AEDB were consulted. For understanding the legal, political and
institutional frameworks, available and relevant information has been collected from the
Government of GB, AEDB, Ministry of Water and Power and other public sources.
2.2 Resource assessment and baselines
Data and information sources available with GB-W&PDD were reviewed and collated to
create the assessment baseline. Two visits were undertaken to Gilgit to collect data and
hold consultations with relevant stakeholders. Expert opinion was obtained from former
and serving W&PDD technical staff on key aspects of hydropower development. Latest data
on key variables, such as installed capacity, capacity under implementation, current
shortfalls in supply, future demand trends and future development plans were collected.
Informal discussions were also held with Gilgit-Baltistan Legislative Assembly (GBLA)
members and other key stakeholders and senior officials of GB-W&PDD and Aga Khan
Rural Support Program (AKRSP), to develop an inventory of key constraints, opportunities
and possible short, medium and long-term term actions for hydropower development,
including identification of opportunities for on and off-grid development of the energy
sector.
The following aspects have been covered:
 Updated information on identified sites and future development plans of GB
Government
 Analysis of demand trend and accessibility and other factors that facilitate and
incentivize investment
 Guidelines for integration of planning for private /community participation in
resource development and management for sustainable development
 Energy-sector transformation strategies, such as optimization pathways, grid
connecetivity, and linkages with other sectors
 Principles for developing an energy policy for GB, based on opportunities and
challenges in realizing the hydropower potential of the area in a productive,
equitable and syustanable way.
2.3 Data collection
Data for the study is collected from both primary and secondary sources. Climate and
hydrological data was obtained from Pakistan meteorological department, WAPDA and
other authentic sources. Data on identified sites published by Private Power and
Infrastructure Board (PPIB) was updated and supplemented with additional data available
with GB-W&PDD1
.
In addition, PC1 documents on hydropower sector developed by GB-W&PDD were studied
and methodologies developed by WAPDA for demand forecast were used to assess demand
for all districts in GB.
1
PPIB, “Hydropower Resources of Pakistan”, 2011, available at http://www.ppib.gov.pk/HYDRO.pdf

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3 NATIONAL CONTEXT
Pakistan’s primary energy supplies heavily depend upon the imported crude oil and
petroleum products due to which the country’s oil import bill is about $ 13 billion, which is
a huge burden on the economy2
. The performance of power sector of Pakistan is not so
adequate in comparison to other institutions of South Asia in developing power through
public and private sectors. Pakistan has consistently lacked a realistic energy outlook, and
slid into an unfavorable energy mix status. The current energy mix at the national level is
48.9% natural gas, 32.2 % oil, 10.6 % hydro, 7.6 % coal, and 0.7% nuclear3
, which indicate
that the country’s major energy resources aregas and oil, which are the costliest options.
This high cost of generation together with uniform national tariff policy has resulted in
high levels of government subsidies. The Government of Pakistan has paid an estimated
amount of Rs.1 trillion in subsidies to power sector in the last four years.4
A circular debt
stock has built up mainly due to high average cost of power generation in addition to many
other reasons. This has further caused electricity shortages as the IPPs are facing liquidity
crises and unable to procure daily fuel requirements and their power stations are
operating below the rated capacity.
Pakistan’s energy policy is highly politicized, and has resulted in abandoning of key shovel-
ready projects, such as Kala-Bagh Dam, as well as many other mega projects upstream of
Terbela Dam. Political economy of Pakistan has opted for rental projects, lost opportunity
to tap into vast hydropower resources in the north, wasted its natural gas reserves for
short-term gains, and eventually led to 22 hour energy blackouts in rural areas, and
decimation of industry in the cities.
The diversification of the country’s energy mix, adopting environmentally friendly and
cheaper alternatives such as hydropower, and avoiding expensive and environmentally
degrading generation options based on furnace oil and diesel is the need of the hour. In
order to curtail the oil import bill to a sustainable level and to cater the energy needs of all
sectors, the Government is pursuing policies of attracting private investment in the energy
sector and to replace the imported furnace and diesel oil with alternate fuels at competitive
prices with a greater reliance on indigenous resources.
Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) is the principle national regulator for
promoting small-scale renewable energy technologies (RETs). In its new national
alternative energy strategy, AEDB has recommended special concessions for community
owned plants under 5 MW. However, it has failed to include RETs in the IPP framework,
and has managed to deliver just one wind-power project in the last ten years.
After the 18th Amendment to the Constitution, provinces have the authority to develop
their own energy policy, and can develop up to 100 MW of hydropower projects through
provincial guarantees. However, this delegation of power has happened without much
preparation, and it has created more grey areas in the development, distribution and
pricing of hydroelectricity.
The provinces are struggling to develop their new policies, and small provinces such as GB,
lack technical and institutional capacity for good policy-making5.
2
http://www.pc.gov.pk/annual%20plans/2012-13/chapter-10_energy_security_and_affordability.pdf
3
http://www.wapda.gov.pk/htmls/engymix.htm
4
http://dawn.com/2011/12/03/pakistan-pays-rs-1-trillion-in-energy-subsidies-hafeez/
5
The GB Government has recently signed an MOU with GIZ for technical assistance to develop a long-term hydropower policy.

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In GB, the power to legislate over key resources, such as hydropower, minerals and tourism
are vested in Gilgit-Baltistan Council (GBC), the equivalent of an Upper House, headed by
the Prime Minster of Pakistan, rather than the GBLA, the Lower House, which has created
rifts within the provincial government. Still, the GB government is keen to incentivize the
private sector to develop its hydropower resources.
4 WATER RESOURCES OFGB
4.1 Overview
The Indus Basin in GB is spread over an area of 72,496 Sq. km, of which 27% of the area is
under permafrost. Some of the largest glaciers outside the Polar Regions are located in GB
including Siachan, Baltoro, Hispar, Biafo, and Batura. Seven peaks above 8,000 meters are
also located in GB. K2 (8,611 m), the second highest in the world, Nanga Parbat,
Gashabrum I & II, Broad Peak, Mashabroom and Rakaposhi are among the highest peaks,
which collect and store moisture from the Monsoon in the form of snow, and release water
to the streams and rivers in the valley bottoms.
The main tributaries of River Indus in GB include Shyoke, Shigar, Gilgit, and Astore rivers.
Gilgit River is joined by Hunza River near Gilgit town and they merge into the Indus about
12 kilometers downstream. According to GB-W&PDD reports, more than 236 perennial
nullahs and streams and sub-tributaries drain into River Indus and its main tributaries at
various locations in GB. Among these, 12 are in district Gilgit, 70 in Skardu, 25 in Diamar,
44 in Ghizer, 35 in Ghanche, 23 in Astore and 27 in Hunza-Nagar. Out of these, 45 sub-
tributaries, streams and nullahs, have a minimum flow of more than 2.0 m3/s; in 27
streams, minimum flow is between 1 m3/s to 2 m3/s; in 37 streams, it is between 0.5 m3/s
to 1.0 m3/s; and in the remaining 127 streams and nullahs, minimum flow is less that 0.5
m3/s.
The estimated drop down of River Indus at Diamar/Basha Dam site is 1.37 km and average
annual run off is 50 MAF.6
Annual average flow of River Indus and its main tributaries in GB have been summarized in
Table 4.1, and further details are attached at Annex 2.
Table 4.1: Annual average flow of Indus and its main tributaries in GB
S# Name of River Measuring Station Annual Average Flow (MAF)
1 Shyoke Yogu 8.88
2 Shigar Shigar town 5.3
3 Hunza Danyor 8.58
4 Gilgit Gilgit 7.24
5 Astore Doyan 3.51
6 Indus Basha 50.00
Source: WAPDA and GB-W&PD Reports
6
http://www.wapda.gov.pk/pdf/financialinvestment.pdf

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4.2 Existing Power Stations
As of December 2012, operational hydropower projects of GB-W&PDD were 106, with
95.829 MW installed capacity. These projects have been constructed with public sector
funding. However, many of these projects date back several decades and have completed
their useful life and require major replacements.
A majority of existing projects can be upgraded and capacity enhanced, using new and
more efficient technology, and using new design parameters.
District wise projects with installed capacity have been summarized in Table 4.2.
Table 4.2: Existing Power Stations
District Operational HydropowerProjects
(Nos.) Installed Capacity (MW)
Gilgit 21 34.610
Skardu 28 27.905
Diamer 18 7.700
Ghizer 10 7.554
Ghanche 08 6.760
Astore 08 4.820
Hunza-Nagar 13 6.480
TOTAL 106 95.829
Source: GB-Water and Power Department Reports and data updated as of Jan 2013.
4.3 Under Construction Power Stations
According to the plans of GB-WPDD a total capacity of around 169.6 MW would be added to
the current supply by the end of around 2017, which will take the overall power generation
to around 265 MW in GB. Even with this addition, the electricity produced will meet only
the very basic needs and still there would be significant shortages.
The GB-W&PDD has allocated ADP resources for construction of 84 hydropower projects
with 109.35 MW installed capacity, in its Annual Development Plan (ADP) 2012-13. In
addition, through Federal Public Sector Development Program (PSDP), 4 projects with 60
MW installed capacity have been considered for construction in the next five years. It has
been planned to complete construction of all these projects by 2017.
However, this plan is subject to availability of required funding in the coming years.
However, with growing fiscal constraints and political instability in the country,
implementation of these plans remains major question mark.
Presently, per capita power consumption in GBC is only 0.05 kW, which is the lowest in
Pakistan. With the existing plans of expansion of the capacity of power supply through the
public sector, it will not be possible to meet the projected additional demand and the
energy crisis will exacerbate even further.

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Details of under construction projects have been summarized in Table 4.3.
Table 4.3: Summary of under construction projects
S# Description No. of
Projects
Capacity Approved/ Estimated
Cost
Allocation
(MW) (PKR Million) 2012-13
1 ADP-District Gilgit 8 18.20 5,104.87 216.77
2 ADP-District Skardu 17 19.40 3,920.74 731.51
3 ADP-District Diamer 16 19.24 3,268.96 226.37
4 ADP District Ghizer 10 11.10 2,619.82 348.86
5 ADP-District Ghanche 9 11.70 2,280.80 135.05
6 ADP-District Astore 13 16.81 2,742.96 171.37
7 ADP-District Hunza-Nagar 11 12.90 2,306.48 179.17
Total 84 109.35 23,232.37 2,189.40
8 PSDP – Federal 4 60.00 12,065.47 191.93
Total 4 60.00 12,065.47 191.93
G. Total 88 169.35 35,297.84 2,381.33
Source: GB-Water and Power Department Reports and updated data as of Jan 2013
5 HYDROPOWER POTENTIALOFGB
5.1 Resource Potential
According to AEDB, GB has maximum hydropower resources as comparedto anywhere in
the country. The total hydropower potential in the region has not been fully investigated,
and estimates vary between 31,000 MW to 105,000 MW. This includes all sizes of
hydropower plants, including storage-based and high-head schemes.
The true resource potential of GB could be even higher as these estimates do not include
most of the upper Indus area and the main tributaries are almost unexplored. GIZ has
carried out the most exhaustive studies of hydropower power potential, based on the flow
condition of various rivers, tributaries and streams of GB. The theoretical power potential
of GB assessed on the basis of topography and available flow/discharge (Q80) is 105,337.04
MW.7
See Table 5.1
In addition to these small, medium and large sized sites, there are potentially thousands of
sites where micro and mini hydropower projects can be built. AKRSP, PPAF, GIZ and AEDB
have provided technical and financial support to local communities in realizing some of
7
Comprehensive planning of hydropower resources on tributaries of Indus River in NAs 13 Regions Reports
by Pak –German Technical corporation, HEPO WAPDA -GTZ Lahore, March 1995.

10
this potential. A CDM project has also been registered with UNFCCC in the small
hydropower category (Project 1713).8
Table 5.1: Hydropower Resource Potential of GB
S# Valley Total Resource Potential (MW)
1 Gilgit 2,490.91
2 Skardu 6,302.40
3 Rondu/Haramosh 9,561.26
4 Chilas 22,257.20
5 Ghanche (Shyok) 3,567.49
6 Kharmang 1,393.36
7 Ghizer 937.29
8 Gultari/Minimarg 894.06
9 Astore 45,399.20
10 Hunza-Nagar 5,917.41
11 Ishkoman 1,970.44
12 Yasin 1,851.02
13 Khunjrab 2,795.00
Grand Total 105,337.04
Source: HEPO WAPDA -GTZ Lahore, March 1995.
5.2 Identified Hydropower Projects
Detail surveys have not yet been carried out to assess all or most exploitable hydropower
potential in GB. The most recent report available on identified “raw sites” is “The
Hydropower Resources of Pakistan,” by Private Power Infrastructure Board (PPIB),
published in February 2011.9
The PPIB Report lists 145 raw identified sites, with a combined capacity of 8,542 MW (see
Table 5.4 in PPIB Report). However, according to GB-W&PDD, there are many gaps and
inaccuracies in this report, including sites shown in other than their actual locations,
incorrect names and inaccurate assessed capacity for some individual sites. For instance,
the Naz Bar, Roshan and Damodar-II (actual name is Darmandar-II) are shown at Shyok
River, which is a tributary of the Indus River in Kharmang, Baltistan, about 400 km in east,
while the actual sites are located in Ghizer District, in the west. More glaringly, the capacity
of Henzel site near Gilgit Town is shown as 40 MW, while the actual assessed capacity of
this site is 20 MW. The Report also shows this site under implementation by the private
sector, which is also incorrect.
8
http://cdm.unfccc.int/Projects/DB/DNV-CUK1204739473.81/view
9
http://www.ppib.gov.pk/HYDRO.pdf

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In 2012, the GB-W&PDD undertook a major excise to update data available in WAPDA, GIZ
and PPIB reports on identified sites. According to this updated information, the identified
hydropower potential on Indus River and its main tributaries is about 25,000 MW and
potential on sub-tributaries is more than 1,750 MW.
The identified potential projects include 23 large projects on River Indus and its main
tributaries in GB, possessing 24,980 MW of estimated capacity, which will be on-grid
scenario with 90% Plant Load Factor. Among these, 14 projects possess 565 MW potential
in off-grid scenario with 45% Plant Factor. More than 70 potential hydropower projects
have been identified on sub-tributaries of River Indus in GB. In the on-grid scenario with
45% Plant Load Factor, these 70 projects have an estimated capacity of 1,751.5 MW. In the
off-grid scenario, with 45% Plant Load Factor, the potential generation capacity of these
projects will be 247 MW.
Details of potential hydropower projects in GB have been summarized in Table 5.2.
Detailed list of identified potential hydropower projects in GB is attached in Annex 3.
Table 5.2: Identified Potential Hydropower Projects in GB10
S# Description Number of Site Capacity (MW)
On-grid
Scenario with
90% PLF
Off-grid
Scenario with
45% PLF
I Mega projects on River Indus and its main tributaries
GB level 23 24,980 565
II On sub-Tributaries
1 Gilgit 6 610 29
2 Skardu 19 604 74
3 Diamer 5 102 31
4 Ghizer 19 202.5 64
5 Ghanche 6 80 14
6 Astore 8 65 18
7 Hunza-Nagar 7 88 17
Sub-total 70 1751.5 247
G. Total (I+II) 93 26,731 812
Source: GB-W&PD updated records
WAPDA is currently undertaking detail feasibility of 3 projects having potential capacity of
141 MW.
10
Updated potential hydropower projects in GB, consolidated from the list of WAPDA and GB W&PD reports.

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Details of these projects have been summarized in Table 5.3
Table 5.3: WAPDA Under Feasibility/Planning
S# Name of Project Capacity (MW)
1 Phandar 80
2 Basho 28
3 Harpo Rondu 33
Total 141
Source: GB-W&PD and WAPDA Reports
6 POWER DEMAND FORECAST
The GB W&PDD has conducted a demand forecast/power market study in GB to determine
future power and energy requirements. The demand forecast has been carried out using
WAPDA's trend analysis methodology that takes into account the annual electricity
consumption of domestic, commercial, and other consumers.
The annual energy consumption for domestic, commercial, and other users has been
assessed and the historical growth rate for each is calculated on the basis of available data
collected during the survey or the information received from census authorities. The
historical growth rate of each category is further adjusted for forecast, keeping in view the
prevailing conditions, load factor, increase in standard of living etc. The adjusted growth
rates are then adopted for each category and accordingly load demand forecast has been
worked out.
WAPDA considers power energy requirement for a period of ten, fifteen and twenty years
in demand forecast. However, in the electricity demand forecast study of GB-W&PDD, the
period covers from 1998 to 2037. The demand estimates are made for domestic,
commercial, crafts, agriculture, industries, public services and lights separately for various
load centers identified in seven districts of GB.
Due to extreme weather conditions in winter and summer, GB requires considerable
energy for heating and cooling purposes. In the demand forecast parameters, heating and
cooling requirements have not been considered. Therefore, the amount of required
demand for heating in winter and cooling in summer will increase the current demand
forecast scenario.
The study parameters (urban-rural) for load demand estimation are summarized in Tables
6.1 & 6.2.
6.1 Summary of Demand
The demand forecast analysis shows energy demand of the area to be approximately 800
MW, whereas current supply is only 95 MW or 11%). Even assuming all the planed projects
in the pipeline under GB’s ADP and PSDP funded projects to come on line by 2017, which is
unlikely given the current fiscal problems in the country, an estimated 169.35 MW can be
added to the current installed capacity, still leaving a large gap in demand.
Without a revenue base of its own, the meager financial resources available to GB from the
federal government are too thinly stretched, and it is practically impossible to think of

13
harnessing the hydropower potential without involvement of private sector investors. For
that reason, the GB government is in the process of developing a competitive policy for
attracting private sector involvement in developing this resource.
Table 6.1: Rural Demand Parameters
Sr # Consumer Type 3 - 5
Marla
7 - 10
Marla
1 -
Kanal
2 - Kanal and Above
(kW)
1 Domestic 3.00 8.00 12.00 20.00
2 Commercial 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00
3 Community 10.00 15.00 25.00 30.00
4 Small Industry 10.00 15.00 30.00 60.00
5 Pump Water Supply 40.00
6 Pump Irrigation
(a) In plain areas 15.00
(b) In hilly areas 25.00
7 Street Lighting 0.15 to 0.25
Source: GB-W&PD Demand Forecast Report
Table 6.2: Urban Demand Parameters
S# Consumer Type Load Per Consumer
(kW)
1 Domestic 01.30
2 Commercial 02.00
3 Community 02.00
4 Small Industry 10.00
5 Pump Water Supply 15.00
6 Pump Irrigation 07.50
7 Street Lighting 00.10
Source: GB-W&PD Demand Forecast Report

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6.2 Population and Growth Rate
Population:
In estimating load demand forecast, population census of 1998 has been used. According to
1998 census population of GB was 883,799. It has been assessed that there are 602 villages
in 15 subdivisions with 104 load centers in seven districts of GB. This information has been
summarized in Table 6.3.
Table 6.3: Population, Load Centers and Villages
S# District Sub Division Population # of Load Centers No of Villages
Region # I – Gilgit
1 Ghizer Gupis / Yasin 64,782 9 44
Punial/Ishkoman 56,496 6 37
Total 121,278 15 81
2 Gilgit Gilgit 148,040 10 61
Total 148,040 10 61
3 Hunza-Nagar Hunza 46,784 8 46
Nagar 51,936 7 39
Total 98,720 15 85
Total 3 5 368,038 40 227
Region # II – Baltistan
1 Ghanche Khaplu 65,363 9 26
Mashabbrum 24,082 6 28
Total 89,445 15 54
2 Skardu Skardu 130,664 13 78
Shiger 45,947 10 57
Kharmang 42,598 8 42
Total 219,209 31 177
Total 2 5 308,654 46 231
Region # III – Diamer
1 Astore Astore 27,413 3 15
Shunter 44,632 4 29
Total 72,045 7 44
2 Diamer Chilas 74,582 6 28
Darel / Tangir 60,480 5 72
Total 135,062 11 100
Total 2 4 207,107 18 144
G-Total 7 14 883,799 104 602
Source: Ibid

15
Growth Rate:
The average annual growth rate varies in different districts, which has been taken from the
census report. This average annual growth rate has been used for the calculation of load
demand. Based on average population growth rate adopted from Census Report, the
population for load centers has been worked out.
Average growth rates of different districts have been summarized in Table 6.4.
Table 6.4: Average Annual Growth Rate in 7 districts
S
#
Districts Average Household Size Annual Average Population
Growth Rate (%)
1. Gilgit 8.1 2.74
2. Skardu 7.8 2.24
3. Ghizer 9.0 3.08
4. Diamer 8.4 3.13
5. Astore 8.4 3.13
6. Ghanche 6.8 1.18
7. Hunza-Nagar 7.7 2.74
Source: 1998 Census Report
6.3 Load Centers
According to the W&PD study, a load center may be defined as “as a city, a town, and a
cluster of villages or a concentration of population, which is economically integrated in the
area”. In order to determine the load demand forecast, the GB is therefore distributed into
104 load centers. Furthermore, the load centers have been classified into three categories
on the basis of their population size. The load center having a population of more than
10,000 was considered as a large cluster of population and was placed in category A. The
load center having a population between 5,000 and 10,000 was likely to be called as
medium and falls in category B. The load centers having a population less than 5,000 is
called as small and falls in category C. The W&PDD has identified 104 load centers in three
categories, out of which 28 load centers fall in category A; 52 load in category B, and 24
load centers fall in category C. The detail of the category wise load centers along with their
respective population given in the census 1998 has been summarized in Table 6.5.
Table 6.5: Category wise Load Centers
S# Demand Load Centers Category Covered Population
(No.) 1998
1 28 A 414,537
2 52 B 375,572
3 24 C 93,690
Total 104 883,799
Source: Ibid

16
6.4 Load Demand Forecast
Based on the load demand forecast study, the existing power demand of load centers in
different sectors has been calculated for a time horizon of 30 years. The load demand is on
the basis of projected population, but as noted earlier, does not include demand for
heating, cooling and industry needs. The total load demand of seven districts in GB and
expected projected demand up to year 2020 has been summarized in Tables 6.6-7
Table 6.6: Cumulative Demand Forecast and Generation
S# Description Year
2012 2016 2020 2037
1 Estimated Load Demand (kW) 225,000 350,000 500,000 757,080
2 Generation (kW) 95,000 265,000 450,000 NA
3 Gap 130,000 85,000 50,000 NA
Source: Ibid
Table 6.7: Region wise load demand forecast
S# Demand Forecast Year
2012 2016 2020 2037
1 Region-I (Gilgit) 335,917
2 Region II (Baltistan) 200,955
Region III (Diamer) 220,208
Total 757,080
Source: Ibid
7 INVESTMENTOPPORTUNTIES FOR PRIVATE SECTOR
7.1 Macro level situation
Successive governments in Pakistan have formulated investment friendly strategies but
their implementation has always been problematic. Pakistan has well thought out,
integrated energy development plans, with many shovel-ready projects for private sector
investment, but the entire energy sector is highly politicized, and institutional and private
capital investment is not coming to Pakistan.
The current IPP model was hastily designed in the middle of a looming energy crisis by a
political government and carries many flaws and undue risks for investors and guarantors
alike. Critically, legal battles over contractual obligations and rising costs of generation,
distribution losses and defaults, have served as a disincentive for private sector investment
in the energy sector, despite its huge potential in the country.
7.2 Why invest in GB?
As noted in the previous sections, GB is a treasure trove of hydrological resources, and an
ideal place for generating low cost hydropower. Its remoteness, particularly the lack of
National Grid connectivity, and a continuing policy vacuum have served as the main

17
barriers for private sector investment. However, GB has now a devolved political system,
which allows the local government to formulate a forward-looking investment framework.
There is a sense in GB, both at the policy-making and technical/ professional levels, that
developing hydropower through private sector in the lead is the best option for creating a
local revenue base and long-term fiscal autonomy. The model that is being discussed is that
of Bhutan. As the power generated cannot be evacuated in the short to medium term in the
absence of the National Grid connectivity, the GB government’s preferred option is captive
generation, linked to energy intensive industries, such as marble and granite quarrying and
processing. Pakistan already exports 60% of its semi-processed marble to China and GB
has large-scale deposits of soft stone and other industrial minerals, close to huge demand
in China, this approach holds significant promise for potential investors. Under the 18th
Amendment rules, GB government can issue licenses for up to 100 MW capacity projects
and for early investors the terms can be highly favorable.
Projected demand and supply shows that there is huge gap in supply to meet the energy
requirements of the local population. The public sector funding is not enough to narrow the
demand and supply gap, which gives opportunity to the private sector to invest in the
sector to fill this gap. Local demand for commercial uses of hydropower is also expected to
increase manifold as the GB government develops and adopts various policies, such as for
minerals, hydropower and tourism. So, this seems to be an opportune time for smart
investors to be engaged in GB and benefit from the GB Government’s investment friendly
attitude for early entrants.
Due to sever energy crisis in the mainland Pakistan, the Government needs to consider
extending the National Grid to the energy-rich sources in GB, so that energy needs of the
country could be met in the long-term. Once the National Grid is connected to the sites of
Basha Dam and Bunji Hydropower Project, the structure of incentives may change due to
increased competition.
7.3 Shovel-ready projects
There are a number of readily available sites for private sector to invest in GB. These
projects have been selected on the basis of detailed assessments, and found to be
technically and economically most feasible. The Central Development Working Party
(CDWP) has approved 4 project PC-Is of GB. These shovel-ready projects are available for
private sector investment.
These projects are summarized in Table 7.1 below.
Table 7.1: Available Sites for Private sector
S# Name of the Projects Total Capacity
(MW)
Estimated Cost
(Rs million)
Remarks
1 Hanzel 20 5,198.403 PC-1 recommended by
CDWP on 15-08-2012.
2 Tormik Ph-II 10 1,791.943 PC-1 recommended by
CDWP on 15-08-2012.
3 Ghowadi 30 8,367.973 PC-1 recommended by
CDWP on 15-08-2012.
4 Hassanabad 05 1,175.070 PC-1 recommended by
CDWP on 15-08-2012.
Total 65.00 32,681.12
Source: GB-Water and Power Department

18
7.4 Other potential sites
In addition to the above four shovel ready projects the GB-W&PDD has prepared an
updated list of 50 prioritized sites with rakings. These projects have been screened
adapting an evaluation criteria devised by GIZ and AEDB (Annex V). Of these, a short list of
top ten sites has been has been provided in Table 7.2 below.
Table 7.2 Top ten most feasible projects proposed for private sector investment
# Name of
project
Capacity
(MW)
Accessibilityto
site
Proximityto
NationalGrid
Proximityto
localgrid
Unitcost(if
available)
Altitudeofthe
siteabovesea
level
Proximityto
miningarea
Security
Environment/
resettlement
/socialimpacts
Weightage of the evaluation factor
1. Henzel,
Gilgit
20 15 9 9 3 15 6 9 12
2. Tormic Ph-
II, Skardu
10 15 6 6 3 15 6 12 12
3. Gowari,
Ghanche
30 15 3 6 3 9 6 12 12
4. Hassanabad,
Hunza
5 15 6 9 6 12 9 15 12
5. Hamaran,
Bilchar,
BAgrote
3.5 3 9 9 12 12 6 12 12
6. DAnyore,
Gilgit
1 6 9 12 3 12 6 12 12
7. Tolti Ph III,
Skardu
1 6 3 9 3 9 6 15 12
8. NAzbar ph
II, Ghizer
1 9 12 9 9 12 9 15 12
9. RAikot,
Muthat,
Diamer
1.5 9 12 6 6 15 6 9 12
10 Ganji,
Rondu,
Skardu
2 3 6 9 6 12 9 12 12
Source: data from GB-W&PDD; Evaluation methodology adapted from GIZ-AEDB Inception Report.
7.5 Real life cases
More than 90% of the identified hydropower sites in GB are run-of-the-river projects,
where there is minimum resettlement cost and, land compensation cost is also very low.
Two projects have been studied to assess the land, infrastructure and financial resource
required to develop a traditional run-of-the-river project in GB. These two projects have
been executed by GB-W&PD.
Table 7.3: Cost Breakdown of Naltar IV and Talu Projects
# Project Total cost (Rs.
million)
Land Acquisition (Rs.
million)
Access Infrastructure (Rs.
million)
1. NAltar IV (18 MW) 1,360 44.65 47.5
2. Talu (2 MW) 815 2.75 13.0

19
The 18 MW Naltar IV, is a public private partnership (PPP) project, which has been
completed and is now operational, and the two MW Talu project, which is a public sector
funded project.
Land acquired for Naltar IV project was 140 Kanals (17.5 acres), and for 2 MW Talu, 17.3
Kanals (2.16 acres). Cost of land compensation was not more than Rs. 250,000 per kanal. In
case of irrigated land, it will be up to Rs. 400,000/kanal. In case of Naltar IV, the paid land
compensation was Rs. 44,650,000, while in case of Talu, land compensation has been paid
for 11 kanals only as 6 kanals of land was public property. In case of 18 MW Naltar IV, an
additional cost of Rs. 47.50 million (US$ 0.833 m) was incurred on the construction of an
RCC bridge for transportation of heavy machinery and equipment to the project site.
Additional infrastructure development cost of Talu project was Rs. 13 million.
The majority of the identified potential sites in GB have similar conditions where basic
infrastructure (access roads etc.) to the project site is available; therefore, the overall
investment cost of developing a hydropower project in GB will be low. However, in a few
cases, it may require heavy infrastructure development to approach the project location,
which may increase the cost of the project.
Full details of the two case projects are appended in Annex IV.
8 OPTIMIZATION OPTIONS
There are various pathways to optimize the identified sites, and through detailed surveys
new sites could also be explored, as currently identified potential is estimated on the basis
fragmentaory data. Due to non-availability of National and regional grid, all operational
projects are fed into isolated grids, serving local populations. Naturally, the energy supply
is different in different load centers, subject to power availability in specific areas and/or
project locations.
The following could be a few optimization pathways:
8.1 Extension of National Grid to GB
Two options are available for the extension of National Grid to GB.
 Appropriate transmission line linkage as pre-development of big reservoir (Diamar-
Basha Dam) and run of river (Bunji) projects to transport surplus energy from GB,
and engage private investors for development of small hydropower projects in GB
for the benefit of national grid. The Transmission Line can be routed through
Kohistan or Chitral, reserving the Babuser-Kaghan route for the main transmission
line planned based on the total potential of the area. This transmission line can also
be used later on to feed some areas of KPK.
 Simultaneous installation of high voltage transmission based on the total tapable
hydro potential of GB, without waiting for the development of big projects with
connectivity facilities to the proposed regional grid of GB. In this way hydropower
development in GB will be boosted both in the public and private sectors.
8.2 Optimizing capacity of existing plants and potential sites
The generation capacity of existing plants and potential sites can be optimized, taking into
consideration “off grid” and “on grid” scenarios. Many of the existing plants have outlived
their useful life, and can be ungraded with minimum cost, using new technology or better
design. Better planning can increase the plant load factor in the planned projects in the

20
pipeline, by exploiting the hydrology and flow duration characteristics of each site, and by
avoiding wastage of the potential.
8.3 Grid development and rationalization
Presently all the hydropower projects in GB have basically been developed for isolated off
grid areas and generation is distributed among consumers through 11 KV transmission
lines. These mini grids can be interlinked to facilitate wider connectivity, such as linking
main towns of Gilgit, Skadru, Gakuch, Chilas, Khaplu, to better utilize access capacity and
rationalize distribution to some extent. The total length of 11 KV transmission lines in GB
is currently more than 3,700 km, which is mainly due to scattered load centers.
The transmission and distribution losses in GB are more than 35%, which is mainly due to
non-availability of a regional grid with high voltage transmission lines. A considerable
portion of existing power lines and substation equipment in GB will require reconstruction.
Outdated machinery creates problems in operating the power plants and mini grids. Much
capital investment is required for system modernization.
The GB-W&PD has planned to establish a regional grid in the region keeping in view the
ongoing hydropower projects and location of potential sites, which would be developed in
near future. An optimized regional grid for efficient transportation of power keeping in
view the potential areas, emerging load centers and connectivity with the National Grid in
the long run is of utmost necessity.
8.4 Scaling of community based power utilities
The GB-W&PDD is overburdened by many responsibilities, from project development,
distribution and tariff collection. Power theft at various levels is a common practice. The
department’s current tariff collection records show that default and theft is more than
50%.
AKRSP has piloted and expanding the concept of community-based micro power utilities.
This concept is relevant to scattered demand in off-grid areas. The GB-W&PDD needs to
study this model, and experiment with a decentralized, community-based approach to
generation and distribution. In many areas, isolated plants can even be leased out to
organized communities, with technical and management training provided by the
Department or AKRSP. Similarly, responsibility for power distribution at muhalla level and
tariff collection can also be outsourced to local companies, where feasible.
The community based power utility concept of AKRSP can be promoted for developing new
sites under 1 MW, making local investors or local communities as partners. One practical
way to do this would be for the public sector to build and maintain ‘mini grids’ and allow
local investors and community organizations to generate clean hydroelectricity to feed
such grids. For collection of tariff, community organizations and private sector parties may
be involved.
8.5 Increasing plant load factor
For optimum utilization of developed energy and productive use of operational plants, the
power plants may be linked with private sector initiatives, and nearest growth centers to
increase economic activity, such as creating related infrastructure for promoting micro
businesses and industry clusters. Availability of low-cost electricity can create ‘growth
poles’ in remote rural areas, and provide expanded opportunities for productive activities.
Sustainable supply of electricity will help promoting clusters of energy and green

21
businesses to stimulate and support economic activity and job creation in the remote
mountain valleys of GB.
8.6 Proposing innovative financing model
The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and AKRSP are working together to develop
an off-grid model for hydropower development for targeted productive uses with private
sector financing options. The focus of investment will be providing required energy for
developing potential growth sectors such as marble and mineral processing, livestock
products, agro-forestry processing and tourism. The financing model involves leveraging
public funds to raise community and local equity for investing in hydropower and business
development, as well as linking up with carbon finance and /or ‘social / green venture
funds’ and allied investment services, such as those under consideration by Acumen Fund,
Pakistan Poverty Alleviation Fund (PPAF). This model will initially share the risk and give
comfort for the private sector to invest in off-grid hydropower development.
9 CONCLUSIONS ANDRECOMMENDATIONS
9.1 Resource availability and policy vacuum
The unique topography and hydrology of GB holds unmatched potential for generating low
cost hydropower. The hydropower potential of GB is well established for large projects,
such as the Diamer-Basha Dam and Bunji and other high potential projects in 100s and
1000s of MW in capacity. But these are complex and long-term projects, requiring large
sums of investment money and time to develop. However, there are hundreds of other sites
for building technically sound, economically viable and ecologically smart projects.
These mini and small sized projects are attractive from a host of strategic perspectives. For
one thing, they fall under the provincial authority, which makes them immune to national
and international politics, thus making them more feasible from a commercial point of
view. They also contribute to fiscal independence and better local governance.
Developing even a fraction of this vast resource can be a boon, not only for the GB
economy, but also for agricultural and industrial development in the whole of Pakistan.
Energy security through hydropower development can reduce dependence on fossil fuels
and contribute to national development and its stability.
9.2 Summary conclusions
Basically, a potentially large resource exists next to a huge energy deficit in Pakistan. Why
this demand has not met with the potential supply remains a major question mark in
Pakistan. The missing link appears to be not lack of good planning or investment capital,
technology or expertise, but smart policies and political will.
The ideal scenario would be the development of shovel-ready projects, including Diamer-
Basha Dam and the Bunji Hydropower projects, addressing the long-term energy needs of
the country. However, this option may not be realizable in the near future, given the
current fiscal environment and objections from India, which has effectively blocked
financing from multilateral lenders.
The second best option would be extending the National Grid to GB, and allow private
sector to crowd-in the energy market. However, the GB government has no influence on
national policy and resource allocation decisions to make this happen. The energy policy is
highly politicized in the country, and the economic argument alone is not sufficient to sway
national policy and action.

22
In the absence workable national level initiatives in the sort and medium terms, what is
that the GB government can do to develop it energy, mineral and other strategic resources?
The key opportunity available to the GB Government is to use its recently gained autonomy
to craft a smart post-18th Amendment energy policy that puts private sector in the lead,
and allow it to create revenue and jobs for the government, and market-based services for
industry and other consumers.
The GB government is currently 100% fiscally dependent on the Center. Hydropower can
give it the necessary fiscal muscle in the long-term to enjoy its political autonomy. As it
emerges from its long physical and political isolation, GB has an opportunity to integrate
with the national energy and capital markets.
Realizing hydropower potential through private investment and through PPPs requires
streamlining the coordination between the various agencies within GB, such as GBLA and
GBC, and with national agencies, such as PPIB, NTDC, AEDB and WAPDA. The capacity of
GB-W&PDD and P&DD, and other technical and regulatory institutions to process
investment proposals needs to be enhanced. Once a policy and regulatory framework is in
place, competitive bidding procedures should be adopted to ensure a level playing field to
potential investors.
Energy efficiency is as important, if not more important, as energy development. Investing
in and upgrading oldest plants located in prime sites should be a key consideration.
Reducing system losses and improving conservation of heat through thermally efficient
buildings must be part of the long-term energy development and efficiency agenda.
From an investment point of view, the following conclusions can be drawn.
 The cost of hydropower development in GB is relatively low as compare to national
and international standards; therefore it could be very attractive for private sector
and financing agencies to invest in hydropower development in GB
 From the two cases studies covered in this report, the installed cost is Rs. 83,571
(Naltar) or Rs 1.85/ kWh, and in Rs. 120,684 (Talu) per kW, or Rs 2.15 kWh.
 There are many shovel-ready projects that the GB government has already
proposed for private sector investment. In addition, a long list of raw sites is also
available with preliminary ranking, using a criteria developed by GIZ and AEDB
 The higher the capacity of the project, the lower the cost of development, therefore
higher capacity projects could be a better option to invest
 Major resettlement cost is not involved in construction of hydropower projects in
GB, except temporary displacements during construction of the projects.
 Basic infrastructure is available in most cases; therefore, no major cost is involved
in basic infrastructure development for the projects.
 Development of hydropower projects by clubbing it with viable mining, cottage or
tourism industry for captive power generation and also facilitating local industries
and consumers from the spillover or surplus energy may be the most preferred
option.
 Energy banking or wheeling concept can also be applicable
9.3 Key elements of an enabling energy policy
The future energy policy of GB must focus on short, medium and long-term objectives.
Instead of giving across the board subsidies, investment incentives must be targeted at

23
specific long-term goals, such as fiscal autonomy, industrialization and productive uses,
and energy export. The policy can offer long-term tax incentives and public subsidies to
investors who contribute to sector development, such as upgrading local grids and
integrating them into a regional grid, or captive energy generation.
Specifically, key elements of GB’s energy policy could include the following principles:
 Simplified regulation and institutional capacity, including a one window service and
specified turnaround time for processing investment proposals
 Creating synergies with wider economic development goals and sector development
policies, such as mineral development, irrigation, industrialization, and achieving
seamless   integration in development strategies
 Targetted incentives and concessions, linked to specific targets and outcomes
 Provisions for multi-scaled investments, from micro, community-based utilities, to
captive power generation and export
 Fostering responsible investor behavior, incorporating corporate social
responsibility (CSR) and encouraging local equity participation in joint ventures
 Incorporating sustainable development principles in investment policy, maximizing
positive and minimizing negative impacts of investment
 Promoting a partnership approach among public, private and community sector
stakeholders
 Opening up multiple opportunities for investment for sector development, such as
generation, distribution, technology development, skills and professional training

24
REFERENCES
1. “Comprehensive planning of Hydropower Resources on Tributaries of Indus River in
NAs: Report on 13 Regions” (Lahore: Pak-German Technical Corporation, HEPO,
WAPDA-GTZ, 1995).
2. “Feasibility Report on Establishment of Regional Grid Gilgit-Baltistan” (Gilgit: Water &
Power Department, GB, 2010)
3. “Hydropwer Respurces of Pakistan” (Islamabad: Private Power and Infrastructure
Board [PPIB], 2011).
4. “Gilgit-Baltistan Economic Report: Broadening the Transformation” Report no. 55998-
PK (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2010).
5. Douglas G. Hall, “Hydropower Resource Assessment of Brazilian Streams” (Idaho:
National Laboratory, USA, 2011).
6. http://www.wapda.gov.pk/htmls/future-index.html
7. http://www.wapda.gov.pk/vision2025/default.asp
8. GB W&PD, Various Consultants Reports
9. GB-W&PD, Data and Reports
10. “Power Load Centers in Northern Areas” (Lahore, ACE Consultants (Pvt) Ltd., 2007).
11. “Integrated Energy Plan” Report of the Energy Expert Group (Islamabad, Economic
Advisory Council, Ministry of Finanace, GOP, 2009).
12. Hussian, S. “Barriers in Renewable Energy Development in Pakistan” Paper no. 268
available at: http://pecongress.org.pk/images/upload/books/268.pdf
13. “Compilation of Updated Information  On Grid Connected Micro, Mini & Small Hydel
Stations And Recommendations of 25 Sites for Private Investment: Inception Report”
(GTZ-AEDB, REEE, 2010)
14. http://www.wapda.gov.pk/pdf/financialinvestment.pdf
15. http://www.pc.gov.pk/annual%20plans/2012-13/chapter 10_energy_security_and_affordability.pdf
16. http://www.wapda.gov.pk/htmls/engymix.htm

26
ANNEX-I:TERMS OF REFERENCE
Terms of Reference for carrying out rapid
assessment study of hydropower potential in Gilgit-Baltistan
Background:
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH Renewable Energy &
Energy Efficiency (REEE) programme in Pakistan was initiated in 2005, with a focus to
promote renewable energy (RE) technologies and industrial energy efficiency (EE). The
programme supports its partners, both from the public as well as the private sectors, in
promoting solar energy, hydropower and biomass technologies in Pakistan. For promotion of
EE, the programme is supporting the introduction and implementation of the energy
management systems (EnMS) in four industrial sectors of Pakistan along with capacity
development of energy managers and energy services companies (ESCOs). The programme
also provides advisory services to its partners for the development of national and provincial
policies along with suitable market-based financial/economic instruments for large-scale and
household level investment in RE and EE such as feed-in tariffs for RE technologies, EE
financing mechanisms and microfinance for rural energy services. Furthermore, the
programme is also supporting the institutional development of key partner organizations with
the objective to improve their managerial and technical capacities and ensure that the partner
organizations are able to continue promoting RE & EE in Pakistan well beyond the GIZ REEE
programme intervention.
The Water and Power Department (W&PD) of the government of Gilgit-Baltistan (GB) is one of
the aforementioned key institutions that the GIZ REEE programme is cooperating with. In
addition to institutional development, GIZ REEE and the GB W&PD have agreed several other
areas of cooperation, such as assessment of hydel potential in GB. For this purpose, GIZ
REEE intends to procure the services of a suitable and qualified consultancy firm to carry out a
rapid assessment of the potential for run-of-the-river hydropower that can be installed in the
province by interested private sector entities.
Objective:
The objective of the assignment is to carry out a rapid resource assessment to quantify the
potential for run-of-the-river hydropower that can be incentivized through a hydropower
development policy for interested private investors.
Scope of work:
The consultant will have to carry out the rapid assessment activities in consultation with GB
W&PD and GIZ REEE based on the following:
 Assessment and updating of the available published data such as:
o hydrology
o already identified hydropower sites
o listing of potential hydropower sites available for development in the private
sector (not including sites that are part of the government of GB’s hydropower
development plan)
o assessment and review of the power demand forecast study of the GB region

27
 Optimization of the identified sites for connection with and power supply to the national
grid (on-grid power)
 Recommendations on land, infrastructure and financial resources requirements for
hydropower development in GB using data of two sample sites (will be provided by the
GB W&PD) as reference
Levelof Effort and Duration
The assignment has to be completed within 35 calendar days (including travel days,
preparation work prior to meeting with GB W&PD and work in the home office) of signing of
contract. The assignment will commence at the signing of contract and must be completed by
mid-December, 2012.
Deliverables
1. Activity Plan to be submitted within two days of the signing of the contract. The plan
should include but not limited to end date of the assignment, meetings with GB W&PD,
GIZ REEE, visit(s) to potential sites, total days on field and total days in the home office.
2. Draft Report and an accompanying presentation comprising of the rapid assessment to
GB W&PD by the 25th day of award of contract. GIZ REEE and GB W&PD will comment
on the same and return it to the consultant within 5 calendar days.
3. The consultant will prepare a final report incorporating the comments of GB W&PD and
GIZ REEE by the 35th day of award of contract.

28
ANNEX-II:MONTHLYAVERAGE FLOW OF RIVER INDUS,NEAR CHILAS
Months Average Flow (m3
/S)
Jan 391.51
Feb 359.54
Mar 350.96
Apr 471.19
May 1,339.33
Jun 4,053.68
Jul 6,134.41
Aug 5,760.84
Sep 2,535.01
Oct 927.75
Nov 573.61
Dec 455.85
Flow Duratian Data of River Indus, Near Chilas
Duration (% age of
year)
Flow
5 7,142.96
10 5,887.76
20 3,949.54
30 2,195.91
40 1,068.99
50 663.32
60 506.76
70 422.1
80 380.45
90 344.51
95 321.64
100 244.38
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Hydrograph of River Indus, Near Chilas

29
Flow Duratian Data of River Indus, Near Chilas (Diamar/Basha Dam Site)
% Age of the Year Flow
Q100 244.38
Q95 321.64
Q90 344.51
Q80 380.45
Q70 422.1
Q60 506.76
Q50 663.32
Q40 1,068.99
Q30 2,195.91
Q20 3,949.54
Q10 5,887.76
Q5 7,142.96
Q0 13,007.32
Monthly Average Flow of River Indus, Near Shingus
/S)
Jan 220.13
Feb 209.46
Mar 205.39
Apr 270.24
May 723.98
Jun 2,457.25
Jul 4,258.63
Aug 3,895.99
Sep 1,576.98
Oct 540.37
Nov 322.69
Dec 249.07
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 100
Flow Duration Curve River Indus,Near Chilas

30
Monthly Average Flow of River Indus, Near Shingus
5 5,250.55
10 4,142.57
20 2,435.54
30 1,267.78
40 611.24
50 371.87
60 292.38
70 250.37
80 223.9
90 193
95 172.33
100 134.78
Monthly Average Flow of River Gilgit, Near Danyour
/S)
Jan 59.12
Feb 51.68
Mar 46.93
Apr 66.47
May 224.02
Jun 771.84
Jul 810.47
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Hydrograph of Indus River,Near Shingus
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 100
Flow Duration Curve Indus River NearShingus

31
Aug 645.05
Sep 373.06
Oct 141.37
Nov 93.41
Dec 77.98
Monthly Average Flow of River Gilgit, Near Danyour
5 1113.01
10 886.18
20 564.65
30 295.16
40 155.3
50 98.55
60 79.79
70 62.29
80 53.14
90 46.58
95 35.52
100 32.25
Monthly Average Flow of River Hunza, Near Danyour
/S)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Hydrograph of River Gilgit,Near Danyour
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 100
Flow Duration Curve of River Gilgit, Near Danyour

32
Jan 49.15
Feb 42.03
Mar 36.14
Apr 54.36
May 144.4
Jun 577.85
Jul 1109.08
Aug 1103.49
Sep 537.12
Oct 158.03
Nov 75.46
Dec 55.77
5 1,400.96
10 1,145.24
20 596.39
30 301.41
40 143.12
50 83.23
60 64.56
70 51.71
80 42.27
90 35.9
95 33.62
100 27.38
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Hydrograph of River Hunza, Near Danyour

33
Flow of River Shayoke, Near Hamayun Bridge
/S)
Jan 102.32
Feb 97.56
Mar 102.4
Apr 159.62
May 464.54
Jun 1360.38
Jul 1677.1
Aug 1319.5
Sep 591.51
Oct 221.93
Nov 144.58
Dec 111.59
Average Flow of River Shayoke
5 3,633.38
10 2,848.84
20 1,788.68
30 953.11
40 465.9
50 277.62
0
500
1000
1500
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 100
Flow Duration Curve in River Hunza, Near Danyour
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Hydrograph of River Shayoke, Near Hamayun Bridge

34
60 214.82
70 181.82
80 162.15
90 140.23
95 125.88
100 105.22
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 95 100
Flow Duration Curve River Indus,Near Hamyun Bridge

35
ANNEX-III:LISTOF IDENTIFIEDHYDROPOWER PROJECTS IN GB
S# Site
Capacity (MW)
Storage
Live (MAF)
River
On-grid Scenario with
90% Plant Factor
Off-grid Scenario with
45% Plant Factor
I Mega Project Sites On River Indus and Its Main Tributaries
1 Basha Diamer 4,500 - 6.4 Indus
2 Raikhot 670 - Indus
3 Bunji 7,100 - Indus
4 Yulbo 3,000 - Indus
5 Tungus 2,100 - Indus
6 Skardu 2,500 - 15.5 Indus
7 Thorgu Pari 2,500 - Indus
8 Yugo 520 - Shayoke
9 Sher Qila 250 88 Gilgit
10 Kanch 420 122 Gilgit
11 Hamuchal 250 50 Gilgit
12 Glodas 200 20 Ishkoman
13 Sakarkoi 120 50 Gilgit
14 Gilgit near KIU 200 50 Hunza
15 Nasirabad 120 50 Hunza
16 Hassanabad/Altit 100 30 Hunza
17 Ganish 85 25 Hunza
18 Passu 45 10 Hunza
19 Hisper 30 10 Hisper
20 Doghro / Damel Shiger 35 10 Basha
21 Ghursey 50 20 Saltoro
22 Siksa 35 10 Shayoke
23 Olding 150 20 Suro/Karkit

36
Sub Total 24,980 565
II Sites On Sub-Tributaries
A Gilgit District River/Nullah
1 Kargah 120 10 Kargah Nullah
2 Sai Juglote 75 5 Sai Nullah
3 Nomal/Nalter 200 4 Nalter Nullah
4 Farfoo Bagrote 150 2 Bagrote Nullah
5 Haramosh 25 3 Khaltaro Nullah
6 Haramosh 40 5 Dasu Nullah
Sub Total 610 29
B Skardu District
1 Stak Phase-II 250 20 Stak Nullah
2 Talu Phase-II 45 5 Talu Nullah
3 Tormik Phase-III 35 5 Tormik Nullah
4 Kachura 50 Developed Kachura Nullah
5 Gole 3 1 Gole Nullah
6 Doro 10 3 Doro Nullah
7 Sermik Phase-IV 15 4 Sermik Nullah
8 Buro 15 2 Mehdiabad
9 Katisho 6 1 Mehdiabad
10 Tolti Phase-IV 10 2 Tolti Nullah
11 Kindrik Kharmang (II & III) 15 3 Kindrik Nullah
12 Girakhdo (MDS) 8 2 Girakh Nullah
13 Torgun 20 4 Torgun Nullah
14 Olding Phase-II 10 2 Olding Nullah
15 Shigar 12 3MW developed Shigar nullah
16 Hoo Phase-II 8 1 Hoo Nullah
17 Naislo Phase-II 7 2 Naislo Nullah

37
18 Besil 5 1 Besil Nullah
18 Arindo 5 1 Arindo Nullah
19 Gultari area 75 15 Gultari Nullah
Sub Total 604 74
C Diamer District
1 Thack Phase-III 25 2 Thack Nullah
2 Batogah Phase-VI 15 2 Batogah Nullah
3 Thore 12 2 Thore Nullah
4 Daril Phase-V 25 10 Daril Nullah
5 Tangir Phase-III 25 15 Tangir Nullah
Sub Total 102 31
D Ghizer District
1 Singul 15 Developed Singul Nullah
2 Barogah Ishkoman 35 10 Ishkoman
3 Hasis 3 1 Hasis Nullah
4 Haton on Gupis River 50 20 Gupis River
5 Grunger 3 1 Grunger Nullah
6 Buber Nullah 2.5 1 Bubur Nullah
7 Drapuk 3 1 Drapuk Nullah
8 Dalnati 3 1 Dalnati Nullah
9 Chatorkhand Nullah 2 1 Chatorkhan
10 Chantir Gah Ishkoman 25 10 Chantir Gah
11 Sosat 2 1 Sosat Nullah
12 Nolti 7 3 Nolti Nullah
13 Dahimal 8 3 Dahimal Nullah
14 Darmadar Phase-II 15 4 Darmadar
15 Handrub 10 2 Ghizer River
16 Thoi Khimat 5 1 Thoi Nullah

38
17 Madoli 3 1 Modoli Nullah
18 Serbal 3 1 Serbal Nullah
19 Chumarkhan (2 sites) 8 2 Chumarkhan
Sub Total 202.5 64
E Ghanche District
1 Thalley Phase-III 25 3 Thalley Nullah
2 Hushey 30 2 Hushey Nullah
3 Lachat 10 5 Kundus River
4 Thagus 2 1 Thagus Nullah
5 Farawa (Gulshan-e-Kabir) 3 1 Farawa Nullah
6 Saltoro 10 2 Saltoro River
Sub Total 80 14
F Astore District
1 Parishing-1 (Stage-II) 15 2 Parishing Nullah
2 Bubin Phase-II 20 5 Bubin Nullah
3 Ratu 5 2 Ratu Nullah
4 Gangodas 3 1 Gangodas Nullah
5 Aspey Phase-II 2 1 Aspey Nullah
6 Gahkoch 2 1 Gahkuch Nullah
7 Haton Phase-II 3 1 Haton Nullah
8 Daskharim 15 5 Mini Chilim
Sub Total 65 18
G Hunza-Nagar District
1 Hassanabad 25 Developed
2 Lupghar 3 1 Lupger Nullah
3 Shishkhut 3 1 Shishkhut Nullah
4 Dahiter Stage-II 10 2 Dahiter Nullah
5 Budalas Phase-II 25 4 Budalas Nullah

39
6 Chaprote 12 5 Chaprote Nullah
7 Bar 10 4 Bar Nullah
Sub Total 88 17
GRAND TOTAL 26,731.5 812

40
ANNEX-III:LOAD CENTERS WITH POPULATION
S# Load Center Category Population
1998
1 Gurikote A 15,785
2 Rehman Pur A 13,249
3 Botogah / Khiner A 10,185
4 Chilas A 17,212
5 Gohar Abad A 10,338
6 Guner Farm A 10,603
7 Thore / Hudor A 17,046
8 Gaber Tangir A 11,832
9 Juglote A 12,630
10 Manical A 13,707
11 Samical A 14,076
12 Khaplu A 13,119
13 Tause A 11,704
14 Chatrokhand A 10,240
15 Gahkuch / Bubar A 11,587
16 Ishkoman A 14,259
17 Damote / Sai Pain A 13,998
18 Danyour A 17,420
19 Gilgit A 40,363
20 Haramosh A 13,393
21 Nomal A 21,587
22 Oshkhandas / Jalal Abad A 14,735
23 Shukyote A 11,209
24 Shain Bar A 11,070
25 Gultari A 12,228
26 Shigari Khurd A 13,259

41
27 Skardu / Olding A 26,912
28 Stak A 10,791
Total 414,537
1 Bunji B 9,802
2 Chongrah B 9,981
3 Prishing B 7,630
4 Minimarg B 5,942
5 Zilabala B 9,656
6 Thak Nayat B 9,198
7 Khanbery / Dodushal B 8,235
8 Balghar B 6,112
9 Bara B 7,337
10 Karis B 7,162
11 Kharku B 6,193
12 Kuro B 8,766
13 Siksa B 7,868
14 Machlu B 5,676
15 Thagas B 5,610
16 Gupis B 5,881
17 Hundur / Sil Gan B 8,946
18 Phandar B 6822
19 Sumal B 5,934
20 Taru B 6,421
21 Thoi B 6,752
22 Yasin B 7,336
23 Saingal B 6,334
24 Sherqillah B 9,177
25 Bagrote B 5,962
26 Ali Abad B 8,735

42
27 Baltit B 5,168
28 Gujal No 2 B 7,348
29 Shinaki B 9,906
30 Fakar B 6,026
31 Gulmit B 5,139
32 Hoper B 6,707
33 Nagar B 7,516
34 Sikander Abad B 6,591
35 Sumayar B 8,887
36 Chunda B 6,405
37 Ganji B 6,717
38 Gole B 6,821
39 Kachura B 7,982
40 Kowardu B 8,059
41 Mendi B 9,623
42 Shigari Kalan B 9,921
43 Tormik B 7,969
44 Alchori B 6,362
45 Gulab Pur B 7,621
46 Markunja B 5,454
47 Tisar B 5,580
48 Baghicha B 5,417
49 Hamzigond B 5,010
50 Mehdi Abad B 6,788
51 Tarkati B 6,696
52 Tolti B 6,391
Total 375,572
1 Frano C 4,185
2 Thaley C 4,621

43
3 Ghursay C 4,413
4 Kundus C 2,800
5 Pharawa C 2,786
6 Saltoro C 2,797
7 Pingal C 4,986
8 Hatoon C 4,899
9 Chakarkote / Sai Bala C 4,820
10 Sakwar C 4,553
11 Altit C 4,710
12 Ganish C 2,959
13 Gujal No 1 C 4,100
14 Hyder Abad C 3,858
15 Hussain Abad C 3,977
16 Basha C 4,539
17 Braldo C 2,700
18 Chhurka C 4,184
19 Daso C 3,348
20 Marapi C 4,167
21 Nar C 1,992
22 Katisho C 3,906
23 Kharmang C 4,910
24 Memosh C 3,480
Total 93,690
Grand Total 883,799

44
Load Centers with their Connected Areas
Sr # Load Center Connected Areas
A Region # 1 – Gilgit
1 District Ghizer
1.1 Gupis / Yasin Sub Division
1.1.1 Gupis Gupis, Hamardass, Jandarote, Khalti
1.1.2 Hundur / Sil Gan Barkulti, Darkut Proper, Hundur, Omalsit
1.1.3 Phandar Dalomal, Ghashi, Phandar, Shamaran
1.1.4 Pingal Bathi, Dahimal, Noulti, Pingal, Thangai
1.1.5 Sumal Darmadar, Gamsing, Hakis, Roshan, Sumal
1.1.6 Taru Gulaghmooli, Hundrab, Taru
1.1.7 Tause Gojalti, Howalti, Nazbar, Qarkulti, Sandi Bala, Tause
1.1.8 Thoi Cheryat, Dalkoi, Daraskin, Darich, Haraf, Nolti, Shoote
1.1.9 Yasin Bejiyot, Damalgand, Gandai, Murkah, Nuh, Yasin
1.2 Punial / Ishkoman Sub Division
1.2.1 Chatrokhand
Anwar Abad, Asumbar, Chatrokhand Chinar, Dain, Kuchdeh,
Pakora, Barjungle, Shones
1.2.2 Ghakuch / Bubar
Anwar Bagh / Silpi Bala, Golodas, Bubar Bala & Pain, Juranjer,
Ghakuch, Kanchi
1.2.3 Hatoon Famani, Birgal, Hasis, Hatoon
1.2.4 Ishkoman Barjhugle, Batswat, Balhanz, Borth, Gishgish, Immit, Kolorang,
1.2.5 Saingul Gich, Gulmuti, Japuke, Singal, Thingdas
1.2.6 Sherqillah Dalnti, Gullapure, Sherqillah
2 District Gilgit
2.1 Gilgit Sub Division

45
2.1.1 Bagrote Bilchar, Bulchi, Datocha, Furfooh, Sinakar, Taisote
2.1.2
Chakarkote / Sai
Bala
Chakarkote, Ghasho, Maidan Chakarkote, Pahote, Sabil, Shamrote
2.1.3 Damote / Sai Pain Damote (Bala & Pain), Darote, Juglote Sai, Paidandas, Pari
2.1.4 Danyour Danyour, Hopa, Masnat, Didinddass
2.1.5 Gilgit
Jutial, Khomer/Nagral, Majini Mohallah/Kashrote, Amphare,
Burmas, Nopora/Baseen, Konodass
2.1.6 Haramosh
Chamo Ghar, Daso(Jutial), Khaltaro, Hanuchal, Dache, Kutwai,
Shuta, Shahtot, Sasi
2.1.7 Nomal
Juglote / Nomal, Jutal, Darchin, Barche, Naltar Bala & Paeen,
Nomal, Darukush, Rahimabad, Sultanabad
2.1.8
Oshkhandas / Jalal
Abad
Jalal Abad, Batkor, Sianken, Oshkandas
2.1.9 Sakwar Minawar, Sakwar
2.1.10 Shukyote
Bargo Bala, Bargo Pain, Hanzel, Shilmish, Jagir Basin, Karagh,
Sharote, Shukyote
3 District Hunza – Nagar (Proposed)
3.1 Hunza Sub Division
3.1.1 Ali Abad Ali Abad, Hassanabad, Murtzabad
3.1.2 Altit Ahmad Abad, Altit, Attabad, Faizabad, Gamasaret, Sarrat
3.1.3 Baltit Karim Abad (Baltit)
3.1.4 Ganish Ganish (Kalan), Garelt, Garm Ganish, Mominabad
3.1.5 Gujal No 1
Ainabad, Buriat, Gulkin, Gulmit/Chaman Gul, Hussani, Passu,
Shimshal, Shishket Bala
3.1.6 Gujal No 2
Aspanji, Galapan, Gircha, Khudabad, Khyber, Kill, Kirmin,
Markhoon, Misgar, Ramingi, Reshet, Shehr Subz, Shitmarg, Sost,
Nazimabad, Yarzirich, Zudkhun
3.1.7 Hyder Abad Door Khan, Hyderabad
3.1.8 Shinaki Hussain Abad, Khanabad, Khizerabad, Mayoon, Nasirabad (Hindi)

46
3.2 Nagar Sub Division
3.2.1 Fakar Dadiamal, Fakar, Miachar
3.2.2 Gulmit Gulmit, Masote, Minapin, Murko, Pison, Yal
3.2.3 Hoper Broshal, Hakalshal, Hisper, Rath/Hoper/Ratal
3.2.4 Nagar Ghotas, Hamari, Haraigiram, Konjo Koshal, Helo Koshal, Thole
3.2.5 Shain Bar
Barkhas, Budulas, Chalt Bala & Pain, Chaporate, Dodaydas,
Gowachi Bala, Mamushdiding, Rabbat Bala & Pain, Sonokoote,
Tarbatedas
3.2.6 Sikander Abad Hopaye, Jaffarabad, Nilt, Skanderabad, Thole
3.2.7 Sumayar
B Region # 2 – Baltistan
4 District Skardu
4.1 Skardu Sub Division
4.1.1 Chunda Chunda, Hotto, Tandal, Tinjus
4.1.2 Ganji Ganji, Talu, Talu Broq, Yulbo
4.1.3 Gole Duro, Gole, Sermik, Shila
4.1.4 Gultari
Bunyal, Frahsat, Gultari, Guniyal, Karabosh, Kooner, Phultak,
Showaran, Thali, Thanote
4.1.5 Hussain Abad Gamostur, Hussainabad, Nansoq, Thurgo Bala & Pain
4.1.6 Kachura Basho, Kachura, Mardacho, Pandas, Parang Ghalcho, Shagar Thang
4.1.7 Kowardu Kowardu, Qumara, Stran Lungma
4.1.8 Mendi
Askoyo, Bilamik, Hango, Harbot, Hardas, Harpoh, Mendi,
Nawashehar,Shoat, Thorche
4.1.9 Shigari Kalan Gamba Skardu, Hoto Ranga, Ranga, Shigari Bala & Kalan
4.1.10 Shigari Khurd
Astana, Giayul, Katpana, Khalang Ranga, Kushmara, New Ranga,
Satpara, Shigari Khurd, Sondus
4.1.11 Skardu / Olding Olding, Satellite Town, Khargrong, Kushmara, Chummik,

47
Sukmaidan, Gangupe
4.1.12 Stak Lashi Thang, Shingus, Stak, Thowar, Triko
4.1.13 Tormik Baghardu, Baghicha, Chhari, Dasu, Tormik, Tungus
4.2 Shigar Sub Division
4.2.1 Alchori Alchori, Bharinig Bama, Hashopi, Kashmal, Mango, Sildi, Yuno
4.2.2 Basha Arando, Bain, Bisil, Dogro, Doko, Saisko, Sibri
4.2.3 Braldo
Askoli, Chongo, Hoto, Kurfa, Monjing, Pakora, Sino, Surongo,
Thongul, Tistay
4.2.4 Chhurka Chhurka, Rissar
4.2.5 Daso Biano, Daso, Foljo, Gomru, Nid, Sidar, Tiston
4.2.6 Gulab Pur Bundo, Gulab Pur, Niali, WazirPur
4.2.7 Marapi
Barq Chun, Ginapi Rupi, Kothang Bala & Pain, Marapi, Sarfa Ranga,
Tutkhor Khurd
4.2.8 Markunja Markunja, Memd Chanmo, Thungmo, Tutkhor Kalan
4.2.9 Nar Goro, Nar, Narbuchung
4.2.10 Tisar Chutron, Demal, Hamisal, Niaslo, Thurgo, Tisar
4.3 Kharmang Sub Division
4.3.1 Baghicha Baghicha , Ingut, Mayordu, Pari
4.3.2 Hamzigond
Chechetheng, Ganokh, Ghavis, Hamzigond, Marol/Dansor,
Palpaldo, Sinkarmo
4.3.3 Katisho Chatpa, Dapa, Katisho, Koltor, Tolty Bruq
4.3.4 Kharmang Ghandus, Kharmang, Kindrik, Thang
4.3.5 Mehdi Abad
Bedong, Dogbar, Ghashing, Mantho, Manthoka, Mehdiabad, Panda,
Serling
4.3.6 Memosh
Brisil 2, Brolmo Bilargo, Brolmo9Bresil 1), Memosh/Memosh
Thang
4.3.7 Tarkati Hargosil, Olding, Shiriting, Tarkati, Torghon

48
4.3.8 Tolti Kamango, Kusuro, Madopur, Saindo, Tolti
5 District Ghanche
5.1 Khaplu Sub Division
5.1.1 Balghar Balghar, Doghni
5.1.2 Bara Bara, Kharfak, Yogu
5.1.3 Frano Frano, Marchha, Partuk, Thagmos Kalan
5.1.4 Karis Gon, Makhro, Thakhor
5.1.5 Khaplu Khaplu
5.1.6 Kharku Kharku, Saling, Sogho
5.1.7 Kuro Ghuwari, Kunis, Kuro
5.1.8 Siksa Chuwarsiari, Dawoo, Hassan Abad, Kuwas, Piun, Siksa
5.1.9 Thaley Thaley
5.2 Mashabbrum Sub Division
5.2.1 Ghursay Abadan, Ghursay, Lungkha, Surmo, Yochung
5.2.2 Kundus Karmani, Khorkon, Lachhat, Talcho Chhogogrong, Thang
5.2.3 Machlu Hushey, Kandey, Machlu, Marzigond, Talis
5.2.4 Pharawa Domsum, Pharawa
5.2.5 Saltoro Chuligond, Gaglod, Goma, Mandik, Sehat
5.2.6 Thagas Baley Gond, Haldi, Khaney, Sini-Barq Khor, Thagas, Tholdi
C Region # 3 – Diamer
6 District Astore
6.1 Astore Sub Division
6.1.1 Bunji Bulachi, Bunji, Dashkin, Doyan, Khud Kisht, Turbling
6.1.2 Chongrah Bulan, Chongrah, Eid Gah, Harcho, Patipura

49
6.1.3 Prishing Fina, Gutumsar, Loas, Prishing
6.2 Shunter Sub Division
6.2.1 Gurikote
Ahmad Abad, Bubino, Dashkarm, Gudai, Gurikote, Nowgam,
Pakorah
6.2.2 Minimarg Kolashi Bala, Kolashi Pain, Mapnu Abad, Minimarg, Piswari, Qamari
6.2.3 Rehman Pur Chorite, Chugam, Rattu, Rehman Pur, Terashing, Zia Pur
6.2.4 Zilabala
Dirlah Bala, Dirlah Pain, Faqir Kot, Frucha, Gashat, Gomai, Ispa,
Marmay, Mirmalik, Sakamal
2 District Diamir
7.1 Chilas Sub Division
7.1.1 Botogah / Khiner Botogah, Gichi, Khiner
7.1.2 Chilas Chilas, Barushki, Basha, Thalpan
7.1.3 Gohar Abad Bargin, Durrang, Gas Bala, Gas Pain, Gohar Abad, Jilli Pur, Thalichi
7.1.4 Guner Farm
Bunar Das, Bunar Khas, Dong, Ginna, Guner Farm, Lachre, Muthat,
Tato
7.1.5 Thak Nayat Nayat, Thak / Babusar
7.1.6 Thore / Hudor Hudor, Minar, Thore, Thurli
7.2 Darel / Tangir Sub Division
7.2.1 Gaber Tangir
Bagyot, Bashkomal, Bayoon, Dabas, Darkali Bala, Darkali Pain,
Doong, Gali Bala, Karonga Bala, Karonga Pain, Khami Kote &
Baskomal, Koochi, Mushka, Pabay, Phaphat, Phuruli, Sabokote,
Sairy, Shabnial
7.2.2 Juglote Diamir, Gali Pain, Juglote, Lurk, Rim, Shaikho, Shumari
7.2.3
Khanbery /
Dodushal
Baylo, Charkail, Cheeter, Cheeter Dasway, Daboote, Dunial, Gichier,
Hodocal, Jut, Khurin, Koh, Kot, Manin, Naray, Nimi, Sair, Suwach,
Thilkuch
7.2.4 Manical
Byady,Chachly, Dalote, Geoute, Jadooree, Junishal, Kehtea, Latee,
Manikal Bala, Manikal Pain, New Cote, Padial, Shahi Mehal, Sheout
7.2.5 Samigal
Bachi, Badan, Beshal, Gayal, Gumari, Hilati, Kabosh, Katokuch,
Majinee, Phuguch, Samigal Bala, Samigal Pain, Shagray, Tabote

50
ANNEX-IV:COSTBTEAKDOWN OF TWO ACTUAL SITES
1.NAME OF PROJECT: 18 MW, NALTER-IV
(GENERAL INFORMATION)
CAPACITY: 18MW
APPROVEDCOST: Rs. 1,360.214 Mill
MODE OF FINANCE: 72% Credit Loan From EXIMBank of China an28% GOP Share.
DATE OF START: 29th July 2003
DATE OF COMPLETION: 31ST DECEMBER2006
JOINTOPERATIONPERIOD: 01 Year after completion of the Project.
NAME OF CONSULTANT: Associated Consulting Engineers
(ACE)Lahore
NAME OFCONTRACTOR: China Liaoning International Economic & TechnicalCooperation
Corp. Group Ltd. (CLIC) P.RChina
TYPE OFCONTRACT: Turn Key
AREAS TO BE BENEFITED: Gilgit Town& Surrounding Area.
BOTTLENECKS FACED
 Over all delay for 05 months due to law & order situation in Gilgit.
 Delay in passing of land compensation awards by Deputy Commissioner Gilgit despite depositing of
Rs. 20.400 million in June 2005.
 Delay in receipt of acquaintance rolls.
 Temporary displacement of 140 households of Nalter Paeen due to earth work/ blasting on power
channel.
 Resettlement and compensation of damages/crops.
 Delay in extension of Loan agreement by the Finance DivisionIslamabad.
 Delay in issuance of NOC by the Ministry of KA & NA to the Engineers of Water & Power Department
for inspection of machinery at the works of manufacturer in China and delay in shipment of the
Turbo Generating sets.
 Blockade of KKH at Shishkat due to avalanche upto last week of June, 2006 and frequent blockade of
KKH due to slides delayed transportation of material/equipment from

51
TECHNICAL FEATURES
CAPACITY: 18MW
(GENERATION DURING LEAN FLOW PERIOD: FEBRUARY, MARCH
 Peak Hours: 18MW
 Off Peak Hours: 8.5MW
NUMBER OF UNITS: 03 (6MW Each)
TYPE OF TURBINE: Pelton
DESIGN DISCHARGE: 5.10m3/S (3x1.70)
NET HEAD: 419 m
LIVE STORAGE CAPACITY OF FRONTBAY: 36,000m3
ENERGY GENERATION PER ANNUM: 112.64GWh
GENERATION VOLTAGE: 11 KV
TRANSMISSION VOLTAGE: 66 KV
NO. OF TOWERS: 106 NOS.
HEIGHT OF TOWERS: 17.7-28 Meters
SPAN OF TOWERS: 65-479 Meters
POWER LOSSES IN
TRANSMISSION LINE: 5%
PENSTOCK PIPE: 02 Km
DIAMETER OF PENSTOCK: 1.2 Meter
THICKNESS OF PENSTOCK: 8-20 mm
POWER CHANNEL: 4Km RCC (1.8 Km Cover Slab)
STEPUP SWITCHING STATION: 11/66 KV
GRID STATION: 66/11 KV
No. OF 11KV OUTGOING
FEEDERS AT GRID STATION: 06
CONSTRUCTION COST PER KW: Rs. 83,671/-
PRODUCTION COST

52
PER UNIT (KWh): Rs.1.85
DIVERSION WEIR: 17 Meter
DE-SILTING BASIN: 800 m2
POWER CHANNEL: 4.12 Km
POWER HOUSE: 616 m2
TURBO GENERATOR: 03 Nos
AUXILIARY STATION: 258 m2
STEPUP STATION (11/66KV): 1426 m2
STEPUP TRANSFORMER
15MVA (11/66KVA): 02 Nos
INCOMING & OUTGOING CIRCUIT
BREAKERS IN THE STEPUP STATION: 05 Nos
TRANSMISSION LINE (66 KV): 28 Km
GRID STATION AT GILGIT: 3350 m2
STEPDOWN TRANSFORMERS
15MVA (66/11KV): 02 Nos
INCOMING & OUTGOING
CIRCUIT BREAKERS IN THE GRID STATION: 12 Nos
APPROACH ROAD: 14.5 Km
RCC BRIDGE (100M SPAN) OVER HUNZA RIVER: 01 No
COMPONENT WISE COMPLETION COST
Approved Cost of the Project: Rs. 1,360.214 million
Foreign Aid from EXIM Bank of China US$ 16,310,011.00
S# Description Amount ($US) Amount (Rs.)
A. Civil Work
1 Survey and Design charges 696,084.11 41,765,046.60
2 Spill Way Dam 43,4691.00 26,081,460.00

53
3 Water Intake Gates 30,725.00 1,843,500.00
4 Open Diversion Channel 1,030,733.00 61,843,980.00
5 Sand and Water Drainage Gates 32,528.00 1,951,680.00
6 Forebay 1,689,625.00 101,377,500.00
7 Power House Foundation 223,303.00 13,398,180.00
8 Power House 181,965.00 10,917,900.00
9 Tailrace 10,530.00 631,800.00
10 Support Pillars of Penstock 141,526.00 8,491,560.00
11 Construction of Approach Road, improvement and re-alignment of existing roads
Nomal-Nalter
439,215.68 26,352,940.80
12 Construction of RCC Bridge over Hunza River 833,333.32 49,999,999.20
13 Additional Cost for Change of Structure from stone masonry to RCC 1160000.00 69600000.00
Sub- total: 6,904,259.11 414,255,546.6
B. E&M Work
1 Penstock pipe 1,515,559.00 90,933,540.00
2 Support for Penstock Pipe 32,205.00 1,932,300.00
3 Turbo Generating Sets 3,587,635.00 215,258,100.00
4 Lifting Equipment 41,605.00 2,496,300.00
5 Auxiliary Equipment 12,276.00 736,560.00
6 Electric Equipment 2473920.00 148,435,200.00
7 Spare Parts 17,749.00 1,064,940.00
8 Transmission Line 1,023,456.00 61,407,360.00
9 Installation of above items 769,564.00 46,173,840.00
10 Step-up Transformers of Power House 225,355.00 13,521,300.00
11 Grid Station i/c all Civil and E&M work 1,374,000.00 82,440,000.00
12 Joint Operation Cost 5,964.00 357,840.00
13 Tax & Duties 1,184,249.00 71,054,940.00
14 Insurance of the Project 200,000.00 12,000,000.00
Sub- total: 12,463,537.00 747,812,220.0
C. General Items
1 Construction of Site Office 7445,000.00
2 Construction of Camp Accommodation 4,963,000.00
3 Vehicles, Motorcycles, Truck and Computers 13,060,000.00
4 3% contingencies 37,738,000.00
5 2% provision for PMU & W.C. staff 25,159,000.00

54
6 Consultancy services 26,325,000.00
Sub- total: 114,690,000.0
D. Land Compensation
1 Land Compensation (Stage-I) 26,930,000.00
2 Land Compensation (Paid through PC-I) 17,720,000.00
Sub- total: 44,650,000.00
Grand total (A+B+C+D): 193,677,96.11 1,321,407,766.6
E. Detail of Payment made to EXIM Bank of China
1 Commitment Fee 138,681.50 8,185,554.00
2 Management Fee 40,775.75 2,347,868.00
3 Interest 2,557,408.06 174,142,322.00
Sub- total: 2,736,865.31 184,675,744.0
Total Project completion cost (A+B+C+ D + E) 22,104,661.00 1,506,083,510.6
LAND AND TREES ACQUIRED FOR CONSTRUCTION
TOTAL LAND ACQUIRED: 140 Kanals
PRIVATE CULTIVATED: 40 Kanals
PRIVATE UN- CULTIVATED: 35Kanals
GOVT. BARREN LAND: 65 Kanals
TREES OF DIFFERENT KINDS AND SIZES: 4,000 Nos.
MANPOWER ENGAGED ON THE PROJECT
CLIENT: 3 Engineers and 15 staff.
CONSULTANT (ACE): 03 Engineers and 07 staff with back-up Design Experts in Head Office, Lahore.
CHINESE CONTRACTOR
Chinese Engineers & Workers: 226
Local Laborers: 80

55
MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT DEPLOYED ON THE PROJECT
CLIENT: 03 Pick ups and 04 Motorcycles
CONSULTANT (ACE): 02 Vehicles
CONTRACTOR
Vehicle: 05
Winch Machine: 02
Excavator: 05
AC Welding Machine: 06
Bulldozer: 02
DC Welding Machine: 02
Loader: 02
Electric Saw: 02
Roller: 01
Hook Bending Machine: 02
Dump Truck: 06
Steel Bar Cutting machine: 02
Tip Truck: 04
Concrete Cube Press machine: 01
Mobile Crane: 02
Concrete Vibration Table: 01
Air Compressor: 12
Laboratory Equipment: Complete Set
 Drill Machine: 14
 Concrete Mixer Mobile: 06
Diesel Generator: 06
Stone Crushing Machine: 03
Concrete Batching Plant: 02
Sieving Machine: 02

56
Concrete Vibrator Machine: 05
Water Pump: 12
Pneumatic Pick: 05
SECURITY ARRANGEMENTS FOR CHINESE WORKERS
 SUPERVISION AND PATROLLING BY ARMY
 DSP KEY POINTS IG OFFICE GILGIT WAS INCHARGE OF SECURITY ARRANGEMENTS.
 01 PLATOON OF N.A SCOUTS AT HURMAY NALTER PAEEN
 1x10 POLICE AT HURMAY NALTER PAEEN
 1 PLATOON N.A SCOUTS AT NOMAL CHINESE CAMP AND MICRO POWER HOUSE
 1x5 F.C AT GRID STATION SITE GILGIT
 2 SECURITY OFFICERS OF WATER & POWER DEPARTMENT
 ALONG WITH 22 WATCH AND WARD PERSONS FOR THE SCATTERED EQUIPMENTS
 AND MATERIALS IN BETWEEN RAHIMABAD TO NALTER
RCC BRIDGE-SALIENT FEATURES
SPAN: 100m (330 ft)
CLEARED WIDTH: 5.4m (17.71ft)
LOADING CAPACITY: 40 Tons
DRILLED PILES: 08
DEPTH OF PILES: 22m (7ft)
DIAMETER OF PILES: 1.5m (5.7ft)
COMPLETION COST: Rs. 47.50 Mill. (US$ 0.833 Mill.)
CONSTRUCTION COST PER METER: Rs. 0.475 Million
COMPLETION TIME (06 Months): October, 2004 to March, 2005

57
COMPONENT WISE COMPLETION COST OF E & M WORK
COST OF MACHINERY i/c TURBINE, EXCITATION SYSTEM, GOVERNING SYSTEM, PROTECTION SYSTEM, AUTOMATION SYSTEM,
MAIN VALVE, HIGH VOLTAGE PANELS ETC COMPLETE;
For 03 Units 3 x 63,000,000: Rs.189,000,000
PENSTOCK PIPE: 1.9 Km Rs. 300,000,000
TRANSMISSION LINE: 28 Km Rs.158,567,280
SWITCH YARD AT POWER HOUSE: 01 No. Rs.82,440,000
GRID STATION AT GILGIT: 01No. Rs.82,440,000
11KV FEEDERS AT GRID STATION: 08 Nos. Rs.3,021,600
Total: 815,468,880

58
2. NAME OF PROJECTS: 02 MW HYDROPOWER PROJECT TALU
S# ITEM OF WORKS SIZE COST (Rs. Mill)
1 Land compensation
· Private Cultivable land 10 Kanal11 Marlas 909938.00 2.723
· Private Un Cultivable land 05 Marlas 18687. 50
· Govt land 06 Kanal10 Marlas Nil
17 Kanals 06 Marlas
Structural Damages and Trees of various sizes 732 Nos 1794375.00
Total 2723000.50
2 Head works 15’ 0.348
3 Power Channeli/c by pass channel 655 ‘ 5.856
4 Sand trap / de-settling basin 100’ x 26’ x 15’ 7.4
5 Fore bay 30’ x 26’ x 15’
6 RCC pipe pedestal i/c anchor block Pillars 174 Nos 5.796
7 Tailrace 350’x 3’ x 4’ 7.798
8 Power House 2100 Sft
9 Waste way and spill channel 450’ 2.617
10 Duty room 638 Sft
(Stone masonry work i/c RCC ) 1.031
11 Sub Station 1248 sft
12 Billing office (03 Nos) 3No 2967 Sft
13
Re- const. of damaged public channeland structure ( Stone
masonry )
850 Rft 0.901
14 Access Road 450 Rft 0.102
15 RCC bridge (40ft Span) 2 No 40ft Span 5.553
16 RCC Culverts (3.5 ft Span) 8 No 0.867
17 Widening /Imp. Of existing road 4.18 Km 2.438
18 Strengthening of existing suspension bridge over Indus River 300 Rft 4.086
19
HDP pipe from head work to fore bay for passing of water to
irrigation purpose
1000 Rft 0.448
21 Support wall for settling tank/ fore bay 200’ 0.647
22 Barbed wire fencing 2100’ 1.56
23 Anchor block of Y-joint 7 Nos. 2.301
Total 58.295

59
E&M WORKS
S# Item of Work Size Completion Cost (Rs. mill)
1 T/G set 1250 KVA capacity 02 Nos 103.631
02) Penstock pipe 28″ dia of various thickness
100 rft = 20mm 40.955
a) 650 rft = 15mm
b) 525 rft = 12mm
c) 1125 rft = 09mm
d) 1300rft = 06mm
3 (a)Transmission line 11 KV 14 Km 15.76
(b) Ttransformers 630 KVA x 4
4 Telecommunication Base 1.681
Total:- 163.532
4 Furniture 0.76
5 POL 2.884
6 Staff Supervision 6.38
Sub Total:- 173.556
Total (A+B):- 231.851
7 5% (3%Contingencies+2%workcharge staff) (A+B) 9.517
Grand Total: 241.368

60
SALIENT FEATURES
Description Talu Roundu
Design discharge 0.85 m3/s
Gross head 338m
Installed capacity 2MW
Average annual energy 9.68 GWh
Load factor 40%
Plane factor 56%
Penstock length 1159 m
Type of turbine Pelton wheel
No of units (Turbine) 02 No
Rated flow per unit 0.425 m3/s
Generator Out put 2 x 1000 KW
Transformer capacity 4 x 630 KVA
Total Cost Rs 241.368 Million
Installed cost per KW Rs. 241.368/-
EIRR 23.45
FIRR 15.31
BC Ratio 1.37
Unit cost per KWh Rs 2.15

61
ANNEX-V:RANKINGOF PRIORITIZEDPROJECTS
EVALUATION SHEET FOR RANKING OF SITES
EVALUATION / RANKING OF SITES FOR SELECTION OF MOST PROMISING SITES
SR.NO.
Evaluation
(Parameter
(Factor)
RATIONALE FOR THE SELECTED PARAMETER
WalkingTrackExitsnew
RoadRequired
ApproachRoadExistsbut
requiresmajorrepairs
moderatelevelrepairs
required
requiresminorrepairs
SiteApproachablewithout
anydifficulty/Good
ApproachRoadExists
PointsScored
ImportanceoftheEvaluated
factor(Weightagemultiplier)
Weightageoftheevaluated
factor
1 2 3 4 5
1 Accessibilityto
Site
If the site iseasilyaccessible /approachable,
transportationismuchfaster.Thisparametercan
significantlyaffectaproject'sschedule andcost. 3
S # Name of Project Capacity (MW)
01
20MW HydroPowerProject
Hanzel Gilgit
20 ● 5 3 15
02
10 MW Hydro PowerProject
TormikPh-IISkardu
10 ● 5 3 15
03
Ghowari Ghanche
30 ● 5 3 15
04
HassanabadHunza
5 ● 5 3 15
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro
PowerProjectHamaranBilchar
Bagrote Gilgit(unapproved)
3.5 ● 1 3 3

62
06
Constructionof 01 MW Hydro
PowerProjectDanyore Gilgit
(unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
07
PowerProjectManthokhaPh-II
Skardu(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
08
Tolti Ph-IIISkardu(unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
09
02 MW HhydroPowerProject
Ganji RounduSkardu
(unapproved)
2 ● 1 3 3
10
PowerProjectatRiakote Muthat
Diamer(unapproved)
1.5 ● 3 3 9
11
NazbarPh-IIGhizer
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
12
SherqillaPh-IIIGhizer
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
13
PowerProjectatSaltoro(Seth)
Ghanche (unapproved)
1.5 ● 3 3 9
14
PowerProjectDichal Dashkin
Astore (unapproved)
2 ● 1 3 3
15
powerProjectYeshleto Astore
Stage-1(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSets
and alliedCivil worksforStage-II
4 ● 4 3 12

63
Gudai Astore (unapproved)
17
PowerProjectatTarishing
Astore (unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectat
HisperRiverNagar-1,Hunza-
Nagar (unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
19
1.700 MW HydroPowerProject
HassanabadPh-V Hunza,Hunza-
Nagar (unapproved)
1.7 ● 3 3 9
20
at ChaltNagar-II, Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12
21
Mayon Hunza,Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
0.5 ● 2 3 6
22 Hamuchal Ghizer(Rawsite) 50 ● 4 3 12
23 GolodasGhizer(Rawsite) 20 ● 4 3 12
24 PassuGojal Hunza (Rawsite) 10 ● 1 3 3
25 HisperNagar (Rawsite) 10 ● 1 3 3
26 Nomal / NalterGilgit (Rawsite) 4 ● 4 3 12
27
Haramosh DasuNullahGilgit
(Rawsite)
3 ● 4 3 12

64
28
Haramosh KhaltroNullahGilgit
(Rawsite)
5 ● 3 3 9
29
Stak Phase-IIRounduSkardu
(Rawsite)
20 ● 4 3 12
30
Talu Phase-IIRounduSkardu
(Rawsite)
5 ● 3 3 9
31
TormikPhase-IIIRounduSkardu
(Rawsite)
5 ● 3 3 9
32 Doro Skardu(Rawsite) 3 ● 3 3 9
33
SermikPhase-IVSkardu(Raw
site)
4 ● 4 3 12
34
Buro KatishoNullahSkardu(Raw
site)
2 ● 4 3 12
35
Hoo shigarPhase-IISkardu(Raw
site)
1 ● 2 3 6
36
NaisloshigarPhase-IISkardu
(Rawsite)
2 ● 2 3 6
37 Besil shigarSkardu (Rawsite) 1 ● 2 3 6
38 ArindoshigarSkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 2 3 6
39 darel Phase-V Diamer(Rawsite) 10 ● 4 3 12
40
Tangir Phase-IIIDiamer(Raw
site)
15 ● 4 3 12
41
Barogah IshkomanGhizer(Raw
site)
10 ● 3 3 9

65
42
Hoton onGupisRiverGhizer
(Rawsite)
20 ● 4 3 12
43 Dalnati Ghizer(Rawsite) 1 ● 4 3 12
44
Darmadar Phase-IIGhizer(Raw
site)
4 ● 2 3 6
45 HandrubGhizer(Raw site) 2 ● 3 3 9
46
Parishing-1(Stage-II) Astore
(Raw site)
2 ● 4 3 12
47 BubinPhase-IIAstore (Rawsite) 5 ● 3 3 9
48 DahiterStagte-IIHunza-Nagar 2 ● 4 3 12
49
BudalasPhase-IIHunza-Nagar
(Rawsite)
4 ● 3 3 9
50
Chaprote Hunza-Nagar(Raw
site)
5 ● 2 3 6
Total: 318.2

66
NationalGridis
availablemore
than400Km
NationalGridis
availableMore
than300Km
NationalGridis
availableMore
than200Km
NationalGridis
availableMore
than100Km
NationalGridis
available
within50Km
PointsScored
Importanceofthe
Evaluatedfactor
(Weightage
multiplier)
Weightageofthe
evaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
2 Proximity
to the
National
Grid.
Proximitytonational gridhasmajorimpactin terms
of easierconnectivitywiththe mainload centers,
certainty formaximumutilizationof energy and
attractive forthe private investors.
3
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
01 20MW HydroPowerProjectHanzel Gilgit 20 ● 3 3 9
02 10 MW Hydro PowerProjectTormikPh-IISkardu 10 ● 2 3 6
03 30 MW Hydro PowerProjectGhowari Ghanche 30 ● 1 3 3
04 05 MW Hydro PowerProjectHassanabadHunza 5 ● 2 3 6
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro PowerProject
Hamaran BilcharBagrote Gilgit(unapproved)
3.5 ● 3 3 9
06
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectDanyore
Gilgit(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
07
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProject
ManthokhaPh-IISkardu(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
08
01 MW Hydro PowerProjectTolti Ph-IIISkardu
(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3

67
09
02 MW HhydroPowerProjectGanji RounduSkardu
(unapproved)
2 ● 2 3 6
10
Constructionof 1.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectat
Riakote MuthatDiamer(unapproved)
1.5 ● 4 3 12
11
01 MW Hydro PowerProjectNazbarPh-IIGhizer
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
12
01 MW Hydro PowerProjectSherqillaPh-IIIGhizer
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
13
Saltoro(Seth) Ghanche (unapproved)
1.5 ● 1 3 3
14
Constructionof 02 MW HydroPowerProjectDichal
DashkinAstore (unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
15
Constructionof 02 MW HydropowerProjectYeshleto
Astore Stage-1(unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSetsandalliedCivil works
for Stage-IIGudai Astore (unapproved)
4 ● 2 3 6
17
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectat
TarishingAstore (unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectatHisperRiverNagar-1,
Hunza-Nagar(unapproved)
2 ● 2 3 6
19
1.700 MW HydroPowerProjectHassanabadPh-V
Hunza,Hunza-Nagar(unapproved)
1.7 ● 2 3 6
20
0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectat ChaltNagar-II,
0.5 ● 2 3 6
21
0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectMayon Hunza,Hunza-
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 2 3 6

68
27 Haramosh Gilgit(Rawsite) 3 ● 3 3 9
29 Stak Phase-IIRounduSkardu (Rawsite) 20 ● 2 3 6
30 Talu Phase-IIRounduSkardu(Rawsite) 5 ● 2 3 6
31 TormikPhase-IIIRounduSkardu(Rawsite) 5 ● 2 3 6
33 SermikPhase-IVSkardu(Rawsite) 4 ● 1 3 3
34 Buro KatishoNullahSkardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 1 3 3
35 Hoo shigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 1 3 3
36 NaisloshigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 1 3 3

69
37 Besil shigarSkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 1 3 3
38 ArindoShigarSkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 1 3 3
39 Darel Phase-V Diamer(Rawsite) 10 ● 4 3 12
40 Tangir Phase-IIIDiamer(Rawsite) 15 ● 4 3 12
41 Barogah IshkomanGhizer(Rawsite) 10 ● 3 3 9
42 Hotoonon GupisRiverGhizer(Rawsite) 20 ● 4 3 12
44 Darmadar Phase-IIGhizer(Rawsite) 4 ● 4 3 12
46 Parishing-1(Stage-II) Astore(Rawsite) 2 ● 3 3 9
48 DahiterStagte-IIHunza-Nagar(Rawsite) 2 ● 3 3 9
49 BudalasPhase-IIHunza-Nagar(Rawsite) 4 ● 3 3 9
50 Chaprote Hunza-Nagar(Rawsite) 5 ● 3 3 9

70
LocalGridis
available
morethan50
Km
LocalGridis
available
within-50Km
LocalGridis
available
within20Km
LocalGridis
available
within10Km
LocalGridis
available
within5Km
PointsScored
Importanceofthe
Evaluatedfactor
(Weightage
multiplier)
Weightageofthe
evaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
3 Proximityto
the Local
Grid
Availabilityof local gridinclose proximityof site
has majorimpactin termsof time/costsavingand
properdistributionof powergeneration.
3
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
04 05 MW Hydro PowerProject HassanabadHunza 5 ● 3 3 9
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectHamaran
BilcharBagrote Gilgit(unapproved)
3.5 ● 3 3 9
06
Gilgit(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
07
Construction of 01 MW HydroPowerProject
1 ● 3 3 9
08
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9

71
09
(unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
10
Constructionof 1.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectat Riakote
Muthat Diamer(unapproved)
1.5 ● 2 3 6
11
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
12
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
13
Constructionof 1.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectat Saltoro
(Seth) Ghanche (unapproved)
1.5 ● 3 3 9
14
2 ● 3 3 9
15
2 ● 4 3 12
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSetsandalliedCivil worksfor
Stage-IIGudai Astore (unapproved)
4 ● 3 3 9
17
1 ● 2 3 6
18
2 ● 4 3 12
19
1.7 ● 4 3 12
20
0.5 ● 4 3 12
21
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12

72
29 Stak Phase-IIRounduSkardu(Rawsite) 20 ● 2 3 6

73

74
perKwcostinthe
rangeofUS$2500
andabove
perKwcostinthe
rangeofUS$2000
to2499
perKwcostinthe
rangeofUS$1500
to1999
perKwcostinthe
rangeofUS$1001
to1499
perKwcostisup
toupUS$1000
PointsScored
Importanceofthe
Evaluatedfactor
(Weightagemultiplier)
Weightageofthe
evaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
4 Cost/kW
installed
(Where
available)
Availabilityof sustaineddischarge,highhead,less
expensesonthe relatedworks(includingCivil
works,eletromechanjical systems,penstocksetc.)
have directimpacton the Cost of per kW of the
installedcapacity. 2
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
05
3.5 ● 4 3 12

75
06
Gilgit(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
07
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectManthokha
Ph-IISkardu(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
08
(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
09
(unapproved)
2 ● 2 3 6
10
1.5 ● 2 3 6
11
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
12
(unapproved)
1 ● 1 3 3
13
1.5 ● 2 3 6
14
2 ● 2 3 6
15
2 ● 3 3 9
16
4 ● 5 3 15
17
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectat Tarishing
Astore (unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectat HisperRiverNagar-1,
2 ● 4 3 12
19
1.700 MW HydroPowerProjectHassanabadPh-V Hunza,
1.7 ● 3 3 9

76
20
0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectat ChaltNagar-II,Hunza-
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 1 3 3
21
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 2 3 6

77
34 Buro KatishoNullah Skardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 1 3 3
39 darel Phase-V Diamer(Rawsite) 10 ● 1 3 3
42 Hoton onGupisRiverGhizer(Rawsite) 20 ● 1 3 3

78

79
Altitudeabove
9000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
8000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
7000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
6000feetAMSL
Altitudebelow
5000feetAMSL
PointsScored
Importanceofthe
Evaluatedfactor
(Weightage
multiplier)
Weightageofthe
evaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
5 Altitude of the
Site above
mean sea level
A site locatedatloweraltitude will have longer
workingseason, whichhassignificantimpactonthe
cost of the project. 2
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
05
3.5 ● 4 3 12
06
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectDanyore Gilgit
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
07
1 ● 3 3 9
08
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9

80
09
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
10
1.5 ● 5 3 15
11
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
12
(unapproved)
1 ● 5 3 15
13
1.5 ● 2 3 6
14
Constructionof 02 MW HydroPowerProjectDichal Dashkin
Astore (unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
15
2 ● 4 3 12
16
4 ● 3 3 9
17
Astore (unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
18
2 ● 3 3 9
19
1.7 ● 3 3 9
20
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12
21
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12

81
34 Buro KatishoNullah Skardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 3 3 9

82

83
Altitudeabove
9000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
8000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
7000feetAMSL
Altitudeabove
6000feetAMSL
Altitudebelow
5000feetAMSL
PointsScored
Importanceofthe
Evaluatedfactor
(Weightage
multiplier)
Weightageofthe
evaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
5 Altitude of the
Site above
mean sea level
A site locatedatloweraltitude will have longer
workingseason,whichhassignificantimpactonthe
cost of the project. 2
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
05
3.5 ● 4 3 12
06
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectDanyore Gilgit
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
07
1 ● 3 3 9
08
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9

84
09
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
10
1.5 ● 5 3 15
11
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
12
(unapproved)
1 ● 5 3 15
13
1.5 ● 2 3 6
14
2 ● 4 3 12
15
2 ● 4 3 12
16
4 ● 3 3 9
17
Astore (unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectat HisperRiverNagar-1,
2 ● 3 3 9
19
1.7 ● 3 3 9
20
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12
21
Nagar (unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12

85

86

87
Nominingactivityis
expectedinnearfuture
Differentminespresentbutno
explorationcarriedout
Arealeasedformining
explorationbutnoactivity
started
Miningactivitiesstartedby
leases
Workonminingqueriesarein
progressandcutting/finishing
workshopsestablished
PointsScored
ImportanceoftheEvaluatedfactor
(Weightagemultiplier)
Weightageoftheevaluatedfactor
1 2 3 4 5
6 Proximit
y to
mining
area
Locationof the site nearto the miningareawould
attract investorsforconstructionof the projecton
the basisof captive powergeneration. 2
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro PowerProject
Hamaran BilcharBagrote Gilgit(unapproved)
3.5 ● 2 3 6

88
06
Danyore Gilgit(unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
07
1 ● 2 3 6
08
(unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
09
(unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
10
Riakote MuthatDiamer(unapproved)
1.5 ● 2 3 6
11
(unapproved)
1 ● 3 3 9
12
(unapproved)
1 ● 2 3 6
13
Saltoro(Seth) Ghanche (unapproved)
1.5 ● 2 3 6
14
Constructionof 02 MW Hydro PowerProjectDichal
2 ● 2 3 6
15
Constructionof 02 MW HydropowerProject
YeshletoAstore Stage-1(unapproved)
2 ● 2 3 6
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSetsandalliedCivil works
for Stage-IIGudai Astore (unapproved)
4 ● 2 3 6
17
1 ● 2 3 6
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectatHisperRiverNagar-
1, Hunza-Nagar(unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
19
1.7 ● 3 3 9

89
20
0.5 ● 2 3 6
21
0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectMayon Hunza,
0.5 ● 2 3 6
31 TormikPhase-IIIRoundu Skardu(Rawsite) 5 ● 3 3 9

90
35 Hoo ShigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 4 3 12
36 NaisloShigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 4 3 12
37 Besil ShigarSkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 4 3 12
42 Hoton onGupisRiverGhizer(Rawsite) 20 ● 2 3 6

91

92
HighRisk
Area
Medium
HighRisk
Area
Medium
RiskArea
LowRisk
Area
NoRisk
Area
1 2 3 4 5
7 Security Due to current war againstterror
situation,some of the sitesmayfall
withinsecurityriskareas.Thisisan
importantfactorfor investors’ viewpoint. 1
S # Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)
01
20MW HydroPowerProjectHanzel
Gilgit
20 ● 3 3 9
02
10 MW Hydro PowerProjectTormik
Ph-IISkardu
10 ● 4 3 12
03
30 MW Hydro PowerProjectGhowari
Ghanche
30 ● 4 3 12
04
HassanabadHunza
5 ● 5 3 15
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro Power
ProjectHamaran BilcharBagrote
Gilgit(unapproved)
3.5 ● 4 3 12
06
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPower
ProjectDanyore Gilgit(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
07
ProjectManthokhaPh-IISkardu
(unapproved)
1 ● 5 3 15

93
08
01 MW Hydro PowerProjectTolti Ph-
IIISkardu (unapproved)
1 ● 5 3 15
09
02 MW HhydroPowerProjectGanji
RounduSkardu(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
10
Projectat Riakote MuthatDiamer
(unapproved)
1.5 ● 3 3 9
11
01 MW Hydro PowerProjectNazbar
Ph-IIGhizer(unapproved)
1 ● 5 3 15
12
SherqillaPh-IIIGhizer(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
13
Projectat Saltoro(Seth) Ghanche
(unapproved)
1.5 ● 5 3 15
14
ProjectDichal DashkinAstore
(unapproved)
2 ● 3 3 9
15
Constructionof 02 MW Hydropower
ProjectYeshletoAstore Stage-1
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSetsand
alliedCivilworksforStage-IIGudai
Astore (unapproved)
4 ● 4 3 12
17
Projectat TarishingAstore
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
18
02 MW Hydro PowerProjectat
HisperRiverNagar-1,Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12

94
19
HassanabadPh-V Hunza,Hunza-
Nagar (unapproved)
1.7 ● 5 3 15
20
0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectat
ChaltNagar-II,Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12
21
Mayon Hunza,Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
0.5 ● 4 3 12
24 PassuGojal Hunza (Raw site) 10 ● 5 3 15
29
Stak Phase-IIRoundu Skardu(Raw
site)
20 ● 4 3 12
30
Talu Phase-IIRounduSkardu(Raw
site)
5 ● 4 3 12
31
TormikPhase-IIIRounduSkardu(Raw
site)
5 ● 4 3 12

95
35 Hoo ShigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 1 ● 5 3 15
36
NaisloShigaqrPhase-IISkardu(Raw
site)
2 ● 5 3 15
42
Hotoonon GupisRiverGhizer(Raw
site)
20 ● 4 3 12

96
46
Parishing-1(Stage-II) Astore(Raw
site)
2 ● 4 3 12
48
DahiterStagte-IIHunza-Nagar(Raw
site)
2 ● 4 3 12
49
BudalasPhase-IIHunza-Nagar(Raw
site)
4 ● 4 3 12

97
Issuesofseriousnature
Seriousnessofissuesisfrom
mediumtohigh`
Mediumlevelthreattosystems
Lowlevelthreattoysystems
Nothreattosystems(Positive
impact)
PointsScored
ImportaanceoftheEvaluated
factor(Weightagemultiplier)
Weightageoftheevaluated
factor
1 2 3 4 5
8 Envirionment/Resettlement/Social
Impacts
Developmentof hydropowersite maythreatsome
exitingeco-systems/natural resources,wildlife or
some natural habhitat.Or some storage type
schemesmayinvolve resettlement issues.There may
be some social concfernsfromlocal communities. 1
S
#
Name of Project
Capacity
(MW)

98
05
Constructionof 3.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectHamaranBilcharBagrote Gilgit
(unapproved)
3.5 ● 4 3 12
06 Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectDanyore Gilgit(unapproved) 1 ● 4 3 12
07
Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectManthokhaPh-IISkardu
(unapproved)
1 ● 4 3 12
08 01 MW Hydro PowerProjectTolti Ph-IIISkardu(unapproved) 1 ● 4 3 12
09 02 MW HhydroPowerProjectGanji RounduSkardu(unapproved) 2 ● 4 3 12
10
Constructionof 1.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectat Riakote MuthatDiamer
(unapproved)
1.5 ● 4 3 12
11 01 MW Hydro PowerProjectNazbarPh-IIGhizer(unapproved) 1 ● 4 3 12
12 01 MW Hydro PowerProjectSherqillaPh-IIIGhizer(unapproved) 1 ● 4 3 12
13
Constructionof 1.5 MW Hydro PowerProjectat Saltoro(Seth) Ghanche
(unapproved)
1.5 ● 4 3 12
14
Constructionof 02 MW HydroPowerProjectDichal DashkinAstore
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
15
Constructionof 02 MW HydropowerProjectYeshletoAstore Stage-1
(unapproved)
2 ● 4 3 12
16
04 MW Turbo GeneratingSetsandalliedCivil worksforStage-IIGudai Astore
(unapproved)
4 ● 4 3 12
17 Constructionof 01 MW HydroPowerProjectat TarishingAstore (unapproved) 1 ● 4 3 12

99
18 02 MW Hydro PowerProjectatHisperRiverNagar-1,Hunza-Nagar(unapproved) 2 ● 4 3 12
19
1.700 MW HydroPowerProjectHassanabadPh-V Hunza,Hunza-Nagar
(unapproved)
1.7 ● 4 3 12
20 0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectat ChaltNagar-II,Hunza-Nagar(unapproved) 0.5 ● 4 3 12
21 0.500 MW HydroPowerProjectMayon Hunza,Hunza-Nagar(unapproved) 0.5 ● 4 3 12

100
35 Hoo ShigarPhase-IISkardu(Raw site) 1 ● 4 3 12
36 NaisloShigarPhase-IISkardu(Rawsite) 2 ● 4 3 12

101

Hydropower Assessment finalDraft 20Feb-4

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Hydropower Assessment finalDraft 20Feb-4