Morocco has developed a new national strategy for risk management in response to increasing natural disasters. [1] The strategy involves assessing risks from floods, earthquakes, tsunamis and droughts through modeling their impacts on infrastructure, population and the economy. [2] It also analyzes mitigation measures and calculates annual losses to inform decision making. [3] Short-term actions include establishing a coordination bureau, developing sectoral strategies, and creating financial instruments to fund preparedness, response and insurance programs.

1. Kingdom of Morocco
Moroccan risk Management policy
Mr Mohamed Najib Boulif
Minister of General Affaires and Governance
August 28, 2012

2. Impact and resilience
 Disasters are random phenomena
 The impacts can be disastrous or
limited depending on the degree of
preparedness and resilience

3. Resilience is a complex
process
 Prepardness is a complex process
that begins with a collective
awareness.
 It takes to have a vision, budgets,
coordination and implementation
capacity.
 This is why risk management should
be a national priority at local and
national levels

4. Decision making needs
figures
 Earthquakes cost Morocco an average
of 85 Million $ per year
 The North region is the most exposed
 The probability for an earthquake to
cause a loss of 1.5 billion $ is 25% on
the coming 30 years

5. Decision making needs
figures
 Annual losses caused by floods are 5
times more important than those
caused by earthquakes.
 Annual losses caused by flood are
around 0.44 billion $ per year
 A tsunami similar to the one occurred
in the 1755 will produce a wave high
as 8 m and will sink the whole
Casablanca port

6. Flood losses
Country Level Losses Million MAD
Return Period
Average Annual
Occupancy Loss 20 50 100 500 1,000
Residential 1,895 9,399 11,232 12,092 13,065 14,718
Commercial 434 1,965 2,342 2,530 2,708 3,006
Industrial 471 2,072 2,242 2,231 2,477 2,569
Essential F 369 1,913 2,214 2,351 2,497 2,751
Infrastructures 1,210 3,152 3,323 3,218 3,427 3,648
All Exposures 4,380 18,501 21,354 22,423 24,174 26,692
#6

7. Our strategy: triggers
 repetitive disasters,
 International Organizations work
 Sectoral Risk work need more
coordination
 awareness increases among politics

8. A need for a new strategy
 since 2008: Morocco has worked to
settle a comprehensive and integrated
strategy to coordinate efforts and to
respond to the country new needs in
term of the Risk Management

9. Strategy components
 Price volatility
 Management of natural disasters
 Drought risks

10. Major actions
Top-down
 Assessment and Modelization of 5 major risks
(Flood, Earthquake, Tsunamis, Droughts,
landslides) and
 Estimation of impacts on infrastructure,
population and economy
 Identification of Mitigation Measures: « what- if »
scenarios,
 Mitigation measures cost/benefit analysis
 Financing: law project for insurance to cover
natural disasters
 Insurance to cover risks in agriculture
Bottom-up
 Assessment of community perception of risk

11. Assessment objectives
 Generate risk maps
 Calculate the probability of occurrence of
hazards
 calculate with enough precision the
level of exposure of infrastructures, population,
economy
◦ Calculate average annual losses (AAL) ,
◦ Generate Loss Exceedancy Curve (LEC)
◦ Casualities
◦ Cost /benefit analysis for mitigation measures

12. Short-term actions
 Bureau for coordination at high level
 National Plateform (Hyogo Framework
for Action)
 Sectoral strategies
 Aggregation of sectoral strategies=
national Strategy
 Financial instruments: budgets, funds,
insurances
 Data ( Information system)
 Strategy deployment
 Regional cooperation

13. Developed country
contribution
 Capacity building and Knowledge
transfer
 Cooperation enhancement among
regions
 Local and Regional funds for
emergency responses

14. Thank you