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Global report on
food crises 2019
Key findings
Technical Discussion, IFPRI
Washington, 26 April 2019
Food security: the paradox
Source: FAO, SOFI, 2018
14.5
13.8
13.1
12.6
12.2
11.8
11.5
11.3
11
10.7
10.6
10.8
10.9
945
911.4
876.9
855.1
839.8
820.5
812.8 805.7
794.9
783.7 784.4
804.2
820.8
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Under nourishment
Prevalence (%) Number (million)
PERCENTAGE
MILLION
Source: FAOSTAT
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
1961
1964
1967
1970
1973
1976
1979
1982
1985
1988
1991
1994
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Food availability
World Africa North America South America
Asia Europe Oceania
InKcal/cap/day
THE GLOBAL
REPORT ON
FOOD CRISES
15 organizations joining forces: CILSS,
European Union, global Food Security Cluster,
global Nutrition Cluster, IFPRI, IGAD, IPC Global
support unit, FAO, FEWS NET, SADC, SICA,
OCHA, UNICEF, USAID, WFP
An annual analytical product informing the
Global Network against Food Crises, based on a
highly consultative and consensus-based
process facilitated by FSIN
A joint acute food insecurity and
malnutrition analysis providing estimates of
acute hunger
Phase 1
Minimal
Phase 2
Stressed
Phase 3
Crisis
Phase 4
Emergency
Phase 5
Catastrophe/Famine
Households are able to
meet essential food and
non-food needs without
engaging in atypical,
unsustainable strategies
to access food and
income
Households have
minimally adequate food
consumption but are
unable to afford some
essential non-food
expenditures without
engaging in detrimental
coping strategies
Households have food
consumption gaps with
high or above usual acute
malnutrition OR
accelerated depletion of
livelihood assets that will
lead to food
consumption gaps
Households have large
food consumption gaps
resulting in very high
acute malnutrition and
excess mortality OR face
extreme loss of livelihood
assets that will lead to
food consumption gaps
Households have an
extreme lack of food and
other basic needs.
Starvation, death and
destitution are evident
Urgent action required
Action for disaster risk
reduction and
livelihoods protection
INTEGRATED FOOD SECURITY PHASE CLASSIFICATION (IPC) &
CADRE HARMONISÉ (CH)
KEY
FIGURES
. More than 113 million people across 53 countries faced Crisis
(IPC/CH Phase 3 or above). This is a slight dip from last year.
. Despite the slight decrease, over the past three years, the
report has consistently shown that, year on year, more than 100
million people have faced periods of acute hunger.
. Eight countries accounted for two thirds of the total number of
people facing acute food insecurity – amounting to nearly 72
million people.
. The worst food crises in 2018 were, in order of severity: Yemen,
the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Afghanistan, Ethiopia,
Syrian Arab Republic, the Sudan, South Sudan and northern
Nigeria.
. More than 143 million people in a subset of 42 countries in
Stressed conditions (IPC Phase 2).
MAIN DRIVERS: CONFLICT, CLIMATE AND ECONOMIC SHOCKS
Conflict was the key
driver of food insecurity
for the majority of the
113 million acutely food
insecure people.
MAIN DRIVERS: CONFLICT
More than half of those
facing Crisis (IPC/CH
Phase 3) or worse
conditions were in 10
countries or territories
affected by CONFLICT
mainly in the Middle East,
Africa and Asia
MAIN DRIVERS: CLIMATE SHOCKS
African countries
accounted for the
overwhelming majority
of acutely food-insecure
people in countries
affected by CLIMATE
shocks.
MAIN DRIVERS: ECONOMIC SHOCKS
ECONOMIC SHOCKS
were considered the
primary driver of the
acute food insecurity of
10.2 million people in
Crisis (IPC/CH Phase 3)
or worse mostly in three
countries.
It was also the primary
driver of displacement
for migrants from
Venezuela.
NUTRITION:
MAIN DRIVERS
The limited access to the right quantity and
quality of nutritious foods for children’s
optimum growth and development remains a
major challenge across all countries affected by
food crisis.
In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Niger,
Somalia, Bangladesh (Cox’s Bazaar) and Malawi,
less than 10% of the children under two have a
minimum acceptable diet.
Cholera outbreaks in Uganda, Niger, Malawi and
Nigeria; measles outbreaks in Chad and
Madagascar increase the population’s vulnerability
to malnutrition.
Limited access to basic health, nutrition and
WASH services.
Globally:
- 151 million children affected
by stunting,
- 51 million children affected by
wasting, of whom 16 million
severely so.
FORECAST
IN 2019
Conflict and insecurity will remain the primary causes of
food insecurity and contribute to persisting or increasing
displacement, internally or towards neighbouring countries
Weather shocks and extreme climate events will continue
to have a severe impact on agricultural and livestock
production in several regions (Central America Dry
Corridor and Southern Africa, for instance)
Economic instability will continue undermining the food
security status of vulnerable households in the Democratic
Republic of the Congo, Libya, South Sudan, the Sudan, the
Syrian Arab Republic, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of),
Yemen and Zimbabwe.
Continued cholera, measles and Ebola outbreaks
THE WAY
FORWARD
• Reinforcing safety-nets
• Investing in conflict prevention and peace
• Simultaneous action across the
humanitarian-development nexus
• Investing in resilience
• Leveraging information and technology
The Global Network
against food crises:
Working together
©WFP/REINSKULLERUD
www.fsinplatform.org
@FSIN-NEWS

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Global report on food crises 2019: Key findings - Technical Discussion

  • 1. Global report on food crises 2019 Key findings Technical Discussion, IFPRI Washington, 26 April 2019
  • 2. Food security: the paradox Source: FAO, SOFI, 2018 14.5 13.8 13.1 12.6 12.2 11.8 11.5 11.3 11 10.7 10.6 10.8 10.9 945 911.4 876.9 855.1 839.8 820.5 812.8 805.7 794.9 783.7 784.4 804.2 820.8 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Under nourishment Prevalence (%) Number (million) PERCENTAGE MILLION Source: FAOSTAT 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 Food availability World Africa North America South America Asia Europe Oceania InKcal/cap/day
  • 3. THE GLOBAL REPORT ON FOOD CRISES 15 organizations joining forces: CILSS, European Union, global Food Security Cluster, global Nutrition Cluster, IFPRI, IGAD, IPC Global support unit, FAO, FEWS NET, SADC, SICA, OCHA, UNICEF, USAID, WFP An annual analytical product informing the Global Network against Food Crises, based on a highly consultative and consensus-based process facilitated by FSIN A joint acute food insecurity and malnutrition analysis providing estimates of acute hunger
  • 4. Phase 1 Minimal Phase 2 Stressed Phase 3 Crisis Phase 4 Emergency Phase 5 Catastrophe/Famine Households are able to meet essential food and non-food needs without engaging in atypical, unsustainable strategies to access food and income Households have minimally adequate food consumption but are unable to afford some essential non-food expenditures without engaging in detrimental coping strategies Households have food consumption gaps with high or above usual acute malnutrition OR accelerated depletion of livelihood assets that will lead to food consumption gaps Households have large food consumption gaps resulting in very high acute malnutrition and excess mortality OR face extreme loss of livelihood assets that will lead to food consumption gaps Households have an extreme lack of food and other basic needs. Starvation, death and destitution are evident Urgent action required Action for disaster risk reduction and livelihoods protection INTEGRATED FOOD SECURITY PHASE CLASSIFICATION (IPC) & CADRE HARMONISÉ (CH)
  • 5. KEY FIGURES . More than 113 million people across 53 countries faced Crisis (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above). This is a slight dip from last year. . Despite the slight decrease, over the past three years, the report has consistently shown that, year on year, more than 100 million people have faced periods of acute hunger. . Eight countries accounted for two thirds of the total number of people facing acute food insecurity – amounting to nearly 72 million people. . The worst food crises in 2018 were, in order of severity: Yemen, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Afghanistan, Ethiopia, Syrian Arab Republic, the Sudan, South Sudan and northern Nigeria. . More than 143 million people in a subset of 42 countries in Stressed conditions (IPC Phase 2).
  • 6. MAIN DRIVERS: CONFLICT, CLIMATE AND ECONOMIC SHOCKS Conflict was the key driver of food insecurity for the majority of the 113 million acutely food insecure people.
  • 7. MAIN DRIVERS: CONFLICT More than half of those facing Crisis (IPC/CH Phase 3) or worse conditions were in 10 countries or territories affected by CONFLICT mainly in the Middle East, Africa and Asia
  • 8. MAIN DRIVERS: CLIMATE SHOCKS African countries accounted for the overwhelming majority of acutely food-insecure people in countries affected by CLIMATE shocks.
  • 9. MAIN DRIVERS: ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC SHOCKS were considered the primary driver of the acute food insecurity of 10.2 million people in Crisis (IPC/CH Phase 3) or worse mostly in three countries. It was also the primary driver of displacement for migrants from Venezuela.
  • 10. NUTRITION: MAIN DRIVERS The limited access to the right quantity and quality of nutritious foods for children’s optimum growth and development remains a major challenge across all countries affected by food crisis. In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Niger, Somalia, Bangladesh (Cox’s Bazaar) and Malawi, less than 10% of the children under two have a minimum acceptable diet. Cholera outbreaks in Uganda, Niger, Malawi and Nigeria; measles outbreaks in Chad and Madagascar increase the population’s vulnerability to malnutrition. Limited access to basic health, nutrition and WASH services. Globally: - 151 million children affected by stunting, - 51 million children affected by wasting, of whom 16 million severely so.
  • 11. FORECAST IN 2019 Conflict and insecurity will remain the primary causes of food insecurity and contribute to persisting or increasing displacement, internally or towards neighbouring countries Weather shocks and extreme climate events will continue to have a severe impact on agricultural and livestock production in several regions (Central America Dry Corridor and Southern Africa, for instance) Economic instability will continue undermining the food security status of vulnerable households in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Libya, South Sudan, the Sudan, the Syrian Arab Republic, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), Yemen and Zimbabwe. Continued cholera, measles and Ebola outbreaks
  • 12. THE WAY FORWARD • Reinforcing safety-nets • Investing in conflict prevention and peace • Simultaneous action across the humanitarian-development nexus • Investing in resilience • Leveraging information and technology The Global Network against food crises: Working together