New frontiers in assessing and 
managing earthquake risk 
GEM; a global collaborative effort 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Nicole Keller, GEM Foundation, Italy
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
http://www.globalquakemodel.org/gem/
OpenQuake Platform: calculate, explore, share 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
evolving body of resources and tools 
tools 
(off- and online, 
plus code) 
best practice 
(methods, 
guidelines, 
reports) 
(global) 
risk 
information 
models 
case studies 
guides 
tutorials 
global 
datasets 
P 
P 
P 
P P P P P 
P 
P P 
P 
P 
P
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Inspiring examples and collaborations 
Lalitpur 
Nepal
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Global 
Datasets and 
Methodologies
Physical Risk 
+ 
Social Vulnerability 
= 
Integrated Risk 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
PhD: Integrated Risk Modelling for Turkey 
Average Annual Loss Maps at sub-provincial level
Annual aggregate Loss EC EQ 
1 10 100 1000 10000 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Annual Aggregate Loss 
Return Period 
OpenQuake @ Hannover Re 
Simple Example, aggregate model for Ecuador
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org
In the pipeline or under discussion 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Beirut
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
Opportunities and Challenges 
• Open data, open-source, open platform: sharing and organically 
growing data, tools and resources for worldwide use 
• Building DRR applications on top of the tools and resources that 
end-users need 
• How to develop capacity in countries, provinces, cities to reliably 
use the advanced tools for hazard, risk and integrated seismic 
risk assessment – long term investment 
• How to facilitate interdisciplinary and institutional collaboration 
between experts in the various domains 
• Once there is capacity; to connect the policy makers with the 
experts to work together on management and assessment 
strategies
Added value for the Post 2015 Framework for DRR 
• How is GEM supporting the implementation of the HFA? 
– Open tools and resources to empower institutions and organisations 
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 
‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland 
www.grforum.org 
in identifying, assessing and monitoring disaster risks 
– Leveraging science for the benefit of society 
– Example of a successful public-private collaboration and concrete 
partnership examples for application 
• Main gaps, needs and further steps to be addressed in HFA2 
– Research: learning from the past – investing in long-term studies 
– Education & Training: see previous slide 
– Implementation & Practice: opening up of data and approaches, 
sharing and comparison 
– Policy: mainstreaming of DRR by incorporating risk assessment in the 
decision-making process, public-private collaboration

Gem idrc 28_8

  • 1.
    New frontiers inassessing and managing earthquake risk GEM; a global collaborative effort 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Nicole Keller, GEM Foundation, Italy
  • 2.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org http://www.globalquakemodel.org/gem/
  • 3.
    OpenQuake Platform: calculate,explore, share 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org evolving body of resources and tools tools (off- and online, plus code) best practice (methods, guidelines, reports) (global) risk information models case studies guides tutorials global datasets P P P P P P P P P P P P P P
  • 4.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Inspiring examples and collaborations Lalitpur Nepal
  • 5.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Global Datasets and Methodologies
  • 6.
    Physical Risk + Social Vulnerability = Integrated Risk 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org PhD: Integrated Risk Modelling for Turkey Average Annual Loss Maps at sub-provincial level
  • 7.
    Annual aggregate LossEC EQ 1 10 100 1000 10000 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Annual Aggregate Loss Return Period OpenQuake @ Hannover Re Simple Example, aggregate model for Ecuador
  • 8.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org
  • 9.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org
  • 10.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org
  • 11.
    In the pipelineor under discussion 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Beirut
  • 12.
    5th International Disasterand Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org Opportunities and Challenges • Open data, open-source, open platform: sharing and organically growing data, tools and resources for worldwide use • Building DRR applications on top of the tools and resources that end-users need • How to develop capacity in countries, provinces, cities to reliably use the advanced tools for hazard, risk and integrated seismic risk assessment – long term investment • How to facilitate interdisciplinary and institutional collaboration between experts in the various domains • Once there is capacity; to connect the policy makers with the experts to work together on management and assessment strategies
  • 13.
    Added value forthe Post 2015 Framework for DRR • How is GEM supporting the implementation of the HFA? – Open tools and resources to empower institutions and organisations 5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 ‘Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice‘ • 24-28 August 2014 • Davos • Switzerland www.grforum.org in identifying, assessing and monitoring disaster risks – Leveraging science for the benefit of society – Example of a successful public-private collaboration and concrete partnership examples for application • Main gaps, needs and further steps to be addressed in HFA2 – Research: learning from the past – investing in long-term studies – Education & Training: see previous slide – Implementation & Practice: opening up of data and approaches, sharing and comparison – Policy: mainstreaming of DRR by incorporating risk assessment in the decision-making process, public-private collaboration

Editor's Notes

  • #2 We believe that the future of assessing and managing earthquake risk is collaborative; that we need to work together on a global level to share approaches, data and experiences to advance our knowledge on assessment, actions to reduce risk, the impact of such actions, as well as the data and experiences of the emergency and recovery phases when an earthquake does hit.
  • #3 Now I would first like to introduce GEM, our mission, philosophy and what we are concretely doing. Then I would like to provide you an overview and some examples of how the tools and resources being developed are being applied, discuss the opportunities and challenges we see and finish with a slide on the HFA and post-2015 framework
  • #5 NSET: first time in 12 years ward and municipal level officials came together to discuss topics relevant to earthquake safety and risk reduction in their city
  • #6 >4000 downloads GAR
  • #7 Regional models, research programmes
  • #8 Benchmarking and uptake by private sector
  • #9 IDCT tools for advanced building data exposure development
  • #10 National institutions using GEM tools and resources for development of hazard maps (PNG, Ecuador)
  • #12 Real-time loss assessment portal for civil protection in Portugal Urban risk management plan for Beirut, in collaboration with municipality + DRR partner, which includes capacity development of local risk assessment experts and local facilitating technical institutions UNESCO safer schools City scenarios