The presentation shows 5 main trends for e-learning - it is a starting point for discussions, slides can be re-used for workshops on trend identification and roadmapping

1. The Future of E-Learning:
Five Trends
Prof. Dr. Jan M. Pawlowski
Essen, 04.11.2011

2. Licensing: Creative Commons
You are free:
to Share — to copy, distribute and transmit the work
to Remix — to adapt the work
Under the following conditions:
Attribution. You must attribute the work in the manner
specified by the author or licensor (but not in any
way that suggests that they endorse you or your use
of the work).
Noncommercial. You may not use this work for
commercial purposes.
Share Alike. If you alter, transform, or build upon this
work, you may distribute the resulting work only
under the same or similar license to this one.
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/
http://www.slideshare.net/jan.pawlowski

3. …Jyväskylä, Finland…
Source: [http://www.jyu.fi/, http://www.jyvaskyla.fi/]

4. Global Information Systems, University of Jyväskylä
(JYU) - The Team
Denis Kozlov
Kati Clements Philipp Holtkamp
Henri Pirkkalainen
Jan M. Pawlowski
My background
Ph.D. Business Information Systems, University of Essen
Habilitation ―Quality Management / Integration of Knowledge
Management and E-Learning‖
Professor in ―Global Information Systems‖
Chair CEN/ISSS Workshop Learning Technologies
ISO/IEC JTC1 SC36 Project Editor

5. From 1970 to 2000
What’s
next?

6. JYU: Global Information Systems
Focus areas Projects
Global Information Systems OpenScout: OER for
Supporting globally distributed Management
workgroups TELMAP: Technology
Open Educational Resources Forecasting
Reference Modeling NORDLET: Nordic Baltic
Network for Learning,
Education and Training
E-Learning
COSMOS, Open Science
Supporting international Resources: Exchange of
education settings Scientific Content
Cultural adaptation ASPECT: Open Content
Standardization & Quality and standards for schools
Management iCOPER: New standards for
Mobile & Ambient Learning educational technologies
Innovative tools and solutions LaProf: Language learning
in ICT and agriculture

7. Five Trends in E-Learning
Based on
– Telmap project on trend forecasting
– Weak signals analysis, future search conferences,
expert workshops
– Personal observations
Current and future trends,
– Time horizon: immediate future (0-3 years), near
future (3-5 years)
Trend Summary
– Mobility and globalization
– Contextualization and personalization
– Collaboration, social media
– New devices and channels
– Future technologies: internet of things, augmented
reality

8. Trend 1: Higher Education, Mobility, Skills
Students job market entry
age decreases (less
experience, less language
skills)
The world is not flat: more
global competences
needed, less opportunities
due to time pressure
More individual
responsibility for
employability and
competitiveness
 Individual learning opportunities will increase
 Global competences need to be taken into account
 Multi-language, multi-cultural courses necessary

9. Trend 2: How we learn…
Contextualized
learning: in the
workplace, on
business trips, in
social settings
Personalized learning:
combining tools and
learning opportunities
 Provide add-on tools
 Consider scenarios of personalization
(media, devices, tools & services)

10. Trend 3: Tools and Scenarios
Massive amount of
contents are openly
available (OER)
Collaborative teaching
becomes popular or
at least unavoidable
Social software
increases
collaboration
 Consider open models – focus on consulting, tutoring
and certification
 Utilize social networks
 Create alliances for teaching and learning

11. Trend 4: Devices
Mobile devices have
reached the critical
mass of users
Tablets and smart-
phones as learning
devices
Apps as learning
channels
 Consider mobile scenarios
 Utilize opportunities of new input possibilities
 Broaden channels: e-books, apps, …

12. Trend 5: Future technologies
Internet of things:
smart objects →
teaching objects
Location based
services: learning all
over with fellow
learners
Augmented reality:
embedding reality
and learning services
Tele-presence: new
conferencing and
tutoring
 Consider further personalization and
location based services
 Prepare for new tutoring tools

13. Summary
 We need to prepare the next generation of
learning systems
 Don’t wait until technologies are mature –
develop didactic approaches incorporating
leading edge technologies. NOW!
 Combine domain-competences with
general competences – they don’t add up!
 Create strategic alliances around the globe
to reach new target groups and markets

14. Contact us…
Prof. Dr. Jan M. Pawlowski
jan.m.pawlowski@jyu.fi
GLIS on the web…
http://users.jyu.fi/~japawlow
NORDLET OpenScout
http://www.nordlet.org/ http://www.openscout.net