Environmental Scan

Digital Learns Project Phase II
    Presentation to ERAC,
       January 10, 2012
     Cyri Jones, ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc.
     Jay Collier, The Compass LLC
Context
Context
• Phase I – Vision
• Phase II – Environmental Scan
• Concurrently developed ERAC Commons
  (May 2011) and Mobile Apps site (Jan. 2012)
  – Seeing some of the social network components
    and issues in action
“Big Picture” Architecture Elements
Project Team
                                                     Cyri Jones, Principal
Digital Learners Roadmap                             ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc., North Vancouver, BC
Phase II Proposal
Environmental Scan                                   Jay Collier, Executive Director
                                                     The Compass LLC, Topsham, Maine
By ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc.

              Sept. 30th, 2011                       Niklas Eriksson, Mobile Usability & Learning
                                                     Faculty, ARCADA Polytechnic, Helsinki, Finland


                                                      Elena Kuznetsova
                                                      Researcher
                                                      Collaboration tool & Google Maps specialist



              Source: VSB website home page
Goal
Phase II - Project Deliverables
• Digital Learners Roadmap – Environmental Scan
  – Scope
     • What approaches are school districts, provinces, states, etc.
       using to help students and teachers discover and access
       learning resources
     • How have they funded their initiatives including possible
       grant source info
     • Best practices for how they have rolled-out these type of
       initiatives
     • Regions:
         – Detailed Summary of what jurisdictions are doing in the US and
           Canada
         – Genera Summary of what jurisdictions are doing in Europe and
           Asia
Phase II - Project Deliverables
• Complete by Dec. 15th, 2011
  – Present results in visual format
     • Word/PDF/Excel document with links to relevant sites
        –   Data focused
        –   Links to resources
        –   Some case studies where applicable
        –   Contacts included
     • Summary PowerPoint presentation
        – Trends & Conclusions
     • Possibility of Google Map overlays showing regional
       data trends (depending on time)
Process
http://connectlearn21.net/
Terms of Reference
Challenges
Implementation Gap
Compelling vision but how to implement?




               http://www.bcedplan.ca/
Tight Technology Expiry Dates
Systems need to be flexible, adaptive and iterative with user input
to stay relevant, long planning cycles = irrelevant offering
Discovery of quality learning
         resources
               • Move to more granular
                 learning resources
               • Millions of apps
               • Billions of user generated
                 content items
               • Need to support
                 personalized learning
               • Crowdsourcing only
                 practical way to evaluate
Governance mismatch with IT
infrastructure economies of scale
Disruptive technology
Shrinking budgets
Environmental changing
   at dizzying speed
Too Fast, Reactive
Too Slow, Deny
Quick and thoughtful
Good News
Opportunity
• Lots of expertise at hand here in BC
• Compelling vision at provincial level and local
  level
• A lot of teachers and administrators
  embracing change
• Many jurisdictions faced similar questions 3 to
  10 years ago
  – Lots of lessons learned
Trends
Collision between traditional face-to-face and online learning
Need to build a new, smart system from ground up
not just a “blend” that is “traditional face to face” + “online”
Education Trends


Blended Learning                                      Consolidation of distance learning and face-to-face
                                                      classroom opportunities for accessing digital resources
                                                      and tools.


Raised expectations for digital tools in schools by   Why can’t school tools be as usable as digital tools they
students and teachers.                                use in other areas of their life.


Mobile learning a game changer                        Students and teachers want to bring their personal
                                                      devices to the school and leverage.


Quality and quantity of learning resources            Challenge is in finding the right resources for the task or
increasing                                            learning outcome at hand.


Teachers and students becoming creators of            Not just consuming traditional publisher content.
content, not just consumers                           Engaging project-based teaching involves creating
                                                      things and collaboration. Creative Commons licensing
                                                      facilitating this. Growth of service learning.
Education Trends


Repositories to registries                  Moving away from a siloed learning object
                                            repository approach to one where only local
                                            resources are stored, external resources hosted
                                            with original content owner.
Growth of learning analytics                Technology emerging to track para-data about
                                            learning resources (e.g. ratings by teachers) and
                                            consolidating to help filter. Ability to tie a learning
                                            resource to specific learning outcomes and see
                                            effectiveness of learning resource.
Consolidation of learning outcomes across   Growing realization that most learning outcomes
jurisdictions                               from different jurisdictions are almost identical in
                                            core subjects (e.g. Common Core initiative in US
                                            with 42 states participating)
Cloud approach to learning technology       Mirroring trend in other sectors, IT infrastructure is
delivery                                    migrating from within the organization to external
                                            providers saving money and improving service.
Education Trends


Innovations coming from outside traditional     Organizations like Khan Academy are disrupting
education sector                                education sector. Traditional delivery approaches
                                                are threatened with being redundant.


Growing awareness of important role of          Many jurisdictions starting to set up social networks
social networked learning                       for their students and teachers.


Just-in-time instead of just-in-case learning   Less important to “cover all the curriculum” than to
                                                provide authentic, project based learning
                                                experiences for students.


Importance of cross-functional teams            Most meaningful work is done today in cross-
                                                functional teams. Students need to go beyond
                                                program and school siloes to get experience with
                                                this.
Growth of Microsoft.edu
Growth of Google Apps for Education
Consolidation of New Google Design
Powerful Learning Resource Metadata
Sharing Approaches Emerging
+
    The Learning
      Registry
      Project




                   Primary Funding from
                   US Dept of Education
                    US Dept of Defense
Learning Registry is a distributed
                                    +        system that permits sharing of
                                             metadata about learning resources...




© Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0             20101022
…developed through an open
                                             community process that engages
                                    +        learning resource creators, publishers,
                                             curators, and consumers.




© Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0                20101022
Learning Registry is a data exchange
                                             mechanism—not a destination
                                    +        website, search engine, or
                                             repository—upon which diverse user
                                             services can be built.




© Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0             20101022
© Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0   20101022
Resource Paradata Profile                                                                        89 Career & Technical
                                                                                                                                         Educators in California
                                                                                                                                         included this resource
                                                                                                                                         in a curriculum module.
              Dynamic Summary
              Source Website: Visit                                                                                                      This resource has been
              Reference URL: Visit
              Times Viewed: 39                                                                                                           aligned 214 times to
              Times Voted: 23
              Times Rated: 6
                                                                                                                                         Math Common Core
              Times Favorited: 1                                                                                                         Standard Apply
              Recommended: 2
              Times Tagged:                                                                                                              geometric methods to
                                   climate (2)
                                   global                                                                                                solve design problems
              warming (6)
              Usability Rating: 7.65/10
              Star Rating: 3.75/5
              Useful:              Yes: 14
                                   No: 9
              Accurate:            Yes: 2
                                   No: 1                                                                                                 There are
              Likes:               Yes: 12
                                   No: 2
                                                                                                                                         16 discussion posts
              Best Of 2010:                                                                                                              that include this
              3 on a scale of 1 (Best) and 50
              (Worst)                                                                                                                    resource in the Middle
              Most Useful:                                    Resource Information
              2 on a scale of 1 (Best) and 5                  Title                Anatomy of a Rover                                    School Science group.
              (Worst)                                         Link                 http://www.teachersdomain.org/9-
                                                              12/sci/ess/eiu/rover/index.html
                                                              Description          In this interactive activity from NOVA, learn about
                       Tagged As                              the sophisticated scientific instruments on two identical robotic rovers
                                                              that have explored Mars — Spirit and Opportunity.
                                                              Subject Keyword(s) Science
                                                                                                                                         This
               Science Mars                                   Grade Level          High School
                                                              Intended Audience Learner
                                                                                                                                         resource
                               PBS                            Resource Type        Instructional Material                                was voted #3 out of 5
                                                              Resource Format text, text/html
               Space_Science                                                                                                             Best Science
              NASA Engineering
                                                                                                                                         Interactives for English
                                                                                                                                         Language Learners by
               interactive design                                                                                                        teachers in Florida
© Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0                                                                                        20101022
Learning Resource Metadata Initiative
Move from
                                                                        Mentoring/
formal to                                        Wikis                  Coaching
informal
                                 Discussion Forums
learning                                                                           Live Webcasts

                             Friending                                  Recorded Webinars
                                                    Tagging
                                                                                     Video Conferencing
                      User Generated
                      Content
                                                                              Workshops
                                         Blogs                                                       Learnshops
             Folksonomy

                       Networking                                                         Websites

            Micro-blogging
                                                           Learning                                Audio / Podcasts

                             Webjams
                                                             2.0
                                                                                           Case Studies
              Rating /
              Comments                                                                                        Books


                                                           eLearning

                             Leadership Forums                          ILT (instructor-led/classroom)


                                 VILT (virtual instructor/web)                Professional Video

                                                 Virtual World (eg. Second Life)
Recognition for Informal Learning
Open learning content providers launching interactive tools
Growth of External Repositories and Learning Analytics
Pedagogy
changing
Learning
Analytics
http://lak12.sites.olt.ubc.ca/
Quality
improvements in
 online learning
• In Carnegie Mellon's rigorously evaluated
  online statistics course, students learned a full
  semester's worth of material in half as much
  time—and performed as well or better than
  students learning from traditional instruction.
Move from
surface to deep
    learning
Multiple channels
for same content
Preface by Seth Godin to popular e-Marketing Textbook
Growth in Open
  Education
  Resources
Case studies
• The future is already here — it's just not very
  evenly distributed. – William Gibson
Summary
• Each region has mastered some aspects of the
  overall vision, No one has mastered all the
  components
• Main purpose
   – Collaboration
   – Communities of practice
   – Finding learning resources
   – Creating learning resources
Summary
• Main audience
   – Students
   – Parents
   – Teachers
   – Face to face students or online / distance learners
• Scale
   – School district
   – State / province
Learn Maine
NY Learns
Scotland’s Glow
Scotland’s eduBuzz
Edmonton School District
Digital Dashboard
– West Vancouver School District
Activity Feed and Network
Personalization – changing themes
It’s okay that not everything is strictly “educational”…
Individual profiles / portfolios
Activity Feed Customization
North Dakota
Minnesota
Oregon
California
Greece
Turkey
South Korea
“A contract between the Indian
government and Canadian development
partner DataWind, should put between
10 and 12 million devices in the hands of
students across India by the end of 2012,
according to Computer World.”
              Source: VentureBeat.com
Recommendations
Recommendations
•   Usability more important than any other factor!
•   Ensure process is transparent
     –   Include early adopter users
           •   Education Camps
           •   Ning Network
     –   Should give big players Google, Microsoft, Apple, IBM chance to bid as well as smaller players like Edmodo
         and open source approaches like WordPress/BuddyPress and Drupal
•   Encourage K-20 co-operation
•   Get definitive regulatory policy statement from government / legal advice
•   Tool that is best for elementary may be different than best one for secondary
•   Break into phases
     –   don’t launch by pilot districts
     –   Instead launch by functionality
           •   Start with “low hanging fruit”
     –   Target early adopters
     –   Let it grow organically
•   Don’t build a white elephant
     –   But do put in sufficient resources to realistically support
•   Clarify role of ERAC and School Districts
•   Make sure efforts are forwards compatible
Resources

Erac presentation jan 10th 2011

  • 1.
    Environmental Scan Digital LearnsProject Phase II Presentation to ERAC, January 10, 2012 Cyri Jones, ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc. Jay Collier, The Compass LLC
  • 2.
  • 3.
    Context • Phase I– Vision • Phase II – Environmental Scan • Concurrently developed ERAC Commons (May 2011) and Mobile Apps site (Jan. 2012) – Seeing some of the social network components and issues in action
  • 4.
  • 12.
    Project Team Cyri Jones, Principal Digital Learners Roadmap ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc., North Vancouver, BC Phase II Proposal Environmental Scan Jay Collier, Executive Director The Compass LLC, Topsham, Maine By ZEN Portfolio Networks Inc. Sept. 30th, 2011 Niklas Eriksson, Mobile Usability & Learning Faculty, ARCADA Polytechnic, Helsinki, Finland Elena Kuznetsova Researcher Collaboration tool & Google Maps specialist Source: VSB website home page
  • 13.
  • 14.
    Phase II -Project Deliverables • Digital Learners Roadmap – Environmental Scan – Scope • What approaches are school districts, provinces, states, etc. using to help students and teachers discover and access learning resources • How have they funded their initiatives including possible grant source info • Best practices for how they have rolled-out these type of initiatives • Regions: – Detailed Summary of what jurisdictions are doing in the US and Canada – Genera Summary of what jurisdictions are doing in Europe and Asia
  • 15.
    Phase II -Project Deliverables • Complete by Dec. 15th, 2011 – Present results in visual format • Word/PDF/Excel document with links to relevant sites – Data focused – Links to resources – Some case studies where applicable – Contacts included • Summary PowerPoint presentation – Trends & Conclusions • Possibility of Google Map overlays showing regional data trends (depending on time)
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Implementation Gap Compelling visionbut how to implement? http://www.bcedplan.ca/
  • 23.
    Tight Technology ExpiryDates Systems need to be flexible, adaptive and iterative with user input to stay relevant, long planning cycles = irrelevant offering
  • 24.
    Discovery of qualitylearning resources • Move to more granular learning resources • Millions of apps • Billions of user generated content items • Need to support personalized learning • Crowdsourcing only practical way to evaluate
  • 25.
    Governance mismatch withIT infrastructure economies of scale
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
    Environmental changing at dizzying speed
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
    Opportunity • Lots ofexpertise at hand here in BC • Compelling vision at provincial level and local level • A lot of teachers and administrators embracing change • Many jurisdictions faced similar questions 3 to 10 years ago – Lots of lessons learned
  • 35.
  • 36.
    Collision between traditionalface-to-face and online learning
  • 37.
    Need to builda new, smart system from ground up not just a “blend” that is “traditional face to face” + “online”
  • 41.
    Education Trends Blended Learning Consolidation of distance learning and face-to-face classroom opportunities for accessing digital resources and tools. Raised expectations for digital tools in schools by Why can’t school tools be as usable as digital tools they students and teachers. use in other areas of their life. Mobile learning a game changer Students and teachers want to bring their personal devices to the school and leverage. Quality and quantity of learning resources Challenge is in finding the right resources for the task or increasing learning outcome at hand. Teachers and students becoming creators of Not just consuming traditional publisher content. content, not just consumers Engaging project-based teaching involves creating things and collaboration. Creative Commons licensing facilitating this. Growth of service learning.
  • 42.
    Education Trends Repositories toregistries Moving away from a siloed learning object repository approach to one where only local resources are stored, external resources hosted with original content owner. Growth of learning analytics Technology emerging to track para-data about learning resources (e.g. ratings by teachers) and consolidating to help filter. Ability to tie a learning resource to specific learning outcomes and see effectiveness of learning resource. Consolidation of learning outcomes across Growing realization that most learning outcomes jurisdictions from different jurisdictions are almost identical in core subjects (e.g. Common Core initiative in US with 42 states participating) Cloud approach to learning technology Mirroring trend in other sectors, IT infrastructure is delivery migrating from within the organization to external providers saving money and improving service.
  • 43.
    Education Trends Innovations comingfrom outside traditional Organizations like Khan Academy are disrupting education sector education sector. Traditional delivery approaches are threatened with being redundant. Growing awareness of important role of Many jurisdictions starting to set up social networks social networked learning for their students and teachers. Just-in-time instead of just-in-case learning Less important to “cover all the curriculum” than to provide authentic, project based learning experiences for students. Importance of cross-functional teams Most meaningful work is done today in cross- functional teams. Students need to go beyond program and school siloes to get experience with this.
  • 44.
  • 45.
    Growth of GoogleApps for Education
  • 46.
    Consolidation of NewGoogle Design
  • 48.
    Powerful Learning ResourceMetadata Sharing Approaches Emerging
  • 49.
    + The Learning Registry Project Primary Funding from US Dept of Education US Dept of Defense
  • 50.
    Learning Registry isa distributed + system that permits sharing of metadata about learning resources... © Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0 20101022
  • 51.
    …developed through anopen community process that engages + learning resource creators, publishers, curators, and consumers. © Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0 20101022
  • 52.
    Learning Registry isa data exchange mechanism—not a destination + website, search engine, or repository—upon which diverse user services can be built. © Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0 20101022
  • 53.
    © Copyright 2010US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0 20101022
  • 54.
    Resource Paradata Profile 89 Career & Technical Educators in California included this resource in a curriculum module. Dynamic Summary Source Website: Visit This resource has been Reference URL: Visit Times Viewed: 39 aligned 214 times to Times Voted: 23 Times Rated: 6 Math Common Core Times Favorited: 1 Standard Apply Recommended: 2 Times Tagged: geometric methods to climate (2) global solve design problems warming (6) Usability Rating: 7.65/10 Star Rating: 3.75/5 Useful: Yes: 14 No: 9 Accurate: Yes: 2 No: 1 There are Likes: Yes: 12 No: 2 16 discussion posts Best Of 2010: that include this 3 on a scale of 1 (Best) and 50 (Worst) resource in the Middle Most Useful: Resource Information 2 on a scale of 1 (Best) and 5 Title Anatomy of a Rover School Science group. (Worst) Link http://www.teachersdomain.org/9- 12/sci/ess/eiu/rover/index.html Description In this interactive activity from NOVA, learn about Tagged As the sophisticated scientific instruments on two identical robotic rovers that have explored Mars — Spirit and Opportunity. Subject Keyword(s) Science This Science Mars Grade Level High School Intended Audience Learner resource PBS Resource Type Instructional Material was voted #3 out of 5 Resource Format text, text/html Space_Science Best Science NASA Engineering Interactives for English Language Learners by interactive design teachers in Florida © Copyright 2010 US Advanced Distributed Learning Initiative: CC-BY-3.0 20101022
  • 55.
  • 57.
    Move from Mentoring/ formal to Wikis Coaching informal Discussion Forums learning Live Webcasts Friending Recorded Webinars Tagging Video Conferencing User Generated Content Workshops Blogs Learnshops Folksonomy Networking Websites Micro-blogging Learning Audio / Podcasts Webjams 2.0 Case Studies Rating / Comments Books eLearning Leadership Forums ILT (instructor-led/classroom) VILT (virtual instructor/web) Professional Video Virtual World (eg. Second Life)
  • 58.
  • 59.
    Open learning contentproviders launching interactive tools
  • 60.
    Growth of ExternalRepositories and Learning Analytics
  • 63.
  • 66.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
    • In CarnegieMellon's rigorously evaluated online statistics course, students learned a full semester's worth of material in half as much time—and performed as well or better than students learning from traditional instruction.
  • 72.
    Move from surface todeep learning
  • 73.
  • 76.
    Preface by SethGodin to popular e-Marketing Textbook
  • 79.
    Growth in Open Education Resources
  • 87.
  • 88.
    • The futureis already here — it's just not very evenly distributed. – William Gibson
  • 89.
    Summary • Each regionhas mastered some aspects of the overall vision, No one has mastered all the components • Main purpose – Collaboration – Communities of practice – Finding learning resources – Creating learning resources
  • 90.
    Summary • Main audience – Students – Parents – Teachers – Face to face students or online / distance learners • Scale – School district – State / province
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 99.
    Digital Dashboard – WestVancouver School District
  • 100.
  • 101.
  • 102.
    It’s okay thatnot everything is strictly “educational”…
  • 103.
  • 105.
  • 118.
  • 119.
  • 122.
  • 125.
  • 127.
  • 128.
  • 131.
  • 134.
    “A contract betweenthe Indian government and Canadian development partner DataWind, should put between 10 and 12 million devices in the hands of students across India by the end of 2012, according to Computer World.” Source: VentureBeat.com
  • 135.
  • 136.
    Recommendations • Usability more important than any other factor! • Ensure process is transparent – Include early adopter users • Education Camps • Ning Network – Should give big players Google, Microsoft, Apple, IBM chance to bid as well as smaller players like Edmodo and open source approaches like WordPress/BuddyPress and Drupal • Encourage K-20 co-operation • Get definitive regulatory policy statement from government / legal advice • Tool that is best for elementary may be different than best one for secondary • Break into phases – don’t launch by pilot districts – Instead launch by functionality • Start with “low hanging fruit” – Target early adopters – Let it grow organically • Don’t build a white elephant – But do put in sufficient resources to realistically support • Clarify role of ERAC and School Districts • Make sure efforts are forwards compatible
  • 137.

Editor's Notes

  • #21 http://www.slideshare.net/Facegroup/research-30, systems have to be flexible and adaptive to incorporate the users input
  • #24 http://www.slideshare.net/Facegroup/research-30, systems have to be flexible and adaptive to incorporate the users input
  • #25 http://www.slideshare.net/Facegroup/realtime-collaborative-methodologies-in-market-research
  • #26 http://www.slideshare.net/Facegroup/realtime-collaborative-methodologies-in-market-research
  • #27 http://www.google.ca/imgres?q=wrecking+ball&hl=en&sa=X&biw=1280&bih=697&tbm=isch&prmd=imvns&tbnid=BLwkhWnmFdZdCM:&imgrefurl=http://carolyncooper.com/blog/are-you-a-creator-or-a-criticizer/attachment/148825789_74deeeca36/&docid=wA5ZNCo-HoisjM&imgurl=http://carolyncooper.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/148825789_74deeeca36.jpg&w=500&h=392&ei=Q8EKT4zYD-PWiALDi5mdCQ&zoom=1&iact=hc&vpx=177&vpy=239&dur=253&hovh=199&hovw=254&tx=108&ty=111&sig=115584856377499172317&page=2&tbnh=139&tbnw=168&start=18&ndsp=18&ved=1t:429,r:0,s:18
  • #28 http://www.flickr.com/photos/spine/214759009/
  • #29 http://www.flickr.com/photos/dwonderwall/4753833061/
  • #30 http://www.markpeterdavis.com/getventure/2009/12/catch-22-you-dont-have-barriers-until-you-scale-can-you-raise-capital.html
  • #32 http://runningseal.blogspot.com/2011/01/sick.html
  • #33 http://www.supercoloring.com/pages/smiling-star/
  • #39 http://kpk12.com/blog/2011/12/idaho-passes-two-course-online-graduation-requirement/
  • #40 http://kpk12.com/cms/wp-content/uploads/Figure-3-States-with-state-virtual-schools-or-state-led-initiatives.png
  • #41 http://kpk12.com/cms/wp-content/uploads/Figure-10-The-K-12-online-learning-landscape.png
  • #42 Took out educause article as it focused more on post-secondary, added in some trends
  • #43 Added trends
  • #44 Added trends
  • #72 http://www.ed.gov/news/speeches/beyond-iron-triangle-containing-cost-college-and-student-debt
  • #82 http://www.ibm.com/ibm/files/N734393J24929X18/EBW03002-USEN-00.pdf
  • #97 http://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=0B5AOHQcS-cAeODhkOGQwNmMtNDRiNC00ZjA2LTkwM2YtNDY4MGEwOWEyZWNj&hl=en_US
  • #123 http://kpk12.com/states/oregon/
  • #125 https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&pid=explorer&chrome=true&srcid=0B_3n14vxfDnsOTdjOWQxN2UtZDI0YS00YzJlLWFiOWItNDlkNWQ5YTAyMWUx&hl=en_US
  • #128 The official social network site for the members of Greek Schools’ Network (schools, teachers and students). A place to discuss and exchange ideas and to blog. Why it’s in the Showcase: Greek Schools’ network is the largest educational-focused BuddyPress installation in Greece. It currently has approximately 7,500 members and has the potential to grow much larger.
  • #132 http://www.dailytech.com/South+Korea+Looks+to+Replace+School+Textbooks+with+Tablets+By+2015/article22067.htm
  • #133 http://www.neowin.net/news/south-korea-aims-to-provide-gigabit-speed-to-individual-homes-by-2012