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Bibhuti Bhusan Gadnayak
UNICEF
Axom Sarva Sikshya Abhiyan
Assam
Indian Red Cross Society-ASB
Assam
Assam State Disaster
Management Authority
Assam
October 1,
2017
DISASTER & CLIMATE
RISK SCENARIO IN
INDIA & ASSAM – A
FACTUAL OVER VIEW
D AT E : 1 S T N O V. 2 0 1 7 - K O K R AJ H AR , AS S AM
To build an understanding on
past disasters that has taken
place in India and Assam.
To know about the prime
disasters affecting schools in
Objectives of the session
Global natural disaster trends from 1900 to 2014
Major disasters in India (1980-2016)
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016 sorted by no. of
total affected people
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2013 sorted by
economic damage cost
Percentage of people affected by different disasters in India Estimate
economic damage reported by disaster type
Hazard profile of Assam & India
Hazard profile of Assam
Disaster Risk Reduction
Aspects of DRR
What is Climate Change ?
Alaska Columbia glacier recedes rapidly
Increased Climate Change Threat
Manipur earthquake fresh in blood
The unforgettable pilgrimage 2013
Assam Floods in 2016 ………impact
Assam Floods in 2017 ………recent impact
Why is Safe Schools important in South Asia?
CONTENTS
Global natural disaster trends from
1900 to 2014
Map Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Major_Disasters_in_India.jpg
Major disasters in India (1980-
2017)1984 Bhopal Gas
tragedy
1991 Oct. Earthquake,
Uttarkasi
1993 Sept.
Earthquake Latur
1999 April Earthquake,
Chamoli
1999 Oct. Super Cyclone,
Odisha
2001 Jan.
Earthquake, Bhuj
2004 Dec. Tsunami- Andaman
Nicobor, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh,
Tamilnadu
2009 May Cyclone
Aila, WB
2010 Aug.
Cloudburst, Leh
2011 Sept. Earthquake,
Sikkim
2012 Flood,
Assam
2013 June Flood
Uttarakhand
2014 Sept. Floods,
J & K
2015 July, Flood, Gujrat –
Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université Catholique de
Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016
No. Type of Hazard Date No. of
killed
1
Flood
12th June,
2013 6054
2 Extreme
temperature 20th May,2015 2248
3
Earthquake
8th October,
2005 1309
4 Flood 24th July, 2005 1200
5 Flood 3rd July, 2007 1103
6
Flood
11th June,
2008 1063
7 Flood July, 2009 992
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the
period 2005 to 2016
No
.
Disast
er
Date No. of total
affected
1 Drough
t January, 2016 300000000
2 Flood 24th July, 2005 20000055
3 Flood 3rd July, 2007 18700000
4 Flood 15th July, 2015 13709887
5
Storm
12th
October,2013 13230000
6 Flood 12th July, 2007 11100000
7
Flood
11th June,
2008 7900000
8 22nd
Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université
Catholique de Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005
to 2016
sorted by no. of total affected people
No Disaster Date Damage (000
US$)
1
Flood
September,
2014 16000000
2
Storm
12th October,
2014 7000000
3 Flood 28th July, 2006 3390000
4 Flood 24th July, 2005 3330000
5 Flood 28th June, 2005 2300000
6
Flood
8th November,
2015 2200000
7 25th September,Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université Catholique de
Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016
Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to
2013 sorted by economic damage cost
Percentage of people affected by
different disasters in India
Estimate economic damage reported by
disaster type
Assam India
Land
area
78,438 km² 3.287 m.
km²
Earthqu
ake
100% 57 %
Flood 40% 11.2 %
River
erosion
7%
Cyclone Dhubri, Dhemaji, and
Sointpur are prone to
cyclone
7516 km
Drought 28 %
Fire North Chachar hills,
Hazard profile of Assam
& India
Major hazards:
 Flooding: is a regular devastating phenomenon
with an average loss of Rs 200 crore every year.
 Earthquake: The entire state is coming under Zone
V
 Seasonal Storms: Convective Storms including
hailstorms, squalls, lightening and thundering are
common
 Landslides in hilly areas including the capital city
 Communal, religious and ethnic violence and
Hazard profile of Assam “You
name it and we have it”
DRR aims to reduce the damage caused by natural
hazards like; earthquakes, floods, droughts and
cyclones, through an ethic of prevention.
DRR is the concept and practice of reducing disaster
risks through
systematic efforts to analyze and reduce the causal factors
of disasters
reducing exposure to hazards,
lessening vulnerability of people and property,bibhuti.undmt@gmail.com
Disaster Risk
ReductionTHERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A 'NATURAL' DISASTER, ONLY
NATURAL HAZARDS.
DRR………?:
bibhuti.undmt@gmail.com
Disaster Mitigation: Structural and non-structural
measures
Early warning: The provision of timely information
enabling people to take steps to reduce the impact of
hazards.
Disaster Preparedness
Recovery: Assessing levels of future risk when
planning housing projects in the aftermath of a
disaster.
Aspects of DRR.
Climate Change means significant difference in weather pattern
over an extended period of time
Scientific consensus links current climate change
primarily;
 emissions of carbon dioxide and other
 greenhouse gases from human activity, such as;
 the burning of fossil fuels,
 loss of forests and unsustainable production and
 consumption in the industrialized world
The effects include higher global temperatures,
 an increase in frequency and intensity of extreme weather events and
 related natural disasters,
 severe impacts to the sustainability of ecosystems.
What is Climate
Change ?
One of the most dramatic ways we're transforming the planet is
through global warming. And a great place to see its effects is through
the melting of glaciers and ice sheets around the world.
The images above show the Columbia Glacier in Alaska, which flows
directly into the sea. The glacier had stayed more or less fixed in place
between its discovery in 1794 and 1980, but then suddenly began
Alaska's Columbia Glacier, seen on July 28, 1986 and July 2, 2014. (NASA, Images of Change)
Source: http://www.vox.com/2015/4/7/8352381/anthropocene-NASA-images
1986
2014
Alaska Columbia glacier recedes
rapidly
The IPCC has examined the published results from
many different models and on the basis of the
evidence has estimated that by 2100
The global average surface warming (surface air temperature change), will
increase by 1.1 - 6.4 °C.
The sea level will rise between 18 and 59 cm.•
The oceans will become more acidic.
It is very likely that hot extremes, heat waves and heavy precipitation
events will continue to become more frequent.
It is very likely that there will be more precipitation at higher latitudes and it
is likely that there will be less precipitation in most subtropical land
Major projections of Climate
Change ?
1.Increased incidences climatic disasters and
extreme events such as cyclone, flash floods,
storms and draughts etc. around 90% of all
disasters occurring in India are climate
influenced/induced.
2.Negative and harsh affect of climate variability
to coping capacities of population both rural
and urban.
Increased Climate Change
Threat
Climate impacts - Physical health, Mental Health,
Community Health
Source: https://www.healthpopuli.com/category/public-health/
Earthquake of 6.7
magnitudes in
Richter scale hits
Manipur on 4th
January, 2016. 7
person killed and 57
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/movement-near-quake-hit-imphal-buildings-restricted/
Manipur earthquake fresh in
blood
The unforgettable pilgrimage 2013
The flash floods triggered by very heavy rainfall and cloudburst in
Uttarakhand on 16-17 June 2013, affected 12 out of the 13 districts in
Uttarakhand killing thousands of people on pilgrimage as well as
locals
School collapsed in Bihar 2016
Boat capsized
in UP
Volcano
irruption
Assam Floods in 2016
………impact
Peri
od
Farm land Under
Water(damage of Standing
crop)
Affected Districts Affected Population
201
6
4905.40 Hectares Jorhat, Sivasagar,
Tinsukia, Dibrugarh,
Cachar
92,729 people were affected in six districts with 7412
people residing in 40 relief camps
Assam Floods in 2017
………recent impactNo. of districts affected:
29/33
Revenue circles: 115/148
Villages : 4031/26395
Population: 2. 5/ 3.12 m
No. of children
affected:0.6 Million
Death toll: 84, Children
(0-14 yrs): 23
Crop area
damage:2,09,051.65
80 % of disaster deaths happen in Asia
Children are disproportionally affected by
disasters, but also strong agents for
resilience
>14,500 schools were fully or partially
damaged in disasters in SA over the last 5
years
Schools are powerful venues for resilience
Why is Safe Schools important in S
Dabawali fire tragedy killed more than 100
children 1995
Bus failed into Yamuna river in North Delhi
killed 24 children 1997
971 students 31 teachers died, 1884 School
building collapsed, loss of 5950 class rooms,
11, 761 School buildings suffered from major to
minor damages, additional 36,5834 room unfit
for holding instruction sessions and 1,051 were
School Disasters
Thank U

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Disaster & Climate Risk scenario in India & Assam – A Factual Over View Date: 1st Nov. 2017-Kokrajhar, Assam

  • 1. Bibhuti Bhusan Gadnayak UNICEF Axom Sarva Sikshya Abhiyan Assam Indian Red Cross Society-ASB Assam Assam State Disaster Management Authority Assam October 1, 2017 DISASTER & CLIMATE RISK SCENARIO IN INDIA & ASSAM – A FACTUAL OVER VIEW D AT E : 1 S T N O V. 2 0 1 7 - K O K R AJ H AR , AS S AM
  • 2. To build an understanding on past disasters that has taken place in India and Assam. To know about the prime disasters affecting schools in Objectives of the session
  • 3. Global natural disaster trends from 1900 to 2014 Major disasters in India (1980-2016) Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016 Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016 sorted by no. of total affected people Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2013 sorted by economic damage cost Percentage of people affected by different disasters in India Estimate economic damage reported by disaster type Hazard profile of Assam & India Hazard profile of Assam Disaster Risk Reduction Aspects of DRR What is Climate Change ? Alaska Columbia glacier recedes rapidly Increased Climate Change Threat Manipur earthquake fresh in blood The unforgettable pilgrimage 2013 Assam Floods in 2016 ………impact Assam Floods in 2017 ………recent impact Why is Safe Schools important in South Asia? CONTENTS
  • 4. Global natural disaster trends from 1900 to 2014
  • 5. Map Source: http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Major_Disasters_in_India.jpg Major disasters in India (1980- 2017)1984 Bhopal Gas tragedy 1991 Oct. Earthquake, Uttarkasi 1993 Sept. Earthquake Latur 1999 April Earthquake, Chamoli 1999 Oct. Super Cyclone, Odisha 2001 Jan. Earthquake, Bhuj 2004 Dec. Tsunami- Andaman Nicobor, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Tamilnadu 2009 May Cyclone Aila, WB 2010 Aug. Cloudburst, Leh 2011 Sept. Earthquake, Sikkim 2012 Flood, Assam 2013 June Flood Uttarakhand 2014 Sept. Floods, J & K 2015 July, Flood, Gujrat –
  • 6. Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université Catholique de Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016 No. Type of Hazard Date No. of killed 1 Flood 12th June, 2013 6054 2 Extreme temperature 20th May,2015 2248 3 Earthquake 8th October, 2005 1309 4 Flood 24th July, 2005 1200 5 Flood 3rd July, 2007 1103 6 Flood 11th June, 2008 1063 7 Flood July, 2009 992 Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016
  • 7. No . Disast er Date No. of total affected 1 Drough t January, 2016 300000000 2 Flood 24th July, 2005 20000055 3 Flood 3rd July, 2007 18700000 4 Flood 15th July, 2015 13709887 5 Storm 12th October,2013 13230000 6 Flood 12th July, 2007 11100000 7 Flood 11th June, 2008 7900000 8 22nd Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université Catholique de Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016 Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2016 sorted by no. of total affected people
  • 8. No Disaster Date Damage (000 US$) 1 Flood September, 2014 16000000 2 Storm 12th October, 2014 7000000 3 Flood 28th July, 2006 3390000 4 Flood 24th July, 2005 3330000 5 Flood 28th June, 2005 2300000 6 Flood 8th November, 2015 2200000 7 25th September,Source-EM-DAT: The OFDA/CRED International Disaster Database – www.emdat.be – Université Catholique de Louvain – Brussels – Belgium accessed on 18th June, 2016 Top 10 natural disasters in India for the period 2005 to 2013 sorted by economic damage cost
  • 9. Percentage of people affected by different disasters in India
  • 10. Estimate economic damage reported by disaster type
  • 11. Assam India Land area 78,438 km² 3.287 m. km² Earthqu ake 100% 57 % Flood 40% 11.2 % River erosion 7% Cyclone Dhubri, Dhemaji, and Sointpur are prone to cyclone 7516 km Drought 28 % Fire North Chachar hills, Hazard profile of Assam & India
  • 12. Major hazards:  Flooding: is a regular devastating phenomenon with an average loss of Rs 200 crore every year.  Earthquake: The entire state is coming under Zone V  Seasonal Storms: Convective Storms including hailstorms, squalls, lightening and thundering are common  Landslides in hilly areas including the capital city  Communal, religious and ethnic violence and Hazard profile of Assam “You name it and we have it”
  • 13. DRR aims to reduce the damage caused by natural hazards like; earthquakes, floods, droughts and cyclones, through an ethic of prevention. DRR is the concept and practice of reducing disaster risks through systematic efforts to analyze and reduce the causal factors of disasters reducing exposure to hazards, lessening vulnerability of people and property,bibhuti.undmt@gmail.com Disaster Risk ReductionTHERE IS NO SUCH THING AS A 'NATURAL' DISASTER, ONLY NATURAL HAZARDS.
  • 15. Disaster Mitigation: Structural and non-structural measures Early warning: The provision of timely information enabling people to take steps to reduce the impact of hazards. Disaster Preparedness Recovery: Assessing levels of future risk when planning housing projects in the aftermath of a disaster. Aspects of DRR.
  • 16. Climate Change means significant difference in weather pattern over an extended period of time Scientific consensus links current climate change primarily;  emissions of carbon dioxide and other  greenhouse gases from human activity, such as;  the burning of fossil fuels,  loss of forests and unsustainable production and  consumption in the industrialized world The effects include higher global temperatures,  an increase in frequency and intensity of extreme weather events and  related natural disasters,  severe impacts to the sustainability of ecosystems. What is Climate Change ?
  • 17. One of the most dramatic ways we're transforming the planet is through global warming. And a great place to see its effects is through the melting of glaciers and ice sheets around the world. The images above show the Columbia Glacier in Alaska, which flows directly into the sea. The glacier had stayed more or less fixed in place between its discovery in 1794 and 1980, but then suddenly began Alaska's Columbia Glacier, seen on July 28, 1986 and July 2, 2014. (NASA, Images of Change) Source: http://www.vox.com/2015/4/7/8352381/anthropocene-NASA-images 1986 2014 Alaska Columbia glacier recedes rapidly
  • 18. The IPCC has examined the published results from many different models and on the basis of the evidence has estimated that by 2100 The global average surface warming (surface air temperature change), will increase by 1.1 - 6.4 °C. The sea level will rise between 18 and 59 cm.• The oceans will become more acidic. It is very likely that hot extremes, heat waves and heavy precipitation events will continue to become more frequent. It is very likely that there will be more precipitation at higher latitudes and it is likely that there will be less precipitation in most subtropical land Major projections of Climate Change ?
  • 19. 1.Increased incidences climatic disasters and extreme events such as cyclone, flash floods, storms and draughts etc. around 90% of all disasters occurring in India are climate influenced/induced. 2.Negative and harsh affect of climate variability to coping capacities of population both rural and urban. Increased Climate Change Threat
  • 20. Climate impacts - Physical health, Mental Health, Community Health Source: https://www.healthpopuli.com/category/public-health/
  • 21. Earthquake of 6.7 magnitudes in Richter scale hits Manipur on 4th January, 2016. 7 person killed and 57 http://indianexpress.com/article/india/india-news-india/movement-near-quake-hit-imphal-buildings-restricted/ Manipur earthquake fresh in blood
  • 22. The unforgettable pilgrimage 2013 The flash floods triggered by very heavy rainfall and cloudburst in Uttarakhand on 16-17 June 2013, affected 12 out of the 13 districts in Uttarakhand killing thousands of people on pilgrimage as well as locals
  • 23. School collapsed in Bihar 2016
  • 26. Assam Floods in 2016 ………impact Peri od Farm land Under Water(damage of Standing crop) Affected Districts Affected Population 201 6 4905.40 Hectares Jorhat, Sivasagar, Tinsukia, Dibrugarh, Cachar 92,729 people were affected in six districts with 7412 people residing in 40 relief camps
  • 27. Assam Floods in 2017 ………recent impactNo. of districts affected: 29/33 Revenue circles: 115/148 Villages : 4031/26395 Population: 2. 5/ 3.12 m No. of children affected:0.6 Million Death toll: 84, Children (0-14 yrs): 23 Crop area damage:2,09,051.65
  • 28. 80 % of disaster deaths happen in Asia Children are disproportionally affected by disasters, but also strong agents for resilience >14,500 schools were fully or partially damaged in disasters in SA over the last 5 years Schools are powerful venues for resilience Why is Safe Schools important in S
  • 29. Dabawali fire tragedy killed more than 100 children 1995 Bus failed into Yamuna river in North Delhi killed 24 children 1997 971 students 31 teachers died, 1884 School building collapsed, loss of 5950 class rooms, 11, 761 School buildings suffered from major to minor damages, additional 36,5834 room unfit for holding instruction sessions and 1,051 were School Disasters

Editor's Notes

  1. Image Source: http://www.livemint.com/Politics/1b5ySNWSP2ifWs0sVrKIAO/Uttarakhand-floods-Troops-seek-stranded-thousands-as-deaths.html
  2. Image source: http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/nation/assam-flood-toll-13-over-6-lakh-affected/123356.html