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Probability Using Permutations or Combinations

Example:  An urn contains six white balls and five red balls.  
A sample of four balls is selected at random from the urn.  
What is the probability that the sample contains two white 
balls and two red balls.  

From our definition of probability we know:

P(E) =        # of ways event can occur
        Total number of possible outcomes

Step #1:  Find the number of ways event can occur or 
another way of saying it.......

How many ways can we choose two white balls and two red 
balls?   6C2 *5C2 = 150


Step #2:  Find the total number of possible outcomes or 
another way of saying it.........

How many ways can we select four balls out of 11 balls?
                11C4 = 330


Therefore, the probability is:  150     or   5
                                 330        11
Example: 
An urn contains six red balls and four green balls.  
A sample of seven balls is selected at random.  Find 
the probability that:
a.  five red and two green balls are selected


b.  all the balls selected are red


c.  more than four red balls are selected.  
Example:  
There are seven  boys and three girls on a school tennis 
team.  The coach must select four people from this group to 
participate in the county championship?
a.  How many four­person teams can be formed from the 
group of ten students?


b .  In how many ways can two boys and two girls be chosen 
to participate in the county championship?


c.  What is the probability that two boys and two girls are 
chosen for the team?
Example:  If one of the letters of the word 
'ELEMENT' is chosen at random, what is the 
probability that an E is chosen?




Example:  A bag contains three chocolate, four sugar, and five 
lemon cookies.  Greg takes two cookies from the bag for a snack.  
Find the probability that Greg did not take two chocolate cookies 
from the bag.  Explain why using the complement of the event of 
not choosing two chocolate cookies might be an easier approach to 
solving this problem.

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Day 14-4: Probability with Permutations & Combinations