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Chapter 9
PLANNING TOOLS
AND
TECHNIQUES
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-1
Learning Objectives
You should learn to:
ā€“ Describe three techniques for assessing the
environment
ā€“ Describe four techniques for allocating resources
ā€“ Tell why budgets are popular planning tools
ā€“ Differentiate Gantt and load charts
ā€“ Identify the steps in developing a PERT network

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-2
Learning Objectives (cont.)
You should learn to:
ā€“ Describe the requirements for using linear
programming
ā€“ Explain the concept of project planning
ā€“ Tell how managers might use scenarios in
planning

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-3
Techniques For Assessing The Environment
Environmental Scanning
ā€“ the screening of information to anticipate and interpret
changes in the environment
ā€“ competitor intelligence - gathering information about
oneā€™s competitors
ā€¢ a variety of sources of information is easily accessible
ā€“ reverse engineering - analyze a competitorā€™s
product
ā€¢ becomes illegal corporate spying when proprietary
materials or trade secrets are stolen
ā€“ fine line between what is legal and ethical and
what is legal but unethical
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-4
Assessing The Environment (cont.)
Environmental Scanning (cont.)
ā€“ global scanning - screening of information on
global forces that might affect an organization
that has global interests
ā€¢ requires more extensive procedures than those
used for scanning the domestic environment

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-5
Assessing The Environment (cont.)
Forecasting
ā€“ used to predict future events to facilitate decision making
ā€“ Techniques
ā€¢ quantitative - applies a set of mathematical rules to a
series of past data to predict outcomes
ā€¢ qualitative - uses the judgment and opinions of
knowledgeable individuals to predict outcomes
ā€¢ collaborative forecasting and replenishment (CFAR)
ā€“ standardized way for businesses to use the Internet
to exchange data
ā€“ information used to calculate a demand forecast for
a particular product
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-6
Forecasting Techniques

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-7
Assessing The Environment (cont.)
Forecasting (cont.)
ā€“ Effectiveness - managers have had mixed success
ā€¢ forecasts are most accurate in relatively stable
environments
ā€¢ forecasts are relatively ineffective in predicting
nonseasonal events, unusual occurrences, and the
actions of competitors
ā€¢ to improve forecasts - use simple forecasting methods
ā€“ compare every forecast with ā€œno changeā€
ā€“ use several forecasting methods
ā€“ shorten the length of forecasts
ā€“ practice forecasting
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-8
Assessing The Environment (cont.)
Benchmarking
ā€“ the search for the best practices in other organizations
that lead to superior performance
ā€“ standard tool of many organizations in quest for
performance improvement
ā€“ analyze and then copy the methods used by leaders in
various fields
ā€“ important to identify appropriate targets for
benchmarking
ā€“ organizations may share benchmarking information
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-9
Steps In Benchmarking
Form a benchmarking
planning team
Best
Practices
Prepare and
implement
action plan

Gather internal and
external data

Analyze data to
identify performance
gaps
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-10
Suggestions for Improving Benchmark Efforts

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-11
Techniques For Allocating Resources
Resources
ā€“ the assets of the organization
ā€“ take many forms, including financial, physical, human,
intangible, and structural
Budgeting
ā€“ budgets - numerical plans for allocating resources to
specific activities
ā€¢ are prepared for revenues, expenses, and large capital
expenditures
ā€¢ are applicable to a wide variety of organizations and
activities
ā€¢ force financial discipline
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-12
Suggestions for Improving Budgeting

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-13
Suggestions For Improving Budgeting
ā€¢ Be flexible
ā€¢ Goals should drive budgets -- budgets should
not determine goals
ā€¢ Coordinate budgeting throughout the
organization
ā€¢ Use budgeting/planning software when
appropriate
ā€¢ Remember that budgets are tools
ā€¢ Remember that profits result from smart
management, not because you budgeted
for them
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-14
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling
ā€“ detailing what activities have to be done, the order in
which they are to be completed, who is to do each, and
when they are to be completed
ā€“ Gantt Charts - show when tasks are supposed to be done
ā€¢ allow comparison with the actual progress on each
task
ā€“ serve as a control tool
ā€¢ a bar graph with time on the horizontal axis and the
activities to be scheduled on the vertical axis
ā€¢ shading represents actual progress
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-15
A Gantt Chart
Activity

Month
1

2

3

4

Edit Manuscript
Design Sample Pages
Draw Artwork
Print Galley Proofs
Print Page Proofs
Design Cover
Goals
Actual Progress
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

Reporting Date
9-16
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Load Charts - modified Gantt Chart
ā€¢ schedule capacity by work areas
ā€“ vertical axis lists either entire departments or
specific resources
ā€¢ allow managers to plan and control capacity
utilization

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-17
A Load Chart
Editors

Month
1

2

3

4

5

6

Anne
Antonio
Kim
Maurice
Dave
Penny
Work scheduled
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-18
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Program Evaluation and Review Technique
(PERT) Network Analysis
ā€¢ used to schedule complex projects
ā€¢ flowchartlike diagram that depicts the sequence
of activities needed to complete a project
ā€¢ indicates the time or costs associated with each
activity
ā€¢ can compare the effects alternative actions
might have on scheduling and costs
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-19
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ PERT (cont.) - nomenclature
ā€¢ events - end points that represent the completion of
major activities
ā€¢ activities - time or resources required to progress from
one event to another
ā€¢ slack time - amount of time an activity can be delayed
without delaying the entire project
ā€¢ critical path - the most time-consuming sequence of
events and activities in a PERT network
ā€“ delays on critical path will delay completion of the
entire project (zero slack time)
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-20
Steps in Developing a PERT Network

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-21
A PERT Network for Constructing an Office Building

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-22
A PERT Network For Constructing An Office
Building
4

D
Start

A

6

B

14

3

C

3

5

6
10

I

E

3

5

J
G

5

H

1

K

3

5

F

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-23
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Breakeven Analysis - used to determine how
many units must be sold to have neither profit nor
loss
ā€¢ used to make profit projections
ā€¢ points out relationships between revenues,
costs, and profits
ā€“ breakeven point - total revenue is just
enough to equal total costs
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-24
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Breakeven Analysis (cont.) - nomenclature
ā€¢ P - unit price of product
ā€¢ VC - variable cost per unit
ā€¢ TFC - total fixed costs
ā€¢ Fixed costs - costs that do not change as volume
increases
ā€¢ Variable costs - costs that change in proportion to
output

TFC
BE =
P āˆ’ VC
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-25
Breakeven Analysis
$90,000
80,000

Profi
t
Total RevenueArea

Revenue/Cost($)

70,000
60,000

Breakeven Point

50,000
Total Costs

40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000

Loss
Area
100

Variable
Costs

Fixed
Costs
200

300

400

500

600

Output (in thousands)
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-26
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Linear Programming
ā€¢ requirements
ā€“ resources are limited
ā€“ outcome optimization is the goal
ā€“ alternative methods exist for combining
resources to produce a number of output
mixes
ā€“ a linear relationship exists between variables
ā€¢ technique has a variety of applications
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-27
Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.)
Scheduling (cont.)
ā€“ Linear Programming (cont.) - nomenclature
ā€¢ objective function - a mathematical equation that
predicts the outcome of all proposed alternatives
ā€¢ production capacity of departments involved in
producing the outputs
ā€“ acts as a constraint on overall capacity
ā€“ constraints define the feasibility region
ā€¢ feasibility region - defines the optimal resource
allocation
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-28
Production Data for Cinnamon Scented Products

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-29
Quantity of Selected Candles

Graphical Solution To Linear Programming
Problem
700
600
500
400

F

300 B
200
100

A

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

Feasibility
Region

100

C
D

200 300 400 500
Quantity of Potpourri Bags

E
600
9-30
Contemporary Planning Techniques
Project Management
ā€“ the task of getting a projectā€™s activities done on time,
within budget, and according to specifications
ā€¢ project - a one-time-only set of activities that has a
definite beginning and ending point in time
ā€“ standardized planning procedures often are not
appropriate for projects
ā€“ Project Management Process
ā€¢ team created from appropriate work areas
ā€¢ team reports to a project manager
ā€¢ project manager coordinates activities
ā€¢ team disbands when project is completed
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-31
Project Management Process
Define
objectives
Identify activities
and resources
Establish
sequences
Estimate time
for activities
Determine
project
completion date
Compare with
objectives
Determine
additional
resource
requirements
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-32
Contemporary Planning Techniques (cont.)
Project Management (cont.)
ā€“ Role of the Project Manager
ā€¢ role is affected by the one-shot nature of the
project
ā€¢ role is difficult because team members still
linked to their permanent work areas
ā€“ members may be assigned to several projects
simultaneously
ā€¢ managers must rely on their communication
skills and powers of persuasion
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-33
Contemporary Planning Techniques (cont.)
Scenario Planning
ā€“ scenario - a consistent view of what the future is
likely to be
ā€“ contingency planning - developing scenarios
ā€¢ if this is what happens, then these are the
actions we need to take
ā€“ intent is to reduce uncertainty by playing out
potential situations under different specified
conditions
Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-34
Preparing for Unexpected Events

Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002

9-35

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Chap09

  • 2. Learning Objectives You should learn to: ā€“ Describe three techniques for assessing the environment ā€“ Describe four techniques for allocating resources ā€“ Tell why budgets are popular planning tools ā€“ Differentiate Gantt and load charts ā€“ Identify the steps in developing a PERT network Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-2
  • 3. Learning Objectives (cont.) You should learn to: ā€“ Describe the requirements for using linear programming ā€“ Explain the concept of project planning ā€“ Tell how managers might use scenarios in planning Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-3
  • 4. Techniques For Assessing The Environment Environmental Scanning ā€“ the screening of information to anticipate and interpret changes in the environment ā€“ competitor intelligence - gathering information about oneā€™s competitors ā€¢ a variety of sources of information is easily accessible ā€“ reverse engineering - analyze a competitorā€™s product ā€¢ becomes illegal corporate spying when proprietary materials or trade secrets are stolen ā€“ fine line between what is legal and ethical and what is legal but unethical Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-4
  • 5. Assessing The Environment (cont.) Environmental Scanning (cont.) ā€“ global scanning - screening of information on global forces that might affect an organization that has global interests ā€¢ requires more extensive procedures than those used for scanning the domestic environment Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-5
  • 6. Assessing The Environment (cont.) Forecasting ā€“ used to predict future events to facilitate decision making ā€“ Techniques ā€¢ quantitative - applies a set of mathematical rules to a series of past data to predict outcomes ā€¢ qualitative - uses the judgment and opinions of knowledgeable individuals to predict outcomes ā€¢ collaborative forecasting and replenishment (CFAR) ā€“ standardized way for businesses to use the Internet to exchange data ā€“ information used to calculate a demand forecast for a particular product Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-6
  • 8. Assessing The Environment (cont.) Forecasting (cont.) ā€“ Effectiveness - managers have had mixed success ā€¢ forecasts are most accurate in relatively stable environments ā€¢ forecasts are relatively ineffective in predicting nonseasonal events, unusual occurrences, and the actions of competitors ā€¢ to improve forecasts - use simple forecasting methods ā€“ compare every forecast with ā€œno changeā€ ā€“ use several forecasting methods ā€“ shorten the length of forecasts ā€“ practice forecasting Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-8
  • 9. Assessing The Environment (cont.) Benchmarking ā€“ the search for the best practices in other organizations that lead to superior performance ā€“ standard tool of many organizations in quest for performance improvement ā€“ analyze and then copy the methods used by leaders in various fields ā€“ important to identify appropriate targets for benchmarking ā€“ organizations may share benchmarking information Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-9
  • 10. Steps In Benchmarking Form a benchmarking planning team Best Practices Prepare and implement action plan Gather internal and external data Analyze data to identify performance gaps Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-10
  • 11. Suggestions for Improving Benchmark Efforts Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-11
  • 12. Techniques For Allocating Resources Resources ā€“ the assets of the organization ā€“ take many forms, including financial, physical, human, intangible, and structural Budgeting ā€“ budgets - numerical plans for allocating resources to specific activities ā€¢ are prepared for revenues, expenses, and large capital expenditures ā€¢ are applicable to a wide variety of organizations and activities ā€¢ force financial discipline Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-12
  • 13. Suggestions for Improving Budgeting Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-13
  • 14. Suggestions For Improving Budgeting ā€¢ Be flexible ā€¢ Goals should drive budgets -- budgets should not determine goals ā€¢ Coordinate budgeting throughout the organization ā€¢ Use budgeting/planning software when appropriate ā€¢ Remember that budgets are tools ā€¢ Remember that profits result from smart management, not because you budgeted for them Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-14
  • 15. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling ā€“ detailing what activities have to be done, the order in which they are to be completed, who is to do each, and when they are to be completed ā€“ Gantt Charts - show when tasks are supposed to be done ā€¢ allow comparison with the actual progress on each task ā€“ serve as a control tool ā€¢ a bar graph with time on the horizontal axis and the activities to be scheduled on the vertical axis ā€¢ shading represents actual progress Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-15
  • 16. A Gantt Chart Activity Month 1 2 3 4 Edit Manuscript Design Sample Pages Draw Artwork Print Galley Proofs Print Page Proofs Design Cover Goals Actual Progress Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 Reporting Date 9-16
  • 17. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Load Charts - modified Gantt Chart ā€¢ schedule capacity by work areas ā€“ vertical axis lists either entire departments or specific resources ā€¢ allow managers to plan and control capacity utilization Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-17
  • 19. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) Network Analysis ā€¢ used to schedule complex projects ā€¢ flowchartlike diagram that depicts the sequence of activities needed to complete a project ā€¢ indicates the time or costs associated with each activity ā€¢ can compare the effects alternative actions might have on scheduling and costs Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-19
  • 20. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ PERT (cont.) - nomenclature ā€¢ events - end points that represent the completion of major activities ā€¢ activities - time or resources required to progress from one event to another ā€¢ slack time - amount of time an activity can be delayed without delaying the entire project ā€¢ critical path - the most time-consuming sequence of events and activities in a PERT network ā€“ delays on critical path will delay completion of the entire project (zero slack time) Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-20
  • 21. Steps in Developing a PERT Network Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-21
  • 22. A PERT Network for Constructing an Office Building Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-22
  • 23. A PERT Network For Constructing An Office Building 4 D Start A 6 B 14 3 C 3 5 6 10 I E 3 5 J G 5 H 1 K 3 5 F Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-23
  • 24. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Breakeven Analysis - used to determine how many units must be sold to have neither profit nor loss ā€¢ used to make profit projections ā€¢ points out relationships between revenues, costs, and profits ā€“ breakeven point - total revenue is just enough to equal total costs Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-24
  • 25. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Breakeven Analysis (cont.) - nomenclature ā€¢ P - unit price of product ā€¢ VC - variable cost per unit ā€¢ TFC - total fixed costs ā€¢ Fixed costs - costs that do not change as volume increases ā€¢ Variable costs - costs that change in proportion to output TFC BE = P āˆ’ VC Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-25
  • 26. Breakeven Analysis $90,000 80,000 Profi t Total RevenueArea Revenue/Cost($) 70,000 60,000 Breakeven Point 50,000 Total Costs 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Loss Area 100 Variable Costs Fixed Costs 200 300 400 500 600 Output (in thousands) Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-26
  • 27. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Linear Programming ā€¢ requirements ā€“ resources are limited ā€“ outcome optimization is the goal ā€“ alternative methods exist for combining resources to produce a number of output mixes ā€“ a linear relationship exists between variables ā€¢ technique has a variety of applications Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-27
  • 28. Techniques For Allocating Resources (cont.) Scheduling (cont.) ā€“ Linear Programming (cont.) - nomenclature ā€¢ objective function - a mathematical equation that predicts the outcome of all proposed alternatives ā€¢ production capacity of departments involved in producing the outputs ā€“ acts as a constraint on overall capacity ā€“ constraints define the feasibility region ā€¢ feasibility region - defines the optimal resource allocation Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-28
  • 29. Production Data for Cinnamon Scented Products Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-29
  • 30. Quantity of Selected Candles Graphical Solution To Linear Programming Problem 700 600 500 400 F 300 B 200 100 A Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 Feasibility Region 100 C D 200 300 400 500 Quantity of Potpourri Bags E 600 9-30
  • 31. Contemporary Planning Techniques Project Management ā€“ the task of getting a projectā€™s activities done on time, within budget, and according to specifications ā€¢ project - a one-time-only set of activities that has a definite beginning and ending point in time ā€“ standardized planning procedures often are not appropriate for projects ā€“ Project Management Process ā€¢ team created from appropriate work areas ā€¢ team reports to a project manager ā€¢ project manager coordinates activities ā€¢ team disbands when project is completed Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-31
  • 32. Project Management Process Define objectives Identify activities and resources Establish sequences Estimate time for activities Determine project completion date Compare with objectives Determine additional resource requirements Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-32
  • 33. Contemporary Planning Techniques (cont.) Project Management (cont.) ā€“ Role of the Project Manager ā€¢ role is affected by the one-shot nature of the project ā€¢ role is difficult because team members still linked to their permanent work areas ā€“ members may be assigned to several projects simultaneously ā€¢ managers must rely on their communication skills and powers of persuasion Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-33
  • 34. Contemporary Planning Techniques (cont.) Scenario Planning ā€“ scenario - a consistent view of what the future is likely to be ā€“ contingency planning - developing scenarios ā€¢ if this is what happens, then these are the actions we need to take ā€“ intent is to reduce uncertainty by playing out potential situations under different specified conditions Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-34
  • 35. Preparing for Unexpected Events Ā© Prentice Hall, 2002 9-35