Here are the key points about the natural history and progression of BPH on watchful waiting:
- Most men with BPH will experience gradual worsening of symptoms over time if left untreated. However, the rate of progression varies between individuals.
- In the Ball et al study of 100 men on watchful waiting for 5 years, about 25% got better, 30% stayed the same, and 45% got worse.
- Other studies have found annual progression rates of symptoms and complications to be around 10-15% per year. However, many men have stable disease for many years as well.
- Risk factors for faster progression include larger prostate size, more bothersome initial symptoms, and older age at presentation