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International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1022
Probability of failure of column and beam in steel structure due to plan
irregularities
Vidya Sagar J1, Manjunath G S 2
1M. Tech, Department of Civil Engineering, The Oxford College of Engineering & Technology,
Bengaluru, Karnataka,
2Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, The Oxford College of Engineering & Technology,
Bengaluru, Karnataka, India
---------------------------------------------------------------------***---------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract - The evaluation of safety of the structure is an
important task for the engineers. The safety of structure
depends mainly on the parameters like Resistance denoted by
‘R’ of the structure and action denoted by ‘S’ on the structure.
Here action is the function of loads, which are random
variables such as live load, wind load etc., andresistanceofthe
structure depends on the physical propertiesofmaterialsused
and geometrical properties of the structure which are
probabilistic. The concept wherein several outcomes of a
situation are possible is used for Probabilistic approach.
Probabilistic modelling aims at the study of a range of
outcomes for a given input data. The design variables are
random hence it is much more important to assess the safety
levels in the probabilistic design situation. Column is the vital
most component of the structure, probability of failure of
column is linked to the overall safety of the structure.
Considering the above an attempt is made to assess the safety
of the structure ensured by the design methodology of IS 800-
2007.
Key Words: Column-Beam failure, Reliability, Steel
structure, Axial load, Uniaxial moments, Biaxial
moments.
1. INTRODUCTION
The evaluation of safety of the structure is an importanttask
for the engineers. The safety of structure depends mostly on
the parameters like resistance(R)ofthestructureandaction
(S) on the structure. The action is the functionofloadswhich
are random variables such as live load, wind load etc., and
the resistance of structure depends on materials used,
geometrical properties of the structure which are
probabilistic. Even though it was always known that these
above parameters arerandomvariables,noseriousattempts
were made to consider their random variations, till 1960 in
analysis, design and evaluation ofsafety.It wasprobablydue
to the reason that engineers and research workers were not
confident of applying probability theory. It was only around
1960 that engineers started to realise the need for the
evaluation of safety of the structure taking into the
consideration of random variationsofthedesignparameters
like loads, height etc.
1.1 Scope of study
The structural safety depends on Resistance (R) of the
structure and the Action (S) on the structure. The Action is
the function of loads which are random variables. The
resistance depends on the physical properties of materials
used and geometrical properties of the structure which are
probabilistic.
The design variables being random it is much more
important to assess the level of safety in the probabilistic
design situation. Column being the vital most structural
element, probability of failure of column is linked to the
overall structural safety hence it’s important to assess the
safety levels ensured by design methodologyofIS800:2007.
1.2 Objective of study
In the present study, an unsymmetrical structural frame is
considered and level 2 reliability of the design of steel
flexural members and compressionmembersarecarriedout
as per the code of practice IS 800-2007.
The axial load, uniaxial moments and biaxial moments in a
particular column and the statistics and probability
distribution of moments and shear in a particular beam are
generated on selected steel frame using ETABS 2015.
The data generated is subjected to the statistical analysis.
The probability modelling is done using MATLAB.
Probability of failure is determined by Monte Carlo
simulation. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the
statistical value of resistance of the membersandchi-square
‘goodness of fit’ test is employed to determine the type of
distribution for the variables.
2. METHODOLOGY
A two storey building with the below details is considered
Floor height = 3.0 m
Spacing of columns = 4.0 m and 6.0 m
Column height = 3.0 m ISMB-450
Beam lengths = 4.0 m and 6.0 m ISMB-300
Live load on storey 1 = 19 KN/m
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1023
Live load on storey 2 = 6 KN/m
Thickness of slab = 200mm
Grade of concrete = M20
Frame analysis is carried out and the results obtained are
used for deterministic design. Bending moment and shear
force are used to check the safety of the beam. Axial loadand
moments along minor axis and major axis are used to check
the safety of the column. If suppose the sections fail it has to
be revised in the deterministic design.
2.1. Generation of load and resistance statistics
For the probabilistic design the standard normal deviates
are obtained by generatingtwouniformrandomnumbersv1
and v2 with a uniform density range between 0 to 1. After
which the standard normal variatesu1andu2arecalculated.
In the present study, the variations are applied for fck
characteristic strength of concrete in slab, live load on slab,
depth of slab, length of beam, live load on beamandheight of
column. For 100 values of standard normal variates the
above parameters are applied and 100 number of times
frame analysis is carried out in ETABS and results are used
to find the probability of failure of columns and beamsofthe
structure.
2.2. RANDOM VARIABLES
The numerical variable whose specific values cannot be
predicted with certainty before an experiment is known as
Random variable. The assumed value of a random variable
associated with an experiment depends on the result or
outcome of the experiment. This value we get is associated
with every simple defined on the sample space but different
simple events may have the same associated value of
random variable. e.g. The wind speed at a location,
compressive strength of the concrete, etc.
Table-1: Random variables
V1 V2 U1 U2 V1 V2 U1 U2
0.179 0.738 -0.14 -1.85 0.615 0.324 -0.442 0.881
0.26 0.736 -0.144 -1.635 0.428 0.479 -1.291 0.171
0.8 0.124 0.475 0.469 0.863 0.396 -0.431 0.33
0.112 0.384 -1.561 1.394 0.203 0.175 0.811 1.591
0.746 0.893 0.599 -0.477 0.529 0.213 0.26 1.098
0.191 0.32 -0.775 1.646 0.791 0.59 -0.578 -0.367
0.792 0.776 0.111 -0.674 0.437 0.456 -1.238 0.351
0.842 0.231 0.07 0.582 0.571 0.064 0.974 0.414
0.42 0.645 -0.807 -1.041 0.134 0.285 -0.437 1.957
0.495 0.844 0.66 -0.985 0.81 0.692 -0.231 -0.607
0.683 0.158 0.477 0.731 0.51 0.401 -0.943 0.676
0.569 0.924 0.943 -0.488 0.69 0.351 -0.511 0.694
0.419 0.784 0.28 -1.289 0.807 0.596 -0.539 -0.371
0.974 0.561 -0.213 -0.086 0.667 0.085 0.775 0.458
0.942 0.047 0.331 0.101 0.015 0.276 -0.471 2.86
0.802 0.097 0.545 0.38 0.168 0.047 1.807 0.55
0.878 0.079 0.449 0.243 0.729 0.575 -0.708 -0.361
0.301 0.852 0.927 -1.242 0.139 0.058 1.856 0.708
0.992 0.862 0.082 -0.097 0.435 0.6 -1.044 -0.758
0.658 0.391 -0.709 0.579 0.29 0.684 -0.634 -1.44
0.037 0.894 2.019 -1.587 0.575 0.53 -1.033 -0.197
0.306 0.168 0.758 1.339 0.167 0.736 -0.166 -1.885
0.383 0.117 1.028 0.929 0.938 0.184 0.144 0.327
0.192 0.975 1.794 -0.284 0.773 0.859 0.454 -0.556
0.178 0.077 1.645 0.864 0.53 0.43 -1.02 0.48
2.3. Variations in resistance parameters
The requirements in the reliability study is the collection of
data on the physical properties of the materials of the
structure, strength of the materials used and the geometric
parameters of the sections and statistical analysis of the
structure. In the present study, the variations applied for
various parameters of resistance which includeGeometrical
properties, Material properties and loads are as follows:
Table-2: Geometrical and Material Property Variations
2.4. Generation of normal variates
Table-3: Normal variates for slab, beam and column
SLAB BEAM
COLUM
N
SL
NO fck D LL
L(6m
)
L(4m
)
LL
(19)
LL
(6) H
1
19.9
7
199.9
9
2.9
4 5.996 3.996 18.972 5.972 2.996
2
19.9
7
199.9
9
2.9
4 5.996 3.996 18.971 5.971 2.996
3
20.1
0
200.0
5
3.1
9 6.014 4.014 19.095 6.095 3.014
4
19.6
9
199.8
4
2.3
8 5.953 3.953 18.688 5.688 2.953
5
20.1
2
200.0
6
3.2
4 6.018 4.018 19.120 6.120 3.018
6
19.8
5
199.9
2
2.6
9 5.977 3.977 18.845 5.845 2.977
7
20.0
2
200.0
1
3.0
4 6.003 4.003 19.022 6.022 3.003
8
20.0
1
200.0
1
3.0
3 6.002 4.002 19.014 6.014 3.002
9
19.8
4
199.9
2
2.6
8 5.976 3.976 18.839 5.839 2.976
10 20.1 200.0 3.2 6.020 4.020 19.132 6.132 3.020
SL NO PROPERTIES % of variations
1 Geometrical
Depth of slab
Length of beam
Height of column
10
03
03
2 Material
Characteristic cube compressive
strength of concrete 20
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1024
3 7 6
11
20.1
0
200.0
5
3.1
9 6.014 4.014 19.095 6.095 3.014
12
20.1
9
200.0
9
3.3
8 6.028 4.028 19.189 6.189 3.028
13
20.0
6
200.0
3
3.1
1 6.008 4.008 19.056 6.056 3.008
14
19.9
6
199.9
8
2.9
1 5.994 3.994 18.957 5.957 2.994
15
20.0
7
200.0
3
3.1
3 6.010 4.010 19.066 6.066 3.010
16
20.1
1
200.0
5
3.2
2 6.016 4.016 19.109 6.109 3.016
17
20.0
9
200.0
4
3.1
8 6.013 4.013 19.090 6.090 3.013
18
20.1
9
200.0
9
3.3
7 6.028 4.028 19.185 6.185 3.028
19
20.0
2
200.0
1
3.0
3 6.002 4.002 19.016 6.016 3.002
20
19.8
6
199.9
3
2.7
2 5.979 3.979 18.858 5.858 2.979
21
20.4
0
200.2
0
3.8
1 6.061 4.061 19.404 6.404 3.061
22
20.1
5
200.0
8
3.3
0 6.023 4.023 19.152 6.152 3.023
23
20.2
1
200.1
0
3.4
1 6.031 4.031 19.206 6.206 3.031
24
20.3
6
200.1
8
3.7
2 6.054 4.054 19.359 6.359 3.054
25
20.3
3
200.1
6
3.6
6 6.049 4.049 19.329 6.329 3.049
26
19.9
1
199.9
6
2.8
2 5.987 3.987 18.912 5.912 2.987
27
19.7
4
199.8
7
2.4
8 5.961 3.961 18.742 5.742 2.961
28
19.9
1
199.9
6
2.8
3 5.987 3.987 18.914 5.914 2.987
29
20.1
6
200.0
8
3.3
2 6.024 4.024 19.162 6.162 3.024
30
20.0
5
200.0
3
3.1
0 6.008 4.008 19.052 6.052 3.008
31
19.8
8
199.9
4
2.7
7 5.983 3.983 18.884 5.884 2.983
32
19.7
5
199.8
8
2.5
0 5.963 3.963 18.752 5.752 2.963
33
20.1
9
200.1
0
3.3
9 6.029 4.029 19.195 6.195 3.029
34
19.9
1
199.9
6
2.8
3 5.987 3.987 18.913 5.913 2.987
35
19.9
5
199.9
8
2.9
1 5.993 3.993 18.954 5.954 2.993
36
19.8
1
199.9
1
2.6
2 5.972 3.972 18.811 5.811 2.972
37
19.9
0
199.9
5
2.8
0 5.985 3.985 18.898 5.898 2.985
38
19.8
9
199.9
5
2.7
8 5.984 3.984 18.892 5.892 2.984
39
20.1
5
200.0
8
3.3
1 6.023 4.023 19.155 6.155 3.023
40
19.9
1
199.9
5
2.8
1 5.986 3.986 18.906 5.906 2.986
41
20.3
6
200.1
8
3.7
2 6.054 4.054 19.361 6.361 3.054
42
19.8
6
199.9
3
2.7
2 5.979 3.979 18.858 5.858 2.979
43
20.3
7
200.1
9
3.7
4 6.056 4.056 19.371 6.371 3.056
44
19.7
9
199.9
0
2.5
8 5.969 3.969 18.791 5.791 2.969
45
19.8
7
199.9
4
2.7
5 5.981 3.981 18.873 5.873 2.981
46
19.7
9
199.9
0
2.5
9 5.969 3.969 18.793 5.793 2.969
47
19.9
7
199.9
8
2.9
3 5.995 3.995 18.967 5.967 2.995
48
20.0
3
200.0
1
3.0
6 6.004 4.004 19.029 6.029 3.004
49
20.0
9
200.0
5
3.1
8 6.014 4.014 19.091 6.091 3.014
50
19.8
0
199.9
0
2.5
9 5.969 3.969 18.796 5.796 2.969
51
19.6
3
199.8
2
2.2
6 5.945 3.945 18.630 5.630 2.945
52
19.6
7
199.8
4
2.3
5 5.951 3.951 18.673 5.673 2.951
53
20.0
9
200.0
5
3.1
9 6.014 4.014 19.094 6.094 3.014
54
20.2
8
200.1
4
3.5
6 6.042 4.042 19.279 6.279 3.042
55
19.9
0
199.9
5
2.8
1 5.986 3.986 18.905 5.905 2.986
56
20.3
3
200.1
6
3.6
6 6.049 4.049 19.329 6.329 3.049
57
19.8
7
199.9
3
2.7
3 5.980 3.980 18.865 5.865 2.980
58
20.1
2
200.0
6
3.2
3 6.017 4.017 19.116 6.116 3.017
59
19.7
9
199.9
0
2.5
8 5.969 3.969 18.792 5.792 2.969
60
19.8
0
199.9
0
2.6
1 5.970 3.970 18.803 5.803 2.970
61
20.1
5
200.0
7
3.2
9 6.022 4.022 19.146 6.146 3.022
62
19.9
0
199.9
5
2.8
0 5.985 3.985 18.902 5.902 2.985
63
19.7
4
199.8
7
2.4
8 5.961 3.961 18.742 5.742 2.961
64
19.9
8
199.9
9
2.9
7 5.997 3.997 18.983 5.983 2.997
65
20.0
2
200.0
1
3.0
4 6.003 4.003 19.020 6.020 3.003
66
20.0
8
200.0
4
3.1
5 6.011 4.011 19.076 6.076 3.011
67
20.0
5
200.0
2
3.1
0 6.007 4.007 19.049 6.049 3.007
68
19.7
5
199.8
8
2.5
0 5.963 3.963 18.752 5.752 2.963
69
19.9
8
199.9
9
2.9
6 5.997 3.997 18.981 5.981 2.997
70
20.1
2
200.0
6
3.2
3 6.017 4.017 19.116 6.116 3.017
71
19.6
8
199.8
4
2.3
7 5.952 3.952 18.683 5.683 2.952
72
20.2
7
200.1
3
3.5
4 6.040 4.040 19.268 6.268 3.040
73
20.1
9
200.0
9
3.3
7 6.028 4.028 19.186 6.186 3.028
74
19.9
4
199.9
7
2.8
9 5.991 3.991 18.943 5.943 2.991
75
20.1
7
200.0
9
3.3
5 6.026 4.026 19.173 6.173 3.026
76
20.1
8
200.0
9
3.3
5 6.026 4.026 19.176 6.176 3.026
77
20.0
3
200.0
2
3.0
7 6.005 4.005 19.034 6.034 3.005
78
20.0
7
200.0
3
3.1
3 6.010 4.010 19.066 6.066 3.010
79
20.3
2
200.1
6
3.6
4 6.048 4.048 19.318 6.318 3.048
80
20.2
2
200.1
1
3.4
4 6.033 4.033 19.220 6.220 3.033
81
19.9
3
199.9
6
2.8
5 5.989 3.989 18.927 5.927 2.989
82
20.0
7
200.0
4
3.1
4 6.011 4.011 19.070 6.070 3.011
83
20.0
8
200.0
4
3.1
7 6.012 4.012 19.083 6.083 3.012
84
20.3
9
200.2
0
3.7
8 6.059 4.059 19.391 6.391 3.059
85
19.8
8
199.9
4
2.7
6 5.982 3.982 18.879 5.879 2.982
86
20.1
4
200.0
7
3.2
7 6.020 4.020 19.135 6.135 3.020
87
20.1
4
200.0
7
3.2
8 6.021 4.021 19.139 6.139 3.021
88
19.9
3
199.9
6
2.8
5 5.989 3.989 18.926 5.926 2.989
89 20.0 200.0 3.1 6.014 4.014 19.092 6.092 3.014
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1025
9 5 8
90
20.5
7
200.2
9
4.1
4 6.086 4.086 19.572 6.572 3.086
91
20.1
1
200.0
5
3.2
2 6.016 4.016 19.110 6.110 3.016
92
19.9
3
199.9
6
2.8
6 5.989 3.989 18.928 5.928 2.989
93
20.1
4
200.0
7
3.2
8 6.021 4.021 19.142 6.142 3.021
94
19.8
5
199.9
2
2.7
0 5.977 3.977 18.848 5.848 2.977
95
19.7
1
199.8
6
2.4
2 5.957 3.957 18.712 5.712 2.957
96
19.9
6
199.9
8
2.9
2 5.994 3.994 18.961 5.961 2.994
97
19.6
2
199.8
1
2.2
5 5.943 3.943 18.623 5.623 2.943
98
20.0
7
200.0
3
3.1
3 6.010 4.010 19.065 6.065 3.010
99
19.8
9
199.9
4
2.7
8 5.983 3.983 18.889 5.889 2.983
100
20.1
0
200.0
5
3.1
9 6.014 4.014 19.096 6.096 3.014
3. RESULTS
PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF BEAM (ISMB-300)
i. Shear = Very low {<10-6}
ii. Flexure = Very low {<10-6}
iii. Deflection = 6/100
PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF COLUMN (ISMB-450)
Combined axial force and biaxial bending = 13/100
3.1. Histograms and probability distribution
curve for beams
Fig 1. Histogram for Moment M3 of ISMB 300 Beam
section
Fig 2. Normal Distribution curve for Moment M3 of ISMB
300 Beam section
Fig 3. Log Normal Distribution curve for Moment M3 of
ISMB 300 Beam section
Fig 4. Histogram for Shear V2 of ISMB 300 Beam section
Fig 5. Normal Distribution curve for Shear V2 of ISMB 300
Beam section
Fig 6. Log Normal Distribution curve for Shear V2 of ISMB
300 Beam section
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1026
3.2. Histograms and probability distribution
curve for columns
Fig 7. Histogram for Axial Load P of ISMB 450 column
section
Fig 8. Normal Curve for Axial Load P of ISMB 450 column
section
Fig 9. Log Normal Curve for Axial Load P of ISMB 450
column section
Fig 10. Histogram for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB 450
column section
Fig 11. Normal Curve for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB 450
column section
Fig 12. Log Normal Curve for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB
450 column section
Fig 13. Histogram for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB 450
column section
Fig 14. Normal Curve for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB 450
column section
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1027
Fig 15. Log Normal Curve for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB
450 column section
4. CONCLUSIONS
 The deterministic design methodology suggested
by IS 800:2007 by adopting limit state method
with appropriate partial safety factors is assessed
for explicit level of safety by using methods of
Reliability.
 Monte Carlo digital simulation is used to generate
random variables by using the statistics of design
variables. The statistics of design variables are
taken from literature. MATLAB is used to conduct
the digital simulation.
 The statistics of action are generated by
repeatedly analysing a multi storeyed steel frame
using ETABS software. The randomly generated
values of design variables are supplied as input to
the program. Similarly, the statistics of resistance
are generated using the same technique.
 The safety margin is defined as difference between
Action and Resistance. When the random values of
resistance (R) and action (S) are generated,check is
made if R < S. If so, it is counted as failure. The
probability of failure is the ratio of
 With the above listed procedure,theprobabilityof
failure in each limit state is listed below
Limit State
of
Flexure Shear Deflection
BEAMS Very low
(<10-6)
Very low
(<10-6)
(6/100) = 0.06
 It is possible to evaluate the explicit level of safety
of a steel beam and a steel column design by using
the specification of IS 800:2007. The overall factor
of safety is implicitly built into deterministic design
but it is not explicitly known to the designer. The
reliability analysis helps to obtain the explicit level
of safety by using a given design philosophy.
 It may be concluded that probability failure in limit
state of Flexure and Shear for a beam is very low
and is of order of 10-6 which is almost equal2×10to
zero. However, probability of failure in limitstateof
deflection is found to be 2 x 10-2.
 The present work attempts to demonstrate the
procedure for evaluating safety level in terms of
probability failure by using the methods of
reliability analysis.
 The advantage of reliability analysis is that it helps
to formulate the basis for reliability based design
and this will help the designer to design the
structural elements for a known probability of
failure.
REFERENCES
1) R. Ranganathan, Reliability Analysis and Design of
Structures, Tata Mc Graw hill Publishing Company
limited.
2) S. Ramamrutham, Design of Steel Structures,
Dhanpat Rai Publishing Company limited.
3) Ravi G, (1987), “Reliability studies of Steel
Structures in Flexure, Tension and Compression”,
MTech Thesis, Indian Institute of Science,
Bangalore.
4) Yadunandan C.N, Sundararju Iyengar K.T, (2000),
“Partial Load Safety Factor for Strength Design of
Steel Structures”, IE(I) Journal-CV,Vol.81,pp33-36.
5) Andrzej s. Nowak, Kevin R. Collins, (2000),
“Reliability of Structure’s”, McGraw Hill Publishers,
United States of America.
6) CIRIA – Construction Industry Research and
Information Association (1977), Report 63,
“Rationalisation of Safety and Serviceability factors
in structural codes”, London.
7) Idrish A., Edache P, (2007), “Reliability Analysis of
Simply Supported Steel Beams”, Australian Journal
of Basic and Applied Science 1(1), INSInet
publications pp 20-29.
8) N Subramanian, Design of Steel Structures, Oxford
University press.
9) Samik Raychaudhuri, INTRODUCTION TO MONTE
CARLO SIMULATION, Indian Institute of
Technology, Kharagpur, India.
Limit State of Combined Axial force and Bending
COLUMNS (13/100) = 0.13
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1028
10) Dr. Vasant Matsagar, Design of Steel Structures,
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
11) V.N. Vazirani, M.M. Ratwani, Vineet Kumar, Design
and Analysis of Steel Structures,Khanna Publishers.
12) IS: 800-2007, “General construction in steel - Code
of practise”, Bureau of India Standards, New Delhi.
13) SP: 6(1) – 1964, “Handbook for Structural
Engineers”, Bureau of Indian Standards,
New Delhi.
BIOGRAPHY
VIDYA SAGAR J 1
B. tech in Civil Engineering from Gopalan
College of Engineering, MTech in
structural engineering from The Oxford
College of Engineering [VISVESVARAYA
TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY,
BELGAUM]

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Probability of Failure of Column and Beam in Steel Structure due to Plan Irregularities

  • 1. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1022 Probability of failure of column and beam in steel structure due to plan irregularities Vidya Sagar J1, Manjunath G S 2 1M. Tech, Department of Civil Engineering, The Oxford College of Engineering & Technology, Bengaluru, Karnataka, 2Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, The Oxford College of Engineering & Technology, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India ---------------------------------------------------------------------***--------------------------------------------------------------------- Abstract - The evaluation of safety of the structure is an important task for the engineers. The safety of structure depends mainly on the parameters like Resistance denoted by ‘R’ of the structure and action denoted by ‘S’ on the structure. Here action is the function of loads, which are random variables such as live load, wind load etc., andresistanceofthe structure depends on the physical propertiesofmaterialsused and geometrical properties of the structure which are probabilistic. The concept wherein several outcomes of a situation are possible is used for Probabilistic approach. Probabilistic modelling aims at the study of a range of outcomes for a given input data. The design variables are random hence it is much more important to assess the safety levels in the probabilistic design situation. Column is the vital most component of the structure, probability of failure of column is linked to the overall safety of the structure. Considering the above an attempt is made to assess the safety of the structure ensured by the design methodology of IS 800- 2007. Key Words: Column-Beam failure, Reliability, Steel structure, Axial load, Uniaxial moments, Biaxial moments. 1. INTRODUCTION The evaluation of safety of the structure is an importanttask for the engineers. The safety of structure depends mostly on the parameters like resistance(R)ofthestructureandaction (S) on the structure. The action is the functionofloadswhich are random variables such as live load, wind load etc., and the resistance of structure depends on materials used, geometrical properties of the structure which are probabilistic. Even though it was always known that these above parameters arerandomvariables,noseriousattempts were made to consider their random variations, till 1960 in analysis, design and evaluation ofsafety.It wasprobablydue to the reason that engineers and research workers were not confident of applying probability theory. It was only around 1960 that engineers started to realise the need for the evaluation of safety of the structure taking into the consideration of random variationsofthedesignparameters like loads, height etc. 1.1 Scope of study The structural safety depends on Resistance (R) of the structure and the Action (S) on the structure. The Action is the function of loads which are random variables. The resistance depends on the physical properties of materials used and geometrical properties of the structure which are probabilistic. The design variables being random it is much more important to assess the level of safety in the probabilistic design situation. Column being the vital most structural element, probability of failure of column is linked to the overall structural safety hence it’s important to assess the safety levels ensured by design methodologyofIS800:2007. 1.2 Objective of study In the present study, an unsymmetrical structural frame is considered and level 2 reliability of the design of steel flexural members and compressionmembersarecarriedout as per the code of practice IS 800-2007. The axial load, uniaxial moments and biaxial moments in a particular column and the statistics and probability distribution of moments and shear in a particular beam are generated on selected steel frame using ETABS 2015. The data generated is subjected to the statistical analysis. The probability modelling is done using MATLAB. Probability of failure is determined by Monte Carlo simulation. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the statistical value of resistance of the membersandchi-square ‘goodness of fit’ test is employed to determine the type of distribution for the variables. 2. METHODOLOGY A two storey building with the below details is considered Floor height = 3.0 m Spacing of columns = 4.0 m and 6.0 m Column height = 3.0 m ISMB-450 Beam lengths = 4.0 m and 6.0 m ISMB-300 Live load on storey 1 = 19 KN/m
  • 2. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1023 Live load on storey 2 = 6 KN/m Thickness of slab = 200mm Grade of concrete = M20 Frame analysis is carried out and the results obtained are used for deterministic design. Bending moment and shear force are used to check the safety of the beam. Axial loadand moments along minor axis and major axis are used to check the safety of the column. If suppose the sections fail it has to be revised in the deterministic design. 2.1. Generation of load and resistance statistics For the probabilistic design the standard normal deviates are obtained by generatingtwouniformrandomnumbersv1 and v2 with a uniform density range between 0 to 1. After which the standard normal variatesu1andu2arecalculated. In the present study, the variations are applied for fck characteristic strength of concrete in slab, live load on slab, depth of slab, length of beam, live load on beamandheight of column. For 100 values of standard normal variates the above parameters are applied and 100 number of times frame analysis is carried out in ETABS and results are used to find the probability of failure of columns and beamsofthe structure. 2.2. RANDOM VARIABLES The numerical variable whose specific values cannot be predicted with certainty before an experiment is known as Random variable. The assumed value of a random variable associated with an experiment depends on the result or outcome of the experiment. This value we get is associated with every simple defined on the sample space but different simple events may have the same associated value of random variable. e.g. The wind speed at a location, compressive strength of the concrete, etc. Table-1: Random variables V1 V2 U1 U2 V1 V2 U1 U2 0.179 0.738 -0.14 -1.85 0.615 0.324 -0.442 0.881 0.26 0.736 -0.144 -1.635 0.428 0.479 -1.291 0.171 0.8 0.124 0.475 0.469 0.863 0.396 -0.431 0.33 0.112 0.384 -1.561 1.394 0.203 0.175 0.811 1.591 0.746 0.893 0.599 -0.477 0.529 0.213 0.26 1.098 0.191 0.32 -0.775 1.646 0.791 0.59 -0.578 -0.367 0.792 0.776 0.111 -0.674 0.437 0.456 -1.238 0.351 0.842 0.231 0.07 0.582 0.571 0.064 0.974 0.414 0.42 0.645 -0.807 -1.041 0.134 0.285 -0.437 1.957 0.495 0.844 0.66 -0.985 0.81 0.692 -0.231 -0.607 0.683 0.158 0.477 0.731 0.51 0.401 -0.943 0.676 0.569 0.924 0.943 -0.488 0.69 0.351 -0.511 0.694 0.419 0.784 0.28 -1.289 0.807 0.596 -0.539 -0.371 0.974 0.561 -0.213 -0.086 0.667 0.085 0.775 0.458 0.942 0.047 0.331 0.101 0.015 0.276 -0.471 2.86 0.802 0.097 0.545 0.38 0.168 0.047 1.807 0.55 0.878 0.079 0.449 0.243 0.729 0.575 -0.708 -0.361 0.301 0.852 0.927 -1.242 0.139 0.058 1.856 0.708 0.992 0.862 0.082 -0.097 0.435 0.6 -1.044 -0.758 0.658 0.391 -0.709 0.579 0.29 0.684 -0.634 -1.44 0.037 0.894 2.019 -1.587 0.575 0.53 -1.033 -0.197 0.306 0.168 0.758 1.339 0.167 0.736 -0.166 -1.885 0.383 0.117 1.028 0.929 0.938 0.184 0.144 0.327 0.192 0.975 1.794 -0.284 0.773 0.859 0.454 -0.556 0.178 0.077 1.645 0.864 0.53 0.43 -1.02 0.48 2.3. Variations in resistance parameters The requirements in the reliability study is the collection of data on the physical properties of the materials of the structure, strength of the materials used and the geometric parameters of the sections and statistical analysis of the structure. In the present study, the variations applied for various parameters of resistance which includeGeometrical properties, Material properties and loads are as follows: Table-2: Geometrical and Material Property Variations 2.4. Generation of normal variates Table-3: Normal variates for slab, beam and column SLAB BEAM COLUM N SL NO fck D LL L(6m ) L(4m ) LL (19) LL (6) H 1 19.9 7 199.9 9 2.9 4 5.996 3.996 18.972 5.972 2.996 2 19.9 7 199.9 9 2.9 4 5.996 3.996 18.971 5.971 2.996 3 20.1 0 200.0 5 3.1 9 6.014 4.014 19.095 6.095 3.014 4 19.6 9 199.8 4 2.3 8 5.953 3.953 18.688 5.688 2.953 5 20.1 2 200.0 6 3.2 4 6.018 4.018 19.120 6.120 3.018 6 19.8 5 199.9 2 2.6 9 5.977 3.977 18.845 5.845 2.977 7 20.0 2 200.0 1 3.0 4 6.003 4.003 19.022 6.022 3.003 8 20.0 1 200.0 1 3.0 3 6.002 4.002 19.014 6.014 3.002 9 19.8 4 199.9 2 2.6 8 5.976 3.976 18.839 5.839 2.976 10 20.1 200.0 3.2 6.020 4.020 19.132 6.132 3.020 SL NO PROPERTIES % of variations 1 Geometrical Depth of slab Length of beam Height of column 10 03 03 2 Material Characteristic cube compressive strength of concrete 20
  • 3. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1024 3 7 6 11 20.1 0 200.0 5 3.1 9 6.014 4.014 19.095 6.095 3.014 12 20.1 9 200.0 9 3.3 8 6.028 4.028 19.189 6.189 3.028 13 20.0 6 200.0 3 3.1 1 6.008 4.008 19.056 6.056 3.008 14 19.9 6 199.9 8 2.9 1 5.994 3.994 18.957 5.957 2.994 15 20.0 7 200.0 3 3.1 3 6.010 4.010 19.066 6.066 3.010 16 20.1 1 200.0 5 3.2 2 6.016 4.016 19.109 6.109 3.016 17 20.0 9 200.0 4 3.1 8 6.013 4.013 19.090 6.090 3.013 18 20.1 9 200.0 9 3.3 7 6.028 4.028 19.185 6.185 3.028 19 20.0 2 200.0 1 3.0 3 6.002 4.002 19.016 6.016 3.002 20 19.8 6 199.9 3 2.7 2 5.979 3.979 18.858 5.858 2.979 21 20.4 0 200.2 0 3.8 1 6.061 4.061 19.404 6.404 3.061 22 20.1 5 200.0 8 3.3 0 6.023 4.023 19.152 6.152 3.023 23 20.2 1 200.1 0 3.4 1 6.031 4.031 19.206 6.206 3.031 24 20.3 6 200.1 8 3.7 2 6.054 4.054 19.359 6.359 3.054 25 20.3 3 200.1 6 3.6 6 6.049 4.049 19.329 6.329 3.049 26 19.9 1 199.9 6 2.8 2 5.987 3.987 18.912 5.912 2.987 27 19.7 4 199.8 7 2.4 8 5.961 3.961 18.742 5.742 2.961 28 19.9 1 199.9 6 2.8 3 5.987 3.987 18.914 5.914 2.987 29 20.1 6 200.0 8 3.3 2 6.024 4.024 19.162 6.162 3.024 30 20.0 5 200.0 3 3.1 0 6.008 4.008 19.052 6.052 3.008 31 19.8 8 199.9 4 2.7 7 5.983 3.983 18.884 5.884 2.983 32 19.7 5 199.8 8 2.5 0 5.963 3.963 18.752 5.752 2.963 33 20.1 9 200.1 0 3.3 9 6.029 4.029 19.195 6.195 3.029 34 19.9 1 199.9 6 2.8 3 5.987 3.987 18.913 5.913 2.987 35 19.9 5 199.9 8 2.9 1 5.993 3.993 18.954 5.954 2.993 36 19.8 1 199.9 1 2.6 2 5.972 3.972 18.811 5.811 2.972 37 19.9 0 199.9 5 2.8 0 5.985 3.985 18.898 5.898 2.985 38 19.8 9 199.9 5 2.7 8 5.984 3.984 18.892 5.892 2.984 39 20.1 5 200.0 8 3.3 1 6.023 4.023 19.155 6.155 3.023 40 19.9 1 199.9 5 2.8 1 5.986 3.986 18.906 5.906 2.986 41 20.3 6 200.1 8 3.7 2 6.054 4.054 19.361 6.361 3.054 42 19.8 6 199.9 3 2.7 2 5.979 3.979 18.858 5.858 2.979 43 20.3 7 200.1 9 3.7 4 6.056 4.056 19.371 6.371 3.056 44 19.7 9 199.9 0 2.5 8 5.969 3.969 18.791 5.791 2.969 45 19.8 7 199.9 4 2.7 5 5.981 3.981 18.873 5.873 2.981 46 19.7 9 199.9 0 2.5 9 5.969 3.969 18.793 5.793 2.969 47 19.9 7 199.9 8 2.9 3 5.995 3.995 18.967 5.967 2.995 48 20.0 3 200.0 1 3.0 6 6.004 4.004 19.029 6.029 3.004 49 20.0 9 200.0 5 3.1 8 6.014 4.014 19.091 6.091 3.014 50 19.8 0 199.9 0 2.5 9 5.969 3.969 18.796 5.796 2.969 51 19.6 3 199.8 2 2.2 6 5.945 3.945 18.630 5.630 2.945 52 19.6 7 199.8 4 2.3 5 5.951 3.951 18.673 5.673 2.951 53 20.0 9 200.0 5 3.1 9 6.014 4.014 19.094 6.094 3.014 54 20.2 8 200.1 4 3.5 6 6.042 4.042 19.279 6.279 3.042 55 19.9 0 199.9 5 2.8 1 5.986 3.986 18.905 5.905 2.986 56 20.3 3 200.1 6 3.6 6 6.049 4.049 19.329 6.329 3.049 57 19.8 7 199.9 3 2.7 3 5.980 3.980 18.865 5.865 2.980 58 20.1 2 200.0 6 3.2 3 6.017 4.017 19.116 6.116 3.017 59 19.7 9 199.9 0 2.5 8 5.969 3.969 18.792 5.792 2.969 60 19.8 0 199.9 0 2.6 1 5.970 3.970 18.803 5.803 2.970 61 20.1 5 200.0 7 3.2 9 6.022 4.022 19.146 6.146 3.022 62 19.9 0 199.9 5 2.8 0 5.985 3.985 18.902 5.902 2.985 63 19.7 4 199.8 7 2.4 8 5.961 3.961 18.742 5.742 2.961 64 19.9 8 199.9 9 2.9 7 5.997 3.997 18.983 5.983 2.997 65 20.0 2 200.0 1 3.0 4 6.003 4.003 19.020 6.020 3.003 66 20.0 8 200.0 4 3.1 5 6.011 4.011 19.076 6.076 3.011 67 20.0 5 200.0 2 3.1 0 6.007 4.007 19.049 6.049 3.007 68 19.7 5 199.8 8 2.5 0 5.963 3.963 18.752 5.752 2.963 69 19.9 8 199.9 9 2.9 6 5.997 3.997 18.981 5.981 2.997 70 20.1 2 200.0 6 3.2 3 6.017 4.017 19.116 6.116 3.017 71 19.6 8 199.8 4 2.3 7 5.952 3.952 18.683 5.683 2.952 72 20.2 7 200.1 3 3.5 4 6.040 4.040 19.268 6.268 3.040 73 20.1 9 200.0 9 3.3 7 6.028 4.028 19.186 6.186 3.028 74 19.9 4 199.9 7 2.8 9 5.991 3.991 18.943 5.943 2.991 75 20.1 7 200.0 9 3.3 5 6.026 4.026 19.173 6.173 3.026 76 20.1 8 200.0 9 3.3 5 6.026 4.026 19.176 6.176 3.026 77 20.0 3 200.0 2 3.0 7 6.005 4.005 19.034 6.034 3.005 78 20.0 7 200.0 3 3.1 3 6.010 4.010 19.066 6.066 3.010 79 20.3 2 200.1 6 3.6 4 6.048 4.048 19.318 6.318 3.048 80 20.2 2 200.1 1 3.4 4 6.033 4.033 19.220 6.220 3.033 81 19.9 3 199.9 6 2.8 5 5.989 3.989 18.927 5.927 2.989 82 20.0 7 200.0 4 3.1 4 6.011 4.011 19.070 6.070 3.011 83 20.0 8 200.0 4 3.1 7 6.012 4.012 19.083 6.083 3.012 84 20.3 9 200.2 0 3.7 8 6.059 4.059 19.391 6.391 3.059 85 19.8 8 199.9 4 2.7 6 5.982 3.982 18.879 5.879 2.982 86 20.1 4 200.0 7 3.2 7 6.020 4.020 19.135 6.135 3.020 87 20.1 4 200.0 7 3.2 8 6.021 4.021 19.139 6.139 3.021 88 19.9 3 199.9 6 2.8 5 5.989 3.989 18.926 5.926 2.989 89 20.0 200.0 3.1 6.014 4.014 19.092 6.092 3.014
  • 4. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1025 9 5 8 90 20.5 7 200.2 9 4.1 4 6.086 4.086 19.572 6.572 3.086 91 20.1 1 200.0 5 3.2 2 6.016 4.016 19.110 6.110 3.016 92 19.9 3 199.9 6 2.8 6 5.989 3.989 18.928 5.928 2.989 93 20.1 4 200.0 7 3.2 8 6.021 4.021 19.142 6.142 3.021 94 19.8 5 199.9 2 2.7 0 5.977 3.977 18.848 5.848 2.977 95 19.7 1 199.8 6 2.4 2 5.957 3.957 18.712 5.712 2.957 96 19.9 6 199.9 8 2.9 2 5.994 3.994 18.961 5.961 2.994 97 19.6 2 199.8 1 2.2 5 5.943 3.943 18.623 5.623 2.943 98 20.0 7 200.0 3 3.1 3 6.010 4.010 19.065 6.065 3.010 99 19.8 9 199.9 4 2.7 8 5.983 3.983 18.889 5.889 2.983 100 20.1 0 200.0 5 3.1 9 6.014 4.014 19.096 6.096 3.014 3. RESULTS PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF BEAM (ISMB-300) i. Shear = Very low {<10-6} ii. Flexure = Very low {<10-6} iii. Deflection = 6/100 PROBABILITY OF FAILURE OF COLUMN (ISMB-450) Combined axial force and biaxial bending = 13/100 3.1. Histograms and probability distribution curve for beams Fig 1. Histogram for Moment M3 of ISMB 300 Beam section Fig 2. Normal Distribution curve for Moment M3 of ISMB 300 Beam section Fig 3. Log Normal Distribution curve for Moment M3 of ISMB 300 Beam section Fig 4. Histogram for Shear V2 of ISMB 300 Beam section Fig 5. Normal Distribution curve for Shear V2 of ISMB 300 Beam section Fig 6. Log Normal Distribution curve for Shear V2 of ISMB 300 Beam section
  • 5. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1026 3.2. Histograms and probability distribution curve for columns Fig 7. Histogram for Axial Load P of ISMB 450 column section Fig 8. Normal Curve for Axial Load P of ISMB 450 column section Fig 9. Log Normal Curve for Axial Load P of ISMB 450 column section Fig 10. Histogram for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section Fig 11. Normal Curve for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section Fig 12. Log Normal Curve for Moment M3 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section Fig 13. Histogram for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section Fig 14. Normal Curve for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section
  • 6. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1027 Fig 15. Log Normal Curve for Moment M2 (Top) of ISMB 450 column section 4. CONCLUSIONS  The deterministic design methodology suggested by IS 800:2007 by adopting limit state method with appropriate partial safety factors is assessed for explicit level of safety by using methods of Reliability.  Monte Carlo digital simulation is used to generate random variables by using the statistics of design variables. The statistics of design variables are taken from literature. MATLAB is used to conduct the digital simulation.  The statistics of action are generated by repeatedly analysing a multi storeyed steel frame using ETABS software. The randomly generated values of design variables are supplied as input to the program. Similarly, the statistics of resistance are generated using the same technique.  The safety margin is defined as difference between Action and Resistance. When the random values of resistance (R) and action (S) are generated,check is made if R < S. If so, it is counted as failure. The probability of failure is the ratio of  With the above listed procedure,theprobabilityof failure in each limit state is listed below Limit State of Flexure Shear Deflection BEAMS Very low (<10-6) Very low (<10-6) (6/100) = 0.06  It is possible to evaluate the explicit level of safety of a steel beam and a steel column design by using the specification of IS 800:2007. The overall factor of safety is implicitly built into deterministic design but it is not explicitly known to the designer. The reliability analysis helps to obtain the explicit level of safety by using a given design philosophy.  It may be concluded that probability failure in limit state of Flexure and Shear for a beam is very low and is of order of 10-6 which is almost equal2×10to zero. However, probability of failure in limitstateof deflection is found to be 2 x 10-2.  The present work attempts to demonstrate the procedure for evaluating safety level in terms of probability failure by using the methods of reliability analysis.  The advantage of reliability analysis is that it helps to formulate the basis for reliability based design and this will help the designer to design the structural elements for a known probability of failure. REFERENCES 1) R. Ranganathan, Reliability Analysis and Design of Structures, Tata Mc Graw hill Publishing Company limited. 2) S. Ramamrutham, Design of Steel Structures, Dhanpat Rai Publishing Company limited. 3) Ravi G, (1987), “Reliability studies of Steel Structures in Flexure, Tension and Compression”, MTech Thesis, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore. 4) Yadunandan C.N, Sundararju Iyengar K.T, (2000), “Partial Load Safety Factor for Strength Design of Steel Structures”, IE(I) Journal-CV,Vol.81,pp33-36. 5) Andrzej s. Nowak, Kevin R. Collins, (2000), “Reliability of Structure’s”, McGraw Hill Publishers, United States of America. 6) CIRIA – Construction Industry Research and Information Association (1977), Report 63, “Rationalisation of Safety and Serviceability factors in structural codes”, London. 7) Idrish A., Edache P, (2007), “Reliability Analysis of Simply Supported Steel Beams”, Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Science 1(1), INSInet publications pp 20-29. 8) N Subramanian, Design of Steel Structures, Oxford University press. 9) Samik Raychaudhuri, INTRODUCTION TO MONTE CARLO SIMULATION, Indian Institute of Technology, Kharagpur, India. Limit State of Combined Axial force and Bending COLUMNS (13/100) = 0.13
  • 7. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 04 Issue: 08 | Aug -2017 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2017, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 5.181 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1028 10) Dr. Vasant Matsagar, Design of Steel Structures, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi 11) V.N. Vazirani, M.M. Ratwani, Vineet Kumar, Design and Analysis of Steel Structures,Khanna Publishers. 12) IS: 800-2007, “General construction in steel - Code of practise”, Bureau of India Standards, New Delhi. 13) SP: 6(1) – 1964, “Handbook for Structural Engineers”, Bureau of Indian Standards, New Delhi. BIOGRAPHY VIDYA SAGAR J 1 B. tech in Civil Engineering from Gopalan College of Engineering, MTech in structural engineering from The Oxford College of Engineering [VISVESVARAYA TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY, BELGAUM]