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International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1882
Evaluation Technique of Student Performance in Various courses
Vishal Batule1, Mrinalini Bagul2, Prof. R. B. Rathod3
1,2Authors of Department of Computer Engineering, PDEA COE, Manjari, Pune
3Author Asst. Prof. of Department of Computer Engineering, PDEA COE, Manjari, Pune
------------------------------------------------------------------------***-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Abstract - Educational Data Mining (EDM) and Learning
Analytics (LA) research have emerged as interesting areas of
research, which are unfolding useful knowledge from
educational databases for many purposes such as predicting
student’s success. The ability to predict a student’s
performance can be beneficial for actions in modern
educational systems. Existing methods have used features
which are mostly related to academic performance, family
income and family assets; while features belonging to family
expenditures and students personal information are usually
ignored. In this paper, an effort is made to investigate
aforementioned feature sets by collecting the scholarship
holding students data from different universities. Learning
analytics, discriminative and generative classification models
are applied to predict whether a student will be able to
complete his degree or not. Experimental results show that
proposed method significantly outperforms existing methods
due to exploitation of family expenditures and students
personal information feature sets.
Accurately predicting students future performance based on
their ongoing academic records is crucial for effectively
carrying out necessary pedagogical interventions to ensure
students on-time and satisfactory graduation, predicting
student performance in completing degrees (e.g. college
programs) is much less studied and faces new challenges:
(1) Students differ tremendously in terms of backgrounds and
selected courses;
(2) Courses are not equally informative for making accurate
predictions;
(3) Students evolving progress needs to be incorporated into
the prediction. In this paper, we develop a novel machine
learning method for predicting studentperformanceindegree
programs that is able to address these key challenges.
Key Words: Data Mining, Machine Learning, Personalized
Education, Tracking StudentsPerformance, CoursePrediction,
and Recommendation System.
1. INTRODUCTION
To address the aforementioned challenges, we proposed a
novel algorithm for predicting student’s performance in
college programs given his/her currentacademic records.In
Proposed studies shows that academic performances of the
students are primarily dependent on their past
performances. Our investigation confirms that past
performances have indeed got a significant influence over
students’ performance. Further, we confirmed that the
performance of SVM increases with increase in dataset size.
System will comprise the tracking of detailed information of
a student regarding hisacademicsandcurricularactivityand
would predict the right learning Courses using an algorithm
over the information tracked meeting the ambition or the
goal for a student.
In the last decade, school conducts examination manually. It
has so many problems. The existing systems are very time
consuming. It is difficult to analyze the exam manually.
Results are not precise as calculation and evaluations are
done manually. Result processing after summation of exam
takes more time as it is done manually. So we introduce a
Preschool examination Portal system, which is fully
computerized. Existing system is a large man powerprocess
and is difficult to implement. It provides an easy to use
environment for both Test Conductors and Students
appearing for Examination. The main objective of Preschool
examination Portal system is to provide all the features that
an Examination System must have, with the” interfaces that
don’t Scare it’s Users!”
2. Literature Survey
 Multi-Relational Factorization Models for
Predicting Student Performance.
Author: Nguyen Thai-Nghe, Lucas Drumond,
Tom_a_s Horv_ath, and Lars Schmidt-Thieme,
University of Hildesheim
In this paper we propose to exploit such
multiple relationships by using multi-relational MF
methods. Experiments on three largedatasetsshow
that the proposed approach can improve the
prediction results. Predicting student performance
(PSP) is the problem of predicting how well a
student will perform on a given task. It has gained
more attention from the educational data mining
community recently. Previous works show that
good results can be achieved by casting the PSP to
rating predictionproblemin recommendersystems,
where students, tasks and performance scores are
mapped to users, items and ratings respectively.
 From Data to Knowledge to Action: Enabling
Personalized Education
Author: Beverly Park Woolf, Ryan Baker, Erwin P.
Gianchandani
We describe how data analytics approaches have
the potential todramatically advanceinstructionfor
every student and to enhance the way we educate
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1883
our children. TheInternet,intelligentenvironments,
and rich interfaces (including sensors) allow us to
capture much more data about learners than ever
before and the quantities of data are growing at a
rapidly accelerating rate.
 How personalized learning unlocks student
Success.
Author: Nazeema Alli,RahimRajan,andGregRatliff
EDUCAUSEReviewisthegeneral-interest,bimonthly
magazine published by EDUCAUSE. With a print
publication base of 22,000, EDUCAUSE Review is
sent to EDUCAUSE member representatives as well
as to presidents/chancellors, senior academic and
administrative leaders, non-IT staff, faculty in all
disciplines, librarians, and corporations. It takes a
broad look at current developments and trends in
information technology,whatthesemeanforhigher
education, and how they may affect the
college/university as a whole.
3. Proposed System
In proposed to predict the performance of students in an
academic organization. Present studiesshowsthatacademic
performances of the students are primarily dependent on
their past performances.Our investigationconfirmsthatpast
performances have indeed got a significant influence over
students' performance. Further, we confirmed that the
performance of neural networks increases with increase in
dataset size. Additionally, this work will also impact
curriculum design in degree programs and education policy
design in general. Future work includes Extending the
performance prediction to elective courses and using the
prediction results to recommend courses to students.
4. System Architecture
Figure -1: Architecture Diagram
5. Architecture Explanation
In above architecture diagram, users register themselves in
to the system with their personal details as well as
educational details. The admin will authenticate theaccount
of the student after checking if all the details are in the
correct format and valid. The student will thus be registered
into the system.
After a successful registration, the system generates a test
based on the users skill set for every user. The skills are
based on the educational as well as other extracurricular
activities.
The students can inquire or ask for any help as needed from
the staff through the system as well.
The staff also has the responsibilities of scheduling or
rescheduling the tests.
Once the student takes test, the score will be calculated and
displayed immediately after the test.
Based on the performance and skill sets, one or more
Companies will be suggested that will help the student to
work to their maximum potential and makea quick andwise
decision as well.
The data for the entire system is stored in a dataset
connected to a Java server which helps in efficient working
of the entire system.
6. Modules
The proposed system contains three modules, namely:
a. User Module
b. Staff Module
c. Admin Module
The user module is the first step. It’s theregistrationdone by
a user into the system. It is the start of the system. At the
time of registration, the user must provide all the correct
details and information as asked by the system.
The staff module is for answeringany queriesofthestudents
regarding registration, the test or any other information in
general. It also has the job of scheduling tests for the
students and of checking the results for the any mistakes.
The admin module oversees all the work done in thesystem.
It also has the job of authenticating the student accounts.
7. Algorithm
a. Algorithm used for Prediction System in Machine
Learning:
 Naïve Bayes Classifier Algorithm.
 K Means Clustering Algorithm.
b. Algorithm Used for Classification:
 SVM (Support Vector Machine) Algorithm
c. Algorithm used for Chatbot Model:
 Sentiment Analysis
8. Expected Result
To provide online study material, career guidanceand result
of examination as well as generate a graph of student to get
International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1884
his/her interest point of view. To analyze growth of student,
class.
9. Conclusion
Present studies shows that academic performances of the
students are primarily dependent on their past
performances. Our investigation confirms that past
performances have indeed got a significant influence over
students' performance. Further, we confirmed that the
performance of neural networks increases with increase in
dataset size. Machine learning has come far from its nascent
stages, and can prove to be a powerful tool in academia. In
the future, applications similar to the one developed, as well
as any improvementsthereofmaybecomeanintegratedpart
of every academic institution. This projectcanbeusedinany
organization, college as analysis purpose.
10. Acknowledgement
Authors want to acknowledge Principal,Headofdepartment
and guide of their project for all the support and help
rendered. To express profound feeling of appreciation to
their regarded guardians for giving the motivation required
to the finishing of paper.
REFERENCES
[1]H. Cen, K. Koedinger, and B. Junker, Learning factors
analysis a general method for cognitive model evaluation
and improvement, in International ConferenceonIntelligent
Tutoring Systems. Springer, 2006, pp. 164175.
[2] M. Feng, N. Heffernan, and K. Koedinger, Addressing the
assessment challenge with an online system that tutors as it
assesses, User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, vol.
19, no. 3, pp. 243266, 2009.
[3] H.-F. Yu, H.-Y. Lo, H.-P. Hsieh, J.-K.Lou, T. G. McKenzie, J.-
W.Chou, P.-H.Chung, C.-H. Ho, C.-F. Chang, Y.-H.Wei et al.,
Feature engineering and classifier ensemble for kdd cup
2010, in Proceedings of the KDD Cup 2010 Workshop, 2010,
pp. 116.
[4] Z. A. Pardos and N. T. Heffernan, Using hmms and bagged
decision trees to leverage rich features of user andskill from
an intelligent tutoring system dataset, Journal of Machine
Learning Research W CP, 2010.
[5] Y. Meier, J. Xu, O. Atan, and M. van der Schaar,
Personalized grade prediction: A data mining approach, in
Data Mining (ICDM), 2015IEEE International Conference on.
IEEE, 2015, pp. 907912.
[6] C. G. Brinton and M. Chiang, Mooc performance
prediction via click stream data and social learning
networks, in 2015 IEEE Conference on Computer
Communications (INFOCOM). IEEE, 2015, pp. 22992307.
[7] C. Marquez-Vera, C. Romero, and S. Ventura, Predicting
school failure using data mining, in Educational Data Mining
2011, 2010.
BIOGRAPHIES
Vishal Batule is currently a student
at the P. D. E. A.’s College of
Engineering, in the final year,
studying Computer Engineering.
Mrinalini Bagul is currently a
student at the P. D. E. A.’s Collegeof
Engineering, in the final year,
studying Computer Engineering.
Prof. R. B. Rathod is a Professor at
the P. D. E. A.’s College of
Engineering.

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Evaluation Techniques for Student Performance Prediction

  • 1. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1882 Evaluation Technique of Student Performance in Various courses Vishal Batule1, Mrinalini Bagul2, Prof. R. B. Rathod3 1,2Authors of Department of Computer Engineering, PDEA COE, Manjari, Pune 3Author Asst. Prof. of Department of Computer Engineering, PDEA COE, Manjari, Pune ------------------------------------------------------------------------***------------------------------------------------------------------------- Abstract - Educational Data Mining (EDM) and Learning Analytics (LA) research have emerged as interesting areas of research, which are unfolding useful knowledge from educational databases for many purposes such as predicting student’s success. The ability to predict a student’s performance can be beneficial for actions in modern educational systems. Existing methods have used features which are mostly related to academic performance, family income and family assets; while features belonging to family expenditures and students personal information are usually ignored. In this paper, an effort is made to investigate aforementioned feature sets by collecting the scholarship holding students data from different universities. Learning analytics, discriminative and generative classification models are applied to predict whether a student will be able to complete his degree or not. Experimental results show that proposed method significantly outperforms existing methods due to exploitation of family expenditures and students personal information feature sets. Accurately predicting students future performance based on their ongoing academic records is crucial for effectively carrying out necessary pedagogical interventions to ensure students on-time and satisfactory graduation, predicting student performance in completing degrees (e.g. college programs) is much less studied and faces new challenges: (1) Students differ tremendously in terms of backgrounds and selected courses; (2) Courses are not equally informative for making accurate predictions; (3) Students evolving progress needs to be incorporated into the prediction. In this paper, we develop a novel machine learning method for predicting studentperformanceindegree programs that is able to address these key challenges. Key Words: Data Mining, Machine Learning, Personalized Education, Tracking StudentsPerformance, CoursePrediction, and Recommendation System. 1. INTRODUCTION To address the aforementioned challenges, we proposed a novel algorithm for predicting student’s performance in college programs given his/her currentacademic records.In Proposed studies shows that academic performances of the students are primarily dependent on their past performances. Our investigation confirms that past performances have indeed got a significant influence over students’ performance. Further, we confirmed that the performance of SVM increases with increase in dataset size. System will comprise the tracking of detailed information of a student regarding hisacademicsandcurricularactivityand would predict the right learning Courses using an algorithm over the information tracked meeting the ambition or the goal for a student. In the last decade, school conducts examination manually. It has so many problems. The existing systems are very time consuming. It is difficult to analyze the exam manually. Results are not precise as calculation and evaluations are done manually. Result processing after summation of exam takes more time as it is done manually. So we introduce a Preschool examination Portal system, which is fully computerized. Existing system is a large man powerprocess and is difficult to implement. It provides an easy to use environment for both Test Conductors and Students appearing for Examination. The main objective of Preschool examination Portal system is to provide all the features that an Examination System must have, with the” interfaces that don’t Scare it’s Users!” 2. Literature Survey  Multi-Relational Factorization Models for Predicting Student Performance. Author: Nguyen Thai-Nghe, Lucas Drumond, Tom_a_s Horv_ath, and Lars Schmidt-Thieme, University of Hildesheim In this paper we propose to exploit such multiple relationships by using multi-relational MF methods. Experiments on three largedatasetsshow that the proposed approach can improve the prediction results. Predicting student performance (PSP) is the problem of predicting how well a student will perform on a given task. It has gained more attention from the educational data mining community recently. Previous works show that good results can be achieved by casting the PSP to rating predictionproblemin recommendersystems, where students, tasks and performance scores are mapped to users, items and ratings respectively.  From Data to Knowledge to Action: Enabling Personalized Education Author: Beverly Park Woolf, Ryan Baker, Erwin P. Gianchandani We describe how data analytics approaches have the potential todramatically advanceinstructionfor every student and to enhance the way we educate
  • 2. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1883 our children. TheInternet,intelligentenvironments, and rich interfaces (including sensors) allow us to capture much more data about learners than ever before and the quantities of data are growing at a rapidly accelerating rate.  How personalized learning unlocks student Success. Author: Nazeema Alli,RahimRajan,andGregRatliff EDUCAUSEReviewisthegeneral-interest,bimonthly magazine published by EDUCAUSE. With a print publication base of 22,000, EDUCAUSE Review is sent to EDUCAUSE member representatives as well as to presidents/chancellors, senior academic and administrative leaders, non-IT staff, faculty in all disciplines, librarians, and corporations. It takes a broad look at current developments and trends in information technology,whatthesemeanforhigher education, and how they may affect the college/university as a whole. 3. Proposed System In proposed to predict the performance of students in an academic organization. Present studiesshowsthatacademic performances of the students are primarily dependent on their past performances.Our investigationconfirmsthatpast performances have indeed got a significant influence over students' performance. Further, we confirmed that the performance of neural networks increases with increase in dataset size. Additionally, this work will also impact curriculum design in degree programs and education policy design in general. Future work includes Extending the performance prediction to elective courses and using the prediction results to recommend courses to students. 4. System Architecture Figure -1: Architecture Diagram 5. Architecture Explanation In above architecture diagram, users register themselves in to the system with their personal details as well as educational details. The admin will authenticate theaccount of the student after checking if all the details are in the correct format and valid. The student will thus be registered into the system. After a successful registration, the system generates a test based on the users skill set for every user. The skills are based on the educational as well as other extracurricular activities. The students can inquire or ask for any help as needed from the staff through the system as well. The staff also has the responsibilities of scheduling or rescheduling the tests. Once the student takes test, the score will be calculated and displayed immediately after the test. Based on the performance and skill sets, one or more Companies will be suggested that will help the student to work to their maximum potential and makea quick andwise decision as well. The data for the entire system is stored in a dataset connected to a Java server which helps in efficient working of the entire system. 6. Modules The proposed system contains three modules, namely: a. User Module b. Staff Module c. Admin Module The user module is the first step. It’s theregistrationdone by a user into the system. It is the start of the system. At the time of registration, the user must provide all the correct details and information as asked by the system. The staff module is for answeringany queriesofthestudents regarding registration, the test or any other information in general. It also has the job of scheduling tests for the students and of checking the results for the any mistakes. The admin module oversees all the work done in thesystem. It also has the job of authenticating the student accounts. 7. Algorithm a. Algorithm used for Prediction System in Machine Learning:  Naïve Bayes Classifier Algorithm.  K Means Clustering Algorithm. b. Algorithm Used for Classification:  SVM (Support Vector Machine) Algorithm c. Algorithm used for Chatbot Model:  Sentiment Analysis 8. Expected Result To provide online study material, career guidanceand result of examination as well as generate a graph of student to get
  • 3. International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056 Volume: 05 Issue: 10 | Oct 2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072 © 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.211 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1884 his/her interest point of view. To analyze growth of student, class. 9. Conclusion Present studies shows that academic performances of the students are primarily dependent on their past performances. Our investigation confirms that past performances have indeed got a significant influence over students' performance. Further, we confirmed that the performance of neural networks increases with increase in dataset size. Machine learning has come far from its nascent stages, and can prove to be a powerful tool in academia. In the future, applications similar to the one developed, as well as any improvementsthereofmaybecomeanintegratedpart of every academic institution. This projectcanbeusedinany organization, college as analysis purpose. 10. Acknowledgement Authors want to acknowledge Principal,Headofdepartment and guide of their project for all the support and help rendered. To express profound feeling of appreciation to their regarded guardians for giving the motivation required to the finishing of paper. REFERENCES [1]H. Cen, K. Koedinger, and B. Junker, Learning factors analysis a general method for cognitive model evaluation and improvement, in International ConferenceonIntelligent Tutoring Systems. Springer, 2006, pp. 164175. [2] M. Feng, N. Heffernan, and K. Koedinger, Addressing the assessment challenge with an online system that tutors as it assesses, User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 243266, 2009. [3] H.-F. Yu, H.-Y. Lo, H.-P. Hsieh, J.-K.Lou, T. G. McKenzie, J.- W.Chou, P.-H.Chung, C.-H. Ho, C.-F. Chang, Y.-H.Wei et al., Feature engineering and classifier ensemble for kdd cup 2010, in Proceedings of the KDD Cup 2010 Workshop, 2010, pp. 116. [4] Z. A. Pardos and N. T. Heffernan, Using hmms and bagged decision trees to leverage rich features of user andskill from an intelligent tutoring system dataset, Journal of Machine Learning Research W CP, 2010. [5] Y. Meier, J. Xu, O. Atan, and M. van der Schaar, Personalized grade prediction: A data mining approach, in Data Mining (ICDM), 2015IEEE International Conference on. IEEE, 2015, pp. 907912. [6] C. G. Brinton and M. Chiang, Mooc performance prediction via click stream data and social learning networks, in 2015 IEEE Conference on Computer Communications (INFOCOM). IEEE, 2015, pp. 22992307. [7] C. Marquez-Vera, C. Romero, and S. Ventura, Predicting school failure using data mining, in Educational Data Mining 2011, 2010. BIOGRAPHIES Vishal Batule is currently a student at the P. D. E. A.’s College of Engineering, in the final year, studying Computer Engineering. Mrinalini Bagul is currently a student at the P. D. E. A.’s Collegeof Engineering, in the final year, studying Computer Engineering. Prof. R. B. Rathod is a Professor at the P. D. E. A.’s College of Engineering.