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Ecosystem Change
How have ecosystems changed?
 Freshwater ecosystem:
– Modified by the creation of dams and the withdrawal of water for human use, which
have changed the flow of many large river systems.
 reducing sediment flows, the main source of nutrient for estuary ecosystems.
 Terrestrial ecosystems:
 More than half of the original area of many types of grasslands and forest has
been converted into farmland. The only types of land ecosystems which have
been changed relatively little are tundra and boreal forests, but climate change
has begun to affect them..
 Globally, the transformation of ecosystem into farmland has begun to slow
down. Opportunities for further expansion of farmland are diminishing in many
regions of the world because most of the suitable land has already been
converted.
 Increased agricultural productivity is also reducing the need for more farmland.
Moreover, in temperate regions some cropland areas are now reconverted into
forest or taken out of production.
Do environmental cycles affected?
 Hydrological Cycle
– Water withdrawals from rivers and lakes for irrigation, urban uses, and industrial
applications doubled between 1960 and 2000.
 Carbon Cycle
– In the last two and a half centuries, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere has increased by one third. Land ecosystems were a net source of
carbon dioxide during the 19th and early 20th century and became a net carbon sink
sometime around the middle of the last century. This reversal is due to increases in
plant growth system-e.g. new forest management and agricultural practices.
 Nitrogen Cycle
– The total amount of nitrogen made available to organisms by human activities
increased nine-fold between 1890 and 1990, especially since 1950 because of the
use of synthetic fertilizers. Human activities are now responsible for as much nitrogen
made available as all natural sources combined.
 Phosphorus cycle
– The use of phosphorus fertilizers and the rate of phosphorus accumulation in
agricultural soils nearly tripled between 1960 and 1990, but has declined somewhat
since. The flow of phosphorus into the oceans is now three times the natural flow
Are biodiversities also changed?
 The distribution of species on Earth is
becoming more homogeneous.
 Majority of species have faced a decline in
the size of their population, in their
geographical spread, or both..
 Species extinction is a natural part of Earth’s
history.
 The range of genetic differences within
species has declined, particularly for crops
and livestock.
 In cultivated ecosystem, intensification of
agriculture and the lesser use of traditional
local species in favor of fewer modern
varieties have reduced the genetic diversity
of domesticated plants and animals.
 The permanent loss of genetic diversity has
been partially prevented by maintaining seed
banks.
Are Ecosystem Services and Their
Uses also Changed?
 Approximately 60% (15 out of 24) of the ecosystem
services (including 70% of regulating and cultural
services) are being degraded or used unsustainably
 The quantity of provisioning ecosystem services such
as food, water, and timber used by humans increased
rapidly. Provisioning services are being used at
unsustainable rates.
 Humans have substantially altered regulating services
such as disease and climate regulation by modifying
the ecosystem providing the service and, in the case of
waste processing services, by exceeding the
capabilities of ecosystems to provide the service
 Although the use of cultural services has continued to
grow, the capability of ecosystems to provide cultural
benefits has been significantly diminished in the past
century
 The modification of an ecosystem to alter one
ecosystem service (to increase food or timber
production, for instance) generally results in changes
to other ecosystem services as well
Factors causing ecosystem
changes
What are the most critical factors
causing ecosystem changes?
 Natural or human-induced
factors that directly or indirectly
cause a change in an
ecosystem.
 Drivers affect ecosystem
services and human well-being
at different spatial and temporal
scales, which makes both their
assessment and their
management complex
What is a "driver" and how does it
affect ecosystems?
 A direct driver
– Habitat change, explicitly influences ecosystem processes.
 An indirect driver
– Change in human population, operates more diffusely, by altering one or more
direct drivers.
 Range of driver
– From local to global and from immediate to long-term, which makes both their
assessment and management complex.
– Climate change may operate on a global or large regional scale;
– Political change may operate at the scale of a nation or a municipal district. Socio-
– Cultural change typically occurs slowly, on a time scale of decades,
– Economic changes tend to occur more rapidly.
 As a result of this spatial and temporal dependence of drivers, the forces that
appear to be most significant at a particular location and time may not be the
most significant over larger, or smaller, regions or time scales.
What are the indirect drivers and how
are they changing?
 Population change:
– Population growth and migration.
 Change in Economic activity:
– As per capita income grows, demand for many ecosystem services increases and the
structure of consumption also changes. The share of income devoted to food, for
example, decreases in favor of industrial goods and services.
 Socio-Political factors:
– Include decision-making processes and the extent of public participation in them. The
trend toward democratic institutions over the past 50 years has helped empower local
communities. There has also been an increase in multilateral environmental
agreements.
 Cultural and Religious factors:
– Culture can be defined as the values, beliefs, and norms that a group of people share.
It conditions individuals’ perceptions of the world, and suggests courses of action
which can have important impacts on other drivers such as consumption behavior.
 Science and Technology:
– Much of the increase in agricultural output over the past 40 years has come from an
increase in yields per hectare rather than an expansion of area.
Changes in the impacts of indirect
drivers
 Consumption of ecosystem services is
slowly being decoupled from
economic growth.
 Global trade magnifies the effect of
governance, regulations, and
management practices on ecosystems
and their services, enhancing good
practices but worsening the damage
caused by poor practices
 Urban demographic and economic
growth has been increasing pressures
on ecosystems globally, but affluent
rural and suburban living often places
even more pressure on ecosystems
What are the direct drivers of changes
in ecosystem services?
 For terrestrial ecosystems, in the past 50 years, in the aggregate,
have been land cover change (in particular, conversion to
cropland) and the application of new technologies (which have
contributed significantly to the increased supply of services such
as food, timber, and fiber)
 Both land cover changes and the management practices and
technologies used on lands may cause major changes in
ecosystem services
 For marine ecosystem and their services, the most important
direct driver of change in the past 50 years, in the aggregate, has
been fishing
 For freshwater ecosystems and their services, depending on the
region, the most important direct drivers of change in the past 50
years include modification of water regime, invasive species, and
pollution, particularly high levels of nutriewnt loading.
 Coastal ecosystem are affected by multiple direct drivers
Most important direct drivers
 Over the past four decades,
excessive nutrient loading has
emerged as one of the most
important direct drivers of
ecosystem change in terrestrial,
freshwater, and marine
ecosystems.
 Climate change in the past
century has already had a
measurable impact on
ecosystems

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What factors change ecosystem

  • 2. How have ecosystems changed?  Freshwater ecosystem: – Modified by the creation of dams and the withdrawal of water for human use, which have changed the flow of many large river systems.  reducing sediment flows, the main source of nutrient for estuary ecosystems.  Terrestrial ecosystems:  More than half of the original area of many types of grasslands and forest has been converted into farmland. The only types of land ecosystems which have been changed relatively little are tundra and boreal forests, but climate change has begun to affect them..  Globally, the transformation of ecosystem into farmland has begun to slow down. Opportunities for further expansion of farmland are diminishing in many regions of the world because most of the suitable land has already been converted.  Increased agricultural productivity is also reducing the need for more farmland. Moreover, in temperate regions some cropland areas are now reconverted into forest or taken out of production.
  • 3. Do environmental cycles affected?  Hydrological Cycle – Water withdrawals from rivers and lakes for irrigation, urban uses, and industrial applications doubled between 1960 and 2000.  Carbon Cycle – In the last two and a half centuries, the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by one third. Land ecosystems were a net source of carbon dioxide during the 19th and early 20th century and became a net carbon sink sometime around the middle of the last century. This reversal is due to increases in plant growth system-e.g. new forest management and agricultural practices.  Nitrogen Cycle – The total amount of nitrogen made available to organisms by human activities increased nine-fold between 1890 and 1990, especially since 1950 because of the use of synthetic fertilizers. Human activities are now responsible for as much nitrogen made available as all natural sources combined.  Phosphorus cycle – The use of phosphorus fertilizers and the rate of phosphorus accumulation in agricultural soils nearly tripled between 1960 and 1990, but has declined somewhat since. The flow of phosphorus into the oceans is now three times the natural flow
  • 4. Are biodiversities also changed?  The distribution of species on Earth is becoming more homogeneous.  Majority of species have faced a decline in the size of their population, in their geographical spread, or both..  Species extinction is a natural part of Earth’s history.  The range of genetic differences within species has declined, particularly for crops and livestock.  In cultivated ecosystem, intensification of agriculture and the lesser use of traditional local species in favor of fewer modern varieties have reduced the genetic diversity of domesticated plants and animals.  The permanent loss of genetic diversity has been partially prevented by maintaining seed banks.
  • 5. Are Ecosystem Services and Their Uses also Changed?  Approximately 60% (15 out of 24) of the ecosystem services (including 70% of regulating and cultural services) are being degraded or used unsustainably  The quantity of provisioning ecosystem services such as food, water, and timber used by humans increased rapidly. Provisioning services are being used at unsustainable rates.  Humans have substantially altered regulating services such as disease and climate regulation by modifying the ecosystem providing the service and, in the case of waste processing services, by exceeding the capabilities of ecosystems to provide the service  Although the use of cultural services has continued to grow, the capability of ecosystems to provide cultural benefits has been significantly diminished in the past century  The modification of an ecosystem to alter one ecosystem service (to increase food or timber production, for instance) generally results in changes to other ecosystem services as well
  • 7. What are the most critical factors causing ecosystem changes?  Natural or human-induced factors that directly or indirectly cause a change in an ecosystem.  Drivers affect ecosystem services and human well-being at different spatial and temporal scales, which makes both their assessment and their management complex
  • 8.
  • 9. What is a "driver" and how does it affect ecosystems?  A direct driver – Habitat change, explicitly influences ecosystem processes.  An indirect driver – Change in human population, operates more diffusely, by altering one or more direct drivers.  Range of driver – From local to global and from immediate to long-term, which makes both their assessment and management complex. – Climate change may operate on a global or large regional scale; – Political change may operate at the scale of a nation or a municipal district. Socio- – Cultural change typically occurs slowly, on a time scale of decades, – Economic changes tend to occur more rapidly.  As a result of this spatial and temporal dependence of drivers, the forces that appear to be most significant at a particular location and time may not be the most significant over larger, or smaller, regions or time scales.
  • 10.
  • 11. What are the indirect drivers and how are they changing?  Population change: – Population growth and migration.  Change in Economic activity: – As per capita income grows, demand for many ecosystem services increases and the structure of consumption also changes. The share of income devoted to food, for example, decreases in favor of industrial goods and services.  Socio-Political factors: – Include decision-making processes and the extent of public participation in them. The trend toward democratic institutions over the past 50 years has helped empower local communities. There has also been an increase in multilateral environmental agreements.  Cultural and Religious factors: – Culture can be defined as the values, beliefs, and norms that a group of people share. It conditions individuals’ perceptions of the world, and suggests courses of action which can have important impacts on other drivers such as consumption behavior.  Science and Technology: – Much of the increase in agricultural output over the past 40 years has come from an increase in yields per hectare rather than an expansion of area.
  • 12. Changes in the impacts of indirect drivers  Consumption of ecosystem services is slowly being decoupled from economic growth.  Global trade magnifies the effect of governance, regulations, and management practices on ecosystems and their services, enhancing good practices but worsening the damage caused by poor practices  Urban demographic and economic growth has been increasing pressures on ecosystems globally, but affluent rural and suburban living often places even more pressure on ecosystems
  • 13. What are the direct drivers of changes in ecosystem services?  For terrestrial ecosystems, in the past 50 years, in the aggregate, have been land cover change (in particular, conversion to cropland) and the application of new technologies (which have contributed significantly to the increased supply of services such as food, timber, and fiber)  Both land cover changes and the management practices and technologies used on lands may cause major changes in ecosystem services  For marine ecosystem and their services, the most important direct driver of change in the past 50 years, in the aggregate, has been fishing  For freshwater ecosystems and their services, depending on the region, the most important direct drivers of change in the past 50 years include modification of water regime, invasive species, and pollution, particularly high levels of nutriewnt loading.  Coastal ecosystem are affected by multiple direct drivers
  • 14. Most important direct drivers  Over the past four decades, excessive nutrient loading has emerged as one of the most important direct drivers of ecosystem change in terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems.  Climate change in the past century has already had a measurable impact on ecosystems