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NADO Annual Training Conference
15 October 2018
‘The Future of Regions’
Implications for NADO
David Beurle
CEO
The challenge for today…
Explore the future
Ask the hard questions
Think creatively
The outcome will be a new view of the future and
consideration of the implications for regions and NADO.
Forces impacting the
world and regions
What are the
emerging macro
drivers…
Macro Trends and
Forces of Change Related to . . .
• Demographics, population and mass
urbanization
• Changing macro economics and societal
values
• Energy, food, water & changing climate
• Technology, and the next industrial revolution
Demographics, Population,
Mass Urbanization
v
Within a 10 year period,
India’s working
population increases by
250 million – to over 870
million people.
Within a 20 year period,
half of all the new
buildings in the world are
being built in China.
Changing distribution of America society
Demographics, Population, Mass
Urbanization
• Increasing global population
• People are living longer
• Global surge in younger cohorts
• Greater urbanization and mega cities
• Society is reconfiguring around urban hubs
Global population growth and
urbanization
What does this mean for
Regional Development?
Changing macro-economics
and societal values
This gap between the
developed and
developing world is
closing fast.
The major nations of the
developed world (North
America, Japan, western
Europe) have 15% of the total
global population and 80% of
the wealth.
• USA age pyramid.jpg
Macro-economics, shifting power
and changing societal values
• Uneven global growth and deflation
• US global role is changing
• Society in USA and world is changing.
Changing macro-economics and
societal values
What does this mean for
Regional Development?
Energy + Water + Food +
Changing Climate
Energy
• At present 2.5 billion
people rely on burning
wood and animal dung as
their chief source of
energy
• 1.5 billion people have
no electricity of any kind.
International Energy Agency's "World Energy Outlook 2009" report
Renewable Energy
• Nearly 450 million people in 29
countries now face severe water
shortages
• As much as 2/3 of the world
population could be water-
stressed by 2025
• Half the world’s rivers and lakes
are seriously polluted
World Hunger 2007
• Irrigation uses 70% of the
world’s fresh water
• Water scarcity, not lack of
arable land, will be the chief
constraint to increased food
production
• The threat to water resources
stands as one of the major
crises facing the planet
World Hunger
Midwest USA has 20% of
global fresh water resources
Energy + Water + Food +
Changing Climate
• Challenges with finite global resource
base
• Uneven impacts of climate change
• Potential for unexpected trends
• Disconnect between where food can be
grown, and where it will be consumed
Energy + Water + Food + Changing Climate
What does this mean for
Regional Development?
Technology +
Next Industrial Revolution
Key features of the next industrial revolution
• Speed of technological change
• Drivers at a global scale
Technology –
a catalyst for
change
An analysis of the history of
technology shows that technological
change is exponential,
Imagine the last 100 years of
technological change and the
impacts on our lives.
The next 100 years of progress
in the 21st century………
will be more like 20,000 years
of progress
(at today’s rate)
After 2020 – age of robotics, clean tech and genetics
Additive – allowing incredible
complexity in design and material
composition
Complexity and prototyping
Remote operations centre; mines thousands of kilometers away
Technology impact – ‘Mining of the future’
What makes this industrial revolution different?
• Machine learning / Artificial Intelligence
• Converging technologies
• Exponential impacts
Adapted from: Source: Deloitte. 2014. Industry 4.0 Challenges and solutions for the digital
transformation and use of exponential technologies
• Impacting every corner of our lives
• Capacity to radically disrupt systems
• Changes in where things will be made
• New materials and new products
Technology +
Next Industrial Revolution
Technology - driving and enabling
accelerated change
What does this mean for
Regional Development?
Combined - what does all
this mean for
Strategic Planning for
NADO?
NADO Annual Training Conference
15 October 2018
‘The Future of Regions’
Implications for NADO
David Beurle
david@future-iq.com
www.future-iq.com

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The Future of Regions and Implications for NADO: Beurle

  • 1. NADO Annual Training Conference 15 October 2018 ‘The Future of Regions’ Implications for NADO David Beurle CEO
  • 2. The challenge for today… Explore the future Ask the hard questions Think creatively The outcome will be a new view of the future and consideration of the implications for regions and NADO.
  • 3.
  • 4. Forces impacting the world and regions What are the emerging macro drivers…
  • 5. Macro Trends and Forces of Change Related to . . . • Demographics, population and mass urbanization • Changing macro economics and societal values • Energy, food, water & changing climate • Technology, and the next industrial revolution
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. v
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  • 15. Within a 10 year period, India’s working population increases by 250 million – to over 870 million people. Within a 20 year period, half of all the new buildings in the world are being built in China.
  • 16. Changing distribution of America society
  • 17.
  • 18. Demographics, Population, Mass Urbanization • Increasing global population • People are living longer • Global surge in younger cohorts • Greater urbanization and mega cities • Society is reconfiguring around urban hubs
  • 19. Global population growth and urbanization What does this mean for Regional Development?
  • 21. This gap between the developed and developing world is closing fast. The major nations of the developed world (North America, Japan, western Europe) have 15% of the total global population and 80% of the wealth.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. • USA age pyramid.jpg
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. Macro-economics, shifting power and changing societal values • Uneven global growth and deflation • US global role is changing • Society in USA and world is changing.
  • 28. Changing macro-economics and societal values What does this mean for Regional Development?
  • 29. Energy + Water + Food + Changing Climate
  • 30.
  • 31. Energy • At present 2.5 billion people rely on burning wood and animal dung as their chief source of energy • 1.5 billion people have no electricity of any kind. International Energy Agency's "World Energy Outlook 2009" report
  • 32.
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  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. • Nearly 450 million people in 29 countries now face severe water shortages • As much as 2/3 of the world population could be water- stressed by 2025 • Half the world’s rivers and lakes are seriously polluted World Hunger 2007
  • 41. • Irrigation uses 70% of the world’s fresh water • Water scarcity, not lack of arable land, will be the chief constraint to increased food production • The threat to water resources stands as one of the major crises facing the planet World Hunger Midwest USA has 20% of global fresh water resources
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45. Energy + Water + Food + Changing Climate • Challenges with finite global resource base • Uneven impacts of climate change • Potential for unexpected trends • Disconnect between where food can be grown, and where it will be consumed
  • 46. Energy + Water + Food + Changing Climate What does this mean for Regional Development?
  • 48.
  • 49. Key features of the next industrial revolution • Speed of technological change • Drivers at a global scale
  • 51. An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, Imagine the last 100 years of technological change and the impacts on our lives. The next 100 years of progress in the 21st century……… will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today’s rate)
  • 52. After 2020 – age of robotics, clean tech and genetics
  • 53.
  • 54. Additive – allowing incredible complexity in design and material composition
  • 56. Remote operations centre; mines thousands of kilometers away Technology impact – ‘Mining of the future’
  • 57.
  • 58. What makes this industrial revolution different? • Machine learning / Artificial Intelligence • Converging technologies • Exponential impacts
  • 59. Adapted from: Source: Deloitte. 2014. Industry 4.0 Challenges and solutions for the digital transformation and use of exponential technologies
  • 60. • Impacting every corner of our lives • Capacity to radically disrupt systems • Changes in where things will be made • New materials and new products Technology + Next Industrial Revolution
  • 61. Technology - driving and enabling accelerated change What does this mean for Regional Development?
  • 62. Combined - what does all this mean for Strategic Planning for NADO?
  • 63.
  • 64. NADO Annual Training Conference 15 October 2018 ‘The Future of Regions’ Implications for NADO David Beurle david@future-iq.com www.future-iq.com