SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Presentation at a conference organized by the
National Bureau of Economic Research
June 6, 2024
Molly Dahl
Labor, Income Security, and Long-Term Analysis Division
CBO’s Outlook for
U.S. Fertility Rates:
2024 to 2054
For more information about the conference, see nber.org/conferences/fertility-and-declining-population-growth-high-income-countries-spring-2024.
Net immigration is the number of people who enter the United States in a given year minus the number who leave in that year.
Demographic Factors That Contribute to Population Growth
Population, by Age Group
The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year
and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO estimates is from ages 14 through 49..
Fertility Rates
SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year
and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54.
Selected Agencies’ Projections of Total Fertility Rates
SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year
and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54. The fertility
rates shown here represent the average number of children that a woman would have from the beginning of her childbearing period to age 29.
Selected Agencies’ Projections of
Fertility Rates for Women Younger Than 30
SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary.
The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year
and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54. The fertility
rates shown here represent the average number of children that a woman would have from age 30 to the end of her childbearing period.
Selected Agencies’ Projections of
Fertility Rates for Women 30 Years or Older
The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year
and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO estimates is from ages 14 through 49.
Fertility Rates in CBO’s 2023 and 2024 Projections
8
What is the distribution of likely outcomes? What is a likely but high fertility rate in
10 years? What about a likely but low rate?
Has the decline in fertility stopped? What is the expectation for a rebound? What
about a further decline?
What can be learned from the experiences in other countries?
How do the fertility rates of people who immigrate to the United States compare
with the rates in their country of origin? And how heterogenous is that?
Are there federal policies that could change the situation?
Questions CBO Considers When Projecting Fertility Rates

More Related Content

Similar to CBO’s Outlook for U.S. Fertility Rates: 2024 to 2054

Presentation on natality by amin
Presentation on natality by aminPresentation on natality by amin
Presentation on natality by amin
Aminul Islam
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
marvin choudhary
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
dpsaligarh
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Nurulain siddiqui
 
Family planning for PG .pdf
Family planning for PG .pdfFamily planning for PG .pdf
Family planning for PG .pdf
MesfinShifara
 
An brief introduction to the
An brief introduction to theAn brief introduction to the
An brief introduction to the
APSARA Nishshanka
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
Sajawal Babar
 
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGEAS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
George Dumitrache
 
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASECAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
George Dumitrache
 
Fertility and mortality...
Fertility and mortality...  Fertility and mortality...
Fertility and mortality...
Bangladesh University of Professionals
 
Measures of fertility
Measures of fertilityMeasures of fertility
Measures of fertility
Mmedsc Hahm
 
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro PakistanFertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
NasirPathan4
 
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statementSon preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
Hanh To
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
sumairariaz5
 
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptxMy Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
MUHAMMAD UMAIR
 
UNIT -7 TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
UNIT -7  TOPIC ON Demography and family wefareUNIT -7  TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
UNIT -7 TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
MrsRainaJeniferMasca
 
Nigeria health in numbers
Nigeria health in numbersNigeria health in numbers
Nigeria health in numbers
statisense
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
sasirekha krishnan
 
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docxTeen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
mattinsonjanel
 
Health outcomes in lewisham
Health outcomes in lewishamHealth outcomes in lewisham
Health outcomes in lewisham
Andrew Brown
 

Similar to CBO’s Outlook for U.S. Fertility Rates: 2024 to 2054 (20)

Presentation on natality by amin
Presentation on natality by aminPresentation on natality by amin
Presentation on natality by amin
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
Sex ratio and mortality rate -4
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
 
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3Sex ratio and mortality rate3
Sex ratio and mortality rate3
 
Family planning for PG .pdf
Family planning for PG .pdfFamily planning for PG .pdf
Family planning for PG .pdf
 
An brief introduction to the
An brief introduction to theAn brief introduction to the
An brief introduction to the
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
 
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGEAS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION - MIGRATION - 5.1 MIGRATION AS POPULATION CHANGE
 
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASECAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
CAMBRIDGE AS GEOGRAPHY REVISION: POPULATION - 4.1 NATURAL INCREASE
 
Fertility and mortality...
Fertility and mortality...  Fertility and mortality...
Fertility and mortality...
 
Measures of fertility
Measures of fertilityMeasures of fertility
Measures of fertility
 
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro PakistanFertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
Fertility factors lecture at LUMHS Jamshoro Pakistan
 
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statementSon preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
Son preference and fertility behavior evidence from Viet Nam - Project statement
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
 
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptxMy Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
My Own Demography 3 Population Pyramid.pptx
 
UNIT -7 TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
UNIT -7  TOPIC ON Demography and family wefareUNIT -7  TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
UNIT -7 TOPIC ON Demography and family wefare
 
Nigeria health in numbers
Nigeria health in numbersNigeria health in numbers
Nigeria health in numbers
 
Demography
DemographyDemography
Demography
 
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docxTeen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
Teen pregnancy in the United StatesTeen pregnancy in the Unite.docx
 
Health outcomes in lewisham
Health outcomes in lewishamHealth outcomes in lewisham
Health outcomes in lewisham
 

More from Congressional Budget Office

How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
Congressional Budget Office
 
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of DefenseAlternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
Congressional Budget Office
 
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter AircraftDeclines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
Congressional Budget Office
 
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
Congressional Budget Office
 
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 SlidesAn Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
Congressional Budget Office
 
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
Congressional Budget Office
 
CBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
CBO's Immigration Projections - PresentationCBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
CBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
Congressional Budget Office
 
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
Congressional Budget Office
 
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
Congressional Budget Office
 
The Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
The Outlook for the Budget and the EconomyThe Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
The Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
Congressional Budget Office
 
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
Congressional Budget Office
 
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related TopicsCBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
Congressional Budget Office
 
The Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
The Federal Budget and Health Care PolicyThe Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
The Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
Congressional Budget Office
 
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists LawmakersHow the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
Congressional Budget Office
 
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget OfficeIntroduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
Congressional Budget Office
 
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New ResearchCBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
Congressional Budget Office
 
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
Congressional Budget Office
 
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
Congressional Budget Office
 
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing SlidesThe Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
Congressional Budget Office
 
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 SlidesThe Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
Congressional Budget Office
 

More from Congressional Budget Office (20)

How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
How the Military’s Basic Allowance for Housing Compares With Civilian Housing...
 
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of DefenseAlternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
Alternative Ways to Provide Fuel Within the Department of Defense
 
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter AircraftDeclines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
Declines in Availability of Super Hornet Fighter Aircraft
 
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
Medicare’s Coverage of Telehealth: Considerations From the Congressional Budg...
 
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 SlidesAn Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
An Update to the Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 20 Slides
 
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
Health Insurance Coverage for the U.S. Population, 2024 to 2034
 
CBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
CBO's Immigration Projections - PresentationCBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
CBO's Immigration Projections - Presentation
 
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
Spending in the 340B Drug Pricing Program, 2010 to 2021
 
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
Effects of Extreme Temperatures From Climate Change on the Medicare Populatio...
 
The Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
The Outlook for the Budget and the EconomyThe Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
The Outlook for the Budget and the Economy
 
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
The U.S. Budget and Economic Outlook (Presentation)
 
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related TopicsCBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
CBO’s Recent Appeals for New Research on Health-Related Topics
 
The Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
The Federal Budget and Health Care PolicyThe Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
The Federal Budget and Health Care Policy
 
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists LawmakersHow the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
How the Congressional Budget Office Assists Lawmakers
 
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget OfficeIntroduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
Introduction to the Role of the Congressional Budget Office
 
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New ResearchCBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
CBO’s Work on Health Care and a Call for New Research
 
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
The Federal Perspective on Coverage of Medications to Treat Obesity: Consider...
 
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
CBO’s Approach to Estimating the Budgetary Effects of the No Surprises Act of...
 
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing SlidesThe Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
The Budget and Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034: Press Briefing Slides
 
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 SlidesThe Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
The Economic Outlook for 2024 to 2034 in 19 Slides
 

Recently uploaded

Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678 Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678  Girls Call ServiceLucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678  Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678 Girls Call Service
akarshkumar98776
 
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
Odessa File
 
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678 @Girls @ℂall Service
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678  @Girls @ℂall ServiceLucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678  @Girls @ℂall Service
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678 @Girls @ℂall Service
veenita788
 
Protection and referral for CBP members.ppt
Protection and referral for CBP members.pptProtection and referral for CBP members.ppt
Protection and referral for CBP members.ppt
Mohammed Nizam
 
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS CausesDonate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
SERUDS INDIA
 
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptxOakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
itfernag
 
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & OffersThe Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
reema kushawaha
 
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 462024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
JSchaus & Associates
 
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678 Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678  Girls Call ServiceLucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678  Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678 Girls Call Service
akarshkumar98776
 
Organization & Management Theories.pptx
Organization  & Management Theories.pptxOrganization  & Management Theories.pptx
Organization & Management Theories.pptx
Jo Balucanag - Bitonio
 
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnoolDonate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
SERUDS INDIA
 
UTS degree offer diploma Transcript
UTS degree offer diploma TranscriptUTS degree offer diploma Transcript
UTS degree offer diploma Transcript
asunfyk
 
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
Just Energy Transition in Coal Regions Knowledge Hub
 
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before ApplyingGSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
JSchaus & Associates
 
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docxVidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
RohanShekar
 
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
Partito democratico
 
In BELA-BELA ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
In BELA-BELA  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA OakmoorIn BELA-BELA  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
In BELA-BELA ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
periprospective
 
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
ewvyyt
 
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
gargtinna79
 
In Kempton Park ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
In Kempton Park  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLAIn Kempton Park  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
In Kempton Park ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
525nixie
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678 Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678  Girls Call ServiceLucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678  Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Khujauli 08630512678 Girls Call Service
 
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
2023--Annual-Survey-for-Marginal-Farmers.pdf
 
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678 @Girls @ℂall Service
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678  @Girls @ℂall ServiceLucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678  @Girls @ℂall Service
Lucknow @Girls @ℂall Gosainganj 08630512678 @Girls @ℂall Service
 
Protection and referral for CBP members.ppt
Protection and referral for CBP members.pptProtection and referral for CBP members.ppt
Protection and referral for CBP members.ppt
 
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS CausesDonate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
Donate to Girl Child Education by Supporting SERUDS Causes
 
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptxOakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
Oakland_Public_Education_Fund_sum 2 (1).pptx
 
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & OffersThe Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
The Bank of Punjab. DigiBop Internet Banking. Discounts & Offers
 
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 462024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
2024: The FAR - Federal Acquisition Regulations, Part 46
 
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678 Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678  Girls Call ServiceLucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678  Girls Call Service
Lucknow Girls Call Kesar Bagh 08630512678 Girls Call Service
 
Organization & Management Theories.pptx
Organization  & Management Theories.pptxOrganization  & Management Theories.pptx
Organization & Management Theories.pptx
 
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnoolDonate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
Donate to girl child education by supporting seruds kurnool
 
UTS degree offer diploma Transcript
UTS degree offer diploma TranscriptUTS degree offer diploma Transcript
UTS degree offer diploma Transcript
 
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
Beyond Rhetoric: Youth-led Solutions for a Sustainable and Just Energy Transi...
 
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before ApplyingGSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
GSA Schedules - What To Know Before Applying
 
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docxVidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
Vidhi Vaishnav 23BSPHH01jgjgjggC0469.docx
 
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
Contributi dei parlamentari del PD - Contributi L. 3/2019
 
In BELA-BELA ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
In BELA-BELA  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA OakmoorIn BELA-BELA  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
In BELA-BELA ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In BELA-BELA Oakmoor
 
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
In Umthatha (Umtata) [(+27633867063*)] 🏥 Abortion Pills For Sale in Umthatha ...
 
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
gpay.docxGoogle Pay, also known as GPay, is a mobile payments applicationGoog...
 
In Kempton Park ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
In Kempton Park  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLAIn Kempton Park  ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
In Kempton Park ^%[+27633867063*Abortion Pills For Sale In Kempton Park MAPETLA
 

CBO’s Outlook for U.S. Fertility Rates: 2024 to 2054

  • 1. Presentation at a conference organized by the National Bureau of Economic Research June 6, 2024 Molly Dahl Labor, Income Security, and Long-Term Analysis Division CBO’s Outlook for U.S. Fertility Rates: 2024 to 2054 For more information about the conference, see nber.org/conferences/fertility-and-declining-population-growth-high-income-countries-spring-2024.
  • 2. Net immigration is the number of people who enter the United States in a given year minus the number who leave in that year. Demographic Factors That Contribute to Population Growth
  • 4. The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO estimates is from ages 14 through 49.. Fertility Rates
  • 5. SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary. The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54. Selected Agencies’ Projections of Total Fertility Rates
  • 6. SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary. The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54. The fertility rates shown here represent the average number of children that a woman would have from the beginning of her childbearing period to age 29. Selected Agencies’ Projections of Fertility Rates for Women Younger Than 30
  • 7. SSA = Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary. The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO and SSA estimate is from ages 14 through 49 and the Census Bureau estimates is from ages 14 through 54. The fertility rates shown here represent the average number of children that a woman would have from age 30 to the end of her childbearing period. Selected Agencies’ Projections of Fertility Rates for Women 30 Years or Older
  • 8. The total fertility rate represents the average number of children that a woman would have if, in each year of her life, she experienced the birth rates observed or projected for that year and if she survived her entire childbearing period, which CBO estimates is from ages 14 through 49. Fertility Rates in CBO’s 2023 and 2024 Projections
  • 9. 8 What is the distribution of likely outcomes? What is a likely but high fertility rate in 10 years? What about a likely but low rate? Has the decline in fertility stopped? What is the expectation for a rebound? What about a further decline? What can be learned from the experiences in other countries? How do the fertility rates of people who immigrate to the United States compare with the rates in their country of origin? And how heterogenous is that? Are there federal policies that could change the situation? Questions CBO Considers When Projecting Fertility Rates