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Subnational population projections for England

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West Midlands Regional Observatory
West Midlands Regional Observatory

This presentation discusses subnational population projections for the West Midlands region of England produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The projections estimate population changes over 25 years based on past trends in fertility, mortality, and migration rates. The projections indicate that the West Midlands population will grow more slowly than most other English regions and will experience significant aging, with the proportion of residents aged 65 and older projected to rise notably by 2027.

EducationTechnologyNews & Politics
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Subnational population projections for the West Midlands Anthony Szary, Office for National Statistics A presentation given at State of the Region: Implications of Population Change event, 31 March 2009. This presentation forms part of the Observatory’s ongoing State of the Region dialogue between policy makers and researchers on the theme of population change.
Subnational Population Projections for West Midlands Anthony Szary Centre for Local & Regional Statistics Office for National Statistics
Context ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],General Principles
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Cohort Component Method: Basic Formula
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Stages in the model
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Fertility
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Mortality
[object Object],[object Object],Internal Migration - 1
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Internal Migration - 2
Typical Migration Age Profile
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],International Migration
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population Controls
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Aggregation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Processes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Issues
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Variants
Variants for England projections
[object Object],Population projection for West Midlands NE E SE Lon NW EM WM Y&H SW Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
Projected population growth between 2007 & 2027 English regions Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Projected changes in Age Structure
Population Profile Projections – 2007 to 2027 West Midlands Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
[object Object],[object Object],Ageing in comparison to other regions
Proportion of population aged over 65 – English regions Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
[object Object],[object Object],Ageing by Local Authority
Population & projections 2007 to 2027 Aged over 65 – West Midlands Local Authorities Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
Contact details Anthony Szary Centre for Local and Regional Statistics Office for National Statistics E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3256 Web www.ons.gov.uk Stephen Howarth Deputy Chief Executive West Midlands Regional Observatory E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3258 Web www.wmro.org Blog http://wmro.wordpress.com Rosie Day Research Analyst West Midlands Regional Observatory E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3286 Web www.wmro.org Blog http://wmro.wordpress.com

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Subnational population projections for England

  • 1. Subnational population projections for the West Midlands Anthony Szary, Office for National Statistics A presentation given at State of the Region: Implications of Population Change event, 31 March 2009. This presentation forms part of the Observatory’s ongoing State of the Region dialogue between policy makers and researchers on the theme of population change.
  • 2. Subnational Population Projections for West Midlands Anthony Szary Centre for Local & Regional Statistics Office for National Statistics
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  • 18. Variants for England projections
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  • 20. Projected population growth between 2007 & 2027 English regions Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
  • 21.
  • 22. Population Profile Projections – 2007 to 2027 West Midlands Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
  • 23.
  • 24. Proportion of population aged over 65 – English regions Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
  • 25.
  • 26. Population & projections 2007 to 2027 Aged over 65 – West Midlands Local Authorities Source: ONS Sub National Population Projections 2006
  • 27. Contact details Anthony Szary Centre for Local and Regional Statistics Office for National Statistics E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3256 Web www.ons.gov.uk Stephen Howarth Deputy Chief Executive West Midlands Regional Observatory E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3258 Web www.wmro.org Blog http://wmro.wordpress.com Rosie Day Research Analyst West Midlands Regional Observatory E [email_address] T +44 (0)121 202 3286 Web www.wmro.org Blog http://wmro.wordpress.com