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Stat-3203: Sampling Technique-II
(Chapter-4: Sampling Errors and Non-sampling Errors)
(Section-B)
Md. Menhazul Abedin
Lecturer
Statistics Discipline
Khulna University, Khulna-9208
Email: menhaz70@gmail.com
Why have to know errors?
• Sample estimate will always be subject to deviation
from parameter.
• 𝑦 is the unbiased estimate of 𝑌 with Standard
deviation (Standard error)
𝑁−𝑛
𝑁𝑛
𝑆
(in case of Simple random sampling)
• This error mainly appeared from two sources
– Due to sample
– Other than sample
• It is imprtant to understand common sources and
types of errors so you can avoid them.
Sampling Errors and Non-sampling Errors
• The errors involved in collection, processing
and analysis of the data in syrvey may be
classified
– Sampling error
– Non-sampling error
Sampling Errors
• Sampling Errors(1): The error which arises due
to only a sample being used to estimate the
population parameter is termed sampling
error or sampling fluctuation.
• Sampling Errors(2): Sampling error is the error
that arises in a data collection process as a
result of taking a sample from a population
rather than using the whole population.
Sources of Sampling Errors
• Population specification error
• Sample frame error
• Selection error
• Non-response
• Sampling errors
Please visit
https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/frequent-
sampling-errors/
• If the sample size 𝑛 is equal to 𝑁 we expect that sampling
error will be zero.
• The decrease in sampling error is inversely proportional to the
square root of the sample size.
Sampling Errors
Sample Size
SamplingError
Sampling Errors
• The amount of sampling error decreases with increase
in the samle size but surprisingly it becomes
otherwise in case of non-sampling error.
• The sampling errors are assigned to an estimate
because it is based on a ‘part’ from the ‘whole’ while
non-sampling errors are assinged because there is
departure from the prescribed rules of the survey,
such as survey design, field work, tabulation
andanalysis of data , etc.
How to remove?
• There is only one way to eliminate this error.
This solution is to eliminate the concept of
sample, and to test the entire population.
• In most cases this is not possible;
consequently, what a researcher must to do is
to minimize sampling process error. This can
be achieved by a proper and unbiased
probability sampling and by using a large
sample size.
Non-sampling error
• Non-sampling error can occur at any one or
more stages of a survey i.e. planning, field
work, and tabulation of survey data
Non-sampling error
• Besides sampling error, the sample estimate
may be subject to other error which, grouped
toghther, are termed non-sampling errors.
• Non-sampling error is the error that arises in a
data collection process as a result of factors
other than taking a sample.
Sources of Non-sampling error
• Non sampling errors broadly grouped are in
three number
– Group A: Errors resulting from inadequete
preparation (Non-response errors)
– Group B: Errors resulting in the stage of data
collection or taking observation (Response error).
– Group C: Errors resulting from data processing
(Tabulation errors)
Sources of Non-sampling error
• Group A: Due to faulty sampling frame, biased
method of selection units, inadequate
schedule.
– Ommision of duplication of units due to
ambiguous definition of locale, units.
– Inaccurate methods of interview and schedules
– Difficulties arising due to unawarness on the part
of respondents or faulty methods of enumeration/
data collection.
Sources of Non-sampling error
• Group B: These errors refer, the difference between the
individual true value and the corresponding sample value
irrespsective of the reasons for discrepancy.
• Landholder says 10 hactors
• Cadastral says 11 hactors
• Response error occur…
• Main sources of these errors
– Inadequate supervission and inspection of field staff
– Inadequate trained and experienced field staff
– Problems involved in data collection and other type of
errors on the part of respondents.
Sources of Non-sampling error
• Group C: These errors can be assinged to a number of
defective methods of editing, coding puncing, tabulation,
etc.
• Main sources
– Inadequate scrutiny of basic data
– Errors in data processing operations such as editing,
coding, punching, listing,verification etc
– Others errors commited or admited during
publication/ presentation of results.
Sources of Non-sampling error
• These are not exhaustive,appear may large
number of errors in a survey
• It is difficult to ensure which of these errors
are admitted, what is the frequncy of their
occurance, and what are their effects on
results?
• Need subtle investigation at every step of
survey.
Biases and variables errors
• Relation between biases and variables errors
𝐸(𝑡 − 𝜃)2= 𝑉 𝑡 + (𝐵(𝑡))2
• Total error can be writen as
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 = [𝑉 𝑡 + (𝐵(𝑡))2
]
1
2
• It has been seen that sample values are
subject to both sampling and non-sampling
error.
Biases and variables errors
• 𝜃: true value
• 𝜃 𝑝 : Expected survey value
• 𝜃′: estimated parametric value
• Thus the total errorcan be written as
𝑡 − 𝜃 = 𝑡 − 𝐸 𝑡 + 𝐸 𝑡 − 𝜃 𝑝 + 𝜃 𝑝 − 𝜃′ + [𝜃′ − 𝜃]
– Sampling error
– Non-sampling error
• Both variable errors and biases can arise
either from sampling or non sampling
operations
Biases and variables errors
Biases
Variances
Sampling Biasses
Non-sampling
Biases
Sampling Variances
Non-sampling
Variances
Biases and variables errors
• Generalization form of biases and variables errors
𝐸(𝑡 − 𝜃)2= (
𝑖
𝐵𝑖)
2
+
𝑖
𝑆𝑖
2
/𝑛𝑖 𝑎𝑗
Where
– 𝐵𝑖 stands for the bias
– 𝑆𝑖 stands for varince
– 𝑛𝑖 stands for sample size
– 𝑎𝑗 Stands for the term for the sampling design
used in the survey
Error decomposition
Variance Error
Non-response (B)
Response(A)
Component- I
Component-II
Non-sampling
Sampling
Biases
Non-response errors
• Non response errors arises due to variaous
causes
– Not-at-home
– Refusal
– Lost schedule
Adjustment for Non-response
• Population 𝑁 size divided into two parts
– 𝑁1 (Response classs) and
– 𝑁2 (Non-response classs)
• Response classs mean= 𝑌1
• Non-response classs mean= 𝑌2
• Poulation mean 𝑌 =
𝑁1 𝑌1+𝑁2 𝑌2
𝑁
= 𝑊1 𝑌1 + 𝑊2 𝑌2
• 𝑊1 + 𝑊2 = 1
Adjustment for Non-response
• Response classs sample size= 𝑛1
• Non-response classs sample size = 𝑛2
• Response classs sample mean= 𝑦1
• Non-response classs sample mean= 𝑦2
• 𝑦1 is a biased estimator of population mean= 𝑌
• Amount of bias
𝐵( 𝑦1) = 𝐸( 𝑦1) − 𝑌 = 𝑌1 − 𝑌 = 𝑊2( 𝑌1 − 𝑌2)
Adjustment for Non-response
• 𝑦2
′
mean of subsample of size 𝑛2
′
(𝑛2 > 𝑛2
′
)
• Since the population mean 𝑌 is expressed in
terms of unknown parameters 𝑁1, 𝑁2, 𝑌1 and
𝑌2.
• Find unbiased estimator of 𝑁1 and 𝑁2
• 𝑁1 =
𝑛1
𝑛
𝑁 and 𝑁2 =
𝑛2
𝑛
𝑁
Adjustment for Non-response
• Hansen and Hurwitz technique
– Take a random sample, wor, of n respondent and
mail a schedule to all of them.
– When the dead line of reply calculate non rsponse
– Select a subsample 𝑛2
′ from 𝑛2 and collect
information from personal interview.
– Pool the results from both the clases to estimate
the population values.
Adjustment for Non-response
• Pooled estimator of the population mean 𝑌2 is
𝑦 𝑤 =
1
𝑛
(𝑛1 𝑦1 + 𝑛2 𝑦2
′
)
and variance is
𝑉 𝑦 𝑤 = 1 − 𝑓
𝑆2
𝑛
+
1 − 𝑘
𝑛
𝑊2 𝑆2
2
Where 𝑘 =
𝑛2
𝑛2
′ , 𝑆2 is as usual 𝑆2
2 is the mean square in
the non-response class.
(Theorem 13.7.1)
Adjustment for Non-response
• Proof:
𝐸( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2
= 𝐸1 𝐸2
𝑛1 𝑦1
𝑛
𝑛1 + 𝐸1 𝐸2
𝑛2 𝑦2
′
𝑛
𝑛2
Again
𝐸1 𝐸2
𝑛1 𝑦2
𝑛
𝑛1 =
𝑁1
𝑁
𝑌1
And 𝐸1 𝐸2
𝑛2 𝑦2
′
𝑛
𝑛2 =
𝑁2
𝑁
𝑌2
Thus
𝐸( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝑌 (unbiased)
Adjustment for Non-response
• Variance:
𝑉( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝑉1 𝐸2 𝑦 𝑤 + 𝐸1 𝑉2( 𝑦 𝑤)
= 𝑉1 𝑦 + 𝐸1[𝑉2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2 ]
• Here 𝑉1 𝑦 = 1 − 𝑓
𝑆2
𝑛
• And 𝐸1[𝑉2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2 ] =
1−𝑘
𝑛
𝑊2 𝑆2
2
• Combine them
(Proved)
Adjustment for Non-response
• Politz- Simmons’ techique.
– Study yourself
Imporant surveys in Bangladesh
• First census 1872
• 2nd census 1881
• Since then regular interval of 10 years
• Occational sample surveys are also being
conducted alongside to suppliment the short-
time needs between censuses.
Imporant Surveys in Bangladesh
• Surveys are divided in four broad categories
– Contraceptive prevalence survey (CPS)
– Demographic survey
– Demographic and health survey (DHS)
– Nutrition and health survey including goiter and
(iodine deficiency disorder) IDD prevalence
survey
Contraceptive prevalence survey (CPS)
• Beginning 1979 funded USAID as apart of USAID’s
global CPS project
• Agreement BD gov and World Health System
• Designed to provide rapid feedback to improve
family planning programe performance by
collecting information on contraceptive use.
• CPSs became an important management tool for
monitoring levels and trends of family planning
program performance for quite a long time in
Bangladesh.
• 3rd Stage Cluster sampling and PPS
Demographic survey
• Demographic data at the national level were
lacking both in quality and coverage in
Bangladesh.
• Absecne of demographer
• A number of demographic survey were
conducted
Demographic survey
• A number of demographic survey were
conducted
– Demographic Survey in East pakistan:1961-1962
– Population Growth Estimation(PGE):1962-65
– National Impact Survey (NIS): 1968-69
– Population Growth Survey(PGS):1968-70
– Bangladesh Retrospective Survey of Fertility and
Mortality (BRSFM):1974
– Bangladesh Fertility Survey (BFS):1975 and 1989
Demographic and health survey (DHS)
• Demographic and health survey (DHS) is the first
of this kind in Bangladesh.
• It is part of the worldwide Demographic and
Health Survey(DHS).
• Designed to collect data on fertility, mortality,
family planning and maternal and child health.
• Conducted by Mittra and Associates under the
authority of the National Institute Research and
Trainning, Under the Minstry of Health and
Family Wealfare, Government of Bangladeh.
Demographic and health survey (DHS)
• The BDHS: 1993-94
• The BDHS: 1996-97
• The BDHS: 1999-2000
• The BDHS: 2004
• The BDHS: 2007
• The BDHS: 2011
• The BDHS: 2014
Demographic and health survey (DHS)
Nutrition and health survey
• East pakistan Nutrition Survey:1962-64
• Nutrition Survey of Rural Bangladesh:1975-1976
• Natinal Goiter Prevalence Survey:1981-82
• Bangladesh National Nutrition Survey: 1995-96
• Natinal Iodine Deficiency Disorder Survey
– 1993
– 1999
Bangladesh Child Nutrition Survey
• The BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics ) has
been periodically conducting Child Nutrition
Survey (CNS) as part of its regular activities since
1985
• Funding UNICEF ( United Nations International
Children's Emergency Fund)
• First conducted 1985-86
• 1989-90, 1995-96, 2000
• Objective: Nutritional status of pre school
children aged 6-71 month

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Stat 3203 -sampling errors and non-sampling errors

  • 1. Stat-3203: Sampling Technique-II (Chapter-4: Sampling Errors and Non-sampling Errors) (Section-B) Md. Menhazul Abedin Lecturer Statistics Discipline Khulna University, Khulna-9208 Email: menhaz70@gmail.com
  • 2. Why have to know errors? • Sample estimate will always be subject to deviation from parameter. • 𝑦 is the unbiased estimate of 𝑌 with Standard deviation (Standard error) 𝑁−𝑛 𝑁𝑛 𝑆 (in case of Simple random sampling) • This error mainly appeared from two sources – Due to sample – Other than sample • It is imprtant to understand common sources and types of errors so you can avoid them.
  • 3. Sampling Errors and Non-sampling Errors • The errors involved in collection, processing and analysis of the data in syrvey may be classified – Sampling error – Non-sampling error
  • 4. Sampling Errors • Sampling Errors(1): The error which arises due to only a sample being used to estimate the population parameter is termed sampling error or sampling fluctuation. • Sampling Errors(2): Sampling error is the error that arises in a data collection process as a result of taking a sample from a population rather than using the whole population.
  • 5. Sources of Sampling Errors • Population specification error • Sample frame error • Selection error • Non-response • Sampling errors Please visit https://www.qualtrics.com/blog/frequent- sampling-errors/
  • 6. • If the sample size 𝑛 is equal to 𝑁 we expect that sampling error will be zero. • The decrease in sampling error is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size. Sampling Errors Sample Size SamplingError
  • 7. Sampling Errors • The amount of sampling error decreases with increase in the samle size but surprisingly it becomes otherwise in case of non-sampling error. • The sampling errors are assigned to an estimate because it is based on a ‘part’ from the ‘whole’ while non-sampling errors are assinged because there is departure from the prescribed rules of the survey, such as survey design, field work, tabulation andanalysis of data , etc.
  • 8. How to remove? • There is only one way to eliminate this error. This solution is to eliminate the concept of sample, and to test the entire population. • In most cases this is not possible; consequently, what a researcher must to do is to minimize sampling process error. This can be achieved by a proper and unbiased probability sampling and by using a large sample size.
  • 9. Non-sampling error • Non-sampling error can occur at any one or more stages of a survey i.e. planning, field work, and tabulation of survey data
  • 10. Non-sampling error • Besides sampling error, the sample estimate may be subject to other error which, grouped toghther, are termed non-sampling errors. • Non-sampling error is the error that arises in a data collection process as a result of factors other than taking a sample.
  • 11. Sources of Non-sampling error • Non sampling errors broadly grouped are in three number – Group A: Errors resulting from inadequete preparation (Non-response errors) – Group B: Errors resulting in the stage of data collection or taking observation (Response error). – Group C: Errors resulting from data processing (Tabulation errors)
  • 12. Sources of Non-sampling error • Group A: Due to faulty sampling frame, biased method of selection units, inadequate schedule. – Ommision of duplication of units due to ambiguous definition of locale, units. – Inaccurate methods of interview and schedules – Difficulties arising due to unawarness on the part of respondents or faulty methods of enumeration/ data collection.
  • 13. Sources of Non-sampling error • Group B: These errors refer, the difference between the individual true value and the corresponding sample value irrespsective of the reasons for discrepancy. • Landholder says 10 hactors • Cadastral says 11 hactors • Response error occur… • Main sources of these errors – Inadequate supervission and inspection of field staff – Inadequate trained and experienced field staff – Problems involved in data collection and other type of errors on the part of respondents.
  • 14. Sources of Non-sampling error • Group C: These errors can be assinged to a number of defective methods of editing, coding puncing, tabulation, etc. • Main sources – Inadequate scrutiny of basic data – Errors in data processing operations such as editing, coding, punching, listing,verification etc – Others errors commited or admited during publication/ presentation of results.
  • 15. Sources of Non-sampling error • These are not exhaustive,appear may large number of errors in a survey • It is difficult to ensure which of these errors are admitted, what is the frequncy of their occurance, and what are their effects on results? • Need subtle investigation at every step of survey.
  • 16. Biases and variables errors • Relation between biases and variables errors 𝐸(𝑡 − 𝜃)2= 𝑉 𝑡 + (𝐵(𝑡))2 • Total error can be writen as 𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 = [𝑉 𝑡 + (𝐵(𝑡))2 ] 1 2 • It has been seen that sample values are subject to both sampling and non-sampling error.
  • 17. Biases and variables errors • 𝜃: true value • 𝜃 𝑝 : Expected survey value • 𝜃′: estimated parametric value • Thus the total errorcan be written as 𝑡 − 𝜃 = 𝑡 − 𝐸 𝑡 + 𝐸 𝑡 − 𝜃 𝑝 + 𝜃 𝑝 − 𝜃′ + [𝜃′ − 𝜃] – Sampling error – Non-sampling error • Both variable errors and biases can arise either from sampling or non sampling operations
  • 18. Biases and variables errors Biases Variances Sampling Biasses Non-sampling Biases Sampling Variances Non-sampling Variances
  • 19. Biases and variables errors • Generalization form of biases and variables errors 𝐸(𝑡 − 𝜃)2= ( 𝑖 𝐵𝑖) 2 + 𝑖 𝑆𝑖 2 /𝑛𝑖 𝑎𝑗 Where – 𝐵𝑖 stands for the bias – 𝑆𝑖 stands for varince – 𝑛𝑖 stands for sample size – 𝑎𝑗 Stands for the term for the sampling design used in the survey
  • 20. Error decomposition Variance Error Non-response (B) Response(A) Component- I Component-II Non-sampling Sampling Biases
  • 21. Non-response errors • Non response errors arises due to variaous causes – Not-at-home – Refusal – Lost schedule
  • 22. Adjustment for Non-response • Population 𝑁 size divided into two parts – 𝑁1 (Response classs) and – 𝑁2 (Non-response classs) • Response classs mean= 𝑌1 • Non-response classs mean= 𝑌2 • Poulation mean 𝑌 = 𝑁1 𝑌1+𝑁2 𝑌2 𝑁 = 𝑊1 𝑌1 + 𝑊2 𝑌2 • 𝑊1 + 𝑊2 = 1
  • 23. Adjustment for Non-response • Response classs sample size= 𝑛1 • Non-response classs sample size = 𝑛2 • Response classs sample mean= 𝑦1 • Non-response classs sample mean= 𝑦2 • 𝑦1 is a biased estimator of population mean= 𝑌 • Amount of bias 𝐵( 𝑦1) = 𝐸( 𝑦1) − 𝑌 = 𝑌1 − 𝑌 = 𝑊2( 𝑌1 − 𝑌2)
  • 24. Adjustment for Non-response • 𝑦2 ′ mean of subsample of size 𝑛2 ′ (𝑛2 > 𝑛2 ′ ) • Since the population mean 𝑌 is expressed in terms of unknown parameters 𝑁1, 𝑁2, 𝑌1 and 𝑌2. • Find unbiased estimator of 𝑁1 and 𝑁2 • 𝑁1 = 𝑛1 𝑛 𝑁 and 𝑁2 = 𝑛2 𝑛 𝑁
  • 25. Adjustment for Non-response • Hansen and Hurwitz technique – Take a random sample, wor, of n respondent and mail a schedule to all of them. – When the dead line of reply calculate non rsponse – Select a subsample 𝑛2 ′ from 𝑛2 and collect information from personal interview. – Pool the results from both the clases to estimate the population values.
  • 26. Adjustment for Non-response • Pooled estimator of the population mean 𝑌2 is 𝑦 𝑤 = 1 𝑛 (𝑛1 𝑦1 + 𝑛2 𝑦2 ′ ) and variance is 𝑉 𝑦 𝑤 = 1 − 𝑓 𝑆2 𝑛 + 1 − 𝑘 𝑛 𝑊2 𝑆2 2 Where 𝑘 = 𝑛2 𝑛2 ′ , 𝑆2 is as usual 𝑆2 2 is the mean square in the non-response class. (Theorem 13.7.1)
  • 27. Adjustment for Non-response • Proof: 𝐸( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2 = 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑛1 𝑦1 𝑛 𝑛1 + 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑛2 𝑦2 ′ 𝑛 𝑛2 Again 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑛1 𝑦2 𝑛 𝑛1 = 𝑁1 𝑁 𝑌1 And 𝐸1 𝐸2 𝑛2 𝑦2 ′ 𝑛 𝑛2 = 𝑁2 𝑁 𝑌2 Thus 𝐸( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝑌 (unbiased)
  • 28. Adjustment for Non-response • Variance: 𝑉( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝑉1 𝐸2 𝑦 𝑤 + 𝐸1 𝑉2( 𝑦 𝑤) = 𝑉1 𝑦 + 𝐸1[𝑉2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2 ] • Here 𝑉1 𝑦 = 1 − 𝑓 𝑆2 𝑛 • And 𝐸1[𝑉2 𝑦 𝑤 𝑛1, 𝑛2 ] = 1−𝑘 𝑛 𝑊2 𝑆2 2 • Combine them (Proved)
  • 29. Adjustment for Non-response • Politz- Simmons’ techique. – Study yourself
  • 30. Imporant surveys in Bangladesh • First census 1872 • 2nd census 1881 • Since then regular interval of 10 years • Occational sample surveys are also being conducted alongside to suppliment the short- time needs between censuses.
  • 31. Imporant Surveys in Bangladesh • Surveys are divided in four broad categories – Contraceptive prevalence survey (CPS) – Demographic survey – Demographic and health survey (DHS) – Nutrition and health survey including goiter and (iodine deficiency disorder) IDD prevalence survey
  • 32. Contraceptive prevalence survey (CPS) • Beginning 1979 funded USAID as apart of USAID’s global CPS project • Agreement BD gov and World Health System • Designed to provide rapid feedback to improve family planning programe performance by collecting information on contraceptive use. • CPSs became an important management tool for monitoring levels and trends of family planning program performance for quite a long time in Bangladesh. • 3rd Stage Cluster sampling and PPS
  • 33. Demographic survey • Demographic data at the national level were lacking both in quality and coverage in Bangladesh. • Absecne of demographer • A number of demographic survey were conducted
  • 34. Demographic survey • A number of demographic survey were conducted – Demographic Survey in East pakistan:1961-1962 – Population Growth Estimation(PGE):1962-65 – National Impact Survey (NIS): 1968-69 – Population Growth Survey(PGS):1968-70 – Bangladesh Retrospective Survey of Fertility and Mortality (BRSFM):1974 – Bangladesh Fertility Survey (BFS):1975 and 1989
  • 35. Demographic and health survey (DHS) • Demographic and health survey (DHS) is the first of this kind in Bangladesh. • It is part of the worldwide Demographic and Health Survey(DHS). • Designed to collect data on fertility, mortality, family planning and maternal and child health. • Conducted by Mittra and Associates under the authority of the National Institute Research and Trainning, Under the Minstry of Health and Family Wealfare, Government of Bangladeh.
  • 36. Demographic and health survey (DHS) • The BDHS: 1993-94 • The BDHS: 1996-97 • The BDHS: 1999-2000 • The BDHS: 2004 • The BDHS: 2007 • The BDHS: 2011 • The BDHS: 2014
  • 37. Demographic and health survey (DHS)
  • 38. Nutrition and health survey • East pakistan Nutrition Survey:1962-64 • Nutrition Survey of Rural Bangladesh:1975-1976 • Natinal Goiter Prevalence Survey:1981-82 • Bangladesh National Nutrition Survey: 1995-96 • Natinal Iodine Deficiency Disorder Survey – 1993 – 1999
  • 39. Bangladesh Child Nutrition Survey • The BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics ) has been periodically conducting Child Nutrition Survey (CNS) as part of its regular activities since 1985 • Funding UNICEF ( United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund) • First conducted 1985-86 • 1989-90, 1995-96, 2000 • Objective: Nutritional status of pre school children aged 6-71 month